Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Canara Bank has seen stunning profit expansion over the past several years </li>
<li>Lower NPLs can drive lower credit costs to support profit expansion further</li>
<li>ROE moved from 11.7% to 17.3% over the past several years</li>
</ul>


Canara Bank has seen stunning profit expansion over the past several years 
Lower NPLs can drive lower credit costs to support profit expansion further
ROE moved from 11.7% to 17.3% over the past several years


Canara Bank - Radically Lower NPLs and Sharply Expanding Net Profit

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canara-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:543:1" rel="noopener">Canara Bank (CBK IN)</a> should replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX)</a> at the September rebalance.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy nearly 2 days of ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canara-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:543:1" rel="noopener">Canara Bank (CBK IN)</a> while selling over 1 day of ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canara-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:543:1" rel="noopener">Canara Bank (CBK IN)</a> is one of the best performing banking stocks while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a> has been the worst performer over the last two years.</li>
</ul>



Canara Bank (CBK IN) should replace Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN) in the NSE Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) at the September rebalance.
Passive trackers will need to buy nearly 2 days of ADV in Canara Bank (CBK IN) while selling over 1 day of ADV in Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN). 

Canara Bank (CBK IN) is one of the best performing banking stocks while Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN) has been the worst performer over the last two years.


NIFTY Bank Index Rebalance Preview: Canara Bank Still Cheap; Double Deletion for Bandhan?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Pick of the Week (PoW): POW calls delivered an astounding monthly strike rate of 92% in Mar’24.</li><li>Calls that successfully achieved their target were P I Industries Ltd (11%)</li><li>Axis Top Picks: We are proud to share that our Axis Top Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 46% in FY24, beating the benchmark Nifty 50 index (28.6% return over the same period) by a wide margin. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pick of the Week (PoW): POW calls delivered an astounding monthly strike rate of 92% in Mar’24.Calls that successfully achieved their target were P I Industries Ltd (11%)Axis Top Picks: We are proud to share that our Axis Top Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 46% in FY24, beating the benchmark Nifty 50 index (28.6% return over the same period) by a wide margin. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Research Scorecard Report for March 2024

<ul><li>AxisTop Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 46% in FY24, against the 28.6% return posted by the benchmark Nifty 50, implying a commendable outperformance of 17.5% over the benchmark.</li><li>On a YTD basis, this basket advanced by 6% vs. the Nifty returns of 2.7% for the same period.</li><li>We are extremely happy to share that our Top Picks Basket has delivered an astounding return of 263% since its inception (May’20), which stands well above the 141% return delivered by NIFTY 50 over the same period. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

AxisTop Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 46% in FY24, against the 28.6% return posted by the benchmark Nifty 50, implying a commendable outperformance of 17.5% over the benchmark.On a YTD basis, this basket advanced by 6% vs. the Nifty returns of 2.7% for the same period.We are extremely happy to share that our Top Picks Basket has delivered an astounding return of 263% since its inception (May’20), which stands well above the 141% return delivered by NIFTY 50 over the same period. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Top Picks for the Month of April 2024

India BFSI - Long-Short - Equity Research Analyst

Raj S, CA, CFA

Artoval Advisors

Art’o’val stands for Art of Valuation. Artoval Advisors LLP is a professionally run advisory firm catering to various financial advisory services including Valuation, Investment Research, Training, Accounting, CFO Services and other ancillary services.

We are passionate about what we do and strongly believe in working with our clients as their extended teams. With Artoval Advisors as their trusted partner, our clients find it easy to achieve efficiency in service delivery without compromising on quality.

True Art of Valuation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> has been the most successful bank in India over the last two decades, delivering best-in-class performance consistently; Things changed drastically with the merger with HDFC Ltd.</li>
<li>The negatives outweigh the positives in the near-term from the merger; the synergies, which are significant, are long-term in nature and hence would take time to play out.</li>
<li>We remain long-term believers, but it is a "Short" in the short-term as we expect further -20% correction in valuations</li>
</ul>



HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) has been the most successful bank in India over the last two decades, delivering best-in-class performance consistently; Things changed drastically with the merger with HDFC Ltd.
The negatives outweigh the positives in the near-term from the merger; the synergies, which are significant, are long-term in nature and hence would take time to play out.
We remain long-term believers, but it is a "Short" in the short-term as we expect further -20% correction in valuations


HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN): Initiating Coverage – Long Term Compounder; But "Short" For Now

India

Bank of Baroda owns and operates commercial banks in India.  The Group's banks provide the traditional forms of banking services, including CD's, Credit Card services and a variety of car loans, in addition to gold banking and a range of insurance services.  The Group also owns IBU International Finance Limited, an international banking company in Hong Kong.

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Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN)

Canara Bank - Radically Lower NPLs and Sharply Expanding Net Profit

Radically lower NPLs and sharply higher net profit can continue with benign credit costs, especially as Loss Loans are down a lot. ROE and ROA are...

Daniel Tabbush

NIFTY Bank Index Rebalance Preview: Canara Bank Still Cheap; Double Deletion for Bandhan?

Canara Bank should replace Bandhan Bank in the Nifty Bank Index in Sept. Canara Bank still trades cheaper than its peers. Bandhan's recent price...

Brian Freitas

Axis Research Scorecard Report for March 2024

Pick of the Week (PoW): POW calls delivered an astounding monthly strike rate of 92% in Mar’24. Calls that successfully achieved their target were...

Axis Direct

Axis Top Picks for the Month of April 2024

AxisTop Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 46% in FY24, against the 28.6% return posted by the benchmark Nifty 50, implying a commendable...

Axis Direct

HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN): Initiating Coverage – Long Term Compounder; But "Short" For Now

HDFC Bank has been the most successful bank in India for long, but things changed drastically with the merger with HDFC Ltd. The negatives outweigh...

Raj S, CA, CFA

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