Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>RBI finalized ECL-based provisioning directions effective April 1, 2027, with a four-year phase-in and minimum provisioning floors across asset classes.</li>
<li>One-Time CET-1 impact of up to 120 bps for most banks, while steady-state credit costs rise structurally particularly for lenders with large unsecured retail and SMA books.</li>
<li>PSU banks and high-unsecured-retail lenders face asymmetric pressure; large private banks with strong Stage 1 books and low SMA ratios are largely insulated but nobody is fully immune.</li>
</ul>


RBI finalized ECL-based provisioning directions effective April 1, 2027, with a four-year phase-in and minimum provisioning floors across asset classes.
One-Time CET-1 impact of up to 120 bps for most banks, while steady-state credit costs rise structurally particularly for lenders with large unsecured retail and SMA books.
PSU banks and high-unsecured-retail lenders face asymmetric pressure; large private banks with strong Stage 1 books and low SMA ratios are largely insulated but nobody is fully immune.


Thematic Report: A Structural Change in Indian Bank- ECL Based Provisioning

<ul>
<li>For the first time in 14 years, PSU banks outpaced private peers in loan growth, clocking 13.1% YoY in FY25 versus 9% for private banks.</li>
<li>PSU banks' improved CD ratios and cleaned-up balance sheets let them lend more freely as private banks hit funding constraints.</li>
<li>The market share shift may be structural, not cyclical. Investors pricing premium valuations into private banks face a rethink.</li>
</ul>


For the first time in 14 years, PSU banks outpaced private peers in loan growth, clocking 13.1% YoY in FY25 versus 9% for private banks.
PSU banks' improved CD ratios and cleaned-up balance sheets let them lend more freely as private banks hit funding constraints.
The market share shift may be structural, not cyclical. Investors pricing premium valuations into private banks face a rethink.


The Great Reversal: India's Public Sector Banks Outscore Private Rivals

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: In India, currently three pair trade opportunities persist across two sectors.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: In India, currently three pair trade opportunities persist across two sectors.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


India: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (5 Oct 2026)

Hitachi Construction Machinery / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently nine pair trade opportunities persist across three markets and four sectors.
</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently nine pair trade opportunities persist across three markets and four sectors.


Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (5 Oct 2026)

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>RBI's MPC cut 25bp as expected, but it remains behind the curve, with the real policy rate now excessively high at +5%. RBI inflation forecasts were and remain too high. </li>
<li>Food deflation is likely to be shortlived, with vegetable prices rising MoM since May'25. But all other food and non-food inflation components are moderating, and GST cuts impart further disinflation. </li>
<li>We expect inflation to be 1.8%YoY in Q4FY26 (vs RBI's 2.9%YoY forecast), 2.3% and 2.5% in Q1 and Q2FY27, so expect another 75bp reduction in repo rate by Aug'26. </li>
</ul>


RBI's MPC cut 25bp as expected, but it remains behind the curve, with the real policy rate now excessively high at +5%. RBI inflation forecasts were and remain too high. 
Food deflation is likely to be shortlived, with vegetable prices rising MoM since May'25. But all other food and non-food inflation components are moderating, and GST cuts impart further disinflation. 
We expect inflation to be 1.8%YoY in Q4FY26 (vs RBI's 2.9%YoY forecast), 2.3% and 2.5% in Q1 and Q2FY27, so expect another 75bp reduction in repo rate by Aug'26. 


India: RBI Cuts 25bp but the Real Policy Rate Is Still Too High at +5%

India

Bank of Baroda owns and operates commercial banks in India.  The Group's banks provide the traditional forms of banking services, including CD's, Credit Card services and a variety of car loans, in addition to gold banking and a range of insurance services.  The Group also owns IBU International Finance Limited, an international banking company in Hong Kong.

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Bank Of Baroda (BOB IN)

Thematic Report: A Structural Change in Indian Bank- ECL Based Provisioning

RBI's new ECL-based provisioning guidelines will impact banks differently, with PSU and high-unsecured-retail lenders facing more pressure than...

Nimish Maheshwari

The Great Reversal: India's Public Sector Banks Outscore Private Rivals

PSU banks surpass private peers in loan growth for the first time in 14 years, signaling a potential structural shift in market share.

Nimish Maheshwari

India: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (5 Oct 2026)

Discover three pair trade opportunities across two sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (5 Oct 2026)

Discover nine pair trade opportunities across three markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

India: RBI Cuts 25bp but the Real Policy Rate Is Still Too High at +5%

RBI cut rates 25bp but remains behind the curve, as its inflation forecasts were and remain too high. We expect another 75bp of rate cuts by...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Thematic Report: A Structural Change in Indian Bank- ECL Based Provisioning

​RBI's new ECL-based provisioning guidelines will impact banks differently, with PSU and high-unsecured-retail lenders facing more pressure than...

Nimish Maheshwari

The Great Reversal: India's Public Sector Banks Outscore Private Rivals

​PSU banks surpass private peers in loan growth for the first time in 14 years, signaling a potential structural shift in market share.

Nimish Maheshwari

India: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (5 Oct 2026)

​Discover three pair trade opportunities across two sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (5 Oct 2026)

​Discover nine pair trade opportunities across three markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

India: RBI Cuts 25bp but the Real Policy Rate Is Still Too High at +5%

​RBI cut rates 25bp but remains behind the curve, as its inflation forecasts were and remain too high. We expect another 75bp of rate cuts by...

Prasenjit K. Basu

RBI's new ECL-based provisioning guidelines will impact banks differently, with PSU and high-unsecured-retail lenders facing more pressure than...

PSU banks surpass private peers in loan growth for the first time in 14 years, signaling a potential structural shift in market share.

Discover three pair trade opportunities across two sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Discover nine pair trade opportunities across three markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

RBI cut rates 25bp but remains behind the curve, as its inflation forecasts were and remain too high. We expect another 75bp of rate cuts by...