Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Welcome to our weekly editorial on everything macro, where we cut through the noise and deliver contrarian takes on macroeconomics, liquidity, tradeable themes, and everything in between.</li><li>Reciprocal tariffs is a concept you’ll need to familiarize yourself with.</li><li>Despite Trump’s press conference last week being a confusing mess, lacking clarity on geographies, products, and specific tariff/VAT rates targeted in this tit-for-tat approach, the aim seems crystal clear: Trump wants a global response, and it could very well lead to globally lower tariffs and VAT rates.</li></ul>

Welcome to our weekly editorial on everything macro, where we cut through the noise and deliver contrarian takes on macroeconomics, liquidity, tradeable themes, and everything in between.Reciprocal tariffs is a concept you’ll need to familiarize yourself with.Despite Trump’s press conference last week being a confusing mess, lacking clarity on geographies, products, and specific tariff/VAT rates targeted in this tit-for-tat approach, the aim seems crystal clear: Trump wants a global response, and it could very well lead to globally lower tariffs and VAT rates.

Steno Signals #185 – Reciprocal Tariffs Are GOOD News! Here Is Why!

External broker reports, Nordea

Nordea

External broker reports

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Nordea is the bank in the Nordics dedicated to serving corporations and institutional customers. Our offering includes a diverse range of financing, cash management and payment services, investment banking, capital markets products, securities services and more. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>Trump’s trade policy is very unpredictable. Over a week ago, it was announced that Trump will introduce a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, which will be postponed for a month, and a 10% tariff on imports from China.</li><li>In the last two weeks, Trump has also talked about the EU being the next target, and the EUR has weakened against most currencies, including the NOK.</li><li>This is probably part of the explanation as to why the NOK has strengthened somewhat. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Trump’s trade policy is very unpredictable. Over a week ago, it was announced that Trump will introduce a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, which will be postponed for a month, and a 10% tariff on imports from China.In the last two weeks, Trump has also talked about the EU being the next target, and the EUR has weakened against most currencies, including the NOK.This is probably part of the explanation as to why the NOK has strengthened somewhat. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

EURNOK Update: Limited Downside in EURNOK from Here

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Dollar-bullish sentiment eased for a third week in a row though last Tuesday, the latest snapshot of FX positioning from the CFTC shows.</li><li>That’s a little surprising, considering that the data cover the period when tariff concerns had eased somewhat but were still elevated.</li><li>Non-Commercial (speculative) traders pared aggregate USD longs some USD2.5bn overall to just over USD31bn. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Dollar-bullish sentiment eased for a third week in a row though last Tuesday, the latest snapshot of FX positioning from the CFTC shows.That’s a little surprising, considering that the data cover the period when tariff concerns had eased somewhat but were still elevated.Non-Commercial (speculative) traders pared aggregate USD longs some USD2.5bn overall to just over USD31bn. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Bullish USD Sentiment Softens Further

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Welcome to our weekly editorial on everything macro, where we aim to paint a medium-term picture of liquidity, growth, and inflation—and how these factors will impact your allocation.</li>
<li>It seems The Donald has a penchant for late Friday tariff announcements, keeping markets on edge for a second consecutive Monday open.</li>
<li>This pattern is starting to take shape, though we likely need a third occurrence before drawing statistical conclusions.</li>
</ul>


Welcome to our weekly editorial on everything macro, where we aim to paint a medium-term picture of liquidity, growth, and inflation—and how these factors will impact your allocation.
It seems The Donald has a penchant for late Friday tariff announcements, keeping markets on edge for a second consecutive Monday open.
This pattern is starting to take shape, though we likely need a third occurrence before drawing statistical conclusions.


Steno Signals #184 – Here is the roadmap for the business cycle in 2025

Podcast Exploring Themes Driving Global Markets, Nomura - The Week Ahead

Nomura – The Week Ahead

Podcast Exploring Themes Driving Global Markets

Nomura - The Week Ahead

We explore the main themes that will drive global markets over the coming week, discussing the key market moving events and risks to keep on your radar.

<ul><li>Colleagues in the US made an important change to their Fed forecasts this year</li><li>Market sentiment may be jittery in February, with focus on global tech stocks and testing US Exceptionalism narrative</li><li>US Employment report at the end of the week is extra important to watch, with expectations for benign data, but potential risks and noise in the report due to factors like wildfires and updates to population estimates for the household survey.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Colleagues in the US made an important change to their Fed forecasts this yearMarket sentiment may be jittery in February, with focus on global tech stocks and testing US Exceptionalism narrativeUS Employment report at the end of the week is extra important to watch, with expectations for benign data, but potential risks and noise in the report due to factors like wildfires and updates to population estimates for the household survey.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

United States

The euro is the official currency of the European Economic & Monetary Union.  The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

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Steno Signals #185 – Reciprocal Tariffs Are GOOD News! Here Is Why!

Welcome to our weekly editorial on everything macro, where we cut through the noise and deliver contrarian takes on macroeconomics, liquidity,...

Steno Research

EURNOK Update: Limited Downside in EURNOK from Here

Trump’s trade policy is very unpredictable. Over a week ago, it was announced that Trump will introduce a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and...

Nordea

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Bullish USD Sentiment Softens Further

Dollar-bullish sentiment eased for a third week in a row though last Tuesday, the latest snapshot of FX positioning from the CFTC shows.

Scotiabank

Steno Signals #184 – Here is the roadmap for the business cycle in 2025

Welcome to our weekly editorial on everything macro, where we aim to paint a medium-term picture of liquidity, growth, and inflation—and how these...

Steno Research

The Week Ahead – Snaky Ways

Colleagues in the US made an important change to Fed forecasts, market sentiment may be jittery in February with questions about tech stocks and US...

Nomura – The Week Ahead

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