Metals, Ores, and Mining Firms, Mint Finance

Pranay Yadav

Metals, Ores, and Mining Firms

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Iron ore futures surged 5.3% last week but fell 3% on September 2nd, reflecting uncertain price sentiment.</li>
<li>Chinese portside inventories rose by 3.4 million tons, reaching a two-year high, driven by high arrivals and reduced pick-up volumes.</li>
<li>Heading into peak consumption season in China, supply headwinds may drive sentiment rather than demand tailwinds.</li>
</ul>


Iron ore futures surged 5.3% last week but fell 3% on September 2nd, reflecting uncertain price sentiment.
Chinese portside inventories rose by 3.4 million tons, reaching a two-year high, driven by high arrivals and reduced pick-up volumes.
Heading into peak consumption season in China, supply headwinds may drive sentiment rather than demand tailwinds.


[IO Fundamentals Weekly 2024/35] Supply Headwinds Pressure IO Heading Into Peak Season

<ul>
<li>Iron ore prices rebounded strongly last week and continued rising this week, reversing losses from the previous week’s 9% decline</li>
<li>Chinese portside inventories of iron ore fell by 2.48 million tons in August, signaling strong demand despite slower drawdowns in the final weeks</li>
<li>SGX Iron Ore options saw a 20.7% decline in volume last week, with a sharp increase in the put/call ratio from 1.56 to 2.35, indicating increased bearish sentiment</li>
</ul>


Iron ore prices rebounded strongly last week and continued rising this week, reversing losses from the previous week’s 9% decline
Chinese portside inventories of iron ore fell by 2.48 million tons in August, signaling strong demand despite slower drawdowns in the final weeks
SGX Iron Ore options saw a 20.7% decline in volume last week, with a sharp increase in the put/call ratio from 1.56 to 2.35, indicating increased bearish sentiment


[IO Weekly 2024/34] Iron Ore Recovers as Chinese Stockpiles Decline and Fed Signals Boost Sentiment

Managing Partner, VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

Managing Partner

Valuation & Research Specialists (VRS) is a boutique financial advisor with more than 17 years of experience in Corporate Valuation and Finance, and a diversified client base including some of the largest Companies in Greece.

Since 2002, VRS has completed more than 200 engagements in the areas of business valuation and financial analysis for more than 100 clients in a wide range of industries.

VRS has been honored to work with small and large private and publicly traded companies in Europe and overseas.

Boutique Financial Advisor

<ul><li>According to Graph 1, during the period from May 20th, 2024 to August 23th, 2024, a consistent downward trend was observed in the prices of Iron Ore Fines 62% Fe CFR Futures – (TIOc1).</li><li>The prices gradually declined throughout the period, with a few minor fluctuations. During this period, the prices fell from around 115- 120 to just below 100.</li><li>The MA-10 and MA-20 trend lines followed a similar path, closely tracking the downward movement in prices.</li></ul>

According to Graph 1, during the period from May 20th, 2024 to August 23th, 2024, a consistent downward trend was observed in the prices of Iron Ore Fines 62% Fe CFR Futures – (TIOc1).The prices gradually declined throughout the period, with a few minor fluctuations. During this period, the prices fell from around 115- 120 to just below 100.The MA-10 and MA-20 trend lines followed a similar path, closely tracking the downward movement in prices.

Commodity Analysis - Iron Ore Fines 62% Fe CFR Futures - (TIOc1)

<ul>
<li>Iron Ore Price Decline: Iron ore prices dropped 1.7% in Week 32, driven by reduced steel output and fading demand. Stimulus-driven rally failed to sustain.</li>
<li>Options Market Trends: Weekly options volume surged, with put volume increasing 106%, pushing the put/call ratio to 1.33, indicating bearish sentiment.</li>
<li>Implied Volatility Shifts: Implied volatility (IV) surged midweek, particularly for September contracts, reflecting increased market uncertainty; options skew narrowed to just 0.3% suggesting more expensive calls.</li>
</ul>


Iron Ore Price Decline: Iron ore prices dropped 1.7% in Week 32, driven by reduced steel output and fading demand. Stimulus-driven rally failed to sustain.
Options Market Trends: Weekly options volume surged, with put volume increasing 106%, pushing the put/call ratio to 1.33, indicating bearish sentiment.
Implied Volatility Shifts: Implied volatility (IV) surged midweek, particularly for September contracts, reflecting increased market uncertainty; options skew narrowed to just 0.3% suggesting more expensive calls.


[IO Weekly 2024/32] Chinese Economic Sentiment Sours, Driving Iron Ore Lower; Option Activity Surges

<ul>
<li>Iron ore prices rose 1.8% last week, maintaining levels above $100/MT due to positive sentiment from potential Chinese stimulus measures.</li>
<li>The volume put/call ratio for FEF options last week increased to 1.23, reflecting renewed put activity despite positive price action.</li>
<li>Implied volatility (IV) remained largely flat last week. Despite continued interest in put options, IV skew declined suggesting puts became relatively cheaper.</li>
</ul>


Iron ore prices rose 1.8% last week, maintaining levels above $100/MT due to positive sentiment from potential Chinese stimulus measures.
The volume put/call ratio for FEF options last week increased to 1.23, reflecting renewed put activity despite positive price action.
Implied volatility (IV) remained largely flat last week. Despite continued interest in put options, IV skew declined suggesting puts became relatively cheaper.


[Iron Options Weekly 2024/31] Small Price Recovery in Iron Ore Following China Stimulus Measures

Australia

Iron ores are rocks and minerals from which metallic iron can be economically extracted. The ores are usually rich in iron oxides and vary in color from dark grey, bright yellow, deep purple, to rusty red. The iron itself is usually found in the form of magnetite (Fe3O4, 72.4% Fe), hematite (Fe2O3, 69.9% Fe), goethite (FeO(OH), 62.9% Fe), limonite (FeO(OH).n(H2O)) or siderite (FeCO3, 48.2% Fe).

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Iron Ore (IRON ORE COMDTY)

[IO Fundamentals Weekly 2024/35] Supply Headwinds Pressure IO Heading Into Peak Season

Iron Ore portside inventories in China reach a two-year high as reduced pick-up volumes unable to match high arrivals. Demand remains mixed as...

Mint Finance

[IO Weekly 2024/34] Iron Ore Recovers as Chinese Stockpiles Decline and Fed Signals Boost Sentiment

Iron ore staged a strong recovery over the past week, reversing the sharp decline in week 32. Reduced Chinese stockpiles and optimistic sentiment...

Mint Finance

Commodity Analysis - Iron Ore Fines 62% Fe CFR Futures - (TIOc1)

According to Graph 1, during the period from May 20th, 2024 to August 23th, 2024, a consistent downward trend was observed in the prices of Iron...

VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

[IO Weekly 2024/32] Chinese Economic Sentiment Sours, Driving Iron Ore Lower; Option Activity Surges

Week 32 saw iron ore prices drop amid weakening Chinese steel demand, while options market activity surged, particularly in puts, signaling bearish...

Mint Finance

[Iron Options Weekly 2024/31] Small Price Recovery in Iron Ore Following China Stimulus Measures

Iron ore prices experienced a modest recovery, buoyed by anticipated Chinese stimulus. However, options markets suggest put activity remains...

Mint Finance

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