Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In early August 2025, there was an article in Bloomberg suggesting <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yomeishu-seizo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6904:1" rel="noopener">Yomeishu Seizo (2540 JP)</a> was considering going private. The company confirmed it was considering various corporate value enhancement measures.</li>
<li>In early October the firm lowered guidance. On 30 December 2025 pre-open, there was an article suggesting KKR had won preferred negotiating rights for a January TOB. The stock popped. </li>
<li>Post- close, the company said that lead shareholder Yuzawa had no intention of selling, but was interested in a privatisation at a price higher than KKR's below-market bid. We wait.</li>
</ul>


In early August 2025, there was an article in Bloomberg suggesting Yomeishu Seizo (2540 JP) was considering going private. The company confirmed it was considering various corporate value enhancement measures.
In early October the firm lowered guidance. On 30 December 2025 pre-open, there was an article suggesting KKR had won preferred negotiating rights for a January TOB. The stock popped. 
Post- close, the company said that lead shareholder Yuzawa had no intention of selling, but was interested in a privatisation at a price higher than KKR's below-market bid. We wait.


[Japan M&A] Asset-Rich Earnings-Poor Yomeishu Seizo (2540) - Falling Back To Earth

<ul>
<li>Several Japanese companies jumped onto the OBaaBM/TABaaBM (Own/Talk-About-Bitcoin-as-a-Business Model) last fall to this spring as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microstrategy-inc-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14717:1" rel="noopener">Microstrategy Inc Cl A (MSTR US)</a> shares went up and bitcoin did too. </li>
<li>Yesterday, resin coating/injection molding product maker <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ikuyo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6780:1" rel="noopener">Ikuyo Co Ltd (7273 JP)</a> announced an M&amp;A Policy, and a Shareholder Benefits Program where shareholders will "win" amounts of bitcoin by lottery.  </li>
<li>Ikuyo expects revenues +955% this year. Details are sparse. The shareholder structure has red flags. The CEO sold himself half the company in Feb for peanuts. Forewarned. But it's interesting.</li>
</ul>


Several Japanese companies jumped onto the OBaaBM/TABaaBM (Own/Talk-About-Bitcoin-as-a-Business Model) last fall to this spring as Microstrategy Inc Cl A (MSTR US) shares went up and bitcoin did too. 
Yesterday, resin coating/injection molding product maker Ikuyo Co Ltd (7273 JP) announced an M&amp;A Policy, and a Shareholder Benefits Program where shareholders will "win" amounts of bitcoin by lottery.  
Ikuyo expects revenues +955% this year. Details are sparse. The shareholder structure has red flags. The CEO sold himself half the company in Feb for peanuts. Forewarned. But it's interesting.


[Japan LolWut?] Ikuyo (7273) Says "Iku Yo!" - Bitcoin, M&A, Weirdness, More

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alimentation-couche-tard-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25103:1" rel="noopener">Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN)</a> walks away from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>, and accuses 7&amp;i's Board, management, and the Special Committee of bad faith and bad governance.</li>
<li>Buy <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krungthai-card-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20097:1" rel="noopener">Krungthai Card (KTC TB)</a> with both hands as pledged sharesfall to 3.5% of shares outstanding from 16.3% the previous month.</li>
<li>If you have borrow on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gmo-internet-inc-919fd60b-ad2a-4c5f-b333-167a849b67b0" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9029:1" rel="noopener">GMO Internet (4784 JP)</a>, use it. Otherwise, avoid like the plague. It would not be surprising if the TSE were to ding someone on manipulation. </li>
</ul>



Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN) walks away from Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP), and accuses 7&amp;i's Board, management, and the Special Committee of bad faith and bad governance.
Buy Krungthai Card (KTC TB) with both hands as pledged sharesfall to 3.5% of shares outstanding from 16.3% the previous month.
If you have borrow on GMO Internet (4784 JP), use it. Otherwise, avoid like the plague. It would not be surprising if the TSE were to ding someone on manipulation. 


Last Week In Event SPACE: Seven & I, Krungthai Card, GMO Internet, Jardine Matheson

<ul>
<li>Today, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsui-matsushima-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13569:1" rel="noopener">Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP)</a> announced the results of its Buyback Tender Offer to repurchase up to 3,999,999 shares (35.8% of shares out ex-Treasury) at ¥5,000/share. </li>
<li>Murakami-San owned 42% of the voting rights at announcement, then bought more on the dip just below ¥5,000/share. </li>
<li>The Tender Offer Buyback was "successful" in that it bought back 3.3mm shares. But the result was FAR more interesting than I expected. Surprising Results with Surprising Implications</li>
</ul>


Today, Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP) announced the results of its Buyback Tender Offer to repurchase up to 3,999,999 shares (35.8% of shares out ex-Treasury) at ¥5,000/share. 
Murakami-San owned 42% of the voting rights at announcement, then bought more on the dip just below ¥5,000/share. 
The Tender Offer Buyback was "successful" in that it bought back 3.3mm shares. But the result was FAR more interesting than I expected. Surprising Results with Surprising Implications


[Japan Activism] Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP) Buyback Tender - Surprising Results and Implications

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taishin-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:715:1" rel="noopener">Taishin Financial (2887 TT)</a> is cheap to peers. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shin-kong-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15351:1" rel="noopener">Shin Kong Financial (2888 TT)</a> is cheap vs Taishin. Long Shin Kong. Long Taishin vs Peers. Long Shin Kong vs Taishin Peers.</li>
<li>Abu Dhabi makes a big, bold bet on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/santos-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:711:1" rel="noopener">Santos Ltd (STO AU)</a>. However FIRB will have the last word on whether the deal goes through. </li>
<li>If the results show NTT owns &gt;80% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-data-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11232:1" rel="noopener">NTT Data (9613 JP)</a>, buy a lot for a potential squeeze. If the results show NTT owns 68-70%, you can probably ignore. </li>
</ul>



Taishin Financial (2887 TT) is cheap to peers. Shin Kong Financial (2888 TT) is cheap vs Taishin. Long Shin Kong. Long Taishin vs Peers. Long Shin Kong vs Taishin Peers.
Abu Dhabi makes a big, bold bet on Santos Ltd (STO AU). However FIRB will have the last word on whether the deal goes through. 
If the results show NTT owns &gt;80% of NTT Data (9613 JP), buy a lot for a potential squeeze. If the results show NTT owns 68-70%, you can probably ignore. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Shin Kong/Taishin, Santos, NTT Data, ENN Energy, Mitsui Matsushima

Japan

Mitsui Matsushima Co., Ltd. sells coal primarily in the Kyushu region.  The Company also produces construction machinery, cement, and building materials. Mitsui Matsushima operates supermarkets and real estate business as well.

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Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP)

[Japan M&A] Asset-Rich Earnings-Poor Yomeishu Seizo (2540) - Falling Back To Earth

An activist-connected shareholder bought out Taisho Pharma's stake in Yomeishu Seizo, which launched an auction. KKR "won". The large activist...

Travis Lundy

[Japan LolWut?] Ikuyo (7273) Says "Iku Yo!" - Bitcoin, M&A, Weirdness, More

Ikuyo (7273) rallied after I wrote, briefly reaching ¥1,000+ but last Friday the stock fell very sharply when it they announced that the seller of...

Travis Lundy

Last Week In Event SPACE: Seven & I, Krungthai Card, GMO Internet, Jardine Matheson

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

[Japan Activism] Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP) Buyback Tender - Surprising Results and Implications

The Tender Offer Buyback for Mitsui Matsushima had somewhat surprising results. This changes the nature of the back end. I had expected overhang....

Travis Lundy

Last Week in Event SPACE: Shin Kong/Taishin, Santos, NTT Data, ENN Energy, Mitsui Matsushima

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

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