IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Murakami's entities, City Index Eleventh and City Index Third, reported a 5.05% position in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/piolax-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7637:1" rel="noopener">Piolax Inc (5988 JP)</a>. The purchases were from 11 June to 6 August over 60 days.</li>
<li>Murakami's average buy-in price over the last 60 days was JPY2,286.61 per share, a 0.7% discount to the last close price.</li>
<li>Murakami's disclosure suggests two possibilities: the start of an activist campaign or a short-term pump-and-dump play. The former is likely as Piolax is cash-rich with a P/B less than 1x.</li>
</ul>


Murakami's entities, City Index Eleventh and City Index Third, reported a 5.05% position in Piolax Inc (5988 JP). The purchases were from 11 June to 6 August over 60 days.
Murakami's average buy-in price over the last 60 days was JPY2,286.61 per share, a 0.7% discount to the last close price.
Murakami's disclosure suggests two possibilities: the start of an activist campaign or a short-term pump-and-dump play. The former is likely as Piolax is cash-rich with a P/B less than 1x.


Piolax (5988 JP): Murakami Becomes a Substantial Shareholder

<ul>
<li>Murakami's entity, City Index Eleventh, and daughter <a href="https://disclosure2dl.edinet-fsa.go.jp/searchdocument/pdf/S100U45I.pdf?sv=2020-08-04&amp;st=2024-07-29T08%3A22%3A26Z&amp;se=2029-07-30T15%3A00%3A00Z&amp;sr=b&amp;sp=rl&amp;sig=X40vp7lhAgBEyEZOwezOlfvKZ1e%2FyjZkQLMnZs1gx%2FI%3D" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reported</a> a 5.05% position in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/heiwa-real-estate-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:749:1" rel="noopener">Heiwa Real Estate (8803 JP)</a>. The shares were purchased from 24 May to 22 July.</li>
<li>Murakami's average buy-in price is JPY3,907.38, a 6.7% discount to the last close price. Recently, Simplex (the previous largest shareholder) sold its entire stake to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taisei-co-ltd-aichi" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3079:1" rel="noopener">Taisei Co Ltd (4649 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Murakami's disclosure suggests two possibilities: the start of an activist campaign or a short-term pump-and-dump play. Recent precedents indicate the latter.</li>
</ul>


Murakami's entity, City Index Eleventh, and daughter reported a 5.05% position in Heiwa Real Estate (8803 JP). The shares were purchased from 24 May to 22 July.
Murakami's average buy-in price is JPY3,907.38, a 6.7% discount to the last close price. Recently, Simplex (the previous largest shareholder) sold its entire stake to Taisei Co Ltd (4649 JP).
Murakami's disclosure suggests two possibilities: the start of an activist campaign or a short-term pump-and-dump play. Recent precedents indicate the latter.


Heiwa Real Estate (8803 JP): Murakami Becomes a Substantial Shareholder

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>It's just a question of when, not if, the bubble bursts for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-barito-renewables-energy-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40150:1" rel="noopener">Barito Renewables Energy (BREN IJ)</a>, which is up 1,200% since it October 2023 IPO. </li>
<li>A Reuters article suggests a ¥500bn secondary offering for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/honda-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:154:1" rel="noopener">Honda Motor (7267 JP)</a>. Honda has since said there is smoke. And we can assume there is fire.</li>
<li>Loo Choon Yong, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/raffles-medical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:879:1" rel="noopener">Raffles Medical Group (RFMD SP)</a>'s founder and major shareholder, continues to chip away at minorities, and now holds 54.944%,</li>
</ul>


It's just a question of when, not if, the bubble bursts for Barito Renewables Energy (BREN IJ), which is up 1,200% since it October 2023 IPO. 
A Reuters article suggests a ¥500bn secondary offering for Honda Motor (7267 JP). Honda has since said there is smoke. And we can assume there is fire.
Loo Choon Yong, Raffles Medical Group (RFMD SP)'s founder and major shareholder, continues to chip away at minorities, and now holds 54.944%,


Last Week in Event SPACE: Barito Renewables, Honda, Raffles Medical, Daidoh, Hanwha Corp

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>On 20 May, I wrote that Japanese activist MURAKAMI Yoshiaki and relations/affiliates had gone from 5% to 20% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsui-matsushima-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13569:1" rel="noopener">Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP)</a> in 5 trading days.</li>
<li>I wondered if it was real, or a pump &amp; dump, but they went to near 30% in following days. THEN they drifted off as Murakami-Fille sold while Murakami-Père bought. </li>
<li>The reasoning was not clear, but the story had real potential. Still does. Today, shareholders got more good news. </li>
</ul>


On 20 May, I wrote that Japanese activist MURAKAMI Yoshiaki and relations/affiliates had gone from 5% to 20% of Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP) in 5 trading days.
I wondered if it was real, or a pump &amp; dump, but they went to near 30% in following days. THEN they drifted off as Murakami-Fille sold while Murakami-Père bought. 
The reasoning was not clear, but the story had real potential. Still does. Today, shareholders got more good news. 


JAPAN ACTIVISM: Murakami Target Mitsui Matsushima Cleans Up

<ul>
<li>Murakami's entity, City Index Eleventh, and daughter reported a 5.46% position in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exedy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6516:1" rel="noopener">Exedy Corp (7278 JP)</a>. The shares purchases began two days after the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aisin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11809:1" rel="noopener">Aisin (7259 JP)</a> secondary offering.</li>
<li>Murakami's average buy-in price is JPY2,607.30 per share, 2.3% higher than the recent secondary offering price of JPY2,549.</li>
<li>Murakami's disclosure suggests two possibilities: the start of an activist campaign or a short-term pump-and-dump play. Recent precedents suggest the latter.</li>
</ul>


Murakami's entity, City Index Eleventh, and daughter reported a 5.46% position in Exedy Corp (7278 JP). The shares purchases began two days after the Aisin (7259 JP) secondary offering.
Murakami's average buy-in price is JPY2,607.30 per share, 2.3% higher than the recent secondary offering price of JPY2,549.
Murakami's disclosure suggests two possibilities: the start of an activist campaign or a short-term pump-and-dump play. Recent precedents suggest the latter.


Exedy Corp (7278 JP): Murakami Becomes a Substantial Shareholder

Japan

Mitsui Matsushima Co., Ltd. sells coal primarily in the Kyushu region.  The Company also produces construction machinery, cement, and building materials. Mitsui Matsushima operates supermarkets and real estate business as well.

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Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP)

Piolax (5988 JP): Murakami Becomes a Substantial Shareholder

Murakami's disclosure suggests two possibilities: the start of an activist campaign or a short-term pump-and-dump play. The former is likely as...

Arun George

Heiwa Real Estate (8803 JP): Murakami Becomes a Substantial Shareholder

Murakami's disclosure suggests two possibilities: the start of an activist campaign or a short-term pump-and-dump play. Recent precedents indicate...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Barito Renewables, Honda, Raffles Medical, Daidoh, Hanwha Corp

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

JAPAN ACTIVISM: Murakami Target Mitsui Matsushima Cleans Up

Mitsui Matsushima today announced that it had agreed to sell its rights to the residual Liddell Mine asset with provision. That is a boost to BVPS...

Travis Lundy

Exedy Corp (7278 JP): Murakami Becomes a Substantial Shareholder

Murakami's disclosure suggests two possibilities: the start of an activist campaign or a short-term pump-and-dump play. Recent precedents suggest...

Arun George

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