Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors, The Circuit

The Circuit

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors

A Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors. With Jay Goldberg and Ben Bajarin

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Nvidia's stock has underperformed this year due to intense scrutiny and high expectations</li><li>Despite strong fundamentals, it is difficult for Nvidia to surprise investors and move the stock price</li><li>Potential for upside lies in Blackwell demand and upcoming announcements, but meaningful surprises may be limited due to the company's high level of scrutiny and public knowledge</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Nvidia's stock has underperformed this year due to intense scrutiny and high expectationsDespite strong fundamentals, it is difficult for Nvidia to surprise investors and move the stock pricePotential for upside lies in Blackwell demand and upcoming announcements, but meaningful surprises may be limited due to the company's high level of scrutiny and public knowledgeThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Episode 107: NVIDIA Earnings and Peak Nvidia? (Sentiment Wise)

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

<ul>
<li>CEO is clearly saying that demand is growing faster than expected and has visibility into 2025-26 revenues (we have a fairly good line of sight of investment in data centers)</li>
<li>Models are getting better and using up to 100x more computing power (ie chain of thought and reinforcement learning). The AI market is today Consumer, tomorrow Agentic, later on Physical.  </li>
<li>The stock is not expensive at 30x FY26 EPS and 24x FY27 EPS. Get over it.</li>
</ul>


CEO is clearly saying that demand is growing faster than expected and has visibility into 2025-26 revenues (we have a fairly good line of sight of investment in data centers)
Models are getting better and using up to 100x more computing power (ie chain of thought and reinforcement learning). The AI market is today Consumer, tomorrow Agentic, later on Physical.  
The stock is not expensive at 30x FY26 EPS and 24x FY27 EPS. Get over it.


Nvidia: Jan-25 Beat, Apr-25 Beat, Blackwell Demand Is “extraordinary“, Gross Margins Will Improve

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> will release its earnings at the end of today's US session. This insight offers a quick view of possible support and resistance for derivatives traders.</li>
<li>The stock is currently mildly oversold, aroud 50% probability of reversal according to our quantitative PRICE model and about 78% probability of reversal according to our quantitative TIME model.</li>
<li>
WEEKLY TACTICAL TARGETS: buy below 125 (with room to go to 92 if the earnings are disappointing) and sell above 147 (the limit should be 161). </li>
</ul>



NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) will release its earnings at the end of today's US session. This insight offers a quick view of possible support and resistance for derivatives traders.
The stock is currently mildly oversold, aroud 50% probability of reversal according to our quantitative PRICE model and about 78% probability of reversal according to our quantitative TIME model.

WEEKLY TACTICAL TARGETS: buy below 125 (with room to go to 92 if the earnings are disappointing) and sell above 147 (the limit should be 161). 


NVIDIA (NVDA US) Support and Resistance Targets Post-Earnings

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>Lite On Signals for Continued Strength in Cloud/AIOT Ahead of Upcoming Nvidia Results</li>
<li>Lite On's 1Q25E Outlook Was Positive and Did Not Indicate A Near-Term Slowdown</li>
<li>Industry Take-Aways -- Still No Signs of Acceleration on PC/Consumer... However Signals Cloud/AIoT Demand Healthy</li>
</ul>


Lite On Signals for Continued Strength in Cloud/AIOT Ahead of Upcoming Nvidia Results
Lite On's 1Q25E Outlook Was Positive and Did Not Indicate A Near-Term Slowdown
Industry Take-Aways -- Still No Signs of Acceleration on PC/Consumer... However Signals Cloud/AIoT Demand Healthy


LITE ON Comments Signal Continued Strength in Cloud/AIOT Ahead of Upcoming Nvidia Results

Independent in-depth research from Finimize, Finimize

Finimize Research

Independent in-depth research from Finimize

Finimize

Finimize is the #1 information platform for modern investors. We empower people to become smarter investors with bitesize insights from world-class analysts. 1 million+ strong community, 250 partners.

<ul>
<li>Nvidia has been the unrivaled darling of the AI boom, establishing itself as a portfolio must-have, and is now the second-most valuable company in the world. </li>
<li>Wafer-Thin AI chips are the company’s biggest earnings driver, but Nvidia is growing in other high-margin segments too, including software, gaming, and automotive.</li>
<li>Here’s what makes this company important, what to expect next from the tech giant, and – most interestingly – what Nvidia’s stock is really worth.</li>
</ul>


Nvidia has been the unrivaled darling of the AI boom, establishing itself as a portfolio must-have, and is now the second-most valuable company in the world. 
Wafer-Thin AI chips are the company’s biggest earnings driver, but Nvidia is growing in other high-margin segments too, including software, gaming, and automotive.
Here’s what makes this company important, what to expect next from the tech giant, and – most interestingly – what Nvidia’s stock is really worth.


Here’s What Nvidia Is Really Worth, And What To Know Ahead Of Earnings

United States

NVIDIA Corporation designs, develops, and markets three dimensional (3D) graphics processors and related software.  The Company's products provide interactive 3D graphics to the mainstream personal computer market.

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NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)

Episode 107: NVIDIA Earnings and Peak Nvidia? (Sentiment Wise)

In summary, Nvidia has faced scrutiny and underperformance in the market, with investors looking for surprises and upside potential in order for...

The Circuit

Nvidia: Jan-25 Beat, Apr-25 Beat, Blackwell Demand Is “extraordinary“, Gross Margins Will Improve

CEO anticipates strong demand growth with significant investments in data centers. AI models are improving with increased computing power. Stock...

Nicolas Baratte

NVIDIA (NVDA US) Support and Resistance Targets Post-Earnings

NVIDIA Corp will release earnings today with insights on support/resistance for derivatives traders. Stock mildly oversold, tactical targets: buy...

Nico Rosti

LITE ON Comments Signal Continued Strength in Cloud/AIOT Ahead of Upcoming Nvidia Results

Lite On shows strong signals for continued growth in Cloud/AIOT, with positive outlook for 1Q25E and healthy demand in the sector. No signs of...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Here’s What Nvidia Is Really Worth, And What To Know Ahead Of Earnings

Nvidia has been the unrivaled darling of the AI boom. Here’s what makes this company important, what to expect next from the tech giant, and – most...

Finimize Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Episode 107: NVIDIA Earnings and Peak Nvidia? (Sentiment Wise)

In summary, Nvidia has faced scrutiny and underperformance in the market, with investors looking for surprises and upside potential in order for...

The Circuit

Nvidia: Jan-25 Beat, Apr-25 Beat, Blackwell Demand Is “extraordinary“, Gross Margins Will Improve

​CEO anticipates strong demand growth with significant investments in data centers. AI models are improving with increased computing power. Stock...

Nicolas Baratte

NVIDIA (NVDA US) Support and Resistance Targets Post-Earnings

​NVIDIA Corp will release earnings today with insights on support/resistance for derivatives traders. Stock mildly oversold, tactical targets: buy...

Nico Rosti

LITE ON Comments Signal Continued Strength in Cloud/AIOT Ahead of Upcoming Nvidia Results

​Lite On shows strong signals for continued growth in Cloud/AIOT, with positive outlook for 1Q25E and healthy demand in the sector. No signs of...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Here’s What Nvidia Is Really Worth, And What To Know Ahead Of Earnings

Nvidia has been the unrivaled darling of the AI boom. Here’s what makes this company important, what to expect next from the tech giant, and – most...

Finimize Research

CEO anticipates strong demand growth with significant investments in data centers. AI models are improving with increased computing power. Stock...

NVIDIA Corp will release earnings today with insights on support/resistance for derivatives traders. Stock mildly oversold, tactical targets: buy...

Lite On shows strong signals for continued growth in Cloud/AIOT, with positive outlook for 1Q25E and healthy demand in the sector. No signs of...