Market Strategist, RW Advisory

Ron William

Market Strategist

RW Advisory

RW Advisory, founded by Ron William, a market strategist with 20+ years of experience, offers macro/tactical research and advisory to a wide range of financial institutions.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Surface Strength, Underlying Fragility: Despite record highs in U.S. equities, narrow market breadth, inter-market divergences, and macro-cycle pressures signal growing instability beneath the surface.</li>
<li>Rising Tail Risks: Geopolitical tensions (e.g., fragile Iran-Israel ceasefire) and shifting U.S. trade policy (potential 70% tariffs) threaten to disrupt market momentum and trigger volatility.</li>
<li>Prepare for Inflection: Timing models and liquidity indicators point to a Q3 turning point; investors should rebalance toward quality, raise cash, and deploy tactical hedges ahead of possible late-year turbulence.</li>
</ul>


Surface Strength, Underlying Fragility: Despite record highs in U.S. equities, narrow market breadth, inter-market divergences, and macro-cycle pressures signal growing instability beneath the surface.
Rising Tail Risks: Geopolitical tensions (e.g., fragile Iran-Israel ceasefire) and shifting U.S. trade policy (potential 70% tariffs) threaten to disrupt market momentum and trigger volatility.
Prepare for Inflection: Timing models and liquidity indicators point to a Q3 turning point; investors should rebalance toward quality, raise cash, and deploy tactical hedges ahead of possible late-year turbulence.


US Equities Hit All-Time Highs—but Are Markets Ignoring Growing Risks?

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>
Context: Central Bank rate decisions, index changes and political events can move markets and affect volatility. Exchange holidays and option expiration schedules might influence liquidity on these days.</li>
<li>
Highlights: The week of July 7 to July 11 is packed with the expiration of the pause on reciprocal tariffs, two Central Bank decisions, and options expiries.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Plan ahead and take into account known market events when making investment and trading decision.</li>
</ul>



Context: Central Bank rate decisions, index changes and political events can move markets and affect volatility. Exchange holidays and option expiration schedules might influence liquidity on these days.

Highlights: The week of July 7 to July 11 is packed with the expiration of the pause on reciprocal tariffs, two Central Bank decisions, and options expiries.

Why Read: Plan ahead and take into account known market events when making investment and trading decision.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>Our near-term bullish outlook will remain in place long as the S&amp;P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) are above their 20-day MAs.</li>
<li>Short-Term SPX support is at 6028-6059 and the 20-day MA, with additional supports at 5804-5854 and 5700-5785. Russell 2000 (IWM) and S&amp;P Mid Caps (IJH) also breaking above key resistances</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
Our near-term bullish outlook will remain in place long as the S&amp;P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) are above their 20-day MAs.
Short-Term SPX support is at 6028-6059 and the 20-day MA, with additional supports at 5804-5854 and 5700-5785. Russell 2000 (IWM) and S&amp;P Mid Caps (IJH) also breaking above key resistances


Blue Sky Territory; Bullish Outlook Intact; Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 Breaking to All-Time Highs

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The WTR Sustainable Index was up 2.7% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (up 3.4%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 3.0%), and the Nasdaq Index (up 4.2%).</li><li>Energy Technology (13.1% of the index) was up 4.8%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (48.2% of the index) was up 3.8%, ClimateTech Mining was up 1.4%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (20.8% of the index) was up 2.7%.</li><li>Top 10 Performers: QS, HYSR, AEVA, EFOI, COMM, WAVE, FTEK, AYRO, ENVX, AMSC</li></ul>

The WTR Sustainable Index was up 2.7% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (up 3.4%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 3.0%), and the Nasdaq Index (up 4.2%).Energy Technology (13.1% of the index) was up 4.8%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (48.2% of the index) was up 3.8%, ClimateTech Mining was up 1.4%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (20.8% of the index) was up 2.7%.Top 10 Performers: QS, HYSR, AEVA, EFOI, COMM, WAVE, FTEK, AYRO, ENVX, AMSC

Sustainable Investing Surveyor - Focus on AMRC

HarmoniQ Insights

William Mann

Independent Insight Provider

At HarmoniQ Insights, we empower investors to enhance their investment strategies by integrating cutting-edge quantitative research processes and technologies. Our solutions provide access to leading quantitative data providers and services, tailored to align with each client’s unique goals. By bridging the gap between traditional investment approaches and advanced data-driven methods, we help clients gain a competitive edge through innovation in both process and technology.

<ul><li>Introduction of David as a special guest and first client of Harmonic Insights</li><li>Discussion on market dynamics, including non-US equities, Bitcoin, and gold</li><li>Focus on oil's volatility, with a 9% drop in the last five days and recent events impacting Bitcoin</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Introduction of David as a special guest and first client of Harmonic InsightsDiscussion on market dynamics, including non-US equities, Bitcoin, and goldFocus on oil's volatility, with a 9% drop in the last five days and recent events impacting BitcoinThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

"The Data Bottleneck in Quant Finance — and How to Break It" With David Forino, CTO of Quanted

United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

US Equities Hit All-Time Highs—but Are Markets Ignoring Growing Risks?

Markets are soaring, but risks are rising. This must-read report reveals hidden cracks, key timing signals, and strategies to protect gains ahead...

Ron William

The Month Ahead: Key Events in July 2025

Market volatility can be influenced by Central Bank decisions, index changes, and political events. Plan ahead for investment and trading decisions.

Gaudenz Schneider

Blue Sky Territory; Bullish Outlook Intact; Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 Breaking to All-Time Highs

Blue Sky Territory; Bullish Outlook Intact; $QQQ and $SPX Breaking to All-Time Highs; Russell 2000 $IWM and Mid Caps $IJH also breaking above...

Vermilion Research

Sustainable Investing Surveyor - Focus on AMRC

The WTR Sustainable Index was up 2.7% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (up 3.4%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 3.0%), and the Nasdaq Index (up 4.2%).

Water Tower Research

"The Data Bottleneck in Quant Finance — and How to Break It" With David Forino, CTO of Quanted

Harmonic Insights discusses market journey with special guest, highlighting recent news, significant market moves, and market dynamics, emphasizing...

William Mann

US Equities Hit All-Time Highs—but Are Markets Ignoring Growing Risks?

Markets are soaring, but risks are rising. This must-read report reveals hidden cracks, key timing signals, and strategies to protect gains ahead...

Ron William

The Month Ahead: Key Events in July 2025

​Market volatility can be influenced by Central Bank decisions, index changes, and political events. Plan ahead for investment and trading decisions.

Gaudenz Schneider

Blue Sky Territory; Bullish Outlook Intact; Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 Breaking to All-Time Highs

Blue Sky Territory; Bullish Outlook Intact; $QQQ and $SPX Breaking to All-Time Highs; Russell 2000 $IWM and Mid Caps $IJH also breaking above...

Vermilion Research

Sustainable Investing Surveyor - Focus on AMRC

The WTR Sustainable Index was up 2.7% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (up 3.4%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 3.0%), and the Nasdaq Index (up 4.2%).

Water Tower Research

"The Data Bottleneck in Quant Finance — and How to Break It" With David Forino, CTO of Quanted

Harmonic Insights discusses market journey with special guest, highlighting recent news, significant market moves, and market dynamics, emphasizing...

William Mann

Market volatility can be influenced by Central Bank decisions, index changes, and political events. Plan ahead for investment and trading decisions.