Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Current gains echo past moves that required lengthy consolidation, suggesting risk management is prudent.</li>
<li>Volatility trends remain middling, but skew steepness points to cost-effective downside structures.</li>
<li>Rally momentum slows as Kospi reaches levels where past reversals have occurred versus SPX.</li>
</ul>


Current gains echo past moves that required lengthy consolidation, suggesting risk management is prudent.
Volatility trends remain middling, but skew steepness points to cost-effective downside structures.
Rally momentum slows as Kospi reaches levels where past reversals have occurred versus SPX.


<ul>
<li>HSI tested new highs before fading, as weak breadth and strong option volumes highlighted diverging signals in Hong Kong equities.</li>
<li>Technically, HSI may have reached a level from which minor corrections have started.</li>
<li>Option trading activity surged, reaching its busiest day since November, even as overall market momentum faltered.</li>
</ul>


HSI tested new highs before fading, as weak breadth and strong option volumes highlighted diverging signals in Hong Kong equities.
Technically, HSI may have reached a level from which minor corrections have started.
Option trading activity surged, reaching its busiest day since November, even as overall market momentum faltered.


Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Sept 15 – 19): Caution Signs Emerge as HSI Stretches Higher

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 3 constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)</a> in September. There are capping changes for the Select Sector indices and the Equal Weight Index too.</li>
<li>The round-trip trade is US$19.6bn with a big chunk from the Equal Weight Index, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technology-select-sector-spdr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27543:1" rel="noopener">Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/communication-services-select-sector-spdr-fund" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27534:1" rel="noopener">Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLC US)</a>. </li>
<li>The largest flows are expected in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applovin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32989:1" rel="noopener">AppLovin (APP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robinhood-markets-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33532:1" rel="noopener">Robinhood Markets (HOOD)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trade-desk-inc-the" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26467:1" rel="noopener">Trade Desk (TTD)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA (NVDA)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alphabet-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33361:1" rel="noopener">Alphabet (GOOGL)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microsoft-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15273:1" rel="noopener">Microsoft (MSFT US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exxon-mobil-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:811:1" rel="noopener">Exxon Mobil (XOM)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chevron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11091:1" rel="noopener">Chevron (CVX)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 constituent changes for the S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX) in September. There are capping changes for the Select Sector indices and the Equal Weight Index too.
The round-trip trade is US$19.6bn with a big chunk from the Equal Weight Index, Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US) and Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLC US). 
The largest flows are expected in AppLovin (APP), Robinhood Markets (HOOD), Trade Desk (TTD), NVIDIA (NVDA), Apple (AAPL), Alphabet (GOOGL), Microsoft (MSFT US), Exxon Mobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX).


Select Sector Indices and S&P Equal Weight Rebalance: Changes to Drive US$19.6bn Flow

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Last week, the WTR Sustainable Index was down 0.4% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (up 0.3%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 1.0%), and the Nasdaq Index (up 1.0%).</li><li>Energy Technology (42% of the index) was up 1.4%, while Transportation Solutions (33% of the index) was down 1.8%, Climate Tech and Clean Tech (18% of the index) was down 0.6%, and Climate Tech Mining and Processing (7% of the index) was down 3.7%.</li><li>Top 10 Performers: WNDW, POLA, STTDF, ALLIF, LOOP, RAIN, IONR, ZTEK, AWLIF, AKCCF</li></ul>

Last week, the WTR Sustainable Index was down 0.4% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (up 0.3%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 1.0%), and the Nasdaq Index (up 1.0%).Energy Technology (42% of the index) was up 1.4%, while Transportation Solutions (33% of the index) was down 1.8%, Climate Tech and Clean Tech (18% of the index) was down 0.6%, and Climate Tech Mining and Processing (7% of the index) was down 3.7%.Top 10 Performers: WNDW, POLA, STTDF, ALLIF, LOOP, RAIN, IONR, ZTEK, AWLIF, AKCCF

Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on Eco Wave Power (WAVE) - September 8, 2025

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

<ul><li>The SET Index is expected to remain volatile today, with resistance at 1,273/1,284 points and support at 1,260/1,250 points.</li><li>Domestically, sentiment has turned positive after parliament approved Anutin Charnvirakul as the new Prime Minister, helping restore investor confidence.</li><li>The next step is royal endorsement, followed by the appointment of the new Cabinet.</li></ul>

The SET Index is expected to remain volatile today, with resistance at 1,273/1,284 points and support at 1,260/1,250 points.Domestically, sentiment has turned positive after parliament approved Anutin Charnvirakul as the new Prime Minister, helping restore investor confidence.The next step is royal endorsement, followed by the appointment of the new Cabinet.

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. September 8, 2025

United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

Kospi 200: Rally Echoes Pandemic Rebound

Prudent risk management is advised as current gains mirror past moves with lengthy consolidation, while volatility trends suggest cost-effective...

John Ley

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Sept 15 – 19): Caution Signs Emerge as HSI Stretches Higher

HSI tested fresh highs before fading, with weakening breadth and a surge in single stock option activity pointing to diverging signals across Hong...

John Ley

Select Sector Indices and S&P Equal Weight Rebalance: Changes to Drive US$19.6bn Flow

Constituent changes to the S&P500 Index and capping changes result in a round-trip trade of US$19.6bn. AppLovin, Robinhood and Emcor will have more...

Brian Freitas

Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on Eco Wave Power (WAVE) - September 8, 2025

Last week, the WTR Sustainable Index was down 0.4% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (up 0.3%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 1.0%), and the Nasdaq Index...

Water Tower Research

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. September 8, 2025

Domestically, sentiment has turned positive after parliament approved Anutin Charnvirakul as the new Prime Minister, helping restore investor...

Krungthai XSpring

Kospi 200: Rally Echoes Pandemic Rebound

​Prudent risk management is advised as current gains mirror past moves with lengthy consolidation, while volatility trends suggest cost-effective...

John Ley

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Sept 15 – 19): Caution Signs Emerge as HSI Stretches Higher

HSI tested fresh highs before fading, with weakening breadth and a surge in single stock option activity pointing to diverging signals across Hong...

John Ley

Select Sector Indices and S&P Equal Weight Rebalance: Changes to Drive US$19.6bn Flow

Constituent changes to the S&P500 Index and capping changes result in a round-trip trade of US$19.6bn. AppLovin, Robinhood and Emcor will have more...

Brian Freitas

Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on Eco Wave Power (WAVE) - September 8, 2025

Last week, the WTR Sustainable Index was down 0.4% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (up 0.3%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 1.0%), and the Nasdaq Index...

Water Tower Research

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. September 8, 2025

Domestically, sentiment has turned positive after parliament approved Anutin Charnvirakul as the new Prime Minister, helping restore investor...

Krungthai XSpring

Prudent risk management is advised as current gains mirror past moves with lengthy consolidation, while volatility trends suggest cost-effective...