Independent in-depth research from Finimize, Finimize

Finimize Research

Independent in-depth research from Finimize

Finimize

Finimize is the #1 information platform for modern investors. We empower people to become smarter investors with bitesize insights from world-class analysts. 1 million+ strong community, 250 partners.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Markets feel frothy right now – sentiment’s euphoric, valuations are near the ceiling – but trying to call the exact top is usually a losing game. </li>
<li>It may be tempting to short the market, but the smarter move is to use efficient, asymmetric hedges: trades that don’t cost but pay out big when things crack.</li>
<li>Right now, these hedges’ prospects are unusually attractive: risks are stacked high, but insurance – volatility – is still relatively cheap</li>
</ul>


Markets feel frothy right now – sentiment’s euphoric, valuations are near the ceiling – but trying to call the exact top is usually a losing game. 
It may be tempting to short the market, but the smarter move is to use efficient, asymmetric hedges: trades that don’t cost but pay out big when things crack.
Right now, these hedges’ prospects are unusually attractive: risks are stacked high, but insurance – volatility – is still relatively cheap


How To Bet Against The Bubble… Without Going Bust

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Rex American Resources / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX is above 6028-6059. Short-term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059.</li>
<li>SPX is testing 6400-6410 now, but QQQ and IWM are violating short-term supports at $572 and $226, respectively. This makes us believe we could see some near-term downside; buy pullbacks.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX is above 6028-6059. Short-term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059.
SPX is testing 6400-6410 now, but QQQ and IWM are violating short-term supports at $572 and $226, respectively. This makes us believe we could see some near-term downside; buy pullbacks.


Staying Bullish Despite Near-Term Pullback Potential; Buy Pullbacks

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Last week, the WTR Sustainable Index was up 3.4% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (up 0.9%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 3.1%), and the Nasdaq Index (up 0.4%).</li><li>Energy Technology (41% of the index) was up 3.1%, while Transportation Solutions (33% of the index) was up 3.9%, Climate Tech and Clean Tech (19% of the index) was up 2.7%, and Climate Tech Mining and Processing (7% of the index) was up 3.3%.</li><li>Top 10 Performers: AMYZF, XPON, GRNWF, GEVO, RIDE, SUUN, BNRG, ARRY, FSI, PPSI</li></ul>

Last week, the WTR Sustainable Index was up 3.4% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (up 0.9%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 3.1%), and the Nasdaq Index (up 0.4%).Energy Technology (41% of the index) was up 3.1%, while Transportation Solutions (33% of the index) was up 3.9%, Climate Tech and Clean Tech (19% of the index) was up 2.7%, and Climate Tech Mining and Processing (7% of the index) was up 3.3%.Top 10 Performers: AMYZF, XPON, GRNWF, GEVO, RIDE, SUUN, BNRG, ARRY, FSI, PPSI

Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on NHHHF - August 18, 2025

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>A quick synoptic look at the tactical setups for the indices, stocks, commodities and bonds we cover, for the week August 18 - August 22.     .XLSX MODEL DATA FILE ATTACHED.
</li>
<li>
OVERBOUGHT at the WEEKLY Close: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">AAPL US</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alphabet-inc-cl-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11369:1" rel="noopener">GOOG US</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meta-platforms-inc-class-a-facebook" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">META US</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225</a>
</li>
<li>
OVERSOLD at the WEEKLY Close: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/commonwealth-bank-of-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14:1" rel="noopener">Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AU)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crude-oil" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22869:1" rel="noopener">Crude Oil (CL1 COM COMDTY)</a> </li>
</ul>


A quick synoptic look at the tactical setups for the indices, stocks, commodities and bonds we cover, for the week August 18 - August 22.     .XLSX MODEL DATA FILE ATTACHED.


OVERBOUGHT at the WEEKLY Close: AAPL US , GOOG US , META US , China Mobile (941 HK) , Toyota Motor (7203 JP) , Softbank Group (9984 JP) , Nikkei 225


OVERSOLD at the WEEKLY Close: Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AU) , Crude Oil (CL1 COM COMDTY) 


Global Markets Tactical Outlook WEEKLY: August 18 – August 22

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>With CPI inflation at 2.7%YoY in Jun-Jul'25, and PCE inflation at 2.6% in June, a belated rate cut is highly probable at the next FOMC meeting in Sep'25. </li>
<li>Declining oil prices (-9.5%YoY in Jul'25) were a major factor enabling headline inflation to stay well-contained, alongside mild M2 growth (just +4.7%YoY as of Jun'25). </li>
<li>Base effects will cease to be helpful after Oct'25, as oil prices had declined from Nov'24. Tariffs pushing headline PCE inflation toward 3%YoY will preclude further rate cuts.  </li>
</ul>


With CPI inflation at 2.7%YoY in Jun-Jul'25, and PCE inflation at 2.6% in June, a belated rate cut is highly probable at the next FOMC meeting in Sep'25. 
Declining oil prices (-9.5%YoY in Jul'25) were a major factor enabling headline inflation to stay well-contained, alongside mild M2 growth (just +4.7%YoY as of Jun'25). 
Base effects will cease to be helpful after Oct'25, as oil prices had declined from Nov'24. Tariffs pushing headline PCE inflation toward 3%YoY will preclude further rate cuts.  


US: Rate Cut Imminent at Last, but Chances of More Are Slim as Oil's Benefits Fade

United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

How To Bet Against The Bubble… Without Going Bust

Markets feel frothy right now, but trying to call the exact top is usually a losing game. It may be tempting to short the market, but the smarter...

Finimize Research

Staying Bullish Despite Near-Term Pullback Potential; Buy Pullbacks

Buying a pullback; SPX testing 6400-6410 now, but QQQ and IWM are violating short-term supports at $572 and $226. This makes us believe we could...

Vermilion Research

Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on NHHHF - August 18, 2025

Last week, the WTR Sustainable Index was up 3.4% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (up 0.9%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 3.1%), and the Nasdaq Index (up...

Water Tower Research

Global Markets Tactical Outlook WEEKLY: August 18 – August 22

Global Tactical setups for the week of August 18-22: Many US and Asia/Pacific stocks are overbought but Asia/Pacific stocks can rally higher.

Nico Rosti

US: Rate Cut Imminent at Last, but Chances of More Are Slim as Oil's Benefits Fade

Inflation likely to prompt rate cut in Sep'25 as declining oil prices and mild M2 growth contain headline inflation. Positive YoY oil inflation...

Prasenjit K. Basu

How To Bet Against The Bubble… Without Going Bust

Markets feel frothy right now, but trying to call the exact top is usually a losing game. It may be tempting to short the market, but the smarter...

Finimize Research

Staying Bullish Despite Near-Term Pullback Potential; Buy Pullbacks

Buying a pullback; SPX testing 6400-6410 now, but QQQ and IWM are violating short-term supports at $572 and $226. This makes us believe we could...

Vermilion Research

Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on NHHHF - August 18, 2025

Last week, the WTR Sustainable Index was up 3.4% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (up 0.9%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 3.1%), and the Nasdaq Index (up...

Water Tower Research

Global Markets Tactical Outlook WEEKLY: August 18 – August 22

​Global Tactical setups for the week of August 18-22: Many US and Asia/Pacific stocks are overbought but Asia/Pacific stocks can rally higher.

Nico Rosti

US: Rate Cut Imminent at Last, but Chances of More Are Slim as Oil's Benefits Fade

​Inflation likely to prompt rate cut in Sep'25 as declining oil prices and mild M2 growth contain headline inflation. Positive YoY oil inflation...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Global Tactical setups for the week of August 18-22: Many US and Asia/Pacific stocks are overbought but Asia/Pacific stocks can rally higher.

Inflation likely to prompt rate cut in Sep'25 as declining oil prices and mild M2 growth contain headline inflation. Positive YoY oil inflation...