In today’s briefing:
- Watches of Switzerland (WOSG LN: Rolex-Anchored Compounder Scaling in the US At 8.2x EV-EBITDA
- Ather Energy: EL Platform Opens the Next Phase of Mass-Market Growth
- Vector Inc (6058 JP): Q1 FY02/27 flash update
- Primer: Sanrio (8136 JP) – Jul 2026
- What’s News in Amsterdam – 16 July (Heineken | TKH Group)
- HLF: Innovation Accelerates as Personalized Nutrition Strategy Expands
- JAKK: 2Q Preview: Setting the Tone; Reiterate Buy, $30 PT
- Lionsgate Studios Sale Buzz: Who Wants Hollywood’s Franchise Powerhouse?
- MSS: Putting The “AI” In Maison; A Leaner Store Base Meets a Smarter Grocery Platform
- Primer: Minerva (BEEF3 BR) – Jul 2026
Watches of Switzerland (WOSG LN: Rolex-Anchored Compounder Scaling in the US At 8.2x EV-EBITDA
- Privileged Rolex distribution. Watches of Switzerland (WOSG LN) is one of Rolex’s most trusted retailers since 1919, with no online or price competition, no inventory risk, and pre-sold demand.
- The US is >50% of group revenues. US revenue grew 24% to $1.24bn in FY26, past 50% of sales in eight years, with a long runway as Rolex lifts production.
- Cheap for the growth. The shares trade at 8.2x FY26 EV/EBITDA and 18.2x P/E, with mid-teens ROCE, double-digit growth, and a return to net cash.
Ather Energy: EL Platform Opens the Next Phase of Mass-Market Growth
- Ather Energy, an Indian electric-scooter manufacturer, will unveil its first EL-platform model on 29 August, entering the INR 1-1.25 lakh mass-market segment before end-2026 commercialisation.
- Steel unibody, simpler transmission, 15% faster assembly and 10,000-km service intervals target affordability and ownership friction, expanding volumes with limited cannibalisation of Rizta and 450.
- Ather’s product gap is narrowing, but Factory 3.0’s Q3 FY27 start, five-lakh capacity, launch-to-delivery timing, quality, distribution throughput and margin retention now determine EBITDA breakeven.
Vector Inc (6058 JP): Q1 FY02/27 flash update
- Revenue increased by 14.2% YoY to JPY16.9bn, with operating profit rising 87.4% YoY to JPY3.2bn.
- PR and Advertising revenue reached JPY9.3bn (+13.4% YoY), driven by Strategic PR and Taxi Signage businesses.
- Direct Marketing revenue grew 22.7% YoY to JPY4.4bn, with Vitabrid Japan expanding sales channels and product offerings.
Primer: Sanrio (8136 JP) – Jul 2026
- Sanrio is experiencing a period of exceptional growth, driven by the enduring global popularity of its character IP, particularly ‘Hello Kitty’. Revenue and net income have seen substantial increases over the past three years, accompanied by significant margin expansion.
- The company’s strategy is focused on global expansion, especially in Asia and North America, and increased investment in digital platforms and content to enhance character engagement. Management has provided a strong growth forecast for the upcoming fiscal year.
- While the outlook is positive, the company faces risks from potential margin pressure due to strategic investments, macroeconomic headwinds in key overseas markets, and a high valuation that prices in significant future growth.
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What’s News in Amsterdam – 16 July (Heineken | TKH Group)
- In this edition: • Heineken | has its eyes on Brouwerij Haacht • TKH Group | Mr. Grandi to succeed Mr. van de Lof as CEO, who is becoming CEO of TKH Electrification
HLF: Innovation Accelerates as Personalized Nutrition Strategy Expands
- Herbalife hosted its North American Extravaganza in Indianapolis last weekend, with management stating that it launched more new products at this event than at any other in the company’s recent history.
- Life I/O, the company’s healthy lifespan brand, added two products, Helio and Activate, following the 2025 launch of Baseline, the brand’s first product.
- Helio is an all-in-one “super supplement” that builds on Baseline’s cellular health ingredients, including Niagen, PQQ, CoQ10, and methylated B-vitamins, while adding protein, fiber, MCTs, creatine, polyphenols, mushrooms, and turmeric.
JAKK: 2Q Preview: Setting the Tone; Reiterate Buy, $30 PT
- We are reiterating our Buy rating, projections and $30 price target for JAKKS Pacific with the company reporting 2Q26 (June) results after the close next Thursday.
- We believe, as JAKKS Pacific anniversaries material tariff driven issues, which were exacerbated by the company’s Freight On Board (“FOB”) shipping model, JAKKS Pacific has the potential to register top and bottom-line upside, driven by a more normalized flow of goods, increasing international expansion and the continued positive impact of The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, which has grossed over $1 billion worldwide (Source: BoxOfficeMojo.com).
- Further, we believe JAKKS Pacific also has the potential to receive a material refund for tariffs paid in 2026, which would further strengthen a robust balance sheet.
Lionsgate Studios Sale Buzz: Who Wants Hollywood’s Franchise Powerhouse?
- Lionsgate Studios, the company behind John Wick, The Hunger Games, Twilight and thousands of other film and television titles, has reportedly attracted takeover interest from France’s Bolloré Group and television producer Banijay Group.
- Lionsgate is working with an investment bank to assess inbound approaches, although discussions may not result in a transaction and the studio could remain independent.
- The timing is notable: Lionsgate has separated from Starz, simplified its share structure and entered fiscal 2027 with stronger film, television and library momentum.
MSS: Putting The “AI” In Maison; A Leaner Store Base Meets a Smarter Grocery Platform
- Specialty grocer with a tech ambition. Maison Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ: MSS) serves Asian American and other ethnic communities through three HK Good Fortune stores in Southern California (two slated for divestiture) and three Lee Lee International Supermarkets in Arizona.
- Since its October 2023 IPO, it has begun repositioning from a regional operator toward a technology-enabled retail and solutions platform.
- Putting the “AI” in Maison: AI and blockchain transformation.
Primer: Minerva (BEEF3 BR) – Jul 2026
- Leading South American Beef Exporter with Geographic Diversification: Minerva is the largest beef exporter in South America, with a diversified production base of 46 industrial units across Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay, Uruguay, Colombia, Chile, and Australia. This geographic diversification allows the company to mitigate risks related to sanitary issues and access a wider range of export markets, serving over 100 countries.
- Cyclical Pressures and Margin Compression: The company’s profitability is highly sensitive to the cattle cycle, which dictates input costs. Currently, higher cattle costs are pressuring margins, a trend expected to continue in the near term. This cyclicality, combined with exposure to currency fluctuations and commodity prices, represents a key risk for investors.
- Strategic Acquisitions Driving Growth Amid Financial Discipline: Minerva has a track record of growth through strategic acquisitions, most recently the purchase of Marfrig assets, which significantly increased its slaughtering capacity. While this strategy fuels expansion, it also elevates financial leverage. The company’s ability to successfully integrate new assets and deleverage its balance sheet is a critical factor for future performance.
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