
In today’s briefing:
- TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Feb 2025)
- The Beat Ideas: Aarti Drugs Revival
- Paragon 28 Acquisition by Zimmer Biomet: Evaluating the Free CVR Opportunity and Growth Potential
- Evaluating Allakos: Strategic Review, NOL Potential, and Kevin Tang’s Activist Stake Amidst Biopharma Challenges
- TuHURA Biosciences, Inc. – Initiating an Immune Response
- Quest Diagnostics: Enhanced Offerings In Cardiometabolic Testing & Autoimmune Disorders Catalyzing Growth!
- Aardvark Therapeutics (AARD): Obesity Related Biotech Seeking $85m After Setting Terms for IPO
- EVAX: Bolsters Balance Sheet
- Sionna Therapeutics Inc. (SION): Biotech Guiding to High-End Pricing; Expecting Strong Outcome
- SK Biopharmaceuticals (326030 KS): Records Maiden Profit in 2024; Momentum to Continue

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Feb 2025)
- Quiddity’s “Who is Ready” series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.
- Japan Eyewear Holdings (5889 JP) and Core Concept Technologies Inc (4371 JP) continue to be in our watchlist of pre-event candidates for TOPIX Inclusions.
- Separately, the TOPIX Liquidity factor removal event will take place in April 2025 and there could be some positive index flows for Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) during this event.
The Beat Ideas: Aarti Drugs Revival
- Received US FDA Approval for both Tarapur & Baddi Facility & moving to regulated market.
- Increase in revenues & margins with the US FDA approvals & Many products are backward integration or import substitution which is expected to boost demand
- US entry to allow product & bottomline expansion and would also focus on increasing market presence from semi-regulated markets along with regulated markets
Paragon 28 Acquisition by Zimmer Biomet: Evaluating the Free CVR Opportunity and Growth Potential
- Paragon 28 is being acquired by Zimmer Biomet for $13/share in cash plus a non-transferable CVR tied to 2026 revenue.
- The CVR pays up to $1/share if Paragon’s revenue reaches $361m, requiring a 19% CAGR over two years.
- The merger is supported by management and faces minimal regulatory hurdles, with DaCosta incentivized to achieve CVR targets.
Evaluating Allakos: Strategic Review, NOL Potential, and Kevin Tang’s Activist Stake Amidst Biopharma Challenges
- Kevin Tang holds a 10% stake in Allakos, valuing its cash balance and nearly $1 billion in federal NOLs.
- Allakos estimates $35-$40 million cash by June 2025, with restructuring costs of $34-$38 million.
- Potential reverse merger could value Allakos at $0.45-$0.5/share, considering NOLs and cash after expenses.
TuHURA Biosciences, Inc. – Initiating an Immune Response
- TuHURA is a clinical-stage, oncology-focused biotechnology company ad-vancing innate immune agonists, checkpoint inhibitors & antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs).
- It offers the IFx platform technology featuring the IFx-2.0 tumoral injection delivery approach for Merkel cell carcinoma (MCC) & the IFx-3.0 intravenous delivery approach for lymphoma.
- IFx encodes a bacterial protein to be expressed in cancer cells, activating the innate immune system and subsequent cascade that may eliminate the tumor.
Quest Diagnostics: Enhanced Offerings In Cardiometabolic Testing & Autoimmune Disorders Catalyzing Growth!
- Quest Diagnostics Inc. reported strong financial performance for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, driven primarily by revenue growth from acquisitions and robust organic growth.
- Revenue for the fourth quarter increased by 14.5% to $2.62 billion, with organic revenue growth accounting for nearly 5%.
- This growth was supported by the completion of eight acquisitions within the year, including LifeLabs in Canada and several hospital outreach lab businesses in the U.S. These acquisitions bolstered the company’s market position, particularly within the physician and hospital channels, and expanded its geographic reach.
Aardvark Therapeutics (AARD): Obesity Related Biotech Seeking $85m After Setting Terms for IPO
- The company set terms for an IPO on Thursday seeking up to $85m if the offering prices at the middle of the ($16-$18) range.
- Aardvark Therapeutics develops novel, small-molecule therapeutics to activate innate homeostatic pathways for the treatment of metabolic diseases.
- Their lead product candidate is an oral gut-restricted small-molecule agonist of certain TAS2Rs expressed in the gut lumen and have initiated a Phase 3 trial for hyperphagia associated with PWS.
EVAX: Bolsters Balance Sheet
- EVAX is a clinical stage company that has proprietary AI models designed to more efficiently and more accurately target much-needed treatments.
- The company has two streams of possible revenue: from the treatments themselves and from the licensing of the AI technology.
- The company announced that it has close a public offering of almost four million American Depository Shares, resulting in an additional of over $10 million in cash to its balance sheet.
Sionna Therapeutics Inc. (SION): Biotech Guiding to High-End Pricing; Expecting Strong Outcome
- The current price guidance is pointing to the high-end of the prevailing $16-$18 range with allocations expected to be “cut-back”.
- This biotech is extremely well-backed with RA Capital entering the IPO as the company’s largest shareholder (29.2% pre-IPO stake).
- Clinical-Stage biopharmaceutical company on a mission to revolutionize the current treatment paradigm for cystic fibrosis (“CF”) patients is set to go public on Friday.
SK Biopharmaceuticals (326030 KS): Records Maiden Profit in 2024; Momentum to Continue
- SK Biopharmaceuticals (326030 KS) reported first-ever annual operating and net profit of KRW96B and KRW227B, respectively in 2024. In 2023, operating and net loss stood at KRW38B and KRW35B, respectively.
- The company has turned profitable in 2024 driven by continued momentum of Xcopri in U.S. For 2024, Xcopri recorded revenue of $321.6M in the U.S., exceeding guidance of $300–320M.
- For 2025, SKBP has guided for Xcopri U.S. revenue of $420–450M (~KRW570–610B), up 31–40% YoY. The company expects 2025 SG&A expenses will be KRW490B, up 20% YoY.