Category

Industrials

Daily Brief Industrials: Fanuc Corp, Timee Inc, DN Solutions, Dorf-Ketal Chemicals Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Fanuc (6954) | Growth Flickers, Visibility Dims
  • Timee: Recent Setback in Share Price Offers an Attractive Entry Point
  • DN Solutions IPO – Tariffs, Peer Correction Don’t Help
  • Dorf-Ketal Chemicals India Pre-IPO -The Positives – Strategic Blend of Organic & Inorganic Expansion


Fanuc (6954) | Growth Flickers, Visibility Dims

By Mark Chadwick

  • Fanuc returns to revenue growth, driven by robomachine demand in Asia, but core robot sales remain weak after last year’s EV-driven surge.
  • Management offered no guidance for FY3/26, citing tariff and FX uncertainty; we cut forecasts, with downside risk still looming large.
  • A ¥50bn buyback provides limited support, but shares may stay stuck until global capex trends and trade policy clarify.

Timee: Recent Setback in Share Price Offers an Attractive Entry Point

By Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

  • Timee Inc (215A JP) ’s share price has been volatile during the last few months despite the company reporting a strong set of results for 1QFY10/2025. 
  • Timee is the market leader in Japan while Mercari Hallo is still attempting to build its business. Our analysis shows that there is further room for Timee’s earnings to expand. 
  • Some of Japanese high-growth companies (incl. Monotaro, GMO Payment and Shift) have traded at exorbitant multiples during their high growth phase and we think Timee’s valuation multiples are justified.

DN Solutions IPO – Tariffs, Peer Correction Don’t Help

By Sumeet Singh

  • DN Solutions (298440 KS) (DNS) aims to raise around US$1.1bn in its Korea IPO via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares.
  • DNS is engaged in the manufacture and sale of machine tools and the business of automation solutions and services related thereto.
  • In our previous note, we looked at the company’s past performance and valuations. In this note, we talk about the updates since then.

Dorf-Ketal Chemicals India Pre-IPO -The Positives – Strategic Blend of Organic & Inorganic Expansion

By Akshat Shah

  • Dorf-Ketal Chemicals Ltd (998552Z IN) (DKCI) is looking to raise about US$579m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • DKCI is an R&D and innovation-focused global manufacturer and supplier of specialty chemicals, catering to hydrocarbons and industrial supply chains, and customers with diverse applications across various industrial segments.
  • In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

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Daily Brief Industrials: IHI Corp, Spindex Industries, Danish Power, Shilchar Technologies, Furukawa Co Ltd, Grupo Aeroportuario Sur-Adr and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • IHI Corp (7013 JP): Global Index Inclusion in May
  • Spindex (SPE SP) Illiquid but Very Cheap Company
  • The Beat Ideas: Danish Power Limited – Riding the Green Energy Wave
  • The Beat Ideas- Shilchar Technologies: Powering the Grid, Energizing Growth
  • Furukawa (5715 JP) – Course-Correcting for Growth
  • ASR US – Actinver Research – ASUR 1Q25: Positive Results In Line With Our Estimates (Quick View)


IHI Corp (7013 JP): Global Index Inclusion in May

By Brian Freitas

  • IHI Corp (7013 JP) has had a monster rally over the last year with the stock price tripling over the period. That could now result in a global index inclusion.
  • IHI Corp (7013 JP) has outperformed its peers over the last year but still trades cheaper than the average and median of its peers on quite a few valuation metrics.
  • The appears to be a lot of positioning in the stock, but we see a similar pattern in its peers too. There could be some upside over the near term.

Spindex (SPE SP) Illiquid but Very Cheap Company

By Punit Khanna

  • Spindex is an illiquid but well managed company listed in Singapore
  • It trades at less than 2X EV/EBDITA multiple  while its competitor Innovalues got privatised at 9 X EV/EBDITA
  • With 60% of market cap in cash, ex-cash current assets are more than total liabilities, offering limited downside

The Beat Ideas: Danish Power Limited – Riding the Green Energy Wave

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Danish Power (DANISH IN) stands to benefit from India’s aggressive shift towards renewable energy, particularly solar, supported by strong product offerings like Inverter Duty Transformers, which drive substantial revenue growth.
  • DPL’s strategic shift to higher-margin products, improved operating leverage, and expanded capacity should fuel margin expansion and support sustained profitability, positioning it well for continued growth and competitiveness.
  • With a robust order book exceeding INR 400 crore and an active pipeline, DPL has solid revenue visibility supported by strong demand in domestic and international markets.

The Beat Ideas- Shilchar Technologies: Powering the Grid, Energizing Growth

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Shilchar’s focus on Inverter Duty Transformers positions it to capitalize on the booming renewable energy sector, especially solar, supporting long-term growth and profitability.
  • Shilchar’s recent capacity expansion, with a potential to scale further, ensures it can meet increasing domestic and export demand for transformers, positioning it for sustained market leadership.
  • Shilchar’s debt-free balance sheet and strong cash reserves enable strategic reinvestment in capacity and technology, ensuring continued growth in the competitive transformer industry.

Furukawa (5715 JP) – Course-Correcting for Growth

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • With a 150-year track record, Furukawa operates in Machinery and Materials production.
  • Machinery focuses on heavy equipment for infrastructure, mining, and crushed stone, while electrolytic copper and byproducts have traditionally led Materials.
  • The company is undergoing a strategic shift, prioritizing higher-margin Machinery growth while significantly reducing unprofitable electrolytic copper exports. 

ASR US – Actinver Research – ASUR 1Q25: Positive Results In Line With Our Estimates (Quick View)

By Actinver

  • Operating Revenues of P$8.2bn were driven by solid aeronautical growth and positive performance on the non-aeronautical front.
  • Total operating sales growth of 14% YoY was driven by a 12% YoY gain in aeronautical revenues, mainly explained by higher average tariffs (+12% YoY), which supported the 0.2% gain in total PAX.
  • On the other hand, non-aeronautical revenues (36% of the total) gained 17% YoY, supported by an implicit gain of 17% YoY in the non-aeronautical revenue per PAX.

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Daily Brief Industrials: IHI Corp, Spindex Industries, Danish Power, Shilchar Technologies, Furukawa Co Ltd, Grupo Aeroportuario Sur-Adr and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • IHI Corp (7013 JP): Global Index Inclusion in May
  • Spindex (SPE SP) Illiquid but Very Cheap Company
  • The Beat Ideas: Danish Power Limited – Riding the Green Energy Wave
  • The Beat Ideas- Shilchar Technologies: Powering the Grid, Energizing Growth
  • Furukawa (5715 JP) – Course-Correcting for Growth
  • ASR US – Actinver Research – ASUR 1Q25: Positive Results In Line With Our Estimates (Quick View)


IHI Corp (7013 JP): Global Index Inclusion in May

By Brian Freitas

  • IHI Corp (7013 JP) has had a monster rally over the last year with the stock price tripling over the period. That could now result in a global index inclusion.
  • IHI Corp (7013 JP) has outperformed its peers over the last year but still trades cheaper than the average and median of its peers on quite a few valuation metrics.
  • The appears to be a lot of positioning in the stock, but we see a similar pattern in its peers too. There could be some upside over the near term.

Spindex (SPE SP) Illiquid but Very Cheap Company

By Punit Khanna

  • Spindex is an illiquid but well managed company listed in Singapore
  • It trades at less than 2X EV/EBDITA multiple  while its competitor Innovalues got privatised at 9 X EV/EBDITA
  • With 60% of market cap in cash, ex-cash current assets are more than total liabilities, offering limited downside

The Beat Ideas: Danish Power Limited – Riding the Green Energy Wave

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Danish Power (DANISH IN) stands to benefit from India’s aggressive shift towards renewable energy, particularly solar, supported by strong product offerings like Inverter Duty Transformers, which drive substantial revenue growth.
  • DPL’s strategic shift to higher-margin products, improved operating leverage, and expanded capacity should fuel margin expansion and support sustained profitability, positioning it well for continued growth and competitiveness.
  • With a robust order book exceeding INR 400 crore and an active pipeline, DPL has solid revenue visibility supported by strong demand in domestic and international markets.

The Beat Ideas- Shilchar Technologies: Powering the Grid, Energizing Growth

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Shilchar’s focus on Inverter Duty Transformers positions it to capitalize on the booming renewable energy sector, especially solar, supporting long-term growth and profitability.
  • Shilchar’s recent capacity expansion, with a potential to scale further, ensures it can meet increasing domestic and export demand for transformers, positioning it for sustained market leadership.
  • Shilchar’s debt-free balance sheet and strong cash reserves enable strategic reinvestment in capacity and technology, ensuring continued growth in the competitive transformer industry.

Furukawa (5715 JP) – Course-Correcting for Growth

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • With a 150-year track record, Furukawa operates in Machinery and Materials production.
  • Machinery focuses on heavy equipment for infrastructure, mining, and crushed stone, while electrolytic copper and byproducts have traditionally led Materials.
  • The company is undergoing a strategic shift, prioritizing higher-margin Machinery growth while significantly reducing unprofitable electrolytic copper exports. 

ASR US – Actinver Research – ASUR 1Q25: Positive Results In Line With Our Estimates (Quick View)

By Actinver

  • Operating Revenues of P$8.2bn were driven by solid aeronautical growth and positive performance on the non-aeronautical front.
  • Total operating sales growth of 14% YoY was driven by a 12% YoY gain in aeronautical revenues, mainly explained by higher average tariffs (+12% YoY), which supported the 0.2% gain in total PAX.
  • On the other hand, non-aeronautical revenues (36% of the total) gained 17% YoY, supported by an implicit gain of 17% YoY in the non-aeronautical revenue per PAX.

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Daily Brief Industrials: LS Corp, HMM Co., Ltd., Hyundai Engineering & Construction, ABB Ltd, Green Impact Partners , Legrand SA and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Lee Jae-Myung’s Camp Just Dropped Their Latest Market Stimulus Play
  • HMM’s 2T KRW Buyback Tender to Drop Before June End
  • Korea Value Up (3 Winners and 7 Losers Among KOSPI 200 Companies) In March and April 2025
  • Weekly Update (ABB, MEDXF, LION)
  • Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on Green Impact Partners (GIP)
  • Legrand S.A. – Company Update: March 21, 2025


Lee Jae-Myung’s Camp Just Dropped Their Latest Market Stimulus Play

By Sanghyun Park

  • They’re making it easier to spot stocks benefiting from policy shifts. Lee Jae-myung’s camp is giving more detail upfront, with a focus on FuriosaAI and related listed stocks.
  • If cumulative voting passes, expect a pop in stocks with governance issues, activist interest, or large NPS stakes, like Hyosung affiliates, Doosan, HL Mando, and POSCO Holdings.
  • They also aim to give parent shareholders first crack at spun-off subsidiaries going public and require buyback cancellations, likely benefiting SK and LS Group affiliates, Samsung Electronics, and POSCO Holdings.

HMM’s 2T KRW Buyback Tender to Drop Before June End

By Sanghyun Park

  • This buyback facilitates KDB’s exit, as rules prevent a block trade benefiting one shareholder. KDB plans to tender a 4–5% stake, or about 40% of the 2 trillion KRW buyback.
  • Given HMM’s tight float, the premium is likely above the usual 10%, making it a strong opportunity for short-term arbitrage trading.
  • The key is timing the announcement. With the June deadline, we need to monitor hot money flows into HMM to build our position before the news breaks.

Korea Value Up (3 Winners and 7 Losers Among KOSPI 200 Companies) In March and April 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we provide the details of the 10 most recent companies in KOSPI 200 that have announced their Corporate Value Up plans (April and March 2025).
  • These 10 companies in KOSPI 200 that have announced their Corporate Value Up plans are down on average 1.3% versus KOSPI which is down 2% in the same period.
  • Three companies that have outperformed KOSPI (since their Corporate Value Up report announcement) include Hanmi Semiconductor, Hyundai Engineering & Construction, and Samyang Foods. 

Weekly Update (ABB, MEDXF, LION)

By Richard Howe

  • April 17, 2025, ABB Ltd (ABB) announced its intention to spin off its entire robotics division.
  • The robotics unit, recognized as the world’s second-largest industrial robot manufacturer after Japan’s FANUC, generated $2.3 billion in revenue in 2024, accounting for approximately 7% of ABB’s total sales.
  • However, its profit margin stood at 12.1%, trailing the group’s overall margin of 18.1%, primarily due to subdued demand in the automotive sector.​

Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on Green Impact Partners (GIP)

By Water Tower Research

  • The WTR Sustainable Index was up 1.2% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (down 1.5%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 1.1%) and the Nasdaq Index (down 2.3%).
  • Energy Technology (12.5% of the index) was up 0.3%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (46.5% of the index) was up 3.1%, ClimateTech Mining was up 0.5%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (20.9% of the index) was down 1.7%.
  • Top 10 Performers: TMC, EGT, HCNWF, CVW, HLGN, GGR, SX, IPWR, ABML, WAVE

Legrand S.A. – Company Update: March 21, 2025

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • Our estimations for FY 2025 annual revenue range at around €9,168 million and for 2026 at around €9,718 million.
  • The company’s annual revenue reached €8,649 million in 2024 compared to €8,417 million in 2023, post- ing an increase by 2.76%. Legrand S.A. (or the company) gross profit for FY 2024 was €4,466 million, increased by 1.52% compared to €4,399 million for the corresponding period of 2023.
  • In addition, during FY 2024 EBITDA amounted to €2,022 million, while EBT and EATAM settled at €1,578 million and €1,166 million respectively.

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Daily Brief Industrials: LS Corp, HMM Co., Ltd., Hyundai Engineering & Construction, ABB Ltd, Green Impact Partners , Legrand SA and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Lee Jae-Myung’s Camp Just Dropped Their Latest Market Stimulus Play
  • HMM’s 2T KRW Buyback Tender to Drop Before June End
  • Korea Value Up (3 Winners and 7 Losers Among KOSPI 200 Companies) In March and April 2025
  • Weekly Update (ABB, MEDXF, LION)
  • Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on Green Impact Partners (GIP)
  • Legrand S.A. – Company Update: March 21, 2025


Lee Jae-Myung’s Camp Just Dropped Their Latest Market Stimulus Play

By Sanghyun Park

  • They’re making it easier to spot stocks benefiting from policy shifts. Lee Jae-myung’s camp is giving more detail upfront, with a focus on FuriosaAI and related listed stocks.
  • If cumulative voting passes, expect a pop in stocks with governance issues, activist interest, or large NPS stakes, like Hyosung affiliates, Doosan, HL Mando, and POSCO Holdings.
  • They also aim to give parent shareholders first crack at spun-off subsidiaries going public and require buyback cancellations, likely benefiting SK and LS Group affiliates, Samsung Electronics, and POSCO Holdings.

HMM’s 2T KRW Buyback Tender to Drop Before June End

By Sanghyun Park

  • This buyback facilitates KDB’s exit, as rules prevent a block trade benefiting one shareholder. KDB plans to tender a 4–5% stake, or about 40% of the 2 trillion KRW buyback.
  • Given HMM’s tight float, the premium is likely above the usual 10%, making it a strong opportunity for short-term arbitrage trading.
  • The key is timing the announcement. With the June deadline, we need to monitor hot money flows into HMM to build our position before the news breaks.

Korea Value Up (3 Winners and 7 Losers Among KOSPI 200 Companies) In March and April 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we provide the details of the 10 most recent companies in KOSPI 200 that have announced their Corporate Value Up plans (April and March 2025).
  • These 10 companies in KOSPI 200 that have announced their Corporate Value Up plans are down on average 1.3% versus KOSPI which is down 2% in the same period.
  • Three companies that have outperformed KOSPI (since their Corporate Value Up report announcement) include Hanmi Semiconductor, Hyundai Engineering & Construction, and Samyang Foods. 

Weekly Update (ABB, MEDXF, LION)

By Richard Howe

  • April 17, 2025, ABB Ltd (ABB) announced its intention to spin off its entire robotics division.
  • The robotics unit, recognized as the world’s second-largest industrial robot manufacturer after Japan’s FANUC, generated $2.3 billion in revenue in 2024, accounting for approximately 7% of ABB’s total sales.
  • However, its profit margin stood at 12.1%, trailing the group’s overall margin of 18.1%, primarily due to subdued demand in the automotive sector.​

Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on Green Impact Partners (GIP)

By Water Tower Research

  • The WTR Sustainable Index was up 1.2% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (down 1.5%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 1.1%) and the Nasdaq Index (down 2.3%).
  • Energy Technology (12.5% of the index) was up 0.3%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (46.5% of the index) was up 3.1%, ClimateTech Mining was up 0.5%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (20.9% of the index) was down 1.7%.
  • Top 10 Performers: TMC, EGT, HCNWF, CVW, HLGN, GGR, SX, IPWR, ABML, WAVE

Legrand S.A. – Company Update: March 21, 2025

By VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

  • Our estimations for FY 2025 annual revenue range at around €9,168 million and for 2026 at around €9,718 million.
  • The company’s annual revenue reached €8,649 million in 2024 compared to €8,417 million in 2023, post- ing an increase by 2.76%. Legrand S.A. (or the company) gross profit for FY 2024 was €4,466 million, increased by 1.52% compared to €4,399 million for the corresponding period of 2023.
  • In addition, during FY 2024 EBITDA amounted to €2,022 million, while EBT and EATAM settled at €1,578 million and €1,166 million respectively.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Daihatsu Diesel Mfg, Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone, Evergreen Marine Corp, Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • *NEW* USTR Section 301 Proposed Actions on China Maritime Dominance
  • Adani Ports: Riding the Global Ports Wave with Scale, Margin, and Visibility
  • Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Price Turns Negative | Tariff, Ship Levy Impacts (April 2025)
  • Lalatech IPO | Review of FY24 Financials & OpStats | Mostly Solid Numbers | Plus a Few Questions


*NEW* USTR Section 301 Proposed Actions on China Maritime Dominance

By Travis Lundy

  • Biden’s USTR came out with a flawed Section 301 report on Chinese maritime “dominance” in January. It is not that China shipbuilding is not dominant, but the report was flawed.
  • In February/March (flawed) measures were proposed. Then mostly minimally-insightful hearings were held. Then Trump came out with an Executive Order “Restoring America’s Maritime Dominance” (that requires looking back 80yrs). 
  • Now we have new USTR Proposed Measures which water down the old ones quite considerably.

Adani Ports: Riding the Global Ports Wave with Scale, Margin, and Visibility

By Rahul Jain

  • NQXT brings structural leverage: 35 MMT of throughput, 65% EBITDA margin, and zero-debt funding makes this a clean, long-cycle infrastructure asset. Pro forma FY27E EV/EBITDA compresses to 12.6x; P/E 19x.
  • FY25 guidance upgraded: Revenue now pegged at Rs29,000–31,000 Cr (vs Rs26,000–27,000 Cr earlier), EBITDA at Rs18,800–18,900 Cr, and cargo volume at 460–480 MMT — upper band implies a strong Q4.
  • Trades at 12.6x FY27E EV/EBITDA, APSEZ offers growth, operating leverage, and global strategic footprint and ramping port utilization. Likely disruptions in trade flows post Trump tariffs is a risk.

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Price Turns Negative | Tariff, Ship Levy Impacts (April 2025)

By Daniel Hellberg

  • For the first time since Q322, our price momentum index flipped to negative
  • We see few signs of US tariff impacts in the March data — not surprising
  • New US levies on China-built ships unhelpful, but most carriers can adjust

Lalatech IPO | Review of FY24 Financials & OpStats | Mostly Solid Numbers | Plus a Few Questions

By Daniel Hellberg

  • FY24 revenue growth of 19% solid, but mostly driven by one operating segment
  • Gross margin in FY24 fell on mix, but platform monetization down, too
  • Sharp growth in FY24 working capital requires investors’ close attention

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Daily Brief Industrials: Daihatsu Diesel Mfg, Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone, Evergreen Marine Corp, Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • *NEW* USTR Section 301 Proposed Actions on China Maritime Dominance
  • Adani Ports: Riding the Global Ports Wave with Scale, Margin, and Visibility
  • Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Price Turns Negative | Tariff, Ship Levy Impacts (April 2025)
  • Lalatech IPO | Review of FY24 Financials & OpStats | Mostly Solid Numbers | Plus a Few Questions


*NEW* USTR Section 301 Proposed Actions on China Maritime Dominance

By Travis Lundy

  • Biden’s USTR came out with a flawed Section 301 report on Chinese maritime “dominance” in January. It is not that China shipbuilding is not dominant, but the report was flawed.
  • In February/March (flawed) measures were proposed. Then mostly minimally-insightful hearings were held. Then Trump came out with an Executive Order “Restoring America’s Maritime Dominance” (that requires looking back 80yrs). 
  • Now we have new USTR Proposed Measures which water down the old ones quite considerably.

Adani Ports: Riding the Global Ports Wave with Scale, Margin, and Visibility

By Rahul Jain

  • NQXT brings structural leverage: 35 MMT of throughput, 65% EBITDA margin, and zero-debt funding makes this a clean, long-cycle infrastructure asset. Pro forma FY27E EV/EBITDA compresses to 12.6x; P/E 19x.
  • FY25 guidance upgraded: Revenue now pegged at Rs29,000–31,000 Cr (vs Rs26,000–27,000 Cr earlier), EBITDA at Rs18,800–18,900 Cr, and cargo volume at 460–480 MMT — upper band implies a strong Q4.
  • Trades at 12.6x FY27E EV/EBITDA, APSEZ offers growth, operating leverage, and global strategic footprint and ramping port utilization. Likely disruptions in trade flows post Trump tariffs is a risk.

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Price Turns Negative | Tariff, Ship Levy Impacts (April 2025)

By Daniel Hellberg

  • For the first time since Q322, our price momentum index flipped to negative
  • We see few signs of US tariff impacts in the March data — not surprising
  • New US levies on China-built ships unhelpful, but most carriers can adjust

Lalatech IPO | Review of FY24 Financials & OpStats | Mostly Solid Numbers | Plus a Few Questions

By Daniel Hellberg

  • FY24 revenue growth of 19% solid, but mostly driven by one operating segment
  • Gross margin in FY24 fell on mix, but platform monetization down, too
  • Sharp growth in FY24 working capital requires investors’ close attention

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Daily Brief Industrials: TRYT , Hanwha Aerospace, Hyundai Rotem Company and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Tryt (9164 JP): Take Profits as Takeover Speculation Swirls
  • Hanwha Aero: Base Case Is the Raise Goes Through
  • Hyundai Rotem: Surging Growth of Defense Exports


Tryt (9164 JP): Take Profits as Takeover Speculation Swirls

By Arun George

  • TRYT (9164 JP) shares were up 38.5% over the last two days based on a report that EQT, the controlling shareholder, had made progress in identifying bidders for its stake.
  • The exploration of the privatisation process is unsurprising, as Tryt was pre-rumour trading 69% below its JPY1,200 IPO price.
  • The upside is limited, as the last close already reflects a significant takeover premium, and a binding proposal that satisfies EQT’s price aspirations will be challenging.

Hanwha Aero: Base Case Is the Raise Goes Through

By Sanghyun Park

  • FSS has quietly greenlit Hanwha Aero’s raise — current pushback is just optics, with defense being too strategic for regulators to risk sending the wrong signal.
  • Hanwha Aero’s second updated filing should check the FSS box, and Hanwha Energy swapping cash for equity gives regulators cover to bless the deal without catching heat.
  • Base case is the raise goes through — trade the window between the amended filing and effective date, and shorts can still join the deal if they cover in time.

Hyundai Rotem: Surging Growth of Defense Exports

By Douglas Kim

  • We remain impressed with Hyundai Rotem’s aggressive new orders for defense and railway systems.
  • Defense exports as a percentage of total sales increased from 0% in 2021 to 6.1% in 2022, 19% in 2023, and 36.4% in 2024.
  • Hyundai Rotem had an order backlog of 14.1 trillion won at the end of 2024. Order backlog/sales ratio was 3.2x in 2024. 

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Daily Brief Industrials: TRYT , Hanwha Aerospace, Hyundai Rotem Company and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Tryt (9164 JP): Take Profits as Takeover Speculation Swirls
  • Hanwha Aero: Base Case Is the Raise Goes Through
  • Hyundai Rotem: Surging Growth of Defense Exports


Tryt (9164 JP): Take Profits as Takeover Speculation Swirls

By Arun George

  • TRYT (9164 JP) shares were up 38.5% over the last two days based on a report that EQT, the controlling shareholder, had made progress in identifying bidders for its stake.
  • The exploration of the privatisation process is unsurprising, as Tryt was pre-rumour trading 69% below its JPY1,200 IPO price.
  • The upside is limited, as the last close already reflects a significant takeover premium, and a binding proposal that satisfies EQT’s price aspirations will be challenging.

Hanwha Aero: Base Case Is the Raise Goes Through

By Sanghyun Park

  • FSS has quietly greenlit Hanwha Aero’s raise — current pushback is just optics, with defense being too strategic for regulators to risk sending the wrong signal.
  • Hanwha Aero’s second updated filing should check the FSS box, and Hanwha Energy swapping cash for equity gives regulators cover to bless the deal without catching heat.
  • Base case is the raise goes through — trade the window between the amended filing and effective date, and shorts can still join the deal if they cover in time.

Hyundai Rotem: Surging Growth of Defense Exports

By Douglas Kim

  • We remain impressed with Hyundai Rotem’s aggressive new orders for defense and railway systems.
  • Defense exports as a percentage of total sales increased from 0% in 2021 to 6.1% in 2022, 19% in 2023, and 36.4% in 2024.
  • Hyundai Rotem had an order backlog of 14.1 trillion won at the end of 2024. Order backlog/sales ratio was 3.2x in 2024. 

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Daily Brief Industrials: PEC Ltd., TRYT , Grab Holdings , Canvest Environmental Protection Group, Wintermar Offshore Marine, Nauticus Robotics , Ryobi Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • PEC Ltd. (PEC SP): 5th May Vote On Liberty’s Offer
  • TRYT (9164) – Limit Up On Report of Round 2 Bidding; A Growth Multiple Gets You a High Price
  • Grab Holdings (GRAB US) – New Products with a Heavy Hint of AI
  • Canvest (1381 HK): Scheme Vote on 12 May
  • Wintermar Offshore Marine (WINS IJ) – Ahoy! Recovery Ahead
  • Nauticus Robotics, Inc.: On the Anvil of Commercialization
  • Ryobi (5851 JP) – OP Recovery Expected in FY12/25


PEC Ltd. (PEC SP): 5th May Vote On Liberty’s Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 17th Feb, PEC Ltd. (PEC SP), a plant and terminal engineering specialist, announced an Offer from Allied Energy Services, an engineering entity under the Liberty Group.
  • Liberty offered S$0.84/share (not final), including a AS$0.20/share special dividend, a 12.8% premium to undisturbed; but more like a >35% premium. Irrevocables from the board of 63.38% had been secured.
  • The Scheme Doc is now out, with an EGM on the 5th May, with payment on or before the 20th June. The IFA (Deloitte) says “fair & reasonable“.

TRYT (9164) – Limit Up On Report of Round 2 Bidding; A Growth Multiple Gets You a High Price

By Travis Lundy

  • TRYT (9164 JP) was bought by EQT years ago and IPOed on TSE Growth in July 2023 at ¥1,200/share. The shares tanked on Day 1, almost reached ¥1,000 days later.
  • Then they fell, and fell some more, reaching the ¥370s early in Q1, then again post Trump tariff announcement.  EQT still holds ~60%. Shares closed at ¥374 on 16 April.
  • In February, there were noises about EQT putting the business up for sale, reportedly seeking an offer close to ¥1,200/share. Now there are noises of a Second Round.

Grab Holdings (GRAB US) – New Products with a Heavy Hint of AI

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Grab hosted “GrabX” in Singapore and online to showcase a range of AI-driven product offerings that promise to be future growth drivers for the company.
  • GrabFood For One and Shared Saver both have the potential to attract significant new business, but there was also the launch of AI-assistant Maya for Merchants to drive orders. 
  • Additionally, Grab Unlimited continues to grow and be transformed into a fully-fledged loyalty program. Valuations are attractive, and Grab is set to make a net profit this year.

Canvest (1381 HK): Scheme Vote on 12 May

By Arun George

  • Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)’s IFA opines that Grandblue Environment Co A (600323 CH)’s HK$4.90 offer is fair and reasonable. The vote is on 12 May. 
  • Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (<10% of independent shareholders’ rejection). Shareholders with blocking stakes will be supportive.
  • This is a done deal. At the last close and for a 10 June payment, the gross/annualised spread is 2.3%/18.3%. 

Wintermar Offshore Marine (WINS IJ) – Ahoy! Recovery Ahead

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Wintermar Offshore Marine booked a strong set of FY2024, confirming the ongoing recovery of the offshore oil & gas shipping segment and especially demand for higher-tier vessels.
  • The company continues to build its fleet with several vessels coming on stream in FY2025 and FY2026, driven by optimism around ongoing investments in offshore oil & gas in Indonesia. 
  • Wintermar Offshore Marine intends to sell its low-tier vessels and invest in more high-tier vessels this year, helping to drive future growth. 

Nauticus Robotics, Inc.: On the Anvil of Commercialization

By Water Tower Research

  • Last year was transformational for KITT, with its strategy shifting to commercializing its technology from its prior focus on research and development.
  • The company expects 2025 “will continue to be a year of change.”
  • On the earnings call and callback, our focus was on sizing the opportunity, the outlook for the year given long lead times and seasonality in the business, and the competitive landscape.

Ryobi (5851 JP) – OP Recovery Expected in FY12/25

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • FY12/24 sales rose 3.8% YoY to ¥293.31bn while operating profit dropped -22.3% to ¥9.49bn, surpassing previously revised down forecasts.
  • Sales growth was boosted by the weak yen. However, the rise was limited by slowing auto production by Japanese, US and European carmakers in China and the impact from new model certification irregularities discovered at domestic automakers in Japan.
  • OP was hit by rising costs, especially labor. However, the company is expecting a sharp rebound in OP growth in FY12/25 thanks to starting production of new products in Japan, a recovery in customers’ China output and starting to pass on rises in labor and energy costs, rather than only aluminum price fluctuations.

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