ECM Daily Briefs | Page 45 of 161

In today’s briefing:

Asirvad Micro Finance Pre-IPO – Accelerating Profitability Growth but with a Litany of Legal Cases
Kalpataru Pre-IPO Tearsheet

Asirvad Micro Finance Pre-IPO – Accelerating Profitability Growth but with a Litany of Legal Cases

Asirvad Micro Finance Limited (1053198D IN) is looking to raise around US$183m in its upcoming India IPO.
Asirvad Micro Finance Limited (Asirvad) is a non-banking finance company (NBFC), and a microfinance institution (MFI) offering small loans to low-income women in India.
In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

Kalpataru Pre-IPO Tearsheet

Kalpataru Limited (KTARU IN) is looking to raise about US$189m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by ICICI, JM Fin and Nomura.
Kalpataru is an integrated real estate development company involved in activities associated with real estate development, including identification and acquisition of land, planning, designing, execution, sales, and marketing of projects.
It is a prominent real estate developer in the Mumbai Metropolitan Region (MMR) and is present across all micro-markets in MMR, as per an Anarock Report.

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Aug 22

Daily Brief ECM: Ecom Express Pre-IPO Tearsheet and more

In today’s briefing:

Ecom Express Pre-IPO Tearsheet
99 Speedmart Holdings IPO – Digestible Valuation
99 Speed Mart IPO: The Bear Case
Bajaj Housing Finance Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison – Bigger and Faster

Ecom Express Pre-IPO Tearsheet

Ecom Express Limited (1062300D IN) is looking to raise about US$310m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by Axis, IIFL Securities, Kotak and UBS.
Ecom Express operates a pan-India express logistics network covering first-mile pick-up, mid-mile transportation and last-mile delivery as well as reverse logistics (returns) and fulfilment services (warehousing).
According to Redseer, the company had the widest pan-India coverage and in Tier 2+ regions compared to its peers, covering over 27,000 PIN codes, as of March 31, 2024.

99 Speedmart Holdings IPO – Digestible Valuation

99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings (99SPD MK) is looking to raise US$530m in its Malaysia IPO. The IPO will be a mix of primary and secondary shares.
99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings (99 Speedmart) operates the “99 Speedmart” chain of mini-market outlets, retailing daily necessities across Malaysia.
In our previous notes, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison and discuss our thoughts on valuation.

99 Speed Mart IPO: The Bear Case

By Arun George

99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings (99SPD MK), a leading grocery retailer in Malaysia, is seeking to raise US$530 million at RM1.65 per share.
In 99 Speed Mart IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on lacklustre outlet KPIs, indications of margin pressure, significant pre-IPO dividends and a significant secondary offering.

Bajaj Housing Finance Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison – Bigger and Faster

Bajaj Housing Finance (BHF IN) is looking to raise around US$830m in its upcoming India IPO.
BHF is a non-deposit taking housing finance company engaged in mortgage lending since FY18. Its mortgage products include home loans, loans against property, lease rental discounting and developer financing.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note we will undertake a peer comparison.

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Aug 21

Daily Brief ECM: COLOWIDE (7616) – UGLY Register On Expensive Co Needs a Capital Construct Upgrade and more

In today’s briefing:

COLOWIDE (7616) – UGLY Register On Expensive Co Needs a Capital Construct Upgrade, Won’t Get It Here
Colowide Placement – Needs a Very Large Correction
I-Scream Media IPO Book Building Results Analysis
Hyosung Siblings’ Cross-Transfers Are Done: The 10%+ Hyosung Corp Stake Block Deal Remains
CJ Darcl Logistics Pre-IPO – Diversifying and Integrating Operations for a Larger Pie
Lumir IPO Valuation Analysis
Hero Fincorp Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Still Has Issues to Contend With
Pre-IPO Tong Ren Tang Healthcare Investment – Profitability and Growth Sustainability Are Worrying

COLOWIDE (7616) – UGLY Register On Expensive Co Needs a Capital Construct Upgrade, Won’t Get It Here

By Travis Lundy

Colowide Co Ltd (7616 JP) is an industrial fastish-food operator in Japan. They sell several dozen kinds of cuisine under several dozen brands, owned and franchised in Japan and overseas.
The company “philosophy” is “Everything we do is for our customers and employees.” The stock is up 30% in 10yrs. It pays no dividend, but it pays a big yutairimawari.
This means Real World Float is 100% owned by retail who want restaurant coupons. This offering will be bought by index, short covers, and another 20-30k coupon holders.

Colowide Placement – Needs a Very Large Correction

Colowide Co Ltd (7616 JP) aims to raise around US$230m in order to fund its prospective M&A transactions over the next few years
While the company has undertaken a number of M&A transactions in the past, it hasn’t clearly stated its intended targets for this round.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

I-Scream Media IPO Book Building Results Analysis

By Douglas Kim

I-Scream Media reported its IPO book building results. The IPO price has been determined at 32,000 won, which is at the low end of the IPO price range.
A total of 561 institutional investors participated in the IPO survey. The final demand ratio was 31.3 to 1.
Our valuation analysis suggests an implied price per share of 41,450 won, which represent a 29.5% upside from the IPO price.

Hyosung Siblings’ Cross-Transfers Are Done: The 10%+ Hyosung Corp Stake Block Deal Remains

By Sanghyun Park

The Hyosung siblings swapped ₩60B in shares over August 13-14, raising the elder brother’s Hyosung Corp stake to 40.9% and lowering HS Hyosung below 3%.
The younger brother must sell additionally at least 11.2% of his 14.2% Hyosung Corp stake. The elder brother may buy, but his cash position and 40% stake limit his need.
This block deal will be the first to apply the new pre-disclosure rule. So, we should use it to test how the rule affects price movements for better entry timing.

CJ Darcl Logistics Pre-IPO – Diversifying and Integrating Operations for a Larger Pie

CJ Darcl Logistics Limited (1506129D IN) is looking to raise around US$100m in its upcoming India IPO.
CJ Darcl Logistics (CJDL) is a diversified logistics company in India, with market leadership in full truck load (FTL) vertical in terms of revenue for FY23, according to CRISIL.
In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

Lumir IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

Base case valuation of Lumir is target price of 18,542 won per share. Given the low upside relative to IPO price range, we have a Negative view of this IPO.
Our net profit estimates in 2025 and 2026 are 38% and 63.3% lower than the company’s estimates.
Lumir provides key technologies for satellite systems, including small synthetic aperture radar (SAR) satellite systems and payloads.

Hero Fincorp Pre-IPO – The Negatives – Still Has Issues to Contend With

Hero FinCorp (HF) is looking to raise around US$438m in its upcoming India IPO.
HF is a non-deposit taking NBFC. It offers a suite of financial products catering primarily to the retail segment and the MSME customer segment in India.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Pre-IPO Tong Ren Tang Healthcare Investment – Profitability and Growth Sustainability Are Worrying

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Tong Ren Tang’s performance growth is mainly driven by M&As. Its organic growth and operation management capability are not strong, leading to the concerns on the sustainability of future growth.
Profit margin is disappointing.If Tong Ren Tang fails to balance the interests of different parties and control costs/expenses,low profit margins will be the norm despite the growth of revenue scale.
From the perspectives of revenue scale, profitability, operational efficiency, business model, there’s still a gap between Tong Ren Tang and Gushengtang. Tong Ren Tang’s valuation should be lower than Gushengtang.

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Aug 20

Daily Brief ECM: Peptron Rights Issue: The 25% Discount Is an Attractive Outright Position Opportunity and more

In today’s briefing:

Peptron Rights Issue: The 25% Discount Is an Attractive Outright Position Opportunity
Lumir IPO Preview
99 Speed Mart IPO: The Bull Case
Zomato Placement – Momentum Is Very Strong, past Ant Related Deals Have Been Mixed
Star Asia Investment Corp Placement – Needs a Decent Correction Leading up to Pricing
Pre-IPO Medtide – The Industry, the Business and the Concerns
Hero Fincorp Pre-IPO – The Positives – Riding on the Parent’s Brand

Peptron Rights Issue: The 25% Discount Is an Attractive Outright Position Opportunity

By Sanghyun Park

Peptron’s lack of single-stock futures means no risk-free arbitrage but also less speculative selling, making the 25% discount an attractive outright position opportunity.
The low capital increase rate may stabilize the stock price, and more forfeited shares could lower the cost of securing subscription rights during the trading window.
Consider buying rights during the trading period or targeting forfeited shares. Conservatively estimate the final offering price range to set a profitable cost for securing rights.

Lumir IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

Lumir is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in September. The IPO which is expected to raise between 49.5 billion won to 61.5 billion won.
Lumir specializes in the development of observation satellite technology including image data processing devices and onboard computers for a number of government satellite series.
Lumir had sales of 12.1 billion won (up 90.5% YoY) in 2023. Its sales surged by 477% YoY to reach 8.2 billion won in 1H24.

99 Speed Mart IPO: The Bull Case

By Arun George

99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings (99SPD MK), a leading groceries retailer in Malaysia, is seeking to raise US$530 million at RM1.65 per share.
99 Speed Mart is Malaysia’s largest mini-market player and leading grocery retailer, holding a market share of 40.1% and 11.6% in 2023, respectively.
The bull case rests on a large TAM, rising market share, robust revenue growth underpinned by SSSG, a store expansion-driven growth strategy, profitability, cash generation, and modest leverage.

Zomato Placement – Momentum Is Very Strong, past Ant Related Deals Have Been Mixed

AntFin is looking to raise around US$400m by selling around 2% of Zomato (ZOMATO IN).
Ant Group had earlier sold some of its stake in Nov 2023 and Mar 2024, with the deals producing a mixed bag result.
In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Star Asia Investment Corp Placement – Needs a Decent Correction Leading up to Pricing

Star Asia Investment (3468 JP) is looking to raise around US$118m in its primary follow-on offering to acquire four hotels. The acquisition will amount to a total of JPY34.7bn (US$237.5m).
The deal is a somewhat large one to digest, at 83 days of three month ADV and 13.3% of TSO .
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Pre-IPO Medtide – The Industry, the Business and the Concerns

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Medtide relies heavily on limited number of customers to contribute performance. If there is any significant reduction in demand by its major customers, Medtide’s performance growth would be materially/adversely affected.
Due to geopolitical conflicts, pharmaceutical companies are becoming more cautious about their reliance on China CXO. So, the development of Medtide’s overseas business would become more uncertain in this context.
Medtide’s business scale is still small and its position in the global peptide CXO industry is not as strong as described. Valuation of Medtide should be lower than peers.

Hero Fincorp Pre-IPO – The Positives – Riding on the Parent’s Brand

Hero FinCorp (HF) is looking to raise around US$438m in its upcoming India IPO.
HF is a non-deposit taking NBFC. It offers a suite of financial products catering primarily to the retail segment and the MSME customer segment in India.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspets of the deal.

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Aug 19

Daily Brief ECM: 99 Speedmart Holdings IPO – Continued Expanding Its Network. Sales and Earnings Kept Up and more

In today’s briefing:

99 Speedmart Holdings IPO – Continued Expanding Its Network. Sales and Earnings Kept Up
ECM Weekly (19th Aug 2024) – Midea, China Res, WeRide, FirstCry, ACME, Gadgil, 99 Speed, Hind Zinc

99 Speedmart Holdings IPO – Continued Expanding Its Network. Sales and Earnings Kept Up

99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings (99SPD MK) is looking to raise US$530m in its Malaysia IPO. The IPO will be a mix of primary and secondary shares.
99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings (99 Speedmart) operates the “99 Speedmart” chain of mini-market outlets, retailing daily necessities across Malaysia.
In our previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we look at the updates since.

ECM Weekly (19th Aug 2024) – Midea, China Res, WeRide, FirstCry, ACME, Gadgil, 99 Speed, Hind Zinc

Aequitas Research’s weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, BrainBees contiued along Ola Electric‘s path, ensuring that India’s ECM wave will continue, for now.
Once again there was only one placement this week, that too in India, just like the week before.

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Aug 16

Daily Brief ECM: ACME Solar Holdings – Strong Sector Tailwinds but Need to Keep an Eye on Profitability and more

In today’s briefing:

ACME Solar Holdings – Strong Sector Tailwinds but Need to Keep an Eye on Profitability
Jiangsu Zenergy Battery Technologies Pre-IPO Tearsheet

ACME Solar Holdings – Strong Sector Tailwinds but Need to Keep an Eye on Profitability

ACME Solar Holdings (1700918D IN) is looking to raise US$360m in its upcoming India IPO.
ACME Solar (ACME) is a renewable energy firm with a portfolio of solar, wind, hybrid and firm and dispatchable renewable energy (FDRE) projects.
In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

Jiangsu Zenergy Battery Technologies Pre-IPO Tearsheet

Jiangsu Zenergy Battery Technologies (JSZENERGY CH) is looking to raise up to US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO. The deal will be run by CICC, and CMB International.
Jiangsu Zenergy Battery Technologies (Zenergy from hereon) is an EV and energy storage system (ESS) battery manufacturer in China.
It provides integrated battery solutions, encompassing battery cells, modules, packs, racks, and battery management systems dedicated to large-scale applications of electrochemical products to interconnect omni-scenarios of land, sea and air.

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Aug 15

Daily Brief ECM: Hindustan Zinc OFS Early Look – Due for a Correction and more

In today’s briefing:

Hindustan Zinc OFS Early Look – Due for a Correction, Large Selling Pressure Looming
P N Gadgil Jewellers Pre-IPO – Strong Revenue Growth but Margin Worry Persists

Hindustan Zinc OFS Early Look – Due for a Correction, Large Selling Pressure Looming

Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN) is looking to raise US$760m from selling some stake in Hindustan Zinc (HZ IN).
Overall, while the deal would represent just 2.6% of the firm’s outstanding shares, the deal is a large one to digest at 41 days of the stock’s three month ADV.
In this note, we take an early look at the deal, and comment on the deal dynamics.

P N Gadgil Jewellers Pre-IPO – Strong Revenue Growth but Margin Worry Persists

P N Gadgil Jewellers (1742652D IN) looking to raise up to US$132m in its upcoming India IPO.
P N Gadgil Jewellers (PNGJ) is an Indian organized jewellery player. Its product offerings include traditional as well as modern and functional jewellery designs, in gold, diamond, silver and platinum.
In this note, we look at the company’s historical performance.

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Aug 14

Daily Brief ECM: WeRide IPO – Stiff Competition and Bleak Sentiment. Premium Valuation Doesn’t Help and more

In today’s briefing:

WeRide IPO – Stiff Competition and Bleak Sentiment. Premium Valuation Doesn’t Help
WeRide IPO: High-Risk Venture Investment and Unproven Business Model
China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO – Thoughts on Valuation

WeRide IPO – Stiff Competition and Bleak Sentiment. Premium Valuation Doesn’t Help

WeRide (WRD US) is looking to raise US$119m in its US IPO.
WeRide provides autonomous driving products and services from L2 to L4 of driving automation.
We had looked at the firm’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we discuss our thoughts on valuation.

WeRide IPO: High-Risk Venture Investment and Unproven Business Model

By Andrei Zakharov

WeRide, a pure-play autonomous driving company with operations in 7 countries, may raise up to $120M in upcoming IPO in the United States.
WeRide is expected to IPO this week. The company’s amended prospectus puts the price range per ADS at $15.50 to $18.50, implying a market cap of ~$4.6B at the midpoint.
The company has raised ~$1.4B in equity financing to date and was backed by Qiming Venture Partners and the venture capital fund of the Renault Nissan Mitsubishi Alliance, among others.

China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO – Thoughts on Valuation

China Resources Beverage is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.
In our earlier notes, we talked about the company’s past performance and undertook a peer comparison. In this note, we will look at valuations.

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Aug 13

Daily Brief ECM: Brainbees (FirstCry) IPO Trading – Decent Subscription and Valuation and more

In today’s briefing:

Brainbees (FirstCry) IPO Trading – Decent Subscription and Valuation
WeRide (WRD US) IPO: The Bear Case
Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN) : Soaring High – How Much Higher Can It Go?
TS Lines Pre-IPO: Adjusted Book Value Approach Yields Estimated Equity Valuation of US$1.96-2.06 Bn

Brainbees (FirstCry) IPO Trading – Decent Subscription and Valuation

BrainBees Solutions (FirstCry) raised around US$500m in its India IPO.
FirstCry is India’s largest multi-channel retailing platform for Mothers’, Babies’ and Kids’ products in terms of GMV, for the year ending Dec 2022 (9M23), according to RedSeer.
In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance and valuations. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

WeRide (WRD US) IPO: The Bear Case

By Arun George

WeRide (WRD US), a provider of autonomous driving products and services, seeks to raise up to US$119 million through a Nasdaq IPO and US$321 million through a concurrent private placement.
In WeRide (WRD US) IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on a volatile revenue profile, high customer concentration risk, widening losses that raise doubts on the path to profitability, elongated cash collection cycles and cash burn.

Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN) : Soaring High – How Much Higher Can It Go?

By Devi Subhakesan

Ola Electric’s stock has surged since its Friday listing, despite a lukewarm IPO response. We look at a possible base-to-bullish case valuation range for Ola Electric’s stock price.
With the e2W market up 96% YoY in July and Ola Electric’s sales soaring 114%, the momentum is strong. Likely catalyst on the horizon adds to investor optimism.
Currently, on FY2026E EV/Revenue, Ola Electric trades on par with its closest Indian e2W peer.

TS Lines Pre-IPO: Adjusted Book Value Approach Yields Estimated Equity Valuation of US$1.96-2.06 Bn

By Daniel Hellberg

Container ships are standardized, and fleets can be “market to market” values
This approach suggests TS Lines’ equity could be worth > US$2.0 bn
However, there are some caveats that come with this valuation approach

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Aug 12

Daily Brief ECM: ECM Weekly (12th Aug 2024) – Ola Electric and more

In today’s briefing:

ECM Weekly (12th Aug 2024) – Ola Electric, Brainbees, WeRide, Akum, CR Beverages, Eternal Beauty

ECM Weekly (12th Aug 2024) – Ola Electric, Brainbees, WeRide, Akum, CR Beverages, Eternal Beauty