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Singapore

Brief Singapore: Eagle Hospitality Trust IPO Trading Update – Even Though the Yield Looks Enticing Concerns Remain and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In this briefing:

  1. Eagle Hospitality Trust IPO Trading Update – Even Though the Yield Looks Enticing Concerns Remain
  2. ECM Weekly (25 May 2019) – ESR Cayman, Hansoh Pharma, Tai Hing, China East Edu, Haitong UniTrust
  3. Singapore REIT: Sabana REIT in Focus as Sector Consolidation Goes On
  4. The Global Recovery Narrative Crumbles
  5. Bitcoin, Revisited

1. Eagle Hospitality Trust IPO Trading Update – Even Though the Yield Looks Enticing Concerns Remain

Share%20price%20with%20volume

Eagle Hospitality Trust (EHT SP) (EHT) raised around US$565m via its IPO on SGX. The initial portfolio will comprise of 18 hotels in the US with an overall valuation of US$1.27bn. 

I covered the company’s background and other fundamental aspects in my earlier insights:

In this insight, I will re-visit some of the deal dynamics and provide a table with implied valuations at different share prices.

2. ECM Weekly (25 May 2019) – ESR Cayman, Hansoh Pharma, Tai Hing, China East Edu, Haitong UniTrust

2019 total deals 2019 accuracy rate  chartbuilder%20%283%29

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by Smartkarma Insight Providers recently, along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

This will be the third week in a row we are saying: there are more IPOs coming in Hong Kong!Momentum seems to be holding up as we head into the end of Q2. First off, there will be 4 IPOs starting to trade throughout next week. Mulsanne Group Holding Ltd (1817 HK) will debut first on Monday.

This would be interesting to watch because the IPO utilized the new pricing mechanism in Hong Kong to price its IPO below the bottom end of its indicated price range rather than withdraw and refile. This mechanism reminds us of the pricing flexibility of US IPOs wherein companies could price below its indicative price range to ensure that it performs well on its debut despite poor demand during bookbuild. Xinyi Energy Holdings Ltd (3868 HK), Frontage Holdings (1521 HK), and MabPharm (2181 HK) will trade on Tuesday, Thursday, and Friday respectively.

For upcoming bookbuilds, Tai Hing (1719303D HK) and China Tobacco International (GHALPZ CH) have filed their PHIP this week and will be likely be opening their books next week. We are also hearing that CSSC Hong Kong Shipping Co Ltd (0931049D CH) and China East Education (EASTEDU HK) will open books on Monday while Hansoh Pharmaceutical (HANSOH HK) will be on Tuesday.

IPO activity in other countries have been fairly muted. Eagle Hospitality Trust (EAGLEHT SP)  finally started trading in Singapore. Its share price closed 6% down as the IPO was undersubscribed. We will leave the updates on the IPO to Sumeet Singh on Monday.

In the U.S, GSX Techedu (GSX US) will launch its book next week while Meten (MEDU US) which just filed its US$100m IPO with the SEC will be premarketing next week.

Accuracy Rate:

Our overall accuracy rate is 72.4% for IPOs and 63.9% for Placements 

(Performance measurement criteria is explained at the end of the note)

New IPO filings

  • Sinic Holdings (Hong Kong, >US$100m)
  • Meten International Edu (the U.S, US$100m)

Below is a snippet of our IPO tool showing upcoming events for the next week. The IPO tool is designed to provide readers with timely information on all IPO related events (Book open/closing, listing, initiation, lock-up expiry, etc) for all the deals that we have worked on. You can access the tool here or through the tools menu.

Source: Aequitas Research, Smartkarma

News on Upcoming IPOs

Analysis on Upcoming IPOs

NameInsight
Hong Kong
AB InbevAb InBev Asia Pre-IPO – A Brief History of the Asia Pacific Operations – Eeking Out Growth in China
AB InbevAb InBev Asia Pre-IPO – Quick Note – More like CR Beer Rather than Tsingtao
AB InbevAb InBev Asia Pre-IPO – On Its Way to Potentially Being the Biggest HK IPO This Year
AB Inbev

Budweiser Brewing APAC Pre-IPO – It Will Be a US$5bn+ Raise Owing to Its Clean Balance Sheet

AscentageAscentage Pharma (亚盛医药) IPO: Too Early for an IPO
Ant FinancialAnt Financial IPO Early Thought: Understand Fintech Empire, Growth & Risk Factors
CIMC VehCIMC Vehicle (中集车辆): Market Leader of Semi-Trailers but Little Growth Ahead
ClarityClarity Medical (清晰医疗) IPO: Proxy to HK SMILE Surgery Demand
ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: How Jinri Toutiao Paves The Way for a Bigger Empire (Part 1)

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: Tiktok the No.1 Short Video App for a Good Reason (Part 2)

East EduChina East Education (中国东方教育) Pre-IPO – The Company Known for Its Culinary School
China TobacChina Tobacco International (IPO): The Monopolist Will Not Recover
China TobacChina Tobacco Intl (HK) IPO: Proxy For the Chinese Cigarette Consumption
CSSCCSSC (HK) Shipping IPO: A Cyclical Business Masked as an Income Stock
ESRESR Cayman Pre-IPO – A Giant in the Making
ESR

ESR Cayman Pre-IPO – Earnings and Segment Analysis 

ESR

ESR Cayman Pre-IPO- First Stab at Valuation

ESR

ESR Cayman Pre-IPO – Updates from PHIP – Growth Remains on Track 

ESR

ESR Cayman Pre-IPO – Updated Valuation and Key Risks

ESR

ESR Cayman Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison Quick Take – Bigger than Some, Much Smaller than Others 

Hansoh

Hansoh Pharma (翰森制药) IPO: New Numbers, Pre-IPO Dividend and Boyu Investment (Part 3)

Hansoh

Hansoh Pharma (翰森制药) IPO: Thoughts on Valuation

Hansoh

Hansoh Pharma (翰森制药) IPO: Competitive Landscape of HS-10296

Helenbergh

Helenbergh (海伦堡) Early Thoughts – The Usual Red Flag – Related Party Transactions

Hut Chi-Med

Hutchison-China Med (和黄医药) H-Share Listing: MNC Partnerships Endorsed Its R&D Capabilities

Jinxin

Jinxin Fertility (锦欣生殖) Pre-IPO: Strong Foothold in Sichuan but Weak Sentiment for Sector

MicuRxMicuRx Pharma (盟科医药) IPO: Betting on Single Drug in the Not so Attractive Antibiotic Segment
MabPharmMabPharma (迈博医药) IPO: Assembled for a Trade?
MabPharmMabPharm (迈博医药) IPO: Thoughts on Valuation (Part 2)
SH Henlius

Shanghai Henlius (复宏汉霖) IPO: Not an Impressive Biosimilar Portfolio 

TubatuTubatu Group Pre-IPO – Performing Better than Qeeka but Growing Much Slower, US$1bn a Stretch
TubatuTubatu Group Pre-IPO – Online -> Online + Offline -> Online -> ?
South Korea
KMH ShillaKMH Shilla Leisure IPO Preview (Part 1) – Highly Profitable Operator of Public Golf Courses in Korea
KMH ShillaKMH Shilla Leisure IPO Preview (Part 2) – Valuation Analysis
Plakor

Plakor IPO Preview (Part 1)

ZinusZinus IPO Preview (Part 1) – An Amazing Comeback Story (#1 Mattress Brand on Amazon)
India
Aakash EduAakash Education Pre-IPO – Fast Growth in an Attractive Sector
Anmol IndAnmol Industries Pre-IPO Quick Take – No Growth, Generous Payments to Founders
Bharat Hotels

Bharat Hotels Pre-IPO – Catching up with Peers 

CMS InfoCMS Info Systems Pre-IPO – When a PE Sells to Another PE… Only One Gets the Timing Right
Crystal CropCrystal Crop Protection Pre-IPO – DRHP Raises More Questions than in Answers
Flemingo Flemingo Travel Retail Pre-IPO – Its a Different Business in Every Country
NSENSE IPO Preview- Not Only Fast..its Risky and Expensive
NSENational Stock Exchange Pre-IPO Review – Bigger, Better, Stronger but a Little Too Fast for Some
MazagonMazagon Dock IPO Preview: A Monopoly Submarine Yard in India with Captive Navy Spending
Mrs. BectorMrs. Bectors Food Specialities Pre-IPO Quick Take – Sales for Its Main Segment Have Been Sta

Lodha

Lodha Developers Pre-IPO – Second Time Lucky but Not Really that Much Affordable
LodhaLodha Developers IPO: Presence in Affordable Segment Saves Lodha the Blushes in a Sluggish Mkt
IndiaMartIndiaMART Pre-IPO – Getting and Retaining Subscribers Seems to Be Difficult
PNB MetPNB Metlife Pre-IPO Quick Take – Doesn’t Stack up Well Versus Its Larger Peers
Malaysia
QSRQSR Brands Pre-IPO – As Healthy as Fast Food
The U.S
DouyuDouyu (斗鱼直播) IPO: Leader At a Cost
DouyuDouyu (斗鱼直播) IPO: Comparison with Huya (Part 2)
GSXGSX Techedu (跟谁学) IPO Early Thoughts – Successful Pivot Away from Marketplace Model
MetenMeten International Edu (美联国际教育) Early Thoughts – Unclear Strategies

3. Singapore REIT: Sabana REIT in Focus as Sector Consolidation Goes On

Debt%20maturity

InfinitySub, a subsidiary of ESR Cayman, is raising its stake in the SPV which owns the manager of Sabana Shari’Ah Compliant Reit (SSREIT SP) (Sabana REIT) and buying units in the REIT in a S$62.2mn deal through a set of transactions. This ESR’s second attempt to acquire Sabana REIT after talks of unit/asset sales to ESR REIT was aborted in 2017. 

Based on current year DPU of 3.0 cents (annualized based on 1Q19 DPU), the yield of 7.1% is unimpressive and the REIT continues to face challenging market conditions and the likelihood of negative rental reversions. The entry of ESR Cayman as the controlling shareholder is definitely welcome as it may bring about a swifter reconstitution of Sabana REIT’s existing portfolio and a brighter prospect of acquisitions.   

Sabana REIT’s estimated debt headroom of about S$190mn before hitting the regulatory gearing limit is by no means considered high. However, having a new sponsor such as ESR Cayman may give Sabana REIT more options for manoeuvre.  

The  vendor, Vibrant (VIBG SP) has obtained a waiver from the SGX for holding an extraordinary general meeting (EGM) for shareholders to approve the deal as the transactions are price- and time-sensitive.

4. The Global Recovery Narrative Crumbles

4

The US equity market was running with an optimistic assessment that there is a Trump and Fed put, that a trade deal and Chinese policy stimulus would generate a recovery in the global economy and the US economy was largely immune to a slowdown in activity abroad. However, the tariffs have been increased, trade talks have stalled, and the US has rolled out bans on Chinese tech companies.  The evidence grows that there is a structural rift in US-China trade relations. The rebound in Chinese economic activity in March was not backed up by data in other Asian exporter nations or Europe through April.  Chinese activity data slumped again in April, and the latest PMI data in the Eurozone, Japan and the USA for May are weak. Oil and copper prices have turned lower, suggesting that industrial activity remains weak.  We continue to see downside risk for still elevated US equities.  The strength in the USD to date is contributing to downward pressure on US equities.  The gains in the USD may have become over-extended.  China may pursue a more stable CNY for a period and lower US yields should support safe haven currencies, JPY, CHF and gold.

5. Bitcoin, Revisited

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Bitcoin and the block chain were created just over ten years ago, as a means to create peer to peer transactions without the need to use financial institutions to process the payments. 

However, frequent hacks of Bitcoin exchanges, in addition to the significant past fluctuations of Bitcoin prices, have put mainstream usage off and slowed the adoption of the cryptocurrency.

Is this about to change now?

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.



Brief Singapore: Snippets #22: New Transit Ad Giant, Duty Free Rivalry and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In this briefing:

  1. Snippets #22: New Transit Ad Giant, Duty Free Rivalry
  2. Vietnam’s Big Investment Secret: Foreign Inflows Surge
  3. ECM Weekly (27 April 2019) – Luckin, Duiba, Leong Hup, ARA US Hosp, Douyu, So-Young, Yunji
  4. AGM Jardine Cycle & Carriage (JCNC SP): Cars, Cows and Cement; High Gearing = Likely Rights Issue

1. Snippets #22: New Transit Ad Giant, Duty Free Rivalry

Five interesting news flow/development during this period:

  • New regulations proposals. The BOT recently discussed measures to rein in overly favorable leasing promotions, while the NBTC backs down from plans to impose surcharge on Facebook and LINE.
  • Biggest deal in advertising. Though only a minority stake, VGI’s investment in Plan B is arguably the largest one done in the media sector in years. The web of media enmeshed is arguably one of the largest outside broadcast media now.
  • Breadtalk agrees to buy 15% of Thai-listed NPPG, a holding company for packaging and restaurant chains. A relatively small deal, but one that ties NPPG indirectly to the much bigger Thai giant Minor.
  • Makro expands with an impressive Bt8.5bn. The budget includes potentially 10 new stores with two outside Thailand. An interesting spin for the CP All subsidiary essentially written off as ‘ex-growth’ by most of the Street.
  • The new Duty Free wars. Four groups, namely incumbent King Power, Central, Minor, and The Mall, join the fray to dominate Thailand’s Duty Free business for the next decade. We hope Minor wins, but most likely, it’s going to be Central.

2. Vietnam’s Big Investment Secret: Foreign Inflows Surge

Smartk2

  • March saw another strong month of cross-border capital inflows into Vietnam financial assets
  • Underlying flow index shows strong momentum hits value 76.9 (range 0-100)
  • Vietnam flows are moving with similar cross-border flow cycle as China and Asian EM

3. ECM Weekly (27 April 2019) – Luckin, Duiba, Leong Hup, ARA US Hosp, Douyu, So-Young, Yunji

2019 total deals 2019 accuracy rate  chartbuilder

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by Smartkarma Insight Providers recently, along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Placements took a back seat this week and IPO activity came roaring back to life.

Starting in the US, the two highly anticipated IPOs, Luckin Coffee (LK US) and Douyu (DOYU US), filed their prospectus with the SEC. We have already shared our early thoughts on the companies. Look out for more insights as we crunch through the numbers in the following weeks leading up to its IPO launch.

Yunji Inc. (YJ US) and So-Young (SY US) opened their IPOs for bookbuild. We covered their valuation in:

Back in Hong Kong, Shenwan Hongyuan Group (H) (6806 HK) plunged 12% on its debut on Friday. As per Ke Yan, CFA, FRM‘s insight, risk-reward after the plunge implies that Shenwan is trading at a deeper discount to its A-share than it deserves. Considering that there had already been a big potion of adjusted free-float traded, stabilization can easily support the share price from here back to its IPO price.

Duiba Group (1753 HK) also opened its IPO for bookbuild this week. We heard that books are covered as of Friday. Valuation leaned on the expensive side as bankers probably took advantage of the strong rally in advertising peers to offer it at a higher valuation. We think that the IPO will only offer upside from the bottom end of the price range.

Activity is also picking up for Singapore and Malaysia after a long lull. ARA US Hospitality Trust (HOTEL SP) and Eagle Hospitality REIT filed their prospectus with MAS while ARA US Hospitality’s IPO is already taking orders for bookbuild. Sumeet Singh penned his thoughts on the REIT and its valuation in:

Malaysia’s Leong Hup International (LEHUP MK) finally launched its IPO after initial delays. 

Accuracy Rate:

Our overall accuracy rate is 72.1% for IPOs and 64% for Placements 

(Performance measurement criteria is explained at the end of the note)

New IPO filings

  • Ascentage Pharma (Hong Kong, re-filed)

Below is a snippet of our IPO tool showing upcoming events for the next week. The IPO tool is designed to provide readers with timely information on all IPO related events (Book open/closing, listing, initiation, lock-up expiry, etc) for all the deals that we have worked on. You can access the tool here or through the tools menu.

Source: Aequitas Research, Smartkarma

News on Upcoming IPOs

Analysis on Upcoming IPO

NameInsight
Hong Kong
AB InbevAb InBev Asia Pre-IPO – A Brief History of the Asia Pacific Operations – Eeking Out Growth in China
AscentageAscentage Pharma (亚盛医药) IPO: Too Early for an IPO
Ant FinancialAnt Financial IPO Early Thought: Understand Fintech Empire, Growth & Risk Factors
CIMC VehCIMC Vehicle (中集车辆): Market Leader of Semi-Trailers but Little Growth Ahead
ClarityClarity Medical (清晰医疗) IPO: Proxy to HK SMILE Surgery Demand
ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: How Jinri Toutiao Paves The Way for a Bigger Empire (Part 1)

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: Tiktok the No.1 Short Video App for a Good Reason (Part 2)

East EduChina East Education (中国东方教育) Pre-IPO – The Company Known for Its Culinary School
China TobacChina Tobacco International (IPO): The Monopolist Will Not Recover
China TobacChina Tobacco Intl (HK) IPO: Proxy For the Chinese Cigarette Consumption
ESRESR Cayman Pre-IPO – A Giant in the Making
ESR

ESR Cayman Pre-IPO – Earnings and Segment Analysis 

ESR

ESR Cayman Pre-IPO- First Stab at Valuation

Frontage

Frontage (方达控股) IPO: More Disclosure Needed to Understand Moat and Growth Prospect

Frontage

Frontage (方达控股) IPO: Updates from 2018 Numbers

Haitong

Haitong UniTrust Intl Leasing Pre-IPO – Shape Shifting

Hujiang Edu

Hujiang Education (沪江教育) Pre-IPO – Spending More than It Earns

Hut Chi-Med

Hutchison-China Meditech (和黄医药) H-Share Listing: MNC Partnerships Endorsed Its R&D Capabilities

Jinxin

Jinxin Fertility (锦欣生殖) Pre-IPO: Strong Foothold in Sichuan but Weak Sentiment for Sector

MicuRxMicuRx Pharma (盟科医药) IPO: Betting on Single Drug in the Not so Attractive Antibiotic Segment
MabPharmMabPharma (迈博医药) IPO: Assembled for a Trade?
MabPharmMabPharm (迈博医药) IPO: Thoughts on Valuation (Part 2)
SH Henlius

Shanghai Henlius (复宏汉霖) IPO: Not an Impressive Biosimilar Portfolio 

TubatuTubatu Group Pre-IPO – Performing Better than Qeeka but Growing Much Slower, US$1bn a Stretch
TubatuTubatu Group Pre-IPO – Online -> Online + Offline -> Online -> ?
South Korea
KMH ShillaKMH Shilla Leisure IPO Preview (Part 1) – Highly Profitable Operator of Public Golf Courses in Korea
KMH ShillaKMH Shilla Leisure IPO Preview (Part 2) – Valuation Analysis
Plakor

Plakor IPO Preview (Part 1)

ZinusZinus IPO Preview (Part 1) – An Amazing Comeback Story (#1 Mattress Brand on Amazon)
India
Anmol IndAnmol Industries Pre-IPO Quick Take – No Growth, Generous Payments to Founders
Bharat Hotels

Bharat Hotels Pre-IPO – Catching up with Peers 

CMS InfoCMS Info Systems Pre-IPO – When a PE Sells to Another PE… Only One Gets the Timing Right
Crystal CropCrystal Crop Protection Pre-IPO – DRHP Raises More Questions than in Answers
Flemingo Flemingo Travel Retail Pre-IPO – Its a Different Business in Every Country
NSENSE IPO Preview- Not Only Fast..its Risky and Expensive
NSENational Stock Exchange Pre-IPO Review – Bigger, Better, Stronger but a Little Too Fast for Some
MazagonMazagon Dock IPO Preview: A Monopoly Submarine Yard in India with Captive Navy Spending
Mrs. BectorMrs. Bectors Food Specialities Pre-IPO Quick Take – Sales for Its Main Segment Have Been Sta

Lodha

Lodha Developers Pre-IPO – Second Time Lucky but Not Really that Much Affordable
LodhaLodha Developers IPO: Presence in Affordable Segment Saves Lodha the Blushes in a Sluggish Mkt
IndiaMartIndiaMART Pre-IPO – Getting and Retaining Subscribers Seems to Be Difficult
PNB MetPNB Metlife Pre-IPO Quick Take – Doesn’t Stack up Well Versus Its Larger Peers
Malaysia
QSRQSR Brands Pre-IPO – As Healthy as Fast Food
The U.S
DouyuDouyu (斗鱼直播) IPO: Leader At a Cost
LuckinLuckin Coffee (瑞幸咖啡) Early Thoughts – Caffeine Rush
LuckinLuckin Coffee (瑞幸咖啡) App Walk-Through and Channel Checks

4. AGM Jardine Cycle & Carriage (JCNC SP): Cars, Cows and Cement; High Gearing = Likely Rights Issue

Changing mix

The 50th JCNC AGM was all about cars, cows and cement. Investors questioned the board on various topics. 

Jardine Cycle & Carriage Ltd (JCNC SP) is an interesting play on Astra (at a discount), and now offers you exposure to some other large companies in Vietnam and Thailand. The increased investments have impacted the balance sheet which now carries $1.3 billion in holding debt. This is high by historical Jardine standards, another rights issue is therefore increasingly likely and is probably only a matter of time.

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

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Brief Singapore: Vietnam’s Big Investment Secret: Foreign Inflows Surge and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In this briefing:

  1. Vietnam’s Big Investment Secret: Foreign Inflows Surge
  2. ECM Weekly (27 April 2019) – Luckin, Duiba, Leong Hup, ARA US Hosp, Douyu, So-Young, Yunji
  3. AGM Jardine Cycle & Carriage (JCNC SP): Cars, Cows and Cement; High Gearing = Likely Rights Issue
  4. Leong Hup IPO – Privatization Was at Lower Multiples and Key Subsidiary Too Is Trading Cheaper

1. Vietnam’s Big Investment Secret: Foreign Inflows Surge

Smartk2

  • March saw another strong month of cross-border capital inflows into Vietnam financial assets
  • Underlying flow index shows strong momentum hits value 76.9 (range 0-100)
  • Vietnam flows are moving with similar cross-border flow cycle as China and Asian EM

2. ECM Weekly (27 April 2019) – Luckin, Duiba, Leong Hup, ARA US Hosp, Douyu, So-Young, Yunji

2019 total deals 2019 accuracy rate  chartbuilder

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by Smartkarma Insight Providers recently, along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Placements took a back seat this week and IPO activity came roaring back to life.

Starting in the US, the two highly anticipated IPOs, Luckin Coffee (LK US) and Douyu (DOYU US), filed their prospectus with the SEC. We have already shared our early thoughts on the companies. Look out for more insights as we crunch through the numbers in the following weeks leading up to its IPO launch.

Yunji Inc. (YJ US) and So-Young (SY US) opened their IPOs for bookbuild. We covered their valuation in:

Back in Hong Kong, Shenwan Hongyuan Group (H) (6806 HK) plunged 12% on its debut on Friday. As per Ke Yan, CFA, FRM‘s insight, risk-reward after the plunge implies that Shenwan is trading at a deeper discount to its A-share than it deserves. Considering that there had already been a big potion of adjusted free-float traded, stabilization can easily support the share price from here back to its IPO price.

Duiba Group (1753 HK) also opened its IPO for bookbuild this week. We heard that books are covered as of Friday. Valuation leaned on the expensive side as bankers probably took advantage of the strong rally in advertising peers to offer it at a higher valuation. We think that the IPO will only offer upside from the bottom end of the price range.

Activity is also picking up for Singapore and Malaysia after a long lull. ARA US Hospitality Trust (HOTEL SP) and Eagle Hospitality REIT filed their prospectus with MAS while ARA US Hospitality’s IPO is already taking orders for bookbuild. Sumeet Singh penned his thoughts on the REIT and its valuation in:

Malaysia’s Leong Hup International (LEHUP MK) finally launched its IPO after initial delays. 

Accuracy Rate:

Our overall accuracy rate is 72.1% for IPOs and 64% for Placements 

(Performance measurement criteria is explained at the end of the note)

New IPO filings

  • Ascentage Pharma (Hong Kong, re-filed)

Below is a snippet of our IPO tool showing upcoming events for the next week. The IPO tool is designed to provide readers with timely information on all IPO related events (Book open/closing, listing, initiation, lock-up expiry, etc) for all the deals that we have worked on. You can access the tool here or through the tools menu.

Source: Aequitas Research, Smartkarma

News on Upcoming IPOs

Analysis on Upcoming IPO

NameInsight
Hong Kong
AB InbevAb InBev Asia Pre-IPO – A Brief History of the Asia Pacific Operations – Eeking Out Growth in China
AscentageAscentage Pharma (亚盛医药) IPO: Too Early for an IPO
Ant FinancialAnt Financial IPO Early Thought: Understand Fintech Empire, Growth & Risk Factors
CIMC VehCIMC Vehicle (中集车辆): Market Leader of Semi-Trailers but Little Growth Ahead
ClarityClarity Medical (清晰医疗) IPO: Proxy to HK SMILE Surgery Demand
ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: How Jinri Toutiao Paves The Way for a Bigger Empire (Part 1)

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: Tiktok the No.1 Short Video App for a Good Reason (Part 2)

East EduChina East Education (中国东方教育) Pre-IPO – The Company Known for Its Culinary School
China TobacChina Tobacco International (IPO): The Monopolist Will Not Recover
China TobacChina Tobacco Intl (HK) IPO: Proxy For the Chinese Cigarette Consumption
ESRESR Cayman Pre-IPO – A Giant in the Making
ESR

ESR Cayman Pre-IPO – Earnings and Segment Analysis 

ESR

ESR Cayman Pre-IPO- First Stab at Valuation

Frontage

Frontage (方达控股) IPO: More Disclosure Needed to Understand Moat and Growth Prospect

Frontage

Frontage (方达控股) IPO: Updates from 2018 Numbers

Haitong

Haitong UniTrust Intl Leasing Pre-IPO – Shape Shifting

Hujiang Edu

Hujiang Education (沪江教育) Pre-IPO – Spending More than It Earns

Hut Chi-Med

Hutchison-China Meditech (和黄医药) H-Share Listing: MNC Partnerships Endorsed Its R&D Capabilities

Jinxin

Jinxin Fertility (锦欣生殖) Pre-IPO: Strong Foothold in Sichuan but Weak Sentiment for Sector

MicuRxMicuRx Pharma (盟科医药) IPO: Betting on Single Drug in the Not so Attractive Antibiotic Segment
MabPharmMabPharma (迈博医药) IPO: Assembled for a Trade?
MabPharmMabPharm (迈博医药) IPO: Thoughts on Valuation (Part 2)
SH Henlius

Shanghai Henlius (复宏汉霖) IPO: Not an Impressive Biosimilar Portfolio 

TubatuTubatu Group Pre-IPO – Performing Better than Qeeka but Growing Much Slower, US$1bn a Stretch
TubatuTubatu Group Pre-IPO – Online -> Online + Offline -> Online -> ?
South Korea
KMH ShillaKMH Shilla Leisure IPO Preview (Part 1) – Highly Profitable Operator of Public Golf Courses in Korea
KMH ShillaKMH Shilla Leisure IPO Preview (Part 2) – Valuation Analysis
Plakor

Plakor IPO Preview (Part 1)

ZinusZinus IPO Preview (Part 1) – An Amazing Comeback Story (#1 Mattress Brand on Amazon)
India
Anmol IndAnmol Industries Pre-IPO Quick Take – No Growth, Generous Payments to Founders
Bharat Hotels

Bharat Hotels Pre-IPO – Catching up with Peers 

CMS InfoCMS Info Systems Pre-IPO – When a PE Sells to Another PE… Only One Gets the Timing Right
Crystal CropCrystal Crop Protection Pre-IPO – DRHP Raises More Questions than in Answers
Flemingo Flemingo Travel Retail Pre-IPO – Its a Different Business in Every Country
NSENSE IPO Preview- Not Only Fast..its Risky and Expensive
NSENational Stock Exchange Pre-IPO Review – Bigger, Better, Stronger but a Little Too Fast for Some
MazagonMazagon Dock IPO Preview: A Monopoly Submarine Yard in India with Captive Navy Spending
Mrs. BectorMrs. Bectors Food Specialities Pre-IPO Quick Take – Sales for Its Main Segment Have Been Sta

Lodha

Lodha Developers Pre-IPO – Second Time Lucky but Not Really that Much Affordable
LodhaLodha Developers IPO: Presence in Affordable Segment Saves Lodha the Blushes in a Sluggish Mkt
IndiaMartIndiaMART Pre-IPO – Getting and Retaining Subscribers Seems to Be Difficult
PNB MetPNB Metlife Pre-IPO Quick Take – Doesn’t Stack up Well Versus Its Larger Peers
Malaysia
QSRQSR Brands Pre-IPO – As Healthy as Fast Food
The U.S
DouyuDouyu (斗鱼直播) IPO: Leader At a Cost
LuckinLuckin Coffee (瑞幸咖啡) Early Thoughts – Caffeine Rush
LuckinLuckin Coffee (瑞幸咖啡) App Walk-Through and Channel Checks

3. AGM Jardine Cycle & Carriage (JCNC SP): Cars, Cows and Cement; High Gearing = Likely Rights Issue

Changing mix

The 50th JCNC AGM was all about cars, cows and cement. Investors questioned the board on various topics. 

Jardine Cycle & Carriage Ltd (JCNC SP) is an interesting play on Astra (at a discount), and now offers you exposure to some other large companies in Vietnam and Thailand. The increased investments have impacted the balance sheet which now carries $1.3 billion in holding debt. This is high by historical Jardine standards, another rights issue is therefore increasingly likely and is probably only a matter of time.

4. Leong Hup IPO – Privatization Was at Lower Multiples and Key Subsidiary Too Is Trading Cheaper

Growth in indonesia picked up while malaysia and singapore slowed yoy 2016 2017 6m18 10m18 chartbuilder

Leong Hup International (LEHUP MK) plans to raise up to US$250m in its Malaysian IPO. The deal seems to have been downsized from the earlier touted US$400m raising. Although the company has managed to get cornerstone investors to take up 45% of the deal.

I’ve covered the fundamental aspects of the deal in my earlier insight:

In this insight, I’ll talk about the updates since the previous filing, comment on valuations and run the deal through our ECM framework.

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Brief Singapore: ARA US Hospitality Trust IPO – Performance of Past Overseas Linked Listings Doesn’t Bode Well and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In this briefing:

  1. ARA US Hospitality Trust IPO – Performance of Past Overseas Linked Listings Doesn’t Bode Well

1. ARA US Hospitality Trust IPO – Performance of Past Overseas Linked Listings Doesn’t Bode Well

Price performance in first thirty days post listing rebased to 100 at ipo price must sp cert sp chartbuilder

ARA US Hospitality Trust (HOTEL SP) (ARAHT) plans to raise up to US$450m via its IPO on SGX. The initial portfolio comprises of 38 hotels in the US and was recently purchased by ARA from Lone Star. 

I covered the company background and other fundamental aspects in my earlier insight:

In this insight, I’ll run the deal through out ECM framework, comment on valuations and compare it to other similar past listings.

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Brief Singapore: ARA US Hospitality Trust IPO – Performance of Past Overseas Linked Listings Doesn’t Bode Well and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In this briefing:

  1. ARA US Hospitality Trust IPO – Performance of Past Overseas Linked Listings Doesn’t Bode Well
  2. Suntec REIT Placement: For a Sensible Cause

1. ARA US Hospitality Trust IPO – Performance of Past Overseas Linked Listings Doesn’t Bode Well

Price performance in first thirty days post listing rebased to 100 at ipo price must sp cert sp chartbuilder

ARA US Hospitality Trust (HOTEL SP) (ARAHT) plans to raise up to US$450m via its IPO on SGX. The initial portfolio comprises of 38 hotels in the US and was recently purchased by ARA from Lone Star. 

I covered the company background and other fundamental aspects in my earlier insight:

In this insight, I’ll run the deal through out ECM framework, comment on valuations and compare it to other similar past listings.

2. Suntec REIT Placement: For a Sensible Cause

On Wednesday, Suntec REIT (SUN SP) unveiled plans to raise around S$150 million through a placement of 84.7 million new units at a placing price range of S$1.77-1.81 per unit.

We believe Suntec’s fundamentals are improving due to the sustained turnaround in Suntec City Mall, favourable Singapore office rental environment and the potential for acquisitions to offset the reliance on capital distributions. Overall, we would be tempted to participate in the proposed placement at the low-end of the pricing range.

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Brief Singapore: ECM Weekly (25 May 2019) – ESR Cayman, Hansoh Pharma, Tai Hing, China East Edu, Haitong UniTrust and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In this briefing:

  1. ECM Weekly (25 May 2019) – ESR Cayman, Hansoh Pharma, Tai Hing, China East Edu, Haitong UniTrust
  2. Singapore REIT: Sabana REIT in Focus as Sector Consolidation Goes On
  3. The Global Recovery Narrative Crumbles
  4. Bitcoin, Revisited
  5. Five Property Acquisitions Expected to Boost REIT Yields

1. ECM Weekly (25 May 2019) – ESR Cayman, Hansoh Pharma, Tai Hing, China East Edu, Haitong UniTrust

Upcoming

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by Smartkarma Insight Providers recently, along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

This will be the third week in a row we are saying: there are more IPOs coming in Hong Kong!Momentum seems to be holding up as we head into the end of Q2. First off, there will be 4 IPOs starting to trade throughout next week. Mulsanne Group Holding Ltd (1817 HK) will debut first on Monday.

This would be interesting to watch because the IPO utilized the new pricing mechanism in Hong Kong to price its IPO below the bottom end of its indicated price range rather than withdraw and refile. This mechanism reminds us of the pricing flexibility of US IPOs wherein companies could price below its indicative price range to ensure that it performs well on its debut despite poor demand during bookbuild. Xinyi Energy Holdings Ltd (3868 HK), Frontage Holdings (1521 HK), and MabPharm (2181 HK) will trade on Tuesday, Thursday, and Friday respectively.

For upcoming bookbuilds, Tai Hing (1719303D HK) and China Tobacco International (GHALPZ CH) have filed their PHIP this week and will be likely be opening their books next week. We are also hearing that CSSC Hong Kong Shipping Co Ltd (0931049D CH) and China East Education (EASTEDU HK) will open books on Monday while Hansoh Pharmaceutical (HANSOH HK) will be on Tuesday.

IPO activity in other countries have been fairly muted. Eagle Hospitality Trust (EAGLEHT SP)  finally started trading in Singapore. Its share price closed 6% down as the IPO was undersubscribed. We will leave the updates on the IPO to Sumeet Singh on Monday.

In the U.S, GSX Techedu (GSX US) will launch its book next week while Meten (MEDU US) which just filed its US$100m IPO with the SEC will be premarketing next week.

Accuracy Rate:

Our overall accuracy rate is 72.4% for IPOs and 63.9% for Placements 

(Performance measurement criteria is explained at the end of the note)

New IPO filings

  • Sinic Holdings (Hong Kong, >US$100m)
  • Meten International Edu (the U.S, US$100m)

Below is a snippet of our IPO tool showing upcoming events for the next week. The IPO tool is designed to provide readers with timely information on all IPO related events (Book open/closing, listing, initiation, lock-up expiry, etc) for all the deals that we have worked on. You can access the tool here or through the tools menu.

Source: Aequitas Research, Smartkarma

News on Upcoming IPOs

Analysis on Upcoming IPOs

NameInsight
Hong Kong
AB InbevAb InBev Asia Pre-IPO – A Brief History of the Asia Pacific Operations – Eeking Out Growth in China
AB InbevAb InBev Asia Pre-IPO – Quick Note – More like CR Beer Rather than Tsingtao
AB InbevAb InBev Asia Pre-IPO – On Its Way to Potentially Being the Biggest HK IPO This Year
AB Inbev

Budweiser Brewing APAC Pre-IPO – It Will Be a US$5bn+ Raise Owing to Its Clean Balance Sheet

AscentageAscentage Pharma (亚盛医药) IPO: Too Early for an IPO
Ant FinancialAnt Financial IPO Early Thought: Understand Fintech Empire, Growth & Risk Factors
CIMC VehCIMC Vehicle (中集车辆): Market Leader of Semi-Trailers but Little Growth Ahead
ClarityClarity Medical (清晰医疗) IPO: Proxy to HK SMILE Surgery Demand
ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: How Jinri Toutiao Paves The Way for a Bigger Empire (Part 1)

ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: Tiktok the No.1 Short Video App for a Good Reason (Part 2)

East EduChina East Education (中国东方教育) Pre-IPO – The Company Known for Its Culinary School
China TobacChina Tobacco International (IPO): The Monopolist Will Not Recover
China TobacChina Tobacco Intl (HK) IPO: Proxy For the Chinese Cigarette Consumption
CSSCCSSC (HK) Shipping IPO: A Cyclical Business Masked as an Income Stock
ESRESR Cayman Pre-IPO – A Giant in the Making
ESR

ESR Cayman Pre-IPO – Earnings and Segment Analysis 

ESR

ESR Cayman Pre-IPO- First Stab at Valuation

ESR

ESR Cayman Pre-IPO – Updates from PHIP – Growth Remains on Track 

ESR

ESR Cayman Pre-IPO – Updated Valuation and Key Risks

ESR

ESR Cayman Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison Quick Take – Bigger than Some, Much Smaller than Others 

Hansoh

Hansoh Pharma (翰森制药) IPO: New Numbers, Pre-IPO Dividend and Boyu Investment (Part 3)

Hansoh

Hansoh Pharma (翰森制药) IPO: Thoughts on Valuation

Hansoh

Hansoh Pharma (翰森制药) IPO: Competitive Landscape of HS-10296

Helenbergh

Helenbergh (海伦堡) Early Thoughts – The Usual Red Flag – Related Party Transactions

Hut Chi-Med

Hutchison-China Med (和黄医药) H-Share Listing: MNC Partnerships Endorsed Its R&D Capabilities

Jinxin

Jinxin Fertility (锦欣生殖) Pre-IPO: Strong Foothold in Sichuan but Weak Sentiment for Sector

MicuRxMicuRx Pharma (盟科医药) IPO: Betting on Single Drug in the Not so Attractive Antibiotic Segment
MabPharmMabPharma (迈博医药) IPO: Assembled for a Trade?
MabPharmMabPharm (迈博医药) IPO: Thoughts on Valuation (Part 2)
SH Henlius

Shanghai Henlius (复宏汉霖) IPO: Not an Impressive Biosimilar Portfolio 

TubatuTubatu Group Pre-IPO – Performing Better than Qeeka but Growing Much Slower, US$1bn a Stretch
TubatuTubatu Group Pre-IPO – Online -> Online + Offline -> Online -> ?
South Korea
KMH ShillaKMH Shilla Leisure IPO Preview (Part 1) – Highly Profitable Operator of Public Golf Courses in Korea
KMH ShillaKMH Shilla Leisure IPO Preview (Part 2) – Valuation Analysis
Plakor

Plakor IPO Preview (Part 1)

ZinusZinus IPO Preview (Part 1) – An Amazing Comeback Story (#1 Mattress Brand on Amazon)
India
Aakash EduAakash Education Pre-IPO – Fast Growth in an Attractive Sector
Anmol IndAnmol Industries Pre-IPO Quick Take – No Growth, Generous Payments to Founders
Bharat Hotels

Bharat Hotels Pre-IPO – Catching up with Peers 

CMS InfoCMS Info Systems Pre-IPO – When a PE Sells to Another PE… Only One Gets the Timing Right
Crystal CropCrystal Crop Protection Pre-IPO – DRHP Raises More Questions than in Answers
Flemingo Flemingo Travel Retail Pre-IPO – Its a Different Business in Every Country
NSENSE IPO Preview- Not Only Fast..its Risky and Expensive
NSENational Stock Exchange Pre-IPO Review – Bigger, Better, Stronger but a Little Too Fast for Some
MazagonMazagon Dock IPO Preview: A Monopoly Submarine Yard in India with Captive Navy Spending
Mrs. BectorMrs. Bectors Food Specialities Pre-IPO Quick Take – Sales for Its Main Segment Have Been Sta

Lodha

Lodha Developers Pre-IPO – Second Time Lucky but Not Really that Much Affordable
LodhaLodha Developers IPO: Presence in Affordable Segment Saves Lodha the Blushes in a Sluggish Mkt
IndiaMartIndiaMART Pre-IPO – Getting and Retaining Subscribers Seems to Be Difficult
PNB MetPNB Metlife Pre-IPO Quick Take – Doesn’t Stack up Well Versus Its Larger Peers
Malaysia
QSRQSR Brands Pre-IPO – As Healthy as Fast Food
The U.S
DouyuDouyu (斗鱼直播) IPO: Leader At a Cost
DouyuDouyu (斗鱼直播) IPO: Comparison with Huya (Part 2)
GSXGSX Techedu (跟谁学) IPO Early Thoughts – Successful Pivot Away from Marketplace Model
MetenMeten International Edu (美联国际教育) Early Thoughts – Unclear Strategies

2. Singapore REIT: Sabana REIT in Focus as Sector Consolidation Goes On

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InfinitySub, a subsidiary of ESR Cayman, is raising its stake in the SPV which owns the manager of Sabana Shari’Ah Compliant Reit (SSREIT SP) (Sabana REIT) and buying units in the REIT in a S$62.2mn deal through a set of transactions. This ESR’s second attempt to acquire Sabana REIT after talks of unit/asset sales to ESR REIT was aborted in 2017. 

Based on current year DPU of 3.0 cents (annualized based on 1Q19 DPU), the yield of 7.1% is unimpressive and the REIT continues to face challenging market conditions and the likelihood of negative rental reversions. The entry of ESR Cayman as the controlling shareholder is definitely welcome as it may bring about a swifter reconstitution of Sabana REIT’s existing portfolio and a brighter prospect of acquisitions.   

Sabana REIT’s estimated debt headroom of about S$190mn before hitting the regulatory gearing limit is by no means considered high. However, having a new sponsor such as ESR Cayman may give Sabana REIT more options for manoeuvre.  

The  vendor, Vibrant (VIBG SP) has obtained a waiver from the SGX for holding an extraordinary general meeting (EGM) for shareholders to approve the deal as the transactions are price- and time-sensitive.

3. The Global Recovery Narrative Crumbles

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The US equity market was running with an optimistic assessment that there is a Trump and Fed put, that a trade deal and Chinese policy stimulus would generate a recovery in the global economy and the US economy was largely immune to a slowdown in activity abroad. However, the tariffs have been increased, trade talks have stalled, and the US has rolled out bans on Chinese tech companies.  The evidence grows that there is a structural rift in US-China trade relations. The rebound in Chinese economic activity in March was not backed up by data in other Asian exporter nations or Europe through April.  Chinese activity data slumped again in April, and the latest PMI data in the Eurozone, Japan and the USA for May are weak. Oil and copper prices have turned lower, suggesting that industrial activity remains weak.  We continue to see downside risk for still elevated US equities.  The strength in the USD to date is contributing to downward pressure on US equities.  The gains in the USD may have become over-extended.  China may pursue a more stable CNY for a period and lower US yields should support safe haven currencies, JPY, CHF and gold.

4. Bitcoin, Revisited

Screenshot%202019 05 23%20at%2020.26.51

Bitcoin and the block chain were created just over ten years ago, as a means to create peer to peer transactions without the need to use financial institutions to process the payments. 

However, frequent hacks of Bitcoin exchanges, in addition to the significant past fluctuations of Bitcoin prices, have put mainstream usage off and slowed the adoption of the cryptocurrency.

Is this about to change now?

5. Five Property Acquisitions Expected to Boost REIT Yields

  • Singapore’s REITs are characterised by comparatively high and stable distribution yields, in addition to potential for portfolio growth. While REIT managers are known to be cautious with balance sheets, acquisitions and secondary fund raisings continue to advance in 2019.
  • In the month of May, five REITs have either announced or completed property acquisitions for their portfolios & include Frasers Centrepoint Trust, AIMS APAC REIT, Sasseur REIT, Manulife US REIT and EC World REIT. The acquisitions span Singapore, Australia, China and the US.
  • In all five acquisitions, Managers have highlighted that the acquisitions would be yield accretive, i.e. boost the overall distribution yield of their respective portfolios. Currently the 34 REITs and six stapled trusts average a 6.5% distribution yield.

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

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Brief Singapore: Suntec REIT Placement: For a Sensible Cause and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In this briefing:

  1. Suntec REIT Placement: For a Sensible Cause

1. Suntec REIT Placement: For a Sensible Cause

On Wednesday, Suntec REIT (SUN SP) unveiled plans to raise around S$150 million through a placement of 84.7 million new units at a placing price range of S$1.77-1.81 per unit.

We believe Suntec’s fundamentals are improving due to the sustained turnaround in Suntec City Mall, favourable Singapore office rental environment and the potential for acquisitions to offset the reliance on capital distributions. Overall, we would be tempted to participate in the proposed placement at the low-end of the pricing range.

Get Straight to the Source on Smartkarma

Smartkarma supports the world’s leading investors with high-quality, timely, and actionable Insights. Subscribe now for unlimited access, or request a demo below.



Brief Singapore: Singapore REIT: Sabana REIT in Focus as Sector Consolidation Goes On and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In this briefing:

  1. Singapore REIT: Sabana REIT in Focus as Sector Consolidation Goes On
  2. The Global Recovery Narrative Crumbles
  3. Bitcoin, Revisited
  4. Five Property Acquisitions Expected to Boost REIT Yields
  5. ComfortDelgro: Can Surge Fares Mitigate Competitive Pressure From Ride Entrants?

1. Singapore REIT: Sabana REIT in Focus as Sector Consolidation Goes On

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InfinitySub, a subsidiary of ESR Cayman, is raising its stake in the SPV which owns the manager of Sabana Shari’Ah Compliant Reit (SSREIT SP) (Sabana REIT) and buying units in the REIT in a S$62.2mn deal through a set of transactions. This ESR’s second attempt to acquire Sabana REIT after talks of unit/asset sales to ESR REIT was aborted in 2017. 

Based on current year DPU of 3.0 cents (annualized based on 1Q19 DPU), the yield of 7.1% is unimpressive and the REIT continues to face challenging market conditions and the likelihood of negative rental reversions. The entry of ESR Cayman as the controlling shareholder is definitely welcome as it may bring about a swifter reconstitution of Sabana REIT’s existing portfolio and a brighter prospect of acquisitions.   

Sabana REIT’s estimated debt headroom of about S$190mn before hitting the regulatory gearing limit is by no means considered high. However, having a new sponsor such as ESR Cayman may give Sabana REIT more options for manoeuvre.  

The  vendor, Vibrant (VIBG SP) has obtained a waiver from the SGX for holding an extraordinary general meeting (EGM) for shareholders to approve the deal as the transactions are price- and time-sensitive.

2. The Global Recovery Narrative Crumbles

3%20 %20copy

The US equity market was running with an optimistic assessment that there is a Trump and Fed put, that a trade deal and Chinese policy stimulus would generate a recovery in the global economy and the US economy was largely immune to a slowdown in activity abroad. However, the tariffs have been increased, trade talks have stalled, and the US has rolled out bans on Chinese tech companies.  The evidence grows that there is a structural rift in US-China trade relations. The rebound in Chinese economic activity in March was not backed up by data in other Asian exporter nations or Europe through April.  Chinese activity data slumped again in April, and the latest PMI data in the Eurozone, Japan and the USA for May are weak. Oil and copper prices have turned lower, suggesting that industrial activity remains weak.  We continue to see downside risk for still elevated US equities.  The strength in the USD to date is contributing to downward pressure on US equities.  The gains in the USD may have become over-extended.  China may pursue a more stable CNY for a period and lower US yields should support safe haven currencies, JPY, CHF and gold.

3. Bitcoin, Revisited

Screenshot%202019 05 23%20at%2020.26.51

Bitcoin and the block chain were created just over ten years ago, as a means to create peer to peer transactions without the need to use financial institutions to process the payments. 

However, frequent hacks of Bitcoin exchanges, in addition to the significant past fluctuations of Bitcoin prices, have put mainstream usage off and slowed the adoption of the cryptocurrency.

Is this about to change now?

4. Five Property Acquisitions Expected to Boost REIT Yields

  • Singapore’s REITs are characterised by comparatively high and stable distribution yields, in addition to potential for portfolio growth. While REIT managers are known to be cautious with balance sheets, acquisitions and secondary fund raisings continue to advance in 2019.
  • In the month of May, five REITs have either announced or completed property acquisitions for their portfolios & include Frasers Centrepoint Trust, AIMS APAC REIT, Sasseur REIT, Manulife US REIT and EC World REIT. The acquisitions span Singapore, Australia, China and the US.
  • In all five acquisitions, Managers have highlighted that the acquisitions would be yield accretive, i.e. boost the overall distribution yield of their respective portfolios. Currently the 34 REITs and six stapled trusts average a 6.5% distribution yield.

5. ComfortDelgro: Can Surge Fares Mitigate Competitive Pressure From Ride Entrants?

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Earlier this month, ComfortDelgro (CD) said it will roll out dynamic pricing. How will it affect demand from commuters and ultimately drivers? This article has four parts:

  • Thoughts on Dynamic Pricing 
  • Interesting trends as Go-Jek enters Singapore
  • Short Discussion on 1Q19 results
  • Conclusions

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Brief Singapore: Market Response to S9bn Gaming Expansion Perplexes More than It Reveals and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In this briefing:

  1. Market Response to S9bn Gaming Expansion Perplexes More than It Reveals

1. Market Response to S9bn Gaming Expansion Perplexes More than It Reveals

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  • Las Vegas Sands and Genting Singapore have both made good bets triggering different market responses.
  • Concerns about Genting shouldn’t be centered in Asia but questions persist about their growing global footprint.
  • Las Vegas Sands fundamental support our PT of US$70 and a runway to US$100 by 2Q20

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Brief Singapore: Market Response to S9bn Gaming Expansion Perplexes More than It Reveals and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In this briefing:

  1. Market Response to S9bn Gaming Expansion Perplexes More than It Reveals
  2. Singapore MAS – To Stay On Hold In 2019

1. Market Response to S9bn Gaming Expansion Perplexes More than It Reveals

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  • Las Vegas Sands and Genting Singapore have both made good bets triggering different market responses.
  • Concerns about Genting shouldn’t be centered in Asia but questions persist about their growing global footprint.
  • Las Vegas Sands fundamental support our PT of US$70 and a runway to US$100 by 2Q20

2. Singapore MAS – To Stay On Hold In 2019

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We are underweight Singaporean equities. We would expect the MAS to maintain its current exchange rate policy stance through 2019 and would not be surprised to see a further loosening of property market austerity measures.

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