Category

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Two Weeks to Negotiate and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Two Weeks to Negotiate
  • Asia Monetary Easing: Tailored for Income-Generating Real Estate
  • Australia Real Estate: Seeking Values
  • #164 India Insights: TCS-Salling AI Deal, Hindustan Zinc 12k Cr Capex, Falcon Jets by 2028


Ohayo Japan | Two Weeks to Negotiate

By Mark Chadwick

  • Trump said he will make a decision on whether to launch military strike on Iran “within next two weeks;” otherwise markets quiet – ie. closed
  • Seven & i Holdings will sell part of its Seven Bank stake, reducing its shareholding to 39.9%, making it an equity-method affiliate
  • Sony projects 90% of major global automakers will adopt its automotive CMOS sensors by fiscal 2027, aiming for a 43% market share.

Asia Monetary Easing: Tailored for Income-Generating Real Estate

By Jacob Cheng

  • The Fed announced to hold rates unchanged, but the SEP indicates they expect 2 rate cuts in 2025 and 1 more in 2026.  Tariff remains a short-term concern
  • Under such a macro backdrop, we think key economies in Asia (with the exception of Japan) will continue their monetary easing path
  • Real estate will benefit from lower interest rates.  We like Goodman Group on the back of its strong global industrial exposure, and CICT SP, on its well-diversified exposure in Singapore

Australia Real Estate: Seeking Values

By Jacob Cheng

  • Australia’s central bank RBA has recently cut rates in May meeting, with market expecting more rate cuts to come.  We expect this will provide tailwind for real estate
  • Within real estate sub-sectors, industrial & logistics and retail are well supported by strong fundamentals.  Office and residential are seeing mixed pictures
  • We like Goodman on its global exposure on industrial and logistics.  We also like Vicinity Centers due to its exposure on quality retail.

#164 India Insights: TCS-Salling AI Deal, Hindustan Zinc 12k Cr Capex, Falcon Jets by 2028

By Sudarshan Bhandari


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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Asia Data Center REITs: The AI-Driven Generational Investment Opportunity and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Asia Data Center REITs: The AI-Driven Generational Investment Opportunity
  • Ohayo Japan | Fed in No Rush to Cut Rates
  • Japan Morning Connection: Fears over Iran Continue to Diminish Despite the Spectre of US Involvement
  • Thematic Report: Ozempic- Weight Loss Drug Revolution
  • Charted Insights: Is Indian Earnings Recovery in Q4FY25 Sustainable?
  • Furniture/Furnishings Weekly ‘Crisis Mode’ Return-To-Office
  • Biopharma Week in Review – Vaccine Advisory Board Overhaul Sudden but Not Surprising
  • Thematic Report on Gold Loan Revolution: Formalizing the Sector for a Transparent Future


Asia Data Center REITs: The AI-Driven Generational Investment Opportunity

By Jacob Cheng

  • Driven by long-term structural drivers including cloud computing adoption, digital transformation, 5G network rollout, we think Data Centers in Asia can be a generational investment opportunity
  • Keppel DC REIT and Digital Core REIT are pure plays listed in Singapore. Keppel is Singapore-concentrated, offering stable growth.  DC REIT’s portfolio is global, and backed by Digital Realty
  • We think interest rate volatility, regulatory framework and data localization policies, as well as market supply have to be taken into consideration when investors are making investment decisions

Ohayo Japan | Fed in No Rush to Cut Rates

By Mark Chadwick

  • US stocks flat after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged
  • Marvell (MRVL) +7% on bullish AI guidance. Momentum in U.S. semi names continues to support investor appetite for global tech exposure
  • Activist investor, Effissimo Capital Management, increased its stake in UACJ

Japan Morning Connection: Fears over Iran Continue to Diminish Despite the Spectre of US Involvement

By Andrew Jackson

  • Marvell the latest US tech major to raise its TAM for AI helping buoy related names.
  • Deal that sees Wolfspeed briefly dipping into chapter11 may bode well for Renesas.
  • Sega Sammy lays out plans to get its valuations up and inline with peers as games surge given their tariff resilience.

Thematic Report: Ozempic- Weight Loss Drug Revolution

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Once overlooked, Ozempic (semaglutide) has become a multi-billion-dollar drug, transforming the landscape of weight loss and chronic disease management due to its remarkable efficacy. 
  • With new FDA-approved indications for cardiovascular risk, chronic kidney disease, and obesity, Ozempic is driving massive market growth, set to dominate the GLP-1 receptor agonist sector.
  • While patent protection and high demand fuel growth, the impending expiration in key markets like India and competition from emerging drugs will impact pricing and market dynamics.

Charted Insights: Is Indian Earnings Recovery in Q4FY25 Sustainable?

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • BSE500 reported a recovery in PAT growth from 8% YoY in Q3FY25 to 10% YoY in Q4FY25, but top-line growth remained flat at just 8%, continuing a weak trend.
  • Margin expansion was cost-driven, with wage bill growth slowing to 5% YoY i.e. its lowest level post-COVID impacting future consumption potential.
  • FY26 BSE500 EPS estimates were cut by 3% in Q4, totaling a 10% downgrade YoY, signaling stagnation despite index valuation rollover.

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly ‘Crisis Mode’ Return-To-Office

By Water Tower Research

  • Middle East conflict and tariff policy uncertainty weigh down the market.
  • The WTR Commercial/Contract Furniture Index declined 3.6%, the Residential Manufacturers & Suppliers Index fell 3.4%, and the Home Goods Retailers Index was down 1.7%, as the broader market indices declined 0.5% and the R2K fell 2.1%.
  • Innovation sprints and ‘crisis’ response drive return-to- office policies (1), at least for one hedge fund who is demanding that staff commit to five days a week at the office in order to address recent performance shortcomings, with management arguing that “experience has shown that a period of highly focused, in-person collaboration allows significant research progress to be made in a relatively short amount of time.”

Biopharma Week in Review – Vaccine Advisory Board Overhaul Sudden but Not Surprising

By Water Tower Research

  • Pharma benefited from some defensive sector rotation, led by the big obesity duo, LLY and NVO, ahead of this week’s major diabetes conference (ADA 2025).
  • Vaccine concerns reached new heights as RFK Jr. suddenly (but not surprising) dismantled the CDC’s ACIP (vaccine expert panel) and replaced it with vaccine skeptics to reshape vaccine policy and guidance.
  • Most- Favored-Nation (MFN) appeared to be in a stand-off as the 30- day deadline (June 11) for drug price targets passed without any action. 

Thematic Report on Gold Loan Revolution: Formalizing the Sector for a Transparent Future

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • The RBI’s new policy introduces tiered LTV ratios, stricter collateral eligibility, and standardized gold valuation processes across banks, NBFCs, and co-operative banks.
  • This shift aims to enhance transparency, protect borrowers, reduce systemic risk, and formalize the gold loan market, promoting responsible lending and financial inclusion.
  • The policy significantly strengthens the gold loan ecosystem, ensuring greater trust and stability, while improving access to credit for underserved populations, especially in rural areas.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Unconditional Surrender and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Unconditional Surrender
  • “Buy the Worst” HSI Strategy: Solid Gains in 1H25
  • Japan Morning Connection: Risk-Off Tape Unlikely to Last with Regime Change the Most Likely Outcome
  • GDS and VNET – Recent Pullback Provides Entry Opportunity, Long-Term AI Growth Solid and Strong
  • Valuations, Visas & Venture Pullback: An Equity + M&A Overview of the Education Sector in Q1 2025
  • [Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/JD US/1810 HK/700 HK/NTES US/BIDU US/E-Commerce
  • [Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/ TSLA US/LI US/ 1810 HK /XPEV US/New Energy Vehicles
  • #163 India Insight: Steel Tax To Cut Imports By 50%, ADD on Chemicals, BAT to Exit ITC Hotel’s Stake
  • Charted Insights: Evaluating Indian Sectoral Positioning After FY25 Earnings
  • Middle East FX & Egypt, June 17th 2025


Ohayo Japan | Unconditional Surrender

By Mark Chadwick

  • US stocks fell Tuesday as escalating tensions between the US and Iran weighed on sentiment, with President Trump calling for Iran’s “unconditional surrender”
  • Honda’s subsidiary successfully demonstrated a reusable small rocket, launching and landing a 6.3-meter craft in Hokkaido, targeting suborbital space by 2029.
  • Nissan Motor announced the redesign of its Leaf electric vehicle, the first update in eight years, transforming it into a compact SUV

“Buy the Worst” HSI Strategy: Solid Gains in 1H25

By Osbert Tang, CFA


Japan Morning Connection: Risk-Off Tape Unlikely to Last with Regime Change the Most Likely Outcome

By Andrew Jackson

  • Defense related plays stronger as the potential for US direct involvement in Iran grows…watch heavies for more upside.
  • Kioxia squeeze unlikely to last now lock-up expiry now past.
  • Nintendo back at the highs, but with record sales already priced in and Switch2 sold out a correction from here looks likely.

GDS and VNET – Recent Pullback Provides Entry Opportunity, Long-Term AI Growth Solid and Strong

By Jacob Cheng

  • Both GDS and VNET declined more than 70% from all time high.   We think both stocks are over-penalized by market from top-down macro-economic reasons and geo-political tensions
  • We think there is a dis-connect between the share price and solid company fundamentals.   The explosive growth in demand for AI and Cloud computing infrastructure remains strong
  • GDS is a mature, blue-chip name that offers sustainable profitability while on de-leveraging.  VNET is a high-growth, high-risk turnaround play with its wholesale offering higher short-term upside

Valuations, Visas & Venture Pullback: An Equity + M&A Overview of the Education Sector in Q1 2025

By Daniel Su


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/JD US/1810 HK/700 HK/NTES US/BIDU US/E-Commerce

By Ying Pan

  • BABA US: Eleme to Invest Additional RMB1 Billion in Merchant Support Over Next Three Months(-)
  • JD US/1810 HK:May Retail Sales Growth Exceeds Expectations, Online Growth Slightly Accelerates (+/+)
  • JD US : JD.com Sponsors “Jiangsu Super League” . (+)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/ TSLA US/LI US/ 1810 HK /XPEV US/New Energy Vehicles

By Eric Wen

  • 1211 HK : BYD Issues Super Short-Term Commercial Paper. (-)
  • 1211 HK/ TSLA US/LI US/1810 HK /XPEV US:2025 June 9 – June 15 NEV Delivery Rankings(+/+/-/-//)
  • New Energy Vehicles: Lithium Carbonate Price Falls to 60,000 Yuan/Ton (+)

#163 India Insight: Steel Tax To Cut Imports By 50%, ADD on Chemicals, BAT to Exit ITC Hotel’s Stake

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • India expects steel imports to fall by 50% as new tax supports local industry. Rising demand shows the steel sector is set for strong growth.
  • India imposes five-year anti-dumping duties on Vitamin A Palmitate and Insoluble Sulphur imports to protect domestic producers, signaling stronger trade enforcement amid global competition.
  • British American Tobacco (BATS LN) plans to exit its 14.55% stake in ITC Hotels post-demerger, focusing on core operations. The move may reshape ownership and boost institutional participation.

Charted Insights: Evaluating Indian Sectoral Positioning After FY25 Earnings

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • BSE500 PAT growth slowed over 50% to 10%, not demand-led, with revenue stable below 10% This warrants careful sectoral positioning due to cost-driven margins.
  • Pharma, FMCG, Paints are at peak 10-year margins, offering limited upside. Durables, Chemicals, Cement, QSR offer margin potential if demand improves.
  • Persistent EPS downgrades across key sectors like Export Auto (-11%), Non-lending Financials (-7%), Apparel/Retail (-6%), and Pharmaceuticals imply stretched valuations whereas telecom and consumer services avoided negative revision of EPS. 

Middle East FX & Egypt, June 17th 2025

By Denis Collot

  • Some observations : with the events, we got to discover the living rooms and studies of many Middle East intelligence and military consultants/specialists/experts.
  • All commenting a bit far from the action but some are interesting even though it doesn’t in anyway preclude what is going to happen next, only Israel PM Mr Netanyahu and Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khameini might know.
  • One thing that is rarely mentioned or talked about is a similar operation that Israel undertook in June 1981 and codenamed Operation Babylon that saw a daring air force raid destroyed an unfinished nuclear reactor a short distance away from Baghdad. 

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Wall Street Rebounds as Geopolitical Tensions Ease and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Wall Street Rebounds as Geopolitical Tensions Ease
  • Japan Morning Connection: Markets Seeing Iran’s Potential Demise as Fuel to Risk-On Fire
  • Monday Delight: 16/06/25
  • #162 India Insights: Tata Chips Push, NSDL IPO, Jio BlackRock Gets SEBI Nod, New CEO Named
  • Charted Insights : India’s Corporate Profit-To-GDP Ratio: A Structural Shift


Ohayo Japan | Wall Street Rebounds as Geopolitical Tensions Ease

By Mark Chadwick

  • US stocks rebounded Monday as geopolitical tensions eased, with the Dow rising over 300 points, the S&P 500 gaining nearly 1%
  • AMD (+8.8%), CoreWeave (+7.8%), and Teradyne (+5.5%) advanced, while Lockheed Martin (-4%), Northrop (-3.8%) and L3Harris (-3.6%) declined
  • NTT DoCoMo will acquire a 47% stake in CARTA HOLDINGS, a Dentsu Group subsidiary, for 25 billion yen via a tender offer

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Seeing Iran’s Potential Demise as Fuel to Risk-On Fire

By Andrew Jackson

  • Big gains for AMD with analysts more upbeat than last weeks reaction to its AI conference suggests.
  • Advantest 9.6% yesterday on broker comments should see market hunting for laggards such as Kokusai Electric.
  • Estee lauder seeing an uptick in China may help beleaguered Shiseido and Kose move higher.

Monday Delight: 16/06/25

By Contrarian Cashflows

  • Each week, I’ll share five intriguing investment ideas that recently caught my attention. These ideas are meant to spark your research and help you kickstart the week ahead with fresh insights.
  • Because these ideas are the result of my first-level idea generation process, they require more in depth research. Therefore, the ideas will often be concise, with occasional references to valuable work from other practitioners that I encourage you to explore.
  • If you have something fascinating to share that could benefit me and the wider community, don’t hesitate to send it my way—I’d love to hear from you!

#162 India Insights: Tata Chips Push, NSDL IPO, Jio BlackRock Gets SEBI Nod, New CEO Named

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Tata Electronics sends hundreds to Taiwan for semiconductor training, fast-tracking India’s fab ambitions with skilled talent, global leadership, and a ₹1.2 lakh crore investment plan.
  • NSDL plans a $400M IPO in July, with 50.1M shares offered by SBI, NSE, and IDBI Bank marking a key milestone in India’s financial infrastructure story.
  • Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN IN) BlackRock has secured SEBI approval to operate as investment adviser, advancing its digital-first wealth platform and appointing Marc Pilgrem as CEO of the advisory arm.

Charted Insights : India’s Corporate Profit-To-GDP Ratio: A Structural Shift

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • India’s corporate profit-to-GDP ratio held steady at a 17-year high of 4.7% in FY25 for the Nifty-500 universe, reflecting a healthy 10.5% YoY PAT growth
  • While the world grapples with geopolitical challenges, India’s macroeconomic indicators- including strong GDP growth, a stable currency, and moderating inflation and interest rates – present a contrasting and resilient picture.
  • India Inc is entering again the faster earnings growth cycle than GDP growth, currently growing at 3x of broder economic growth.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): China & HK Strategy: Rare Earths – What and How? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • China & HK Strategy: Rare Earths – What and How?
  • Tactical Trading -Oil Joins the Commodity Rally


China & HK Strategy: Rare Earths – What and How?

By Osbert Tang, CFA


Tactical Trading -Oil Joins the Commodity Rally

By Rikki Malik

  • Oil’s positive reaction to bearish news was a signal to go long.
  • Regardless of the outcome of the current fighting between Israel and Iran, oil has likely bottomed.
  • We add oil and related equities to the inflation basket

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): APAC Healthcare Weekly (June 15)- CSPC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • APAC Healthcare Weekly (June 15)- CSPC, Wuxi Bio, Samsung Bio, Daiichi Sankyo, SanBio, Cochlear


APAC Healthcare Weekly (June 15)- CSPC, Wuxi Bio, Samsung Bio, Daiichi Sankyo, SanBio, Cochlear

By Tina Banerjee

  • CSPC entered research collaboration with AstraZeneca for oral small molecule drug discovery utilizing CSPC’s AI-driven drug discovery platform. Wuxi Biologics kicked off construction of new microbial manufacturing site in China.
  • Samsung Biologics signed a CDMO contract worth more than KRW100B (~$73M) with an unnamed European pharmaceutical company. Daiichi Sankyo initiates Phase 3 trial of Enhertu in first-line breast cancer.
  • SanBio has completed filing a partial change application of marketing approval of Akuugo. Cochlear introduces Nucleus Nexa system, the world’s first and only smart cochlear implant system.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): AUCTUS ON FRIDAY – 13/06/2025 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • AUCTUS ON FRIDAY – 13/06/2025
  • [Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:PDD US/700 HK/1439927D CH/1024 HK/BABA US/JD US/NTES US/Gaming Sector
  • [Blue Lotus Daily]:XPEV US/NIO US/New Energy Vehicle/Marco News
  • European Software: Q1 2025 Takeaways – Gradual Improvement


AUCTUS ON FRIDAY – 13/06/2025

By Auctus Advisors

  • Arrow Energy (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: Share buyback programme – Arrow has announced a share buyback programme for up to £2.7 mm worth of shares, representing 5% of the company’s public float.
  • This highlights the strength of the business and the cashflow.
  • Pharos Energy (PHAR LN)C; Target price of £0.45 per share: Licence extension in Vietnam – The exploration period on Blocks 125 & 126 has been extended by two years to November 2027.

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:PDD US/700 HK/1439927D CH/1024 HK/BABA US/JD US/NTES US/Gaming Sector

By Ying Pan

  • PDD US: TEMU Surpasses Allegro in User Numbers in Poland in May (+)
  • 700 HK: Reports Claim Tencent is Attempting to Acquire South Korean Game Developer Nexon for $15 Billion (+)
  • 1439927D CH/1024 HK/BABA US/JD US: Douyin Commerce Announces Full “Zero Deposit” Entry for New Merchants (+/-/-/-)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:XPEV US/NIO US/New Energy Vehicle/Marco News

By Eric Wen

  • XPEV US:G7 Pre-sale Opens, Priced on the Higher Side (-)
  • NIO US: NIO US Tightens Service Policy Standards (+ )
  • New Energy Vehicle:Major Automakers Commit to Shortening Payment Terms to 60 Days(+)

European Software: Q1 2025 Takeaways – Gradual Improvement

By Gregory Ramirez

  • Software companies see a slow improvement in revenue growth, with Europe narrowing the performance gap. However, growth remains below post-lockdown levels, and a return to high double-digit rates is unlikely.  
  • The best-performing vendors are those focused on defence, large-scale data handling, AI infrastructure, cybersecurity, financial services digitisation, and modern accounting platforms. US firms still lead in absolute growth numbers.   
  • While the number of software M&A deals above USD 200m has declined, total deal value is on track for a record year in 2025, driven primarily by strategic acquirers.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Oracle Rallies on AI Demand and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Oracle Rallies on AI Demand
  • Quick Note: 1M HIBOR Decline by 300bps – Implications for Hong Kong Real Estate
  • The Stocks to Own in ASEAN – Vol. 51
  • The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 49
  • Japan Morning Connection: Air India Crash Sends Boing Lower, AMD’s AI Event Fails to Impress


Ohayo Japan | Oracle Rallies on AI Demand

By Mark Chadwick

  • The S&P 500 gained 0.38% to 6,045, sitting less than 2% from its record high
  • Oracle surged 13% after beating earnings expectations and forecasting cloud infrastructure revenue growth exceeding 70% in fiscal 2026, driven by AI demand
  • 3D Investment Partners, a Singapore-based activist fund, increased its Square Enix stake to 9.79%

Quick Note: 1M HIBOR Decline by 300bps – Implications for Hong Kong Real Estate

By Jacob Cheng

  • 1M HIBOR has declined by 300bps to 0.6%, which is a sharp decline. Mortgage rate, which is tied to HIBOR, will have to be adjusted downward
  • Mortgage rate declines, affordability will improve, and there is positive carry.  Developers will enjoy lower borrow cost and better earnings. 100bps change in rates leads to 2% earnings impact
  • However, the HIBOR decline can reverse, if capital flow changes and affects HKMA’s aggregate balance.  US/China interest rate movements and geo-political risks also have to be monitored closely

The Stocks to Own in ASEAN – Vol. 51

By Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

  • We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
  • Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine stocks added into portfolio
  • Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 264% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 46%

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 49

By Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

  • We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology
  • Portfolio changes: All fourteen stocks have changed in the portfolio
  • Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 262% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 110%

Japan Morning Connection: Air India Crash Sends Boing Lower, AMD’s AI Event Fails to Impress

By Andrew Jackson

  • Oracle’s good numbers pulling AI and DC related names up, while Samsung failing its NVDA HBM certification (again) positive for Micron.
  • Tencent is back at the table looking to bid for Nexon, whose outstanding short interest could see a rapid squeeze.
  • All the good news out for Konami? Looks like it after their even last night with further upside catalysts lacking.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Oil Surges on Mideast Tensions and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Oil Surges on Mideast Tensions
  • Japan Morning Connection: Rumors Micron May Lift DDR4 Prices Lifts Sentiment for All Things Memory
  • China’s Banks: The Quiet Bull Market No One’s Watching
  • #161 India Insights: India Eyes Rare Earth Push; IndusInd’s Prerequisites from RBI, Insulin Scale Up
  • [Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/LI US/ NIO US/XPEV US/1810 HK/CHA US/2589 HK/2555 HK/Macro
  • Rare Earth Export Curbs from China: Assessing the Risk for India’s Auto Industry
  • [Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700 HK/1439927D CH/1024 HK/BABA US/1211 HK/3690 HK/1519 HK/E-Commerce


Ohayo Japan | Oil Surges on Mideast Tensions

By Mark Chadwick

  • Stocks ended lower Wednesday as the S&P 500 slipped 0.27% to 6,022; weaker-than-expected May inflation data
  • U.S. crude surged over 5% following reports of a planned partial evacuation of the U.S. embassy in Iraq amid growing Middle East tensions.
  • Treasury Secretary Bessent said the U.S. will likely extend tariff pause for countries negotiating in good faith, amid ongoing trade talks and deals.

Japan Morning Connection: Rumors Micron May Lift DDR4 Prices Lifts Sentiment for All Things Memory

By Andrew Jackson

  • Intel relief rally didn’t last, but Broadcom rebounded after a week of selling despite Apple weakness.
  • Oracle is 7% in late-trading after posting very bullish cloud and cloud infra guidance.
  • Record sales for Nintendo’s Switch2 console not enough to keep stock moving higher.

China’s Banks: The Quiet Bull Market No One’s Watching

By Rikki Malik

  • The stealth bull market in HK listed Chinese banks continues.
  • While the negatives are well known, the positives are underappreciated
  • We tweak the basket of bank stocks after they report Q1 results

#161 India Insights: India Eyes Rare Earth Push; IndusInd’s Prerequisites from RBI, Insulin Scale Up

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • India aims to localize rare earth magnet production to protect its EV and tech sectors, reduce import reliance, and support long-term industrial and investment growth.
  • Hinduja Group must meet key conditions set by RBI for capital infusion in Indusind Bank (IIB IN) , including revocation of pledged shares and appointing board representatives.
  • Biocon Ltd (BIOS IN) , Eris Lifesciences (ERIS IN) , Wockhardt Ltd (WPL IN) scale up insulin output and capturing new growth in diabetes and obesity care markets.

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/LI US/ NIO US/XPEV US/1810 HK/CHA US/2589 HK/2555 HK/Macro

By Eric Wen

  • Macro: Central Government Focuses on Improving People’s Livelihoods to Stimulate Consumption, But Short-term Impact Unlikely(+)
  • Macro: Our Take on the Chinese Government Housing Provident Fund 2024 Annual Report(/)
  • 1211 HK/LI US/ NIO US/XPEV US/1810 HK: 2025 June 2 – June 8 NEV Delivery Rankings(/)

Rare Earth Export Curbs from China: Assessing the Risk for India’s Auto Industry

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • India’s automotive sector is facing a new external risk: China’s recent tightening of rare earth element (REE) export restrictions.
  • While the short-term impact appears contained, particularly for ICE 2Ws/3Ws, passenger vehicles—both ICE and EV—are the most exposed
  • Indian OEMs are actively engaging with Chinese authorities and India’s Ministry of External Affairs to seek interim solutions, and a resolution is expected within 2–3 weeks.

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700 HK/1439927D CH/1024 HK/BABA US/1211 HK/3690 HK/1519 HK/E-Commerce

By Ying Pan

  • 700 HK: Tencent First Reveals Its Open-World ACGN Game <Return to the Loop>(+)
  • 1439927D CH/1024 HK:ByteDance to Launch New DouBao Video Generation Model Tomorrow (+/-)
  • 1439927D CH: ByteDance Announces Expansion of TikTok Investment in the UK (+)

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): No and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • No, Hong Kong Won’t Abandon The Peg
  • Ohayo Japan | Wall Street Rises on Trade Optimism
  • Charted Insights: Capex Revival in India Inc; Which Sectors Are Leading the Investment Cycle?
  • Japan Morning Connection: Trump Signals End to Biden Greenhouse Gas Emission Restrictions
  • Biopharma Week in Review Large M&A and Licensing Deals Provide a Boost
  • Furniture/Furnishings Weekly – GenAI Adoption Rates
  • Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on Aemetis (AMTX)


No, Hong Kong Won’t Abandon The Peg

By David Blennerhassett

  • A Bloomberg op-ed piece on the 5th June concludes it is time to move on from “from an archaic currency regime“. That conclusion appears presumptuous. And uninformed.
  • A key tenent of this piece is that HK’s benchmark interest rates are (or were) significantly – and stubbornly – lower than US rates. Yet this “anomaly” is easily explained.
  • The article fails to discuss the impact from CATL (3750 HK)‘s IPO on the peg;  and even what would replace the peg (IF it were replaced).

Ohayo Japan | Wall Street Rises on Trade Optimism

By Mark Chadwick

  • Stocks rose Tuesday as optimism over U.S.-China trade talks; S&P 500 advanced 0.55% and the Nasdaq climbed 0.63%
  • Toyota and Daimler Truck have signed a business integration agreement for their subsidiaries Hino Motors and Mitsubishi Fuso Truck and Bus Corporation.
  • Honda will invest in Rapidus to secure domestically produced cutting-edge semiconductors for next-generation vehicles

Charted Insights: Capex Revival in India Inc; Which Sectors Are Leading the Investment Cycle?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Corporate India’s capex momentum is showing a healthy revival, marking a significant shift from the risk-averse investment behavior seen post-COVID.
  • Based on FY25 data from 1,393 listed companies (excluding banks and NBFCs), total gross fixed assets rose 7.6% year-on-year to ₹28.5 lakh crore – the strongest expansion in recent years.
  • This increase signals renewed investment intent across infrastructure, manufacturing, and select consumption-facing sectors

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Signals End to Biden Greenhouse Gas Emission Restrictions

By Andrew Jackson

  • Hydrocarbon related names traded well with Trump set to remove limits on carbon and mercury emissions…watch MHI, Yokogawa and Chiyoda.
  • Intel +7.8% may help Ibiden, Micron +2.9% positive for Micronics, while semi-cap and power-semi’s continued to move up.
  • Lock-Up expiry for Kioxia fast approaching could see shorts increase in a Kokusai Elec type situation.

Biopharma Week in Review Large M&A and Licensing Deals Provide a Boost

By Water Tower Research

  • M&A and deal activity provided a much-needed tailwind for biotech last week.
  • Exiting a positive, but mostly expected, ASCO weekend, we witnessed the second-largest biotech acquisition in 2025, with SNY buying BPMC for $9.1 billion, and a mega-licensing deal, as BMY will pay up to $11.1 billion for co- rights to BNTX’s PD-1/VEGF (read-across to TIL, SMMT, PFE, MRK).
  • Gene and cell therapy (NTLA, BEAM, CRSP) got a boost, as the heads of the HHS, FDA, CBER, NIH, and CDC expressed support for faster rare disease approvals at an FDA roundtable. 

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly – GenAI Adoption Rates

By Water Tower Research

  • Risk on as markets anticipate progress on trade deals.
  • The WTR Commercial/Contract Furniture Index gained 1.8%, the Residential Manufacturers & Suppliers Index was up 3.1%, and the Home Goods Retailers Index increased 2.5%, while the large- cap indices gained 1.1% and the R2K was up 3.0%.
  • GenAI discussions on quarterly earnings calls are taking off as the technology (and adoption rates) continues to advance at a rapid clip (1), at least for the S&P 500 (Figure 1).

Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on Aemetis (AMTX)

By Water Tower Research

  • The WTR Sustainable Index was up 1.8% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (up 1.5%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 3.2%), and the Nasdaq Index (up 2.0%).
  • Energy Technology (12.8% of the index) was up 5.2%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (47.9% of the index) was up 1.9%, ClimateTech Mining was up 0.1%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (21.0% of the index) was up 1.3%.
  • Top 10 Performers: LEV, SPWR, BNRG, LOOP, VVPR, IRBT, FCEL, TGEN, FNI, ZAPP

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