In today’s briefing:
- Will this miner crack a commodity monopoly?
- Guzman IPO Lockup – Pop Done, Correction Ongoing, Now Time for the Lockup
- ASX200 Index AdHoc Rebalance Preview: Mesoblast (MSB) Could Replace Arcadium Lithium (LTM) Next Week
- SelfWealth (SWF AU) Enters Into Scheme With Svava
- GTN Ltd – Canada and costs set to drive accelerated growth in H2
- Amaero International Ltd – Fully funded through to commercialisation
- WRKR Ltd – H1 FY25 metrics in-line

Will this miner crack a commodity monopoly?
- Equinox and Calibre announced a deal that was met with mixed reactions, with shareholders on both sides expressing dissatisfaction.
- The deal, which includes Equinox acquiring Calibre in an all-script deal, has led to a 7% drop in Calibre’s share price.
- The deal will result in a combined group with nine producing mines and a mine under construction, with a pro forma ownership of 65% Equinox and 35% Calibre.
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Guzman IPO Lockup – Pop Done, Correction Ongoing, Now Time for the Lockup
- Guzman Y Gomez (GYG AU) raised around US$221m in its Australian IPO. Its IPO linked partial lockup expiry is due soon.
- GYG is a quick service restaurant business with more than 200 restaurants globally. It mainly focuses on fresh, made-to-order, Mexican-inspired food.
- In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.
ASX200 Index AdHoc Rebalance Preview: Mesoblast (MSB) Could Replace Arcadium Lithium (LTM) Next Week
- There could be ad hoc change for the S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) prior to the announcement of the changes at the March rebalance.
- Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU) could stop trading next week following the acquisition by Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU). The Royal Court of Jersey could sanction the scheme on 5 March.
- Mesoblast (MSB AU) is a high probability inclusion to the index, followed by DigiCo Infrastructure REIT (DGT AU). The stock that misses out will be added at the regular rebalance.
SelfWealth (SWF AU) Enters Into Scheme With Svava
- After online trading player SelfWealth (SWF AU) entered into a SID with Bell Financial (BFG AU) on the 25th November, Singaporean-based wealth manager Svava gate-crashed the party earlier this month.
- Svava tabled a non-binding A$0.28/share Offer, in cash, by way of a Scheme, versus Bell’s A$0.25/share. Svava also built an effective blocking stake – 18.83% of shares out.
- After Bell said it won’t make a counterproposal yesterday, SelfWealth has now entered into Scheme with Svava. Expect implementation in May.
GTN Ltd – Canada and costs set to drive accelerated growth in H2
- RaaS has published an update on media group GTN Ltd following its H1 FY25 results in which it reported an 11% increase in adjusted EPS to $0.034.
- NPAT was 10% below our estimates, although normalising for additional Australian inventory spots and non-recurring costs, it was closer to our estimates.
- The H1 dividend was higher than we expected with 100% of NPATA paid out versus prior policy of 50% payout.
Amaero International Ltd – Fully funded through to commercialisation
- RaaS Research Group has published an update on advanced materials manufacturing group Amaero International (ASX:3DA) following recent events including execution of the credit agreement for the US$22.8m loan from the Export-Import Bank of the United States, the $22m institutional share placement and release of the H1 FY25 results.The company recently announced a $22m institutional placement, priced at $0.30/share, concluding a series of six strategic capital raises since May 2022 to raise $98.5m.
- The company says the proceeds from the raise together with the now executed credit agreement for a US$22.8m (A$36.2m) loan from the Export-Import Bank of the United States (EXIM), will fund Amaero’s planned capital expenditure and operations through to anticipated EBITDA break-even in FY26.
- Separately, Amaero has also released its H1 FY25 accounts, delivering a better-than-forecast underlying EBITDA loss of $7.5m versus our forecast for $9.1m.
WRKR Ltd – H1 FY25 metrics in-line
- RaaS has published an update on superannuation and payroll compliance solutions business Wrkr (ASX:WRK) following its H1 FY25 results in which it delivered a result in line with our expectations and an improvement on H1 FY24.
- Revenue growth was 26%, aided by higher float interest income and project work, while costs were well maintained, rising 13% on the back of higher staff costs (new hires in readiness for client onboarding).
- RaaS adjusted EBITDA was -$0.13m, in-line with forecasts and lower than the -$0.5m in H1 FY24.
