In today’s briefing:
- Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
- Braskem 3Q25: Liquidity Strain Deepens as Bonds Remain in Distressed Territory
Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
- In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: ReNew Energy, China Jinmao
- UST yields fell on Friday, led by the front end, after New York Fed President John Williams said he saw room for another rate cut in the near term, amid a softening labour market.
- The yield on the 2Y UST declined 6 bps to 3.53%, while that on the 10Y UST dropped 5 bps to 4.09%. Equities recovered on Friday, but remained down for the week. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose 1.0% and 0.9% to 6,603 and 22,273, respectively.
Braskem 3Q25: Liquidity Strain Deepens as Bonds Remain in Distressed Territory
- Braskem’s Overweight stance is supported by its strategic relevance and government links, with distressed bond prices already reflecting substantial downside risk.
- We find better value in lower-priced bonds, especially the 2030 notes yielding 32.0% for a 3.0-year duration, while we see elevated risk in the 2081 hybrids.
- Near-Term outcomes hinge on liquidity solutions, policy relief, and January coupon clarity, though recent developments and potential secured financing improve the probability of an alternative resolution.
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