Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: LG Corp: NAV Analysis Suggests a 29% Upside and more

In today’s briefing:

  • LG Corp: NAV Analysis Suggests a 29% Upside, Likely to Catch Up to LG Chem
  • Shiseido (4911) | Progress on Reforms, but Growth Still Elusive
  • Mitsui Chemical (4183): Releasing the Crackers!
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Asking TSMC for More Capacity; Apple to Disintermediate Telcos?
  • JFE Holdings (5411 JP) – Deep Value with Hidden JSW Optionality
  • Four New Statistical Arbitrage Opportunities in Asia-Pac
  • Overview #40 – Trouble in Paradise: Cracks in the AI Trade
  • Treasury Wine Estates (TWE AU): Penfolds Owner at 11x P/E and 7% Dividend Yield
  • Bangkok Bank (SET:BBL) Downgraded on Thailand-Cambodia Suspension of Peace Accord
  • Primer: Elementos Ltd (ELT AU) – Nov 2025


LG Corp: NAV Analysis Suggests a 29% Upside, Likely to Catch Up to LG Chem

By Douglas Kim

  • Our updated NAV valuation of LG Corp suggests implied market cap of 17.2 trillion won or target price of 111,605 won per share, representing 29.3% higher than current levels.
  • LG Corp’s investment stakes in LG Chem and LG Electronics are worth 15.7 trillion won representing 119% of LG Corp’s entire market cap.
  • Lower taxes on dividends could accelerate the capital allocation to companies with higher dividend yields/payouts such as LG Corp.

Shiseido (4911) | Progress on Reforms, but Growth Still Elusive

By Mark Chadwick

  • Shiseido’s Q3 revenue rose 4.6% YoY to ¥224bn, marking its first growth in three quarters, though full-year sales guidance was cut 3%.
  • Profitability remained pressured by tariffs and Drunk Elephant weakness; product margins fell 340bps YoY, but SG&A improvements limited overall margin decline to 80bps.
  • Management maintained core OP profit guidance and continued executing structural reforms, achieving ¥21bn cost savings YTD, with deeper efficiency cuts planned through 2026.

Mitsui Chemical (4183): Releasing the Crackers!

By Michael Allen

  • Mitsui Chemicals is slashing exposure to commodity chemicals and ramping up high-margin specialty films and resins—setting the stage for its RoE to soar from 5% to over 13%.
  • Restructuring is unlocking massive cost savings while driving growth from cutting-edge segments that are poised for double-digit growth and global dominance.
  • The stock trades at a deep discount, but could easily command a premium with solid execution, driving the share price to more than double or even treble within 3 years.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Asking TSMC for More Capacity; Apple to Disintermediate Telcos?

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Nvidia Pushes TSMC for More Capacity as AI Chip Demand Surges
  • Apple Expands Its Satellite Ambitions for iPhones Beyond Just Emergencies — A Step Towards Disintermediating Telcos?
  • Nvidia’s International HQ in Taipei Deal Clears Final Hurdle — Boost for Taiwan 2026E-2027E

JFE Holdings (5411 JP) – Deep Value with Hidden JSW Optionality

By Rahul Jain

  • Trough valuations: JFE trades at only US$525/t EV/t and 0.5× P/B, despite stable guidance and improving high-value steel mix.
  • Hidden value: 15% JSW Steel stake (~¥500 bn) equals ~45% of JFE’s market cap—cheap India exposure with re-rating potential.
  • Upside case: SOTP implies +50–60% equity upside, supported by 4–5% dividend yield and H2 margin recovery.

Four New Statistical Arbitrage Opportunities in Asia-Pac

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Four stock pairs have triggered new mean-reversion trade signals, with price ratios deviating more than two standard deviations from their one-year averages.
  • Two of the opportunities involve companies in the same industry and two pairs involve companies in different industries within the same sector.
  • Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, outlining opportunities and key risk considerations.

Overview #40 – Trouble in Paradise: Cracks in the AI Trade

By Rikki Malik

  • Sentiment has started to wobble in the AI mega cap trade
  • Risk is elevated as bearish divergences  and rolling tops abound
  • No top yet signalled in the major US indices –  so what to do in this environment 

Treasury Wine Estates (TWE AU): Penfolds Owner at 11x P/E and 7% Dividend Yield

By Michael Fritzell

  • Treasury Wine Estates (TWE AU — US$3.0 billion) is one of the world’s largest wine producers globally. And it’s one of the very few large companies in Australia trading at a reasonable valuation multiple.

  • It started as the wine division of brewery giant Forster’s Group. From the 1990s onwards, Foster’s acquired vineyards and brands such as Penfolds, Lindeman’s and Beringer.

  • But throughout the 2000s, this wine division underperformed, draining cash from Foster’s highly profitable beer business. So in 2011, it was eventually spun off into a separately listed entity called Treasury Wine Estates (TWE).


Bangkok Bank (SET:BBL) Downgraded on Thailand-Cambodia Suspension of Peace Accord

By Victor Galliano

  • We turn cautious on our sole positive Thai recommendation Bangkok Bank, downgrading it to neutral from buy, despite its very attractive value attributes
  • We believe that Thailand’s unilateral suspension of the peace accord in the Thailand-Cambodia conflict is likely to be negative for sentiment towards Thai equities, including banks, in the short term
  • Consequently, in the worsening investor climate, we do not expect Bangkok Bank shares to benefit from a re-rating over the short term

Primer: Elementos Ltd (ELT AU) – Nov 2025

By αSK

  • Elementos is strategically positioned to capitalize on a forecast tin supply deficit, with two world-class projects in stable jurisdictions: the development-ready Oropesa project in Spain and the exploration-focused Cleveland project in Australia.
  • The recently completed Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS) for the Oropesa project demonstrates robust economics, underpinning a clear development pathway. The company is also pursuing a mine-to-metal strategy in Europe to capture additional value.
  • Exploration at the Cleveland project continues to uncover significant mineralization of not only tin and copper but also critical minerals like tungsten and fluorite, offering substantial long-term upside potential.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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