In today’s briefing:
- HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (2Wks To 16 Jan 2026) – China Mobile Sold Heavily, Tech Bought Heavily
- A/H Premium Tracker (2Wks to 16 Jan 2026): Spreads Bouncy but ~Flat on Net, Quiddity Port 👍
- Merger Arb Mondays (19 Jan) – IJM, Dongfeng, BioDlink, Makino, Toyota Ind, Mandom, Qube, Webjet
HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (2Wks To 16 Jan 2026) – China Mobile Sold Heavily, Tech Bought Heavily
- HK$128bn+/Day of gross SOUTHBOUND activity the first two weeks of the year, and net buying of HK$43bn.
- Relatively high div low vol SOEs were net sold. Again. China Mobile shellacked with net selling every day for 10 days (actually net sold every day since 11 Dec).
- The data tables below update daily in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The Southbound Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there – free – for all SK readers.
A/H Premium Tracker (2Wks to 16 Jan 2026): Spreads Bouncy but ~Flat on Net, Quiddity Port 👍
- Hs within the liquid AH pair universe OUT-performed As on average by 0.14% in two weeks. Beautiful Skew was mixed. Spreads all over. Early doors
- Quiddity H/A Portfolio performance +43bp of which +41bp was alpha, +2bp was H/A “beta.” I am staying the course of Beautiful Skew.
- The data tables below update daily in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The Southbound Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there – free for all SK readers. Recently used are now sticky.
Merger Arb Mondays (19 Jan) – IJM, Dongfeng, BioDlink, Makino, Toyota Ind, Mandom, Qube, Webjet
- I summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
- Highest spreads: Dongfeng Motor (489 HK), ENN Energy (2688 HK), Ijm Corp Bhd (IJM MK), Qube Holdings (QUB AU), Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP), Webjet Group (WJL AU).
- Lowest spreads: Bright Smart Securities (1428 HK), Raksul Inc (4384 JP), BioDlink International (1875 HK), Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co (4530 JP), Toyota Industries (6201 JP), Pacific Industrial (7250 JP).

