In today’s briefing:
- Japan Infrastructure Fund (9287JP): Mizuho Leasing (8425 JP)’s Tender Offer Is Light but Likely Done
- Sotherly Hotels Merger: Preferred Shares Arbitrage Opportunity with 12-14% Spread Amid Buyout Conditions
- Six Fresh Relative Value Opportunities in Australia Signal New Stat Arb Trades
- Primer: Karur Vysya Bank (KVB IN) – Nov 2025
- Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
- Dream Incubator (4310 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update
- NB Private Equity Partners (NBPE): 1H’25 results: turning the corner

Japan Infrastructure Fund (9287JP): Mizuho Leasing (8425 JP)’s Tender Offer Is Light but Likely Done
- Japan Infrastructure Fund Investment Corporation (9287 JP) has recommended a tender offer from Mizuho Leasing (8425 JP) at JPY65,000, a 21.5% premium to the last close price.
- The offer is light, as it is below book value (implying a P/NAV of 0.82x) and is below the midpoint of the IFA-adjusted book valuation range.
- However, a dispersed shareholder register with no substantial shareholders suggests that it is an uphill struggle for an activist to agitate for a bump. This is likely a done deal.
Sotherly Hotels Merger: Preferred Shares Arbitrage Opportunity with 12-14% Spread Amid Buyout Conditions
- Sotherly Hotels is being acquired by Kemmons Wilson Hospitality Partners and Ascendant Capital Partners, with common shares priced at $2.25 each.
- Preferred shares SOHOB, SOHOO, and SOHON have a 12-14% spread to offer price, with conversion options post-merger.
- The merger isn’t subject to financing conditions, with funding commitments from Apollo and Ascendant-affiliated entities.
Six Fresh Relative Value Opportunities in Australia Signal New Stat Arb Trades
- Six Australian stock pairs have triggered new mean-reversion trade signals, with price ratios deviating more than two standard deviations from their one-year averages.
- Upcoming earnings announcements could add volatility and shape short-term trade outcomes.
- Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, outlining opportunities and key risk considerations.
Primer: Karur Vysya Bank (KVB IN) – Nov 2025
- Strong Financial Trajectory: The bank has demonstrated a robust growth trajectory, with significant year-over-year increases in revenue and net income, driven by healthy loan growth and improving net interest margins.
- Strategic Shift Towards Granular Assets: Management has successfully pivoted the loan book from corporate lending towards more granular and higher-yielding retail, MSME, and agricultural loans, which has improved asset quality and profitability.
- Favorable Valuation with a Positive Outlook: Despite its strong performance, the bank trades at a reasonable valuation compared to its peers. The outlook is positive, with management guiding for above-industry credit growth and stable margins, supported by digital initiatives and branch expansion.
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Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
- In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: China Vanke
- UST yields rose 5-8 bps across the curve yesterday. This came as the market dialled back Fed rate-cut expectations following the release of strong ADP employment and ISM manufacturing data, as well as after the US Treasury Department said it may raise treasury issuances in future.
- The yield on the 2Y UST was up 5 bps at 3.63%, while the yield on the 10Y jumped 7 bps to 4.16%. Equities partially recovered from Tuesday’s slump, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq increasing 0.4% and 0.6%, respectively.
Dream Incubator (4310 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update
- For 1H FY03/26, the company reported sales of JPY3.7bn (+30.2% YoY) and net income of JPY735mn.
- Business Production segment sales reached JPY2.9bn (+31.0% YoY), with operating profit of JPY310mn, showing smooth progress toward forecasts.
- Venture Capital segment sales were JPY795mn (+27.6% YoY), with operating profit of JPY459mn, including capital gains and valuation losses.
NB Private Equity Partners (NBPE): 1H’25 results: turning the corner
- In our view, NBPE’s 1H’25 results may be characterised as turning the corner.
- There has been a modest improvement in financial performance, the outlook for exits (with expected uplifts to carrying values) has improved, and the pipeline of new investments is strong.
- NBPE’s balance sheet has ample liquidity to take advantage of these opportunities, and its recent focus on mid-life deals means that value creation from these new investments has been rapid.
