In today’s briefing:
- Mechanics of a Late October Cycle Low
- EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades
- Federal Bank – Power of LDR
- Morning Views Asia: Shui On Land
- Bearish Sentiment
Mechanics of a Late October Cycle Low
- Short basket call on Oct 4/5 and Oct 14. Mid October squeeze rally to recycle shorts unfolded/in line. October 23 and 30 cycle dates linked to a cycle low.
- The key moving parts to form a cycle low center around a DXY peak, the US 10yr yield new high/top and long equity basket lows holding on an SPX low.
- New yield and USD high to align with an SPX low with lead signals stemming from our long basket holding support zones (lead relative signal). Manage swings into late Oct.
EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades
- Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets
- Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days
- We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces
Federal Bank – Power of LDR
- Net interest income growth is exceptional, driven by major LDR expansion
- One must not only focus on NIM, although with this bank, there is also expansion
- Credit cost reductions are not a feature here, rather non-interest income supported ROA
Morning Views Asia: Shui On Land
Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.
Bearish Sentiment
- The Retail Investing Landscape has changed significantly over the last few years. Pandemic-era stimulus, lockdown restrictions, and the gamification of trading spurred many to enter the markets.
- This, coupled with the growing distrust in institutional investment advisors, has led many to switch away from traditional research reports from Wall Street to independent research and newsletter-focused content, especially for new investment ideas.
- Marketwise, which primarily targets individual investors through its research and analytical tools, has seen a meteoric rise over the last few years due to this phenomenon.
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