Daily BriefsMacro

Daily Brief Macro: Potential Impeachment of President Yoon Suk-Yeol and Impact on the Korean Financial Markets and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Potential Impeachment of President Yoon Suk-Yeol and Impact on the Korean Financial Markets
  • China/US: Trading Blows Part 1
  • The Drill: China and Russia Are Intensifying the Commodity Battle?
  • CX Daily: Amid China’s EV Boom, Conventional Carmakers Cry Foul


Potential Impeachment of President Yoon Suk-Yeol and Impact on the Korean Financial Markets

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss the potential impeachment of the South Korean President Yoon Suk-Yeol and the implications on the Korean financial markets.
  • We would put a 50-60% probability that there is more than 200 votes to impeach the South Korean President Yoon Suk-Yeol right now by the members of the Parliament.
  • We would attach about 30-40% probability that at least six justices of the Constitutional Court vote in favor of impeaching President Yoon. 

China/US: Trading Blows Part 1

By Alastair Newton

  • Donald Trump threatened punitive tariffs on China, Canada, and Mexico over fentanyl, but this didn’t significantly alarm investors.
  • Jamieson Greer’s nomination as USTR also didn’t cause much concern among investors.
  • However, Wall Street’s confidence in Scott Bessant’s ability to moderate trade policy could potentially be misguided.

The Drill: China and Russia Are Intensifying the Commodity Battle?

By Ulrik Simmelholt

  • The OPEC+ meeting is finally taking place after the Kremlin managed to get Zoom working on Windows 7.
  • Early reports from delegates suggest that OPEC+ is solidifying a deal to delay a planned 3-month output hike.
  • Essentially, OPEC is postponing what could become a bloodbath in physical oil markets.

CX Daily: Amid China’s EV Boom, Conventional Carmakers Cry Foul

By Caixin Global

  • Cars / In Depth: Amid China’s EV boom, conventional carmakers cry foul
  • China-U.S. /Analysis: How China can prepare for Trump’s return
  • Payment /BRICS: Pay cross-border payment system exposed as hoax by crypto currency promoters

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