In today’s briefing:
- Smartkarma Corporate Webinar Recap: 17Live’s CEO on the Live Streaming Company’s Outlook
- Tokyo Metro (9023 JP): Index Inclusions – Light at the End of the Tunnel
- Murata Manufacturing (6981 JP) – No Immediate Passive Buying Could Lead to More Weakness
- Bloks Group (325 HK): Bumper Listing; Index Inclusion Timeline
- Hyundai Motor (HYUNDAI IN): Anchor Lock-Up Expiry Increases Float; Index Inclusions Near
- STAR Chip Index Rebalance Preview: Changes in March
- Delta Electronics (DELTA TB / 2308 TT): Off the Peak; SET50 Deletion Risk Increases
- Makino Milling (6135) – Trading Through Terms, May Need Investor Pushing
- A/H Premium Tracker (To 17 Jan 2025): AH Premia Fall Further, Lowest Avg Premium in 5yrs
- Flagging the Hanwha Ocean CB Conversion Risk (20% of Shares Out)

Smartkarma Corporate Webinar Recap: 17Live’s CEO on the Live Streaming Company’s Outlook
17LIVE is a leading pure-play live streaming platform in Asia with key markets in Japan and Taiwan. Its business lines include Liver live streaming, V-Liver live streaming and other businesses such as in-app games and live commerce. 17LIVE is accessible globally and has fostered a diverse live streaming ecosystem with a loyal and engaged user community, as well as a deep pool of live streamers.
The Smartkarma team spoke to 17Live’s Chief Executive Officer and Executive Director, Jiang Honghui, in an exclusive corporate webinar. Honghui sheds light on the company’s impressive journey and future growth outlook within the vibrant live streaming space.
You can view the webinar via the link below.
Tokyo Metro (9023 JP): Index Inclusions – Light at the End of the Tunnel
- Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) listed on 23 October and was added to the TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX (TPX INDEX) at the close on 28 November.
- Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) was not expected to be added to one global index (it was not added), while it was expected to be added to the other (and missed).
- The stock could be added to one global index in February (its close!) and to the other in June (pretty much a sure thing).
Murata Manufacturing (6981 JP) – No Immediate Passive Buying Could Lead to More Weakness
- A group of 7 shareholders are looking to sell 61.3m shares in Murata Manufacturing (6981 JP) to raise JPY 143.8bn (US$916m). That is 3.3% of shares outstanding.
- The shares are being offered at a price range of JPY 2296-2345.5/share, a discount of 5-7% to the last close of the stock.
- With the offering less than 5% of shares outstanding and less than US$1bn in size, there is no immediate passive buying and there could be further weakness in the stock.
Bloks Group (325 HK): Bumper Listing; Index Inclusion Timeline
- Bloks Group (1850960D CH) was massively oversubscribed, traded 82% higher on Friday and closed its listing day 40% higher than the IPO price.
- Bloks Group (1850960D CH) now has a full market cap of US$2.7bn. However, lock-ups and cornerstone allocations result in a much lower free float.
- Index inclusions could take place in August and September, but the passive buying is a fraction of the number of shares that will come off lock-up expiry in early July.
Hyundai Motor (HYUNDAI IN): Anchor Lock-Up Expiry Increases Float; Index Inclusions Near
- The lock-up on the second half of the anchor investor allocation for Hyundai Motor India (HYUNDAI IN) ends after market close today and the shares will be available for sale tomorrow.
- The lock-up expiry further increases free float for the stock and there will be multiple index inclusions over the next few months.
- The largest index inclusion will be in February, followed by smaller inclusions in March and June. In total, passives will mop up around 16% of the float.
STAR Chip Index Rebalance Preview: Changes in March
- There could be 1 constituent change for the STAR Chip Index at the March rebalance. There will also be a few capping changes.
- Estimated one-way turnover is 6.5% resulting in a round-trip trade of CNY 3.12bn (US$426m). Passives need to trade between 0.24-0.33x ADV in the potential changes.
- There is one very close add and the final list could change depending on price performance over the next 10 trading days.
Delta Electronics (DELTA TB / 2308 TT): Off the Peak; SET50 Deletion Risk Increases
- Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB) is trading at a huge valuation premium to Delta Electronics (2308 TT), though that has narrowed over the last couple of months.
- Delta Electronics Thailand has already been on the Market Surveillance list for 2 months and inclusion for another 2 months will mean SET 50 Index deletion in June.
- A placement by Delta Electronics (2308 TT) is not out of the question and that further increases the downside risk for Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB).
Makino Milling (6135) – Trading Through Terms, May Need Investor Pushing
- Nidec Corp (6594 JP) in late December proposed an unsolicited takeover of Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP), with a 3-month delay before launching a Tender Offer.
- Makino has asked for an extension to the start. Nidec has said no. Makino is going about this the wrong way. Makino needs to assume Nidec thought this through.
- Makino needs to open up the process to other bidders, and investors can help.
A/H Premium Tracker (To 17 Jan 2025): AH Premia Fall Further, Lowest Avg Premium in 5yrs
- AH Premia are lower over the last few weeks of holiday and this past week of heavy SOUTHBOUND buying on telcos, banks, brokers, insurers, tech, and airlines.
- The average AH Premium across all pairs is now the lowest it has been in five years.
- The VERY WIDE Tech spreads bifurcated. SMIC (981) and Shanghai Fudan Microelectric (1385) both continued strongly. China Rail Signal (3969) and Flat Glass (6865) widened again.
Flagging the Hanwha Ocean CB Conversion Risk (20% of Shares Out)
- KEXIM ignoring this premium could be a breach of duty, making Hanwha Ocean a prime short play. With 20% of shares, past cases suggest a 5-10% pullback.
- This play’s tougher than HMM’s. Without step-ups, timing the conversion is tricky. Early redemption’s unlikely, so the focus is on when KEXIM pulls the trigger on the conversion.
- No hints from KEXIM on the CB conversion yet, so loading up aggressively could be risky. We’ll likely need to wait for a signal from KEXIM before jumping in.
