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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Alphabet 2Q’24 Update and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Alphabet 2Q’24 Update
  • Saizeriya (7581 JP):  Improvement In Profitability In Japan Materialized in 3Q24
  • Argo Graphics (7595) – Thursday, Apr 25, 2024
  • Dai Nippon Printing (7912) – Friday, Apr 26, 2024
  • Yes Bank’s Retail Therapy Proves Expensive
  • Alphabet Surges Past Q2 Expectations, Boosted by Digital Ads and Cloud Growth
  • Plover Bay (1523 HK): Solid H1 FY24, Inflection Point In Earnings
  • Doosan Robotics: 2Q 2024 Results Analysis
  • Ashford Inc (AINC) – Wednesday, Apr 24, 2024
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Jul-2024): NCKU in Taiwan achieves semiconductor precision breakthrough.


Alphabet 2Q’24 Update

By MBI Deep Dives

  • Yesterday’s Google’s earnings may have been bit of “meh” at first glance, but there were nuggets in the call that may have important implications for the broader market.
  • Network segment continues to struggle, but the rest of the businesses continue to grow at healthy double digit rate.
  • Search revenue growth surpassed YouTube ads revenue growth last quarter. For the first time, Cloud posted >$10 Bn quarter while maintaining high 20s growth YoY.

Saizeriya (7581 JP):  Improvement In Profitability In Japan Materialized in 3Q24

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • Since the release of 3Q24 (YE August) results on July 10, the share price of Saizeriya (7581 JP) is up nearly 10%, greatly outperforming Nikkei during the same time frame. 
  • The 3Q24 results showed that Japan’s operating profit finally improved, while China remained solid. 
  • The company is currently trading at 24x 2025E PE with strong earnings growth.

Argo Graphics (7595) – Thursday, Apr 25, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Arco Graphics is a strategic reseller of industrial CAD and semiconductor fab ERP software in Japan, representing Dassault Systems and IBM
  • Despite consistent EBIT growth over the past 7 years, the company’s valuation remains attractive for investors
  • Expected to announce better-than-guided results for Fiscal 2023 in May, along with an improved shareholder returns strategy

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Dai Nippon Printing (7912) – Friday, Apr 26, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Dai Nippon Printing is a 150-year-old Japanese industrial conglomerate with a focus on niche growth businesses and a history of cross-shareholding sales and share repurchases
  • The company has a dominant position in its highest earning segments and is undervalued at 5-6x forward P/E, potentially offering significant upside in the future
  • Originally founded as Shueisha in 1876, DNP has evolved from a printing company to a diversified business with a strong emphasis on research and development.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Yes Bank’s Retail Therapy Proves Expensive

By Hemindra Hazari

  • Reconstructed board of Yes Bank implemented an ill-conceived, poorly executed retail strategy to revive the bank
  • Structural problem of low net interest margin and high overheads not resolved
  • Retail assets strategy characterised by low yield, high operating cost and rising credit cost which the bank has finally acknowledged

Alphabet Surges Past Q2 Expectations, Boosted by Digital Ads and Cloud Growth

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • Alphabet’s revenue jumped 14% YoY to $84.74B, exceeding the $84.19B forecast, fueled by strong digital ad sales and cloud services demand.
  • Net income rose 28.6% to $23.6B, surpassing the $22.9B estimate, reflecting effective cost management and revenue growth despite margin concerns.
  • YouTube’s ad revenue fell short of expectations, growing slower than Q1 due to increased competition and tougher year-on-year comparisons, impacting overall share performance.

Plover Bay (1523 HK): Solid H1 FY24, Inflection Point In Earnings

By Sameer Taneja

  • Plover Bay Technologies (1523 HK) reported 28.4%/55 % YoY revenue/net profit growth, led by growth from new customers in the US, Australia, and Europe. 
  • The company reiterated its long-term guidance of reaching 300 mn USD revenue (FY23: 94 mn USD) in less than ten years. There was no clear guidance for FY24. 
  • The stock trades at 14.8x PE FY24e, with a 5.4% dividend yield (assuming an 80% payout), and is at the cusp of an inflection in its growth. 

Doosan Robotics: 2Q 2024 Results Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Doosan Robotics reported disappointing 2Q 2024 results. It generated sales of 14.4 billion won (up 10.1% YoY) and operating loss of 7.9 billion won in 2Q 2024.
  • After the disappointing results in 2Q 2024, it is likely that the consensus will lower their sales and profit estimates of Doosan Robotics for the next three years.
  • The consensus is likely to lower sales estimates by at least 15-20%+ in the next two years. In addition, the profit margin estimates are likely to be reduced materially. 

Ashford Inc (AINC) – Wednesday, Apr 24, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Ashford Inc. has approved a going dark transaction offering $5.00 cash per share to common stockholders with fewer than 10,000 shares
  • Potential profits of $2,300 using 9,999 shares represent a 4.8% return, annualizing to 19.2% due to a projected July closing
  • AINC is a hotel management company led by Monty Bennett, and the transaction is subject to a stockholder vote and IRA Waiver Proposal, with directors and executive officers expressing their support.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Jul-2024): NCKU in Taiwan achieves semiconductor precision breakthrough.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • NCKU in Taiwan achieves breakthrough in angstrom-scale semiconductor precision, potentially revolutionizing the industry.
  • Uncertainty surrounds impact of Trump win on green energy, with transition likely to be slower but not impossible.
  • Apple introduces new open-source AI models, Kyushu attracts record investments from TSMC, while SK Hynix experiences sales/profit growth. Vietnam partners with Qorvo, Cadence to train 50,000 engineers by 2030.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: [Earnings Preview] Weak Refining Margins and Gas Prices Dampen Chevron’s Q2 Earnings Outlook and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • [Earnings Preview] Weak Refining Margins and Gas Prices Dampen Chevron’s Q2 Earnings Outlook
  • GES: Snapping the Store: Summer Begins to Sizzle; Reiterate Buy, $37 PT
  • [Q2 Earnings Preview] Meta’s Ad Revenues Expected to Surge, But Rising Spend Remains a Concern
  • Yeo Hiap Seng (YHS SP): Healthy Drinks, Thirsty Shareholders
  • Axon: Stunning The Competition – [Business Breakdowns, EP.175]
  • Samsung Biologics (207940 KS): Strong 2Q24 Result; Annual Revenue to Surpass KRW4 Trillion
  • ESG Brew with ComfortDelGro’s Group Chief Sustainability and Risk Officer: ‘Our transition to cleaner energy vehicles will be a game-changer’
  • JAKK: 2Q Preview: Setting up for Success; Reiterate Buy Rating, $24 PT
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (25-Jul-2024): BOE boosts S. Korean suppliers, Wonik gets more orders
  • Ainos, Inc. – Veldona Animal Study Enrolls First Subject, Marking a Good Start


[Earnings Preview] Weak Refining Margins and Gas Prices Dampen Chevron’s Q2 Earnings Outlook

By Suhas Reddy

  • Chevron’s Q2 revenue is set to dip 0.6% YoY, with EPS projected to drop 4.5% YoY on the back of lower refinery margins and natural gas prices.
  • Higher Brent crude prices and strong production may help Chevron partially offset Q2’s challenges.
  • Unplanned downtime at two Australian LNG plants during Q2 raises concerns about a drop in production.

GES: Snapping the Store: Summer Begins to Sizzle; Reiterate Buy, $37 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, $37 price target and projections for Guess?
  • after visiting stores in Long Island and the Metropolitan New York City area.
  • With the return of hot and humid weather, we believe Guess?

[Q2 Earnings Preview] Meta’s Ad Revenues Expected to Surge, But Rising Spend Remains a Concern

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • Meta is expected to report a 58% YoY increase in EPS to $4.71, with revenue climbing 20% YoY to $38.29B, driven by robust ad performance.
  • Meta plans a 20% cut in Reality Labs’ budget through 2026, aiming to save $3B while shifting focus to upcoming hardware production.
  • In Q1, increased daily active users and a 6% rise in average ad prices have boosted Meta’s ad revenue, despite heightened competition and regulatory pressures. Likely to continue.

Yeo Hiap Seng (YHS SP): Healthy Drinks, Thirsty Shareholders

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Yeo Hiap Seng(YHS SP) , known for its Yeo’s brand of Asian/health drinks, trades near its 52-week low at SGD 0.55, despite having financial assets and cash worth SGD 0.44/share.
  • With limited guidance on reinvestment/growth opportunities and management’s stance against returning cash to shareholders, the stock trades around dividend yield, now at 3.6%.
  • Over the past decade, the stock has lost 75% of its value, and management must take decisive actions to enhance long-term shareholder value.

Axon: Stunning The Competition – [Business Breakdowns, EP.175]

By Business Breakdowns

  • Axon sells a public safety technology ecosystem that includes three main product groups, TASERs, body-worn cameras and other sensors, and evidence software, amongst a host of other software services, including virtual reality training.
  • Axon’s solutions really seek to solve three of the biggest problems facing public safety, too many officers and too many suspects are dying from gunshots.
  • Axon solves for this is as the monopoly provider of TASERs globally. A TASER can be used as an alternative to firearms to temporarily incapacitate a suspect so that they may be restrained with a much, much lower chance of doing physical harm.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Samsung Biologics (207940 KS): Strong 2Q24 Result; Annual Revenue to Surpass KRW4 Trillion

By Tina Banerjee

  • In 2Q24, Samsung Biologics (207940 KS) reported 34% YoY revenue growth to KRW1,157B, driven by full utilization of Plants 1–3, ramp-up of Plant 4, milestone payment, and favorable Fx.
  • The company expects annual revenue to exceed KRW4T mark this year, thereby setting a record for the Korean pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector.
  • During 1H24, Samsung Biologics has secured order worth of KRW2.6T. Currently, the company is serving 16 out of the top 20 global pharmaceutical companies, up from 14 last year.

ESG Brew with ComfortDelGro’s Group Chief Sustainability and Risk Officer: ‘Our transition to cleaner energy vehicles will be a game-changer’

By Geoff Howie

  • ESG Brew with ComfortDelGro’s Group Chief Sustainability and Risk Officer: ‘Our transition to cleaner energy vehicles will be a game-changer’ Land transport operator ComfortDelGro is switching its fleet of over 40,000 vehicles in 12 countries to cleaner energy ones as part of its sustainability drive.
  • Jong explains: “We operate in 12 countries with a total fleet of over 40,000 vehicles spanning taxis, buses, trains and more.

JAKK: 2Q Preview: Setting up for Success; Reiterate Buy Rating, $24 PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, projections and $24 price target for JAKKS Pacific with the company announcing 2Q24 (June) results after the close on Wednesday.
  • While we do not expect, nor have we projected, a strong 2Q, we do believe management will be upbeat on a number of key fronts, including: 1) Cleaning up inventory levels in anticipation of Holiday strength and new launches; 2) gearing up for more normalized Halloween costume demand; 3) initial launches for The Simpsons lines to key domestic and international retailers; 4) progress on the international expansion front; 5) the initial shipments for the Authentic Brands partnership and 6) potential demand for Moana 2 and Sonic the Hedgehog 3 Holiday movies.
  • Further, we expect the balance sheet has remained debt free, cash rich and management will provide an update on potential return to shareholders.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (25-Jul-2024): BOE boosts S. Korean suppliers, Wonik gets more orders

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • BOE’s B16 OLED commitment boosts Korean suppliers, Wonik to see surge in orders
  • Offshore wind delays in Taiwan lead to focus on Japan and Korea for opportunities
  • Onsemi chosen to power VW EV, Elon Musk supports Trump’s EV policies, tariff war on chips impacts consumers and companies

Ainos, Inc. – Veldona Animal Study Enrolls First Subject, Marking a Good Start

By Water Tower Research

  • Enrolled first subject in feline oral disease study, paving way for animal health opportunity.
  • The randomized, double- blind Veldona animal study will enroll 30 cats with feline chronic gingivostomatitis (FCGS) at a single Taiwan clinical site.
  • Two dosage groups, a low dose (6,000 IU) and high dose (12,000 IU), will be evaluated. The first enrolled subject will be dosed later this week. 

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Toyota’s BIG Buyback Via Tender Offer from Banks & Insurers and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Toyota’s BIG Buyback Via Tender Offer from Banks & Insurers
  • The Beat Ideas: Garware Technical Fibre- A Niche Technical Textile Player
  • Kakao Group Founder Kim Beom-Su Gets Arrested – What’s Next?
  • Nidec (6594)| Q1 Beat, but Some One-Offs
  • Anhui Conch (914 HK): Turnaround in Sight
  • Prosus (PRX-NA): Profitable Growth, Elevated Discount
  • [Earnings Review] Schlumberger Beats Estimates as International Operations Shine
  • Inside NVIDIA’s China Play: Going Beyond U.S. Export Controls To Win Big In China!
  • Narrative and Numbers | Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) | FY24
  • [Earnings Review] Halliburton Dips as North America Slowdown Hits Q2 Revenue


Toyota’s BIG Buyback Via Tender Offer from Banks & Insurers

By Travis Lundy

  • With FY23 earnings in May, Toyota Motor (7203 JP) announced a ¥1trn buyback (410mm shares, 3.04%). Given shares were ¥3,599 the day before, it meant fewer shares or a Tender.
  • Like Honda (who hadn’t bought pre-offering), Toyota hadn’t bought back in the first couple of months. We knew there was bank and insurer overhang. That overhang lasts for years. 
  • Today, Toyota announced an “organised” 410mm share ¥1trln Tender Offer Buyback. Several financial institutions have announced plans to tender. This provides guidance on supply/demand for the rest of the year.

The Beat Ideas: Garware Technical Fibre- A Niche Technical Textile Player

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Garware Technical Fibres (GTFL IN) focuses on value-added products and has increased R&D investment significantly, with substantial growth in sports nets and geo-synthetics.
  • The company’s strong export market presence, high-margin profile, and diversification will improve the margins in the future. 
  • With refocus on the domestic market and growing demand for value-added products, Garware Technical Fibres (GTFL IN) is poised for significant growth with capex coming online.

Kakao Group Founder Kim Beom-Su Gets Arrested – What’s Next?

By Douglas Kim

  • As a result of the arrest of Kim Beom-Su, the near term impact on the Kakao companies (including Kakao Corp, Kakao Bank, Kakao Pay, and Kakao Games) is clearly negative.
  • Given that this is a highly publicized event, it is likely that this legal case will be PROLONGED and finally decided by the Supreme Court which could take several years.
  • Some of the scenarios include Kakao Group selling partial stakes in Kakao Bank and SM Entertainment but this is likely to get dragged on, resulting in further uncertainty.

Nidec (6594)| Q1 Beat, but Some One-Offs

By Mark Chadwick

  • Nidec reported Q1 OP of ¥60b, above the consensus of ¥53b. However this also included a gain from the consolidation of Nidec PSA
  • The key earnings driver was small precision motors, which are benefiting from recovery in HDD market and new earnings from cooling systems from AI Servers
  • We revise up our full year forecasts but do not believe the share price will react strongly to the “beat.” Maintain bullish view on valuations

Anhui Conch (914 HK): Turnaround in Sight

By Eric Chen

  • We believe Anhui Conch is near the end of a prolonged downturn. Earnings should have bottomed out in 1Q24, with highly visible sequential Q/Q improvements throughout the rest of 2024.
  • The recovery is not demand-driven but cost-led as implementation of new national standards resulting in higher production costs led to industry-wide price-hikes, benefiting Anhui Conch the low-cost producer.
  • We see mild rebound in cement demand in 2025 will pave the way for further price hikes, reinforce the company’s earnings recovery and catalyze valuation expansion.

Prosus (PRX-NA): Profitable Growth, Elevated Discount

By Wium Malan, CFA

  • The removal of their cross-holding structure has had a negligible effect on the respective discounts to NAV for Prosus NV (PRX NA) and Naspers (NPN SJ).
  • We have seen a remarkable turnaround in Prosus’s operating performance during FY2024 and the market will focus on whether the new CEO can achieve his ambitions for “profitable growth”.
  • The open-ended share repurchase program will continue as long as the discount remains “elevated”.

[Earnings Review] Schlumberger Beats Estimates as International Operations Shine

By Suhas Reddy

  • Schlumberger’s revenue grew 12.9% YoY and beat estimates by 0.7%, while its net profit rose by 7.65% YoY and beat estimates by 2.9%.
  • Revenue from North America grew 3% sequentially but fell 6% YoY due to lower drilling activity in the US.
  • Management expects low single-digit sequential revenue growth in Q3 2024 and free cash flow in H2 2024 to be higher than in H1 2024.

Inside NVIDIA’s China Play: Going Beyond U.S. Export Controls To Win Big In China!

By Baptista Research

  • NVIDIA Corporation, a titan in the semiconductor industry, has been at the forefront of artificial intelligence (AI) innovation, primarily due to its cutting-edge GPUs that power everything from deep learning algorithms to complex simulations.
  • As the company approaches its earnings report, investors are keenly observing the performance of its AI-driven products amidst a backdrop of global market dynamics and regulatory challenges.
  • The company’s recent advancements, such as the “Blackwell” chip series, promise significant improvements in processing speed and efficiency.

Narrative and Numbers | Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) | FY24

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) is a leading retail company in India known for its diverse range of fashion and lifestyle brands like Westside and Zudio. 
  • With its own labels, operating efficiencies, and leverage at work, Trent has been able to expand its margins substantially. 
  • We anticipate the strong operational performance to continue. We believe it will take a couple of years for peers to catch up to Trent’s execution prowess.

[Earnings Review] Halliburton Dips as North America Slowdown Hits Q2 Revenue

By Suhas Reddy

  • Halliburton’s Q2 revenue rises by 0.6% YoY, held back by an 8% YoY decline in revenue from North America. It missed its revenue estimates by 1.9%.
  • Strong performance from the international operations more than offset the slowdown in North America. Revenue from international markets rose 8% YoY.
  • For 2024, Halliburton forecasts a 10% YoY increase in international revenue, while North American revenue is expected to decline by 6-8% YoY.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Nippon Yusen (9101) – Guidance Revision Up Still Conservative and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Nippon Yusen (9101) – Guidance Revision Up Still Conservative, Means More Capital Return Eventually
  • BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 22)
  • [Q2 Earnings Preview] Microsoft Flying High on Tailwinds from Azure Surge, AI Leap & Gaming Boost
  • Thai Beverage (THBEV SP) – Increasingly Streamlined SEA F&B Play
  • Ryanair – FY25 Weakness Suggests a “normalization” and Prompts Structural Industry Questions
  • TechChain Insights: Call with Silicon Motion; QLC NAND Emerging as Key Enabler for AI Devices
  • Buyback and director filings taper off during pre-earnings period
  • Actinver Research – Housing Sector : Building a More Profitable Future (Sector Update)
  • Mongolian Mining (975 HK): Q2 2024 Production Impressive, Good Set Up for H1
  • Oneness Biotech (4743 TT): Marketing Progress of Fespixon in China Opens a New Revenue Stream


Nippon Yusen (9101) – Guidance Revision Up Still Conservative, Means More Capital Return Eventually

By Travis Lundy

  • Nippon Yusen Kk (9101 JP) today announced an upward revision of H1 and full-year guidance. It was a dramatic increase.
  • The breakdown of the OP and RP numbers suggests a huge gain in containers in Q1 and into Q2. The breakdown of revenue and OP changes suggested substantial H2 conservatism.
  • On a capital-adjusted basis, Nippon Yusen is now slightly cheap vs its domestic peers and has shown a willingness to spend its excess cash on buybacks. Expect more.

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 22)

By David Mudd


[Q2 Earnings Preview] Microsoft Flying High on Tailwinds from Azure Surge, AI Leap & Gaming Boost

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • Azure Revenue Growth: Microsoft’s Azure revenue soared 21% YoY to $26.7B in Q3 2024, driven by advanced AI capabilities and increased enterprise adoption.
  • AI & Personal Computing: AI-driven Copilot+ PCs and hybrid AI solutions are reshaping the market, with AI-capable PC shipments projected to rise from 19% in 2024 to 60% by 2027.
  • Gaming + Activision: The $68.7B Activision acquisition boosted gaming revenue by 51% YoY, with Game Pass subscribers exceeding 30M and expanding Microsoft’s position in cloud gaming.

Thai Beverage (THBEV SP) – Increasingly Streamlined SEA F&B Play

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Thai Beverage will offload its entire stake in Frasers Property Ltd to TCC Assets in a share swap for an increased share in Fraser And Neave streamlining its business focus.
  • The share swap values Fraser And Neave on a par with peers which is at a significant premium to the share price but Fraser And Neave was excessively undervalued.
  • Thai Beverage deserves to trade on a higher multiple given its pure-play status and a succession of recent restructurings including Serm Suk and Oishi Holdings. 

Ryanair – FY25 Weakness Suggests a “normalization” and Prompts Structural Industry Questions

By Neil Glynn

  • Ryanair issued a stark warning on summer pricing today with 1Q25 results and we cut our FY25 net income 31% accordingly.
  • Our forecasts represent a re-set of unitary economics to pre-pandemic levels and it is difficult to plot improvement unless consolidation benefits or winter surgery help FY26.
  • Ryanair’s cost advantage has widened markedly against peers, justifying a strategy of continued market share focus as competitors face greater challenges.

TechChain Insights: Call with Silicon Motion; QLC NAND Emerging as Key Enabler for AI Devices

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • We had a conference call with Silicon Motion; the leading global provider of NAND flash controllers and solid-state storage solutions for the consumer, enterprise, and industrial markets.
  • We focus on how Silicon Motion is leveraging advantages of QLC NAND flash memory, which is becoming a critical memory solution for new AI servers, AI PCs, and AI mobiles
  • Maintain Structural Long rating for Silicon Motion and $102 valuation. The company is in a leading position to benefit from the rising importance of advanced memory controllers for AI applications.

Buyback and director filings taper off during pre-earnings period

By Geoff Howie

  • Share buybacks by primary-listed companies The five sessions also saw nine primary-listed companies conducted buybacks with a total consideration of S$4.5 million.
  • With this transaction, the total proportion of shares bought back under the current mandate now stands at 1.47 per cent of the issued shares (not counting treasury shares) as of the date when the share buyback resolution was passed.

Actinver Research – Housing Sector : Building a More Profitable Future (Sector Update)

By Actinver

  • The housing sector in Mexico has solid fundamentals, with attractive growth expectations for listed developers considering their healthy financial position and access to financing sources.
  • As a result, these companies are poised to capture the increased demand that the housing deficit generates during the coming years.
  • Since the start of the bankruptcy processes of the three largest housing developers (GEO, HOMEX, and URBI) in 2014, housing production has maintained a downward trend.

Mongolian Mining (975 HK): Q2 2024 Production Impressive, Good Set Up for H1

By Sameer Taneja


Oneness Biotech (4743 TT): Marketing Progress of Fespixon in China Opens a New Revenue Stream

By Tina Banerjee

  • Oneness Biotech (4743 TT) entered into an exclusive agreement with China Resources Dubl Crne Phrmctl (600062 CH) for commercialization of Fespixon in China, Hong Kong, and Macau.
  • Fespixon is approved in China as the first new drug for diabetic foot ulcer. Inclusion of the drug in NRDL is the next important milestone.
  • During 1H24, Oneness Biotech reported revenue of NT$57M, up 36% YoY. With expanding scale of operation, gross profit margin is improving (1Q24: 62.5% vs. 1Q23: 47.9%). Net loss is decreasing.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: ASML Readthrough and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • ASML Readthrough: Are There Signs of an Industry Slow Down?
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Strong TSMC & ASML Data Fails to Rally the Semiconductor Sector
  • Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK): Tops India Smartphone Market; Samsung Falls to Third
  • Korea Small Cap Gem #29: Com2Us
  • Xiaomi (1810 HK): 2Q24 Shipments – High Growth and High Market Share
  • China Consumption Weekly (2024 Jul 22): Xiaomi, Guangzhou Automobile, NIO, AAPL, Starbucks
  • NRG Energy Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Expansion of Smart Home and Consumer Energy Platforms Is A Key Growth Catalyst! – Financial Forecasts
  • Blue Moon Group (6993) – Monday, Apr 22, 2024
  • Brookfield Renewable Corporation: Initiation of Coverage


ASML Readthrough: Are There Signs of an Industry Slow Down?

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • ASML’s results last week indicated continued strength in the semiconductor industry. We analyze the results to identify any potential signs of weakening or pauses in global industry momentum for Taiwan.
  • Net system bookings surged 54% QoQ and ASML reported rising utilization levels of its clients’ equipment. Inventory days rose significantly, but this is due to upcoming 2025 orderbook deliveries.
  • New US, Europe, and Japan fabs bolster strong revenue outlook into 2026E. Overall, robust industry demand persists according to ASML’s latest data, with no major signs of softness.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Strong TSMC & ASML Data Fails to Rally the Semiconductor Sector

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Taiwan Stocks Fall On Potential New U.S. Tech Restrictions for China & Potential Policy Shift from a Trump White House… Strong TSMC & ASML Results Fail to Rally the Sector
  • Even Tighter Technology Restrictions for China?  — US Could Use Special Rule to Restrict Selling of Products Made by Foreign Companies
  • We See TSMC’s Margins Increasing Much Higher Than Guidance in Long-Term; 2Q24 Shows Apple Ramping Up

Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK): Tops India Smartphone Market; Samsung Falls to Third

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)‘s smartphone shipments to India surged in Q2 2024, reclaiming the top spot, while Samsung slipped to third.
  • Consumer discretionary sales, including smartphones, were weak during the quarter due to elections, subdued demand, and extreme weather.
  • The upcoming festive season is crucial for sales, with customers anticipating new launches and better bargains. 5G device upgrades continue to drive growth in 2024.

Korea Small Cap Gem #29: Com2Us

By Douglas Kim

  • Com2Us’s net cash (including long-term financial investments) is 151% of its market cap. It is trading at P/B ratio of only 0.45x.
  • The company paid out 2,600 won in DPS in FY23. If we assume the same DPS, this would suggest a dividend yield of 6.7% at current price of 38,900 won.
  • Com2Us is a turnaround story. It had an operating profit of 1.2 billion won in 1Q 2024, improving from an operating loss of 13.3 billion won in 1Q 2023.

Xiaomi (1810 HK): 2Q24 Shipments – High Growth and High Market Share

By Ming Lu

  • Xiaomi (XM)’s shipments increased by 29% YoY in 2Q24, which is the most rapid growth among the global top five.
  • Xiaomi is the only clear gainer of market share among the global top five.
  • We believe the stock has an upside of 35% and the target price is HK$22.30 for the end of 2024.

China Consumption Weekly (2024 Jul 22): Xiaomi, Guangzhou Automobile, NIO, AAPL, Starbucks

By Ming Lu

  • Xiaomi’s global market increased to 15% in 2Q24 compared with 13% in 2Q23.
  • GAC Aion began to be produced in Thailand to bypass the new tariff barriers from the US and the European Union.
  • Cotti Coffee plans to extend its “RMB9.90” sales to three years.

NRG Energy Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Expansion of Smart Home and Consumer Energy Platforms Is A Key Growth Catalyst! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • NRG Energy, Inc. recently reported a strong start to 2024, with business performance exceeding expectations and an affirmation of the 2024 financial guidance.
  • Management highlighted transformative trends in power demand, primarily driven by electrification, generative AI, and data center growth, which open promising prospects for the power sector.
  • Furthermore, NRG is strategically positioned to benefit from tightening supply and demand dynamics in key markets, leveraging its diversified generation portfolio and consumer technology platform.

Blue Moon Group (6993) – Monday, Apr 22, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Blue Moon started with a kitchen spray cleanser in 1994, but now focuses on liquid detergents in China
  • While they have strong marketing and scale, their competitive advantages are weak compared to domestic competitor Liby
  • Intensifying competition and various factors have led to a decline in Blue Moon’s market share, raising uncertainty about their future in the industry

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Brookfield Renewable Corporation: Initiation of Coverage

By Baptista Research

  • Brookfield Renewable reported mixed results in its fourth quarter 2023 earnings, presenting both challenges and advancements in its operational and financial strategies.
  • The company, a leader in renewable energy solutions, demonstrated robust operational success by increasing its funds from operations, driven primarily by organic growth and strategic acquisitions.
  • Notably, the deployment of $9 billion into diverse opportunities highlights Brookfield Renewable’s aggressive capital investment strategy, aiming to enhance its global footprint in the renewable sector.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Over Capacity in Chinese Auto Market and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Over Capacity in Chinese Auto Market
  • Consumer Tales & Trends #July 11-20: THBEV SP Swap Deal, Bad Debts in Thailand, AI in Beauty.
  • Brilliance China Automotive (1114 HK, NEUTRAL, TP:HKD3.90): Go for the >15% Dividend Yields
  • China Healthcare Weekly (July.21)-Rumor About Akeso, Takeover Bid for Legend Bio, InnoCare’s Trouble
  • Baidu Teams Up With Hesai Group For Its Robotaxi Platform Yichi 06: A Big Win For Hesai Group
  • Zhongsheng Group Holdings (881 HK, BUY, TP:HKD15.0): Challenging Outlook and Reflected in Valuation
  • LiAuto (LI US, BUY, TP:USD25.0): High Growth + Deep Value Stock
  • CrowdStrike: A Once-Promising Cybersecurity Titan’s Fall From Grace


Over Capacity in Chinese Auto Market

By Alex Ng

  • News show that European car makers such as BMW is moving out of China, leaving the Auto market to the local players
  • Stocks like Brilliance China will suffer losses as they lose some of the most famous co-brand.
  • Foreign firm exits may give relief to local auto makers as it resolves part of the over-capacity problems

Consumer Tales & Trends #July 11-20: THBEV SP Swap Deal, Bad Debts in Thailand, AI in Beauty.

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Welcome to Consumer Tales & Trends, your weekly roundup of the latest corporate developments, investment reports and sector events in the consumer industry.
  • Thai Beverage (THBEV SP)‘s proposed swap deal with promoter company raises several questions for shareholders. Start with the back story about how Fraser And Neave (FNN SP) joined the group.
  • Bigger weddings could become a trend in India – Read why we like Kalyan Jewellers(KALYANKJ IN) . Also, household debt in Thailand as % of GDP is highest in ASEAN.

Brilliance China Automotive (1114 HK, NEUTRAL, TP:HKD3.90): Go for the >15% Dividend Yields

By Mohshin Aziz

  • Business is struggling due to legacy luxury brands such as BMW losing its positioning in China. Local brands are eating into market share fast. 
  • Thankfully, the company is cash rich and its trading nature enables steady supply of dividends and have been known to pay special dividends.  
  • Share price has been under pressure, now trading at ~15% dividend yield based on 50% payout,  appealing to yield seekers. 

China Healthcare Weekly (July.21)-Rumor About Akeso, Takeover Bid for Legend Bio, InnoCare’s Trouble

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • There’re rumor that Akeso’s AK112 and AK104 2024 revenue is RMB300 million and RMB1.5-1.6 billion respectively. Sales of AK104 may be below expectations, so Akeso decided to enter NRDL reimbursement.
  • Regardless of whether there is a takeover offer, reasonable valuation of Legend Bio is between US$12.5bn-US$15bn based on solid fundamentals. This deal is “a test” for the management of Genscript.
  • Current stock price of InnoCare just reflects its essence. If no new catalysts (e.g. breakthroughs in clinical data, new licensing agreement, etc.), we are not optimistic about the prospects of InnoCare.

Baidu Teams Up With Hesai Group For Its Robotaxi Platform Yichi 06: A Big Win For Hesai Group

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Baidu, a Chinese multinational technology giant, chose Hesai Group to be the exclusive LiDAR supplier for its robotaxi fleet in China.  
  • Baidu is uniquely positioned for growth in a self-driving robotaxis and its autonomous ride-hailing platform, Apollo Go Robotaxi, gains real traction.   
  • Hesai Group may ship at least 300K LiDARs for Baidu’s sixth generation Apollo RT6 robotaxis that would translate into a revenue of up to $300M.

Zhongsheng Group Holdings (881 HK, BUY, TP:HKD15.0): Challenging Outlook and Reflected in Valuation

By Mohshin Aziz

  • Most brands under control (Mercedes, Lexus, Toyota) are undergoing popularity downtrend by consumers in China.  
  • There will remain a loyal niche supporter base, every legacy auto does, but it also means Zhongsheng will be a smaller and niche distributor going forward. 
  • Share price has plunged significantly YTD, trading at only ~5x, which we think is overdone. Yield hunters will like its ~8% DY. 

LiAuto (LI US, BUY, TP:USD25.0): High Growth + Deep Value Stock

By Mohshin Aziz

  • Share price under pressure due to industry challenges and transition of new product line-ups.  
  • 2024 is a blip, things will normalise 2025 and deliver strong topline and bottomline growth. 
  • LiAuto is trading at bargain levels for a company delivering 3-year earnings CAGR of 38%, net cash balance sheet and churns high free cash flow. 

CrowdStrike: A Once-Promising Cybersecurity Titan’s Fall From Grace

By Baptista Research

  • CrowdStrike, once hailed as a beacon of innovation in the cybersecurity sector, now finds itself at a precarious crossroads.
  • Despite boasting a robust platform, impressive revenue growth, and high-profile clients, recent events have cast a long shadow over its future prospects.
  • The global IT outage linked to CrowdStrike’s software has brought its skyrocketing valuation down but is there a rock-bottom in sight?

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: TSMC Shatters Q2 Expectations Bolstered by Strong AI Chip Demand and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • TSMC Shatters Q2 Expectations Bolstered by Strong AI Chip Demand
  • TotalEnergies Hits Roadblock with Lower Gas Prices and Refining Margins
  • [Blue Lotus E-Commerce Sector Update]: Tax Reform a Light at the End of the Tunnel for Ecommerce
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Jul-2024): Micron samples MRDIMMs for AI, HPC.
  • Intuitive Surgical (ISRG US): Beat-And-Raise 2Q24; Strong Procedure Growth; Solid Da Vinci 5 Rollout
  • Zuora Inc (ZUO) – Thursday, Apr 18, 2024
  • Cara Therapeutics Exploring A Potential Sale But Can It Really Get Acquired? – Financial Forecasts
  • MoneyHero Group: A Promising Q1 2024 Result With Lots To Look Forward To!!
  • Edenred Se (EDEN) – Friday, Apr 19, 2024
  • Five9 Under Pressure From Anson Funds To Explore A Potential Sale! 4 Reasons Why It Could Be An Attractive Acquisition Target! – Financial Forecasts


TSMC Shatters Q2 Expectations Bolstered by Strong AI Chip Demand

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • TSMC’s Q2 revenue hits NT$673.51 billion, exceeding expectations amid strong demand for advanced chips.
  • TSMC to grapple with tight supply through 2025, striving to meet soaring global demand across various sectors.
  • TSMC on track for 2025 mass production of 2nm chips, enhancing capabilities for more powerful and efficient technologies.

TotalEnergies Hits Roadblock with Lower Gas Prices and Refining Margins

By Suhas Reddy

  • TotalEnergies’ robust hydrocarbon production in Q2 2024 will be offset by lower gas realizations and refining margins.
  • Higher utilisation rates are expected to partially mitigate reduced refining margins in Europe and the Middle East.
  • Seasonal factors are expected to lower the Integrated Power segment’s adjusted net operating income by 18.2% QoQ to USD 500 million.

[Blue Lotus E-Commerce Sector Update]: Tax Reform a Light at the End of the Tunnel for Ecommerce

By Ying Pan

  • Early 6/18 pulled June sales into May, leading to disappointing June NBS data. Combined, online retail grew 5.1% yoy in May/June, and 6.4% yoy in 2Q24. 
  • PDD remained the top shelf-ecommerce platform with GMV growing ~20%, followed by Taobao/Tmall (TTG) at ~6-7%, and JD and VIPS at ~2-3% yoy. 
  • We expect JD and BABA to report slight earnings beats and guide upbeat on continued profitability improvement in 2H24. 

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (20-Jul-2024): Micron samples MRDIMMs for AI, HPC.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Micron is sampling MRDIMMs for AI and HPC applications, exploring innovative solutions for data processing needs.
  • Hyundai Motors plans to add 300 new charging stations to support the expansion of their hydrogen bus fleet, promoting eco-friendly transportation options.
  • German electrification struggle worsens with supplier bankruptcy up 60%, hindering the widespread adoption of electric vehicles and renewable energy technologies.

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG US): Beat-And-Raise 2Q24; Strong Procedure Growth; Solid Da Vinci 5 Rollout

By Tina Banerjee

  • Intuitive Surgical (ISRG US) posted another strong quarterly result, with key performance indicators including total revenue, procedure growth, system placement, and EPS beating consensus.
  • 2Q24 procedure volume growth was 17% (estimate 15.5%) and accelerated from 16% in 1Q24. Intuitive narrowed full-year 2024 procedure growth forecast to 15.5–17.0%. The company raised gross margin guidance.
  • Despite phased rollout, 70 da Vinci 5 systems placement in 2Q24 seems impressive. It represents almost half of the total U.S. placement. In 2H24, placement is expected to increase modestly.

Zuora Inc (ZUO) – Thursday, Apr 18, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Zuora is considering a potential sale after receiving acquisition interest, with Qatalyst Partners hired to facilitate the process
  • Founder and CEO Tien Tzuo and other large shareholders may participate in the transaction
  • Potential deal price of $13-15 per share, offering 40-60% upside from current levels, with downside protection due to low valuation and improving cash flow outlook

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Cara Therapeutics Exploring A Potential Sale But Can It Really Get Acquired? – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Cara Therapeutics has been trending all over the internet after the company recently decided to explore a potential sale.
  • Recent, Cara Therapeutics’ management announced a focus shift toward its most promising project, oral difelikefalin for treating notalgia paresthetica (NP), a chronic neuropathic condition with no currently approved therapies.
  • The reallocation of resources toward this program enables Cara Therapeutics to extend its cash runway into 2026, potentially covering all crucial value inflection milestones for the NP program.

MoneyHero Group: A Promising Q1 2024 Result With Lots To Look Forward To!!

By Baptista Research

  • This is a follow-up research note on MoneyHero Group, a leading personal finance aggregation and comparison entity in Greater Southeast Asia.
  • In its most recent Q1 2024 result, the company continues to demonstrate exceptional growth and strategic agility.
  • MoneyHero Group has seen a significant uptick in revenues and improved margins and was also in the news for an important strategic sale of CompareHero in Malaysia that could prove to be another game changer.

Edenred Se (EDEN) – Friday, Apr 19, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Edenred SE is a global payment solutions company with a strong financial performance and dominant industry position
  • Company’s stock has declined -19.50% year-to-date due to a legal investigation in Italy
  • Despite challenges, Edenred has a strong balance sheet, cash flow generation, and growth potential, making it a long opportunity for investors.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Five9 Under Pressure From Anson Funds To Explore A Potential Sale! 4 Reasons Why It Could Be An Attractive Acquisition Target! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Five9, a noted leader in cloud contact center solutions, has been facing activist pressure in order to explore a potential sale of the company after a decent quarterly result.
  • Positively, Five9 reported a solid increase in subscription revenue, growing 20% year-over-year, which underscores its successful transition and dominance in the cloud-based contact center market.
  • This growth trajectory is supported by three key trends: the ongoing shift to cloud-based platforms, heightened focus on customer experience enhancement, and revolutionary impacts of AI on customer services.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The Outlook of 3Q24 Is Pretty Much In-Line and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The Outlook of 3Q24 Is Pretty Much In-Line, and GM Could Be Better.
  • We See TSMC’s Margins Increasing Much Higher Than Guidance in Long-Term; 2Q24 Shows Apple Ramping Up
  • Kyoto Financial Group (5844 JP) – Limited Shareholdings Unwind, for Now
  • Mount Gibson (MGX AU): Q4 Production Report And Guidance Disappointing, But Mkt Cap = Net Cash
  • American Water Works Company: Initiation of Coverage – PFAS Regulatory Compliance
  • Brookfield Infrastructure Partners (BIP or BIPC) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024
  • Ryanair – Pricing Appears to Be Softening; Re-Setting Profitability Expectations
  • MediaTek (2454.TT): 3Q24 Might Grow Slightly QoQ, While AI PCs Could Be Delivered in 2H25.
  • Silversun Technologies Inc (SSNT) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Jul-2024): China’s auto exports, 2023.


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The Outlook of 3Q24 Is Pretty Much In-Line, and GM Could Be Better.

By Patrick Liao

  • TSMC expects sales to grow by mid-20% YoY in USD in 2024, compared to low to mid-20% previously.
  • The N3/N5 capacity is very tight, and they are even working with customers for 2026 capacity requirements, while N2 is on track to enter MP in 4Q25.
  • A16 will enter MP in 2H26, and it’s first process starts adopting backside power.

We See TSMC’s Margins Increasing Much Higher Than Guidance in Long-Term; 2Q24 Shows Apple Ramping Up

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Significant revenue guidance hike — TSMC reported 2Q24 results, increasing 2024E revenue growth guidance to exceed ‘mid-20’s’ percent, a significant hike from previous guidance.
  • Management is low-balling LT margins — Latest figures and long-term margin color makes us believe that TSMC will be able to increase GM much higher than current official LT guidance.
  • Signs of Apple expecting strong iPhone 16 sales — TSMC reported strength in smartphone end-applications and we believe this is reflective of Apple ramping up re: stronger iPhone volume expectations.

Kyoto Financial Group (5844 JP) – Limited Shareholdings Unwind, for Now

By Victor Galliano

  • Kyoto Financial’s stakes in three key listed Japanese corporates are valued at over 85% of its market capitalization with its total equity holdings accounting for 130%+ of its market capitalization
  • Kyoto management intends to retain the bulk of the bank’s equity holdings, opposing the growing trend for Japanese listed companies to unwind crossholdings; management will review this policy in November
  • In the near term, we see no major catalyst for Kyoto to accelerate its equity holdings unwind and so, combined with its underwhelming fundamentals, we are negative on Kyoto Financial

Mount Gibson (MGX AU): Q4 Production Report And Guidance Disappointing, But Mkt Cap = Net Cash

By Sameer Taneja

  • Mount Gibson Iron (MGX AU) reported a disappointing Q4 FY24 production report. Volumes were inline, but provisional pricing impacts of ~20% brought a quarterly cash outflow of one mn AUD.
  • Volume guidance for FY25 was light at 2.7-3 mn tons (vs. 4.1 mn in FY24). Net Cash rose to 436 mn AUD (excluding Fenix Investment), almost equaling the market cap. 
  • FY24 results are due on 21st August 2024, when the board will recommend a dividend. Net cash and future cash flows should support the share price in the long run.  

American Water Works Company: Initiation of Coverage – PFAS Regulatory Compliance

By Baptista Research

  • American Water started 2023 with promising financial results, as its earnings per share (EPS) rose from $0.91 to $0.95 compared to the same quarter last year.
  • This increase was anticipated, aligning with the company’s forecast and sustaining its full-year earnings guidance.
  • Noteworthy contributing factors include the $0.02 per share rise stemming from additional interest income, linked to amendments in the seller note related to the HOS sale.

Brookfield Infrastructure Partners (BIP or BIPC) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Dalrymple Finance report examines financial structure of Brookfield Infrastructure Partners managed by Brookfield Asset Management
  • Report raises concerns about fee maximization practices that may not align with interests of limited partners
  • Comparison with sister entity launched in 2023 highlights flaws in BIP’s financial policies, suggesting a unsustainable pyramid scheme structure

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Ryanair – Pricing Appears to Be Softening; Re-Setting Profitability Expectations

By Neil Glynn

  • Latest fare data suggests an incrementally more concerning trend for Ryanair pricing from June.
  • Concerns over pricing continue to increase in Europe, following Lufthansa’s profit warning last week.
  • We cut our FY25 net income by 9% to €2,289m albeit remain above consensus of €2,170m.

MediaTek (2454.TT): 3Q24 Might Grow Slightly QoQ, While AI PCs Could Be Delivered in 2H25.

By Patrick Liao

  • Mediatek Inc (2454 TT) is forecasted to experience slight growth in 3Q24 compared to 2Q24.  
  • Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US) is expected to introduce AI PCs in 2024, while Mediatek Inc (2454 TT) scheduled for this product is anticipated to delivered in 2H25.  
  • The shipment forecast for the Dimensity 9400 is approximately 5 million sets in 2H24.

Silversun Technologies Inc (SSNT) – Wednesday, Apr 17, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Author admires Brad Jacobs’ entrepreneurial success but questions high valuation of SilverSun Technologies
  • Conversion of SSNT into stake in QXO implies optimistic market capitalization of $46 billion
  • Author remains skeptical of QXO valuation despite Jacobs’ successful track record

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Tech Supply Chain Tracker (19-Jul-2024): China’s auto exports, 2023.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • XPeng and Baidu leading China’s autonomous driving technology advancements in 2023
  • Malaysia’s semiconductor sector set for growth in 3Q24 with talent recruitment and AI integration
  • Singtel partners with SK Telecom for 6G and AI innovation, while automakers persist in V2X development efforts

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Rebounds After Sharp Breakdown; ASE Major Premium Breakdown and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Rebounds After Sharp Breakdown; ASE Major Premium Breakdown
  • China Autos Landscape Has Permanently Changed, Foreign Brands Have Lost Their Clout
  • Isetan-Mitsukoshi Bets on Flagships and Real Estate
  • [Q2 Earnings Preview] Google: Ad Revenue & Cloud Growth Plus AI Advancements in Focus
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-Jul-2024): GlobalWafers gets $400M CHIPS Act funds.
  • [Earnings Preview] Halliburton: Leans on International Operations Amid North American Weakness
  • ASML Holding N.V.: Will The Prebuilding Strategy to Manage Supply Chain and Demand Pay Off? – Major Drivers
  • Cadence Design Systems: Their Story Of Strategic Partnerships & Expansion through Mergers and Acquisitions! – Major Drivers
  • Alcoa Corporation: Strategic Acquisition Of Alumina & 5 Pivotal Growth Drivers
  • EB: TikTok a New Momentum


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Rebounds After Sharp Breakdown; ASE Major Premium Breakdown

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +17.9% Premium; Rebounds After Brief Breakdown; Wait for Better Levels
  • UMC: +1.8% Premium; Can Consider Shorting the Premium at Current Level
  • ASE: +5.5% Premium Represents a Major Breakdown; Can Consider Going Long

China Autos Landscape Has Permanently Changed, Foreign Brands Have Lost Their Clout

By Mohshin Aziz

  • Chinese auto brands commands 61% market share in May 2024, up from 7% in 2021. Its premium car market share has also risen to 25% from nothing  
  • The transition towards EV, swift adoption of technology and sleek designs has made traditional car makers (including luxury marquees) look antiquated and out of fashion compared to the Chinese brands  
  • Premium Chinese automakers LiAuto and NIO will benefit over long-term, whilst the foreign dealers and local-foreign JV OEMs will suffer over the long term. 

Isetan-Mitsukoshi Bets on Flagships and Real Estate

By Michael Causton

  • Isetan Shinjuku expects to post sales in excess of ¥400 billion this year, a record for a single retail store, although most of the growth is from inbound tourists. 
  • But Isetan-Mitsukoshi is working to ensure longer term stability through more sophisticated databases and personalised marketing.
  • At the same time, it will make better use of real estate assets, investing ¥500 billion around Isetan Shinjuku alone.

[Q2 Earnings Preview] Google: Ad Revenue & Cloud Growth Plus AI Advancements in Focus

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • Google’s ad revenue growth consensus is 11.7% YoY in Q2, with some analysts projecting even higher, reflecting robust global digital ad spend trends.
  • Google Cloud’s revenue reached $9.5 billion in Q1 2024, marking a 35% YoY increase and a 4x growth over the past four years. Q2 expected to see continued growth. 
  • AI investments and innovations showcased at Google I/O aim to boost user experience and market leadership, with potential double-digit growth.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-Jul-2024): GlobalWafers gets $400M CHIPS Act funds.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • GlobalWafers secures $400M from CHIPS Act to boost semiconductor production amid global chip shortage.
  • Samsung intensifies focus on wearable device sales with new strategies to adapt to declining demand in market.
  • Acer targets Indian smartphone market with white-label approach and Qualcomm teams up with Microsoft to innovate PCs using AI technology.

[Earnings Preview] Halliburton: Leans on International Operations Amid North American Weakness

By Suhas Reddy

  • Halliburton forecasts low double-digit revenue growth from its international business and flat revenue growth from North America in 2024.
  • Management expects sequential margin growth of 25-75 bps in its Drilling & Evaluation and Completion & Production segments in Q2 2024.
  • Halliburton expects its FCF to rise 10% YoY in 2024. The company returned nearly 60% of its FCF to shareholders in 2023.

ASML Holding N.V.: Will The Prebuilding Strategy to Manage Supply Chain and Demand Pay Off? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • ASML Holding NV has released its financial results for the first quarter of 2024, highlighting a combination of achievements and forecasts that paint a detailed picture of the company’s current and future trajectory.
  • In terms of financial performance, ASML reported total net sales of EUR 5.3 billion, which aligns with the company’s previous guidance.
  • The revenue from 11 EUV (extreme ultraviolet) systems constituted EUR 1.8 billion of the total net sales.

Cadence Design Systems: Their Story Of Strategic Partnerships & Expansion through Mergers and Acquisitions! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Cadence Design Systems, Inc. recently reported a strong start to the year 2024, announcing first-quarter results that surpassed expectations and raised the financial outlook for the remainder of the year.
  • Revenue for the quarter stood at $1.09 billion with non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) reaching $1.17, underscoring a robust performance against the backdrop of dynamic market conditions.
  • The company cited a record backlog of $6 billion as a primary driver for its optimistic revenue outlook, attributing this in part to burgeoning trends across AI, automotive, and 5G technologies.

Alcoa Corporation: Strategic Acquisition Of Alumina & 5 Pivotal Growth Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Alcoa Corporation recently reported its first quarter 2024 earnings, delivering a mix of strategic developments and financial results that reflect the company’s evolving business landscape.
  • The company announced a significant transaction, the acquisition of Alumina Limited, which is expected to consolidate its ownership in the Alcoa World Alumina and Chemicals joint venture.
  • This all-stock deal, valued at approximately $2.2 billion, aims to provide a streamlined corporate structure and enhance shareholder value.

EB: TikTok a New Momentum

By Hamed Khorsand

  • EB has teamed up with TikTok in an integration that could lead to a sharp increase in new creators and overall traffic on EB’s marketplace.
  • TikTok announced on its blog that EB has been integrated to allow content creators to manage and promote events within their TikTok content.
  • The integration would enable followers to purchase tickets to creators’ events straight from TikTok without having to leave the platform.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Super Micro Ascends and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Super Micro Ascends, Walgreens Exits Nasdaq-100 on 22/Jul. How Will Index Rebalancing Pan Out?
  • Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN): Riding the Big Fat Indian Wedding Boom
  • Ul Solutions Inc -Redh (ULS) – Monday, Apr 15, 2024
  • Record – Transitional year ahead
  • Limoneira Co (LMNR) – Tuesday, Apr 16, 2024
  • Joby Aviation (JOBY) – Tuesday, Apr 16, 2024
  • Matador Resources Company: Enhanced Production and Resource Optimization A Critical Growth Catalyst? – Major Drivers
  • Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.: Leveraging Digital Platforms to Augment Customer Engagement! – Major Drivers
  • Mid-July Market Movers: Stocks with the Highest Net Institutional Inflows
  • FP Partner (7388 JP): 1H FY11/24 flash update


Super Micro Ascends, Walgreens Exits Nasdaq-100 on 22/Jul. How Will Index Rebalancing Pan Out?

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • SMCI has surged 214% YTD and will form part of NASDAQ-100 from 22/Jul topping $50 billion in valuation. Strategic partnerships with Nvidia & AMD boosted its AI server market presence. 
  • Walgreens has declined 56% YTD with its market cap falling below $10 billion. Failing to maintain at least 0.1% of NASDAQ 100’s market value has led to its exclusion. 
  • Historically, stocks added to indices outperformed briefly post-announcement. Although recent trend shows minimal outperformance, SMCI and WBA have shown strong trends due to idiosyncratic drivers.

Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN): Riding the Big Fat Indian Wedding Boom

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN) , a leading jeweller with a pan-India presence, is expected to deliver strong sales growth, and improving returns with its asset-light expansion plans.
  • Indian weddings have transformed from simple rituals to elaborate celebrations requiring heavy spending on jewellery and specialty apparel, reflecting rising affluence and media influence.
  • Wedding related jewellery demand constitutes 60% of India’s total gold jewellery demand and remains resilient regardless of price changes.

Ul Solutions Inc -Redh (ULS) – Monday, Apr 15, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • UL Solutions offers independent testing, inspection, and certification services globally as a newly listed company
  • They are the only US-listed player in the TIC industry, making them a valuable investment option for potential compound growth
  • With a strong brand and historical roots dating back to 1894, investors see ULS as a potential premium multiple due to their market position, revenue growth, and earnings growth opportunities.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Record – Transitional year ahead

By Edison Investment Research

Record reported FY24 PBT of £12.9m, down 12% y-o-y and in line with our estimate of £12.8m. Underlying PBT was £14.8m, up 2% y-o-y on record assets under management (AUM), which grew 16.5% to $102.2bn. The final ordinary dividend surprised positively at 2.45p, above our 2.36p forecast, and a special dividend of 0.6p was declared. As new CEO Dr Jan Witte continues to refocus the strategy over the next six months, the company is guiding to relatively flat management fees. We have cut our FY25 PBT estimate to £12.1m (previously £14.8m) on a weaker fee revenue projection. We also initiate FY26 PBT and diluted EPS estimates at £14.0m and 5.43p, respectively. The cash-generative business model enables the group to continue to pay an attractive ordinary dividend.


Limoneira Co (LMNR) – Tuesday, Apr 16, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Limoneira is an agribusiness with underutilized land and water assets, resulting in poor returns for shareholders
  • Peter Nolan, a successful asset manager from Leonard Green, has joined the board along with Global Alpha, indicating a potential turnaround in capital allocation and strategy
  • Nolan’s leadership is expected to unlock the potential of Limoneira’s assets, leading to significant returns for shareholders

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Joby Aviation (JOBY) – Tuesday, Apr 16, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Strong team, innovative product, and potential market demand in auto tech space support highly speculative projections for investment in Joby Aerospace
  • Despite concerns about aggressive projections, company’s current valuation offers attractive entry point for investors seeking substantial upside with decent margin of safety
  • Joby’s eVTOL aircraft development and plans for air taxi service differentiate it from other failed SPAC ventures, positioning it as top-tier hard tech startup with potential for success

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Matador Resources Company: Enhanced Production and Resource Optimization A Critical Growth Catalyst? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Matador Resources Company has reported a promising start to the first quarter of 2024, with significant advancements in operational and financial aspects.
  • The company has successfully enhanced its infrastructure, expanded financial capacities, and is preparing for substantial well completions, indicating a robust growth trajectory.
  • From an operational perspective, Matador Resources has effectively integrated a significant pipeline system totaling 595 miles.

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.: Leveraging Digital Platforms to Augment Customer Engagement! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Grocery Outlet reported fiscal Q1 2024 results that reflected mixed performance, illustrating both operational challenges and promising growth prospects.
  • During the quarter, the company recorded a 7.4% increase in sales, achieving $1.04 billion, spurred on by a 3.9% rise in comparable store sales and reinforced by robust transaction count growth of 7%.
  • This reflects Grocery Outlet’s continued customer appeal and effective store expansion strategy, having opened six new stores during this period.

Mid-July Market Movers: Stocks with the Highest Net Institutional Inflows

By Geoff Howie

  • The STI rallied 5.0% in the first half of July, with the broader Singapore stock market booking over S$400 million in net institutional inflow.
  • Among the STI constituents, DBS led the net institutional inflow over the 11 sessions, with inflow of S$118 million, reversing S$28 million of net institutional outflow in 1H24.
  • For the contingent of STI constituents that ranked among the 30 stocks with highest net institutional inflow over the 11 sessions, DBS Group Holdings booked the highest net institutional inflow of S$118 million.

FP Partner (7388 JP): 1H FY11/24 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue was JPY17.1bn (+17.6% YoY), with life insurance commission revenue at JPY16.4bn (+18.2% YoY).
  • Operating profit was JPY2.7bn (-0.2% YoY), with an OPM decrease of 2.8pp YoY to 15.7%.
  • Acquisition of 333,000 treasury shares for JPY1.0bn, with cancellation scheduled for August 30, 2024.

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