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Daily Brief Industrials: Samsung Heavy Industries Pref, Tryt Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Delisting of 5 Korean Preferred Stocks on 17 July
  • TRYT IPO: Peer Comparison and Valuation


Delisting of 5 Korean Preferred Stocks on 17 July

By Douglas Kim

  • The Korea Exchange officially announced today that the following five preferred stocks will be delisted on 17 July.
  • These five stocks including Samsung Heavy Industries Pref, SK Networks Pref,  DB Hitek Pref, Hyundai BNG Steel Pref, and Heungkuk Fire & Marine Insurance Pref 2B fell sharply today.   
  • Despite the warning by the Korea Exchange since end of May, it was not until today that these five stocks dropped sharply. On average, these five stocks fell 44% today. 

TRYT IPO: Peer Comparison and Valuation

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • TRYT Group is engaged in job placement and temporary staffing, specialising in the medical and welfare and construction fields. The company has set the pricing for its Tokyo IPO.
  • Existing shareholders of the company will offer 40m shares at an indicative price range of ¥1,100-1,300 per share, raising around US$305-360m from the IPO.
  • We think Tryt Inc (9164 JP) ’s IPO is overvalued at the above price range compared to Japanese recruitment peers and would recommend staying on the sidelines.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Tryt Inc, United Rentals and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Tryt IPO – Valuation Seems Digestible at the Bottom End, but the Firm Still Needs to Get a Lot Right
  • TRYT IPO: Revised IPO Price Range Remains Unattractive
  • United Rentals: Be Mindful Of Short-Term Risks, But Don’t Lose The Long-Term Focus


Tryt IPO – Valuation Seems Digestible at the Bottom End, but the Firm Still Needs to Get a Lot Right

By Clarence Chu

  • Tryt Inc (9164 JP) is looking to raise up to US$360m in its Japan IPO.
  • Tryt Inc (Tryt) offers employee placement services and temporary staffing services for the elderly care, nursing care and childcare workers segments.
  • In this note, we will revisit our earnings assumptions and share our thoughts on valuation at the final price range.

TRYT IPO: Revised IPO Price Range Remains Unattractive

By Arun George


United Rentals: Be Mindful Of Short-Term Risks, But Don’t Lose The Long-Term Focus

By Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

  • United Rentals continues to perform well as the risk of a recession grows.
  • The share price is not expensive as profitability and utilization rates remain strong.
  • United Renters remains a sold long-term opportunity, but near-term risks should not be ignored, but United Rental remains a selling long- term opportunity.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Tryt Inc, United Rentals and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Tryt IPO – Valuation Seems Digestible at the Bottom End, but the Firm Still Needs to Get a Lot Right
  • TRYT IPO: Revised IPO Price Range Remains Unattractive
  • United Rentals: Be Mindful Of Short-Term Risks, But Don’t Lose The Long-Term Focus


Tryt IPO – Valuation Seems Digestible at the Bottom End, but the Firm Still Needs to Get a Lot Right

By Clarence Chu

  • Tryt Inc (9164 JP) is looking to raise up to US$360m in its Japan IPO.
  • Tryt Inc (Tryt) offers employee placement services and temporary staffing services for the elderly care, nursing care and childcare workers segments.
  • In this note, we will revisit our earnings assumptions and share our thoughts on valuation at the final price range.

TRYT IPO: Revised IPO Price Range Remains Unattractive

By Arun George


United Rentals: Be Mindful Of Short-Term Risks, But Don’t Lose The Long-Term Focus

By Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

  • United Rentals continues to perform well as the risk of a recession grows.
  • The share price is not expensive as profitability and utilization rates remain strong.
  • United Renters remains a sold long-term opportunity, but near-term risks should not be ignored, but United Rental remains a selling long- term opportunity.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Toyo Construction, Hainan Meilan International Airport, Tryt Inc, J&T Global Express, Cintas Corp, Norcros PLC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Toyo Construction (1890) Plans Governance Review, Promises Neutrality on a YFO TOB Proposal Decision
  • Hainan Meilan’s (357 HK)’s Arbitration Case Is Not Without Merit
  • TRYT IPO: Margins on a Downward Trend
  • J&T Global Express Pre-IPO, Part 2: SE Asia Operation | Demand, Supply Profiles | Valuation Approach
  • Cintas Corporation: 4 Reasons Why Cintas is Leading the Way in Uniform Rental and Safety Services! – Financial Forecasts
  • Norcros – New CEO likely to pursue existing strategy


Toyo Construction (1890) Plans Governance Review, Promises Neutrality on a YFO TOB Proposal Decision

By Travis Lundy

  • The Nikkei has an article today with details of an interview with new Toyo Construction (1890 JP) Chairman Yoshida and President Obayashi. There will be a 2-3 month governance review.
  • It will review decision-making process, “profit management” (利益管理), and business investment decisions (事業への投資判断).  Chairman Yoshida had a quote on neutrality on a YFO proposal. My wording there was carefully chosen.
  • The President also said they expect ongoing synergies with Infroneer, and will maintain MTMP/Mitsui OSK Partnership management plans. Their words were chosen carefully too. 

Hainan Meilan’s (357 HK)’s Arbitration Case Is Not Without Merit

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back On 29 September 2019, Hainan Meilan International Airport (357 HK) entered into a subscription agreement with Hopu-affiliate Aero Infrastructure, for 200mn new H shares at HK$4.69/share.
  • That issuance failed as CSRC approval was not secured by the Long Stop. Hopu reckoned HMIA reneged on its duties to secure approval and lodged a notice of arbitration.
  • HKIAC recently agreed and opines HMIA did not use its best endeavours to complete the subscription. Hopu is seeking up to HK$6.962bn in compensation. Quite the overhang.

TRYT IPO: Margins on a Downward Trend

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • TRYT Group is engaged in job placement and temporary staffing in the medical and welfare fields. The company has filed for an IPO and plans to raise around $450m.
  • The company’s top line has continued to expand; however, margins have continued to narrow down over the last 3-4 years.
  • We remain concerned over the company’s growth prospects and would only recommend subscribing if the IPO is priced attractively.

J&T Global Express Pre-IPO, Part 2: SE Asia Operation | Demand, Supply Profiles | Valuation Approach

By Daniel Hellberg

  • In this insight, we examine J&T Global Express (1936374D CH)‘s operation in SE Asia, where it’s the region’s dominant player, with market share of 22.5% by volume 
  • We profile SE Asian demand and supply and compare these to the development of China’s express industry, acknowledging the key role Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US) has played there
  • We also present a framework for estimating the value of J&T’s SE Asian operation by identifying the most appropriate comps and EV valuation multiples

Cintas Corporation: 4 Reasons Why Cintas is Leading the Way in Uniform Rental and Safety Services! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Cintas managed to exceed analyst expectations in terms of revenue as well as earnings.
  • The Uniform Rental and Facility Services segment experienced solid organic growth driven by increased volume and new customer acquisitions.
  • The company’s First Aid and Safety Services segment revenue grew 16.4% organically, driven by strong demand for first aid products and services, as well as training and compliance solutions whereas its All Other segment revenue grew 14.7% organically, driven by growth in fire protection services and direct sale uniform businesses.

Norcros – New CEO likely to pursue existing strategy

By Edison Investment Research

Norcros’s final results highlighted a solid FY23 performance, and although we have reduced our estimates to reflect a weaker macro outlook, we believe Norcros has an excellent base to evolve its strategy, which should allow it to unlock significant market share opportunities. We also believe that its key strengths are undervalued and that most, if not all, of the legacy issues, particularly the pension deficit, have been resolved. We have trimmed our valuation from 252p/sh to 246p, implying c 50% upside.


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Daily Brief Industrials: Toyo Construction, Hainan Meilan International Airport, Tryt Inc, J&T Global Express, Cintas Corp, Norcros PLC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Toyo Construction (1890) Plans Governance Review, Promises Neutrality on a YFO TOB Proposal Decision
  • Hainan Meilan’s (357 HK)’s Arbitration Case Is Not Without Merit
  • TRYT IPO: Margins on a Downward Trend
  • J&T Global Express Pre-IPO, Part 2: SE Asia Operation | Demand, Supply Profiles | Valuation Approach
  • Cintas Corporation: 4 Reasons Why Cintas is Leading the Way in Uniform Rental and Safety Services! – Financial Forecasts
  • Norcros – New CEO likely to pursue existing strategy


Toyo Construction (1890) Plans Governance Review, Promises Neutrality on a YFO TOB Proposal Decision

By Travis Lundy

  • The Nikkei has an article today with details of an interview with new Toyo Construction (1890 JP) Chairman Yoshida and President Obayashi. There will be a 2-3 month governance review.
  • It will review decision-making process, “profit management” (利益管理), and business investment decisions (事業への投資判断).  Chairman Yoshida had a quote on neutrality on a YFO proposal. My wording there was carefully chosen.
  • The President also said they expect ongoing synergies with Infroneer, and will maintain MTMP/Mitsui OSK Partnership management plans. Their words were chosen carefully too. 

Hainan Meilan’s (357 HK)’s Arbitration Case Is Not Without Merit

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back On 29 September 2019, Hainan Meilan International Airport (357 HK) entered into a subscription agreement with Hopu-affiliate Aero Infrastructure, for 200mn new H shares at HK$4.69/share.
  • That issuance failed as CSRC approval was not secured by the Long Stop. Hopu reckoned HMIA reneged on its duties to secure approval and lodged a notice of arbitration.
  • HKIAC recently agreed and opines HMIA did not use its best endeavours to complete the subscription. Hopu is seeking up to HK$6.962bn in compensation. Quite the overhang.

TRYT IPO: Margins on a Downward Trend

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • TRYT Group is engaged in job placement and temporary staffing in the medical and welfare fields. The company has filed for an IPO and plans to raise around $450m.
  • The company’s top line has continued to expand; however, margins have continued to narrow down over the last 3-4 years.
  • We remain concerned over the company’s growth prospects and would only recommend subscribing if the IPO is priced attractively.

J&T Global Express Pre-IPO, Part 2: SE Asia Operation | Demand, Supply Profiles | Valuation Approach

By Daniel Hellberg

  • In this insight, we examine J&T Global Express (1936374D CH)‘s operation in SE Asia, where it’s the region’s dominant player, with market share of 22.5% by volume 
  • We profile SE Asian demand and supply and compare these to the development of China’s express industry, acknowledging the key role Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US) has played there
  • We also present a framework for estimating the value of J&T’s SE Asian operation by identifying the most appropriate comps and EV valuation multiples

Cintas Corporation: 4 Reasons Why Cintas is Leading the Way in Uniform Rental and Safety Services! – Financial Forecasts

By Baptista Research

  • Cintas managed to exceed analyst expectations in terms of revenue as well as earnings.
  • The Uniform Rental and Facility Services segment experienced solid organic growth driven by increased volume and new customer acquisitions.
  • The company’s First Aid and Safety Services segment revenue grew 16.4% organically, driven by strong demand for first aid products and services, as well as training and compliance solutions whereas its All Other segment revenue grew 14.7% organically, driven by growth in fire protection services and direct sale uniform businesses.

Norcros – New CEO likely to pursue existing strategy

By Edison Investment Research

Norcros’s final results highlighted a solid FY23 performance, and although we have reduced our estimates to reflect a weaker macro outlook, we believe Norcros has an excellent base to evolve its strategy, which should allow it to unlock significant market share opportunities. We also believe that its key strengths are undervalued and that most, if not all, of the legacy issues, particularly the pension deficit, have been resolved. We have trimmed our valuation from 252p/sh to 246p, implying c 50% upside.


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Daily Brief Industrials: Tryt Inc, S.F. Holding and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • TRYT IPO: Valuation Insights
  • SF Holdings A/H Listing – Early Look – Front Running


TRYT IPO: Valuation Insights

By Arun George

  • Tryt Inc (9164 JP), a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July.
  • We previously discussed the IPO in TRYT IPO: The Bull Case and TRYT IPO: The Bear Case
  • In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that Tryt is unattractively valued at the IPO reference price of JPY1,620 per share. We would pass on the IPO.

SF Holdings A/H Listing – Early Look – Front Running

By Sumeet Singh

  • S.F. Holding (002352 CH) (SFH), China’s largest express delivery company, aims to raise around US$2-3bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong.
  • SFH is the largest integrated express logistics service provider in China and the fourth largest in the world. It has been listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange since 2017
  • In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Tryt Inc, S.F. Holding and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • TRYT IPO: Valuation Insights
  • SF Holdings A/H Listing – Early Look – Front Running


TRYT IPO: Valuation Insights

By Arun George

  • Tryt Inc (9164 JP), a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July.
  • We previously discussed the IPO in TRYT IPO: The Bull Case and TRYT IPO: The Bear Case
  • In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that Tryt is unattractively valued at the IPO reference price of JPY1,620 per share. We would pass on the IPO.

SF Holdings A/H Listing – Early Look – Front Running

By Sumeet Singh

  • S.F. Holding (002352 CH) (SFH), China’s largest express delivery company, aims to raise around US$2-3bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong.
  • SFH is the largest integrated express logistics service provider in China and the fourth largest in the world. It has been listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange since 2017
  • In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Toyo Construction, Will Group Inc, J&T Global Express, Applus Services SA and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Toyo Construction AGM : YFO Wins on Dramatic Foreign Shareholder Discontent
  • Will Group (6089 Jp) – 4Q Follow-Up
  • J&T Global Express Pre-IPO, Part 1: Chinese Express Operation | ‘Haven’t We Met Somewhere Before?’
  • Apollo/Applus: Somewhat Cheap Offer and First Mover Advantage


Toyo Construction AGM : YFO Wins on Dramatic Foreign Shareholder Discontent

By Travis Lundy

  • In my piece Yamauchi Family Office Buys More Toyo; Toyo Claims More Malfeasance, ISS Supports YFO I said I thought YFO would lose, but it would be close.
  • I thought it hinged on the shape of the register. It turns out it did. And it turns out they won, and it was close. Analysis is presented.
  • What next? The new board takes its seats and may entertain a new takeover offer. I could see a buyout price a fair bit higher than here. 

Will Group (6089 Jp) – 4Q Follow-Up

By Sessa Investment Research

  • The day after the Company announced 4Q FY23/3 results and FY24/3 initial guidance for consolidated revenue flat and OP -21.0%, the share price dropped -6.3% on heavy volume, maintaining a weak trend thereafter relative to a strong underlying market.
  • SIR believes this is because the new MTP differed from investors‘ growth image.
  • While the Company would be remiss not to highlight the high base from the post-COVID surge in special demand for permanent placement as a short-term risk for this term, investors may have been sensitive to the slowdown in growth over the coming two years.

J&T Global Express Pre-IPO, Part 1: Chinese Express Operation | ‘Haven’t We Met Somewhere Before?’

By Daniel Hellberg

  • In this insight we look at the development of J&T’s China business over the past few years, including J&T’s purchase of Best Inc’s express operation in late 2021
  • We also compare J&T’s Chinese operation to five listed Chinese express companies in terms of scale, market position, financial performance, and relationships with e-comm platforms
  • Finally, we present a framework for the valuation of J&T’s China business, and offer a list of questions we would ask management as the company prepares for its IPO

Apollo/Applus: Somewhat Cheap Offer and First Mover Advantage

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • On 30 June, Apollo placed itself ahead of competitors with a €9.5/share cash offer for Applus Services SA (APPS SM), whose shares rose to €9.9, in the hope of a counter offer.
  • The market is capable of forcing Apollo to sweeten its proposal to reach 75% acceptances. Many risk arbitrageurs have positions in Applus and may not settle for the current premium.
  • This situation has been flagged for a while. If already long, it is worth holding for a possible better offer, which could come around €10/share, a 5.2% increase.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Toyo Construction, Will Group Inc, J&T Global Express, Applus Services SA and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Toyo Construction AGM : YFO Wins on Dramatic Foreign Shareholder Discontent
  • Will Group (6089 Jp) – 4Q Follow-Up
  • J&T Global Express Pre-IPO, Part 1: Chinese Express Operation | ‘Haven’t We Met Somewhere Before?’
  • Apollo/Applus: Somewhat Cheap Offer and First Mover Advantage


Toyo Construction AGM : YFO Wins on Dramatic Foreign Shareholder Discontent

By Travis Lundy

  • In my piece Yamauchi Family Office Buys More Toyo; Toyo Claims More Malfeasance, ISS Supports YFO I said I thought YFO would lose, but it would be close.
  • I thought it hinged on the shape of the register. It turns out it did. And it turns out they won, and it was close. Analysis is presented.
  • What next? The new board takes its seats and may entertain a new takeover offer. I could see a buyout price a fair bit higher than here. 

Will Group (6089 Jp) – 4Q Follow-Up

By Sessa Investment Research

  • The day after the Company announced 4Q FY23/3 results and FY24/3 initial guidance for consolidated revenue flat and OP -21.0%, the share price dropped -6.3% on heavy volume, maintaining a weak trend thereafter relative to a strong underlying market.
  • SIR believes this is because the new MTP differed from investors‘ growth image.
  • While the Company would be remiss not to highlight the high base from the post-COVID surge in special demand for permanent placement as a short-term risk for this term, investors may have been sensitive to the slowdown in growth over the coming two years.

J&T Global Express Pre-IPO, Part 1: Chinese Express Operation | ‘Haven’t We Met Somewhere Before?’

By Daniel Hellberg

  • In this insight we look at the development of J&T’s China business over the past few years, including J&T’s purchase of Best Inc’s express operation in late 2021
  • We also compare J&T’s Chinese operation to five listed Chinese express companies in terms of scale, market position, financial performance, and relationships with e-comm platforms
  • Finally, we present a framework for the valuation of J&T’s China business, and offer a list of questions we would ask management as the company prepares for its IPO

Apollo/Applus: Somewhat Cheap Offer and First Mover Advantage

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • On 30 June, Apollo placed itself ahead of competitors with a €9.5/share cash offer for Applus Services SA (APPS SM), whose shares rose to €9.9, in the hope of a counter offer.
  • The market is capable of forcing Apollo to sweeten its proposal to reach 75% acceptances. Many risk arbitrageurs have positions in Applus and may not settle for the current premium.
  • This situation has been flagged for a while. If already long, it is worth holding for a possible better offer, which could come around €10/share, a 5.2% increase.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Japan Elevator Service Holdings, Singapore Airlines and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Japan Elevator Service Holdings (6544) – Going up to Reach New Heights
  • ECM Weekly (2nd July 2023) – Tryt, J&T Express, Redox, Kelun, 4Paradigm, SIA, M&A Research, Walsin


Japan Elevator Service Holdings (6544) – Going up to Reach New Heights

By Astris Advisory Japan

  • A successful market disruptor – Japan Elevator Service (JES) has been executing its growth strategy, increasing market share in the domestic elevator maintenance market via organic and acquisitive growth.

  • Operating in a market dominated by OEMs, it is making solid headway by 1) offering a cost-effective solution, 2) a differentiated service offering technical services and availability of parts on par with the OEMs, and 3) experiencing rapid growth through by establishing a nationwide network providing regionally rooted services.

  • Pursuing growth opportunities – we highlight two drivers for the company; 1) secular growth as building owners convert to reputable independent providers for cost management, and 2) structural demand from aging elevators requiring modernization.


ECM Weekly (2nd July 2023) – Tryt, J&T Express, Redox, Kelun, 4Paradigm, SIA, M&A Research, Walsin

By Sumeet Singh

  • Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
  • In the IPO space, Tryt Inc (9164 JP) will announce its price range in the coming week, while Kelun Biotech tries to break the US$100m+ deal silence in HK. 
  • On the placement front, even Singapore joined in the placement action this week, with only HK deal remaining absent over the past month.

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