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Daily Brief Industrials: J&T Global Express, CJ Logistics and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • J&T Global Express Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • J&T Global Express IPO: The Bull Case
  • Catching Up With CJ Logistics (000120 KS): With Shares Beaten Down, Management Forced to Refocus


J&T Global Express Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • J&T Global Express (1936374D CH) is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • J&T Global Express (J&T) is a global logistics service provider. 
  • As per Frost & Sullivan (F&S), the firm is the leading express delivery business in Southeast Asia, with a 22.5% market share as per 2022 parcel volume.

J&T Global Express IPO: The Bull Case

By Arun George

  • J&T Global Express (1936374D CH), a leading express delivery business in Southeast Asia and China has filed for a HKEx IPO to raise US$1 billion, according to press reports.   
  • J&T is the number one express delivery operator in Southeast Asia by parcel volume from 2020 to 2022, according to Frost & Sullivan. 
  • The key elements of the bull case rest on large addressable markets, market share gains, robust reported revenue growth and narrowing losses which set a path to profitability.

Catching Up With CJ Logistics (000120 KS): With Shares Beaten Down, Management Forced to Refocus

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Previously, we criticized CJ Logistics as unfocused, pursuing deals in low-margin segments around the world as if to fill a logistics ‘Bingo!’ card rather than in-line with a rational strategy
  • In recent years, investors have punished the company’s shares, which have fallen by more than half since reaching a high of over 184,000 won per share in March 2021. 
  • However, with management de-emphasizing its Global segment and focusing instead on the more promising Parcel / E-commerce line of business, there is cause for optimism, in our view

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Daily Brief Industrials: Toshiba Corp, Evergreen Marine Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Weekly Deals Digest (18 Jun) – Toshiba, Kenedix, Abacus Storage King, Austal, Hailan, Yitai Coal
  • Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Rates Stable | Strike Averted | Fuel Prices Lower  (June 2023)


Weekly Deals Digest (18 Jun) – Toshiba, Kenedix, Abacus Storage King, Austal, Hailan, Yitai Coal

By Arun George


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Rates Stable | Strike Averted | Fuel Prices Lower  (June 2023)

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Our index suggests long-haul rates remained stable in May as carriers approach peak season
  • Cleanup of West Coast slowdown, lower fuel prices should both serve as Summer tailwinds
  • We believe conditions could improve in H2 2023, and shares remain cheap on Price / Assets

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Daily Brief Industrials: Toshiba Corp, Evergreen Marine Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Weekly Deals Digest (18 Jun) – Toshiba, Kenedix, Abacus Storage King, Austal, Hailan, Yitai Coal
  • Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Rates Stable | Strike Averted | Fuel Prices Lower  (June 2023)


Weekly Deals Digest (18 Jun) – Toshiba, Kenedix, Abacus Storage King, Austal, Hailan, Yitai Coal

By Arun George


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Rates Stable | Strike Averted | Fuel Prices Lower  (June 2023)

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Our index suggests long-haul rates remained stable in May as carriers approach peak season
  • Cleanup of West Coast slowdown, lower fuel prices should both serve as Summer tailwinds
  • We believe conditions could improve in H2 2023, and shares remain cheap on Price / Assets

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Daily Brief Industrials: Keisei Electric Railway Co and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Last Week in Event SPACE: Kesei/Oriental Land, Intouch, Abacus Property, Great Eagle, JS Global


Last Week in Event SPACE: Kesei/Oriental Land, Intouch, Abacus Property, Great Eagle, JS Global

By David Blennerhassett


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Daily Brief Industrials: Keisei Electric Railway Co and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Last Week in Event SPACE: Kesei/Oriental Land, Intouch, Abacus Property, Great Eagle, JS Global


Last Week in Event SPACE: Kesei/Oriental Land, Intouch, Abacus Property, Great Eagle, JS Global

By David Blennerhassett


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Daily Brief Industrials: Uchi Technologies, DL E&C Co Ltd, Uponor OYJ, Severfield PLC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Uchi Technologies (UCHI MK): Coffee and Cash Machine
  • Gap Trades of Small Cap Korean Pref Vs Common Shares
  • Georg Fischer/Uponor: Terms and Aliaxis’s Honourable Exit
  • Severfield – FY23 results highlight progress and strength


Uchi Technologies (UCHI MK): Coffee and Cash Machine

By Sameer Taneja

  • Uchi Technologies (UCHI MK), a manufacturer of controllers for coffee machines, has a 23-year track record of operating margins of over 40% and ROCEs of over 20%.  
  • Trading at 11.9x trailing PE, with a dividend yield of 9%, and 15% of the market cap in cash, the company has been serially paying dividends (payout > 70%). 
  • In its 2022 annual report, for the first time in its history, the company mentioned it has exciting growth plans that will be revealed over the year. 

Gap Trades of Small Cap Korean Pref Vs Common Shares

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we provide gap trade opportunities among 30 small cap Korean preferred stocks with market cap of less than 100 billion won and more than 20 billion won.
  • Among these 30 companies, there are some in interesting gap trade opportunities, especially among those with relatively high dividend yields (more than 5%).
  • We have ranked these 30 stocks in terms of three criteria including market cap, pref/common share price ratio, and dividend yields. 

Georg Fischer/Uponor: Terms and Aliaxis’s Honourable Exit

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • White knight Georg Fischer AG (FI/N SW) announced a voluntary recommended public €28.85/share cash offer for Uponor OYJ (UNR1V FH), a 12% premium to Aliaxis’s offer, with c.37% irrevocable undertakings.
  • Although Aliaxis could still block a squeeze-out, GF and Uponor could make its life difficult and are granting it an honourable exit with capital gains around €55 million.
  • Spread is 0.52%/1.05% (gross/annualised, assuming settlement by mid-December). Although I believe the deal will close, it is probably not worth going long Uponor it on this spread level.

Severfield – FY23 results highlight progress and strength

By Edison Investment Research

FY23 results highlight that we believe revenue quality remains materially underappreciated by the market (see our June update note), especially now the UK and EU are embarking on huge investment programmes to renew and upgrade infrastructure. In our view, the outlook in the UK, continental Europe, especially post recent M&A, and India is not fully reflected in the FY24e P/E rating of c 7.5x, which is comfortably below the long-term average of 10.0x. Our positive stance is supported by the company’s strong balance sheet, progressive dividend and yield over 5%.


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Daily Brief Industrials: Uchi Technologies, DL E&C Co Ltd, Uponor OYJ, Severfield PLC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Uchi Technologies (UCHI MK): Coffee and Cash Machine
  • Gap Trades of Small Cap Korean Pref Vs Common Shares
  • Georg Fischer/Uponor: Terms and Aliaxis’s Honourable Exit
  • Severfield – FY23 results highlight progress and strength


Uchi Technologies (UCHI MK): Coffee and Cash Machine

By Sameer Taneja

  • Uchi Technologies (UCHI MK), a manufacturer of controllers for coffee machines, has a 23-year track record of operating margins of over 40% and ROCEs of over 20%.  
  • Trading at 11.9x trailing PE, with a dividend yield of 9%, and 15% of the market cap in cash, the company has been serially paying dividends (payout > 70%). 
  • In its 2022 annual report, for the first time in its history, the company mentioned it has exciting growth plans that will be revealed over the year. 

Gap Trades of Small Cap Korean Pref Vs Common Shares

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we provide gap trade opportunities among 30 small cap Korean preferred stocks with market cap of less than 100 billion won and more than 20 billion won.
  • Among these 30 companies, there are some in interesting gap trade opportunities, especially among those with relatively high dividend yields (more than 5%).
  • We have ranked these 30 stocks in terms of three criteria including market cap, pref/common share price ratio, and dividend yields. 

Georg Fischer/Uponor: Terms and Aliaxis’s Honourable Exit

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • White knight Georg Fischer AG (FI/N SW) announced a voluntary recommended public €28.85/share cash offer for Uponor OYJ (UNR1V FH), a 12% premium to Aliaxis’s offer, with c.37% irrevocable undertakings.
  • Although Aliaxis could still block a squeeze-out, GF and Uponor could make its life difficult and are granting it an honourable exit with capital gains around €55 million.
  • Spread is 0.52%/1.05% (gross/annualised, assuming settlement by mid-December). Although I believe the deal will close, it is probably not worth going long Uponor it on this spread level.

Severfield – FY23 results highlight progress and strength

By Edison Investment Research

FY23 results highlight that we believe revenue quality remains materially underappreciated by the market (see our June update note), especially now the UK and EU are embarking on huge investment programmes to renew and upgrade infrastructure. In our view, the outlook in the UK, continental Europe, especially post recent M&A, and India is not fully reflected in the FY24e P/E rating of c 7.5x, which is comfortably below the long-term average of 10.0x. Our positive stance is supported by the company’s strong balance sheet, progressive dividend and yield over 5%.


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Daily Brief Industrials: Austal Ltd, Cirrus Aircraft and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Austal (ASB AU): Attracting Takeover Interest
  • Cirrus Aircraft Pre-IPO Tearsheet


Austal (ASB AU): Attracting Takeover Interest

By Arun George

  • Austal Ltd (ASB AU) is drawing takeover interest from Cerberus Capital, according to AFR. Cerebus joins Arlington Capital Partners and Bondi Partners as rumoured suitors, increasing the bid odds.
  • Takeover interest in Austal is driven by the desire to capitalise on the opportunities presented by the AUKUS defence pact between Australia, the US and the UK. 
  • Andrew Forrest’s 19.34% stake can make or break a deal. Peer multiples point to an offer of at least A$2.80, a 22% premium to the last close.  

Cirrus Aircraft Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Ethan Aw

  • Cirrus Aircraft (0153126D US) is looking to raise up to US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO. The deal will be run by CICC.
  • Cirrus Aircraft designs, develops, manufactures, and sells premium aircrafts. Its two aircraft product lines, the SR2X Series and the Vision Jet, are currently certified and validated in over 60 countries. 
  • According to F&S, the SR2X Series aircraft represented 46.3% of the market share in the fixed tricycle gear certified piston aircraft segment based on delivered units in 2022. 

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Daily Brief Industrials: Austal Ltd, Cirrus Aircraft and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Austal (ASB AU): Attracting Takeover Interest
  • Cirrus Aircraft Pre-IPO Tearsheet


Austal (ASB AU): Attracting Takeover Interest

By Arun George

  • Austal Ltd (ASB AU) is drawing takeover interest from Cerberus Capital, according to AFR. Cerebus joins Arlington Capital Partners and Bondi Partners as rumoured suitors, increasing the bid odds.
  • Takeover interest in Austal is driven by the desire to capitalise on the opportunities presented by the AUKUS defence pact between Australia, the US and the UK. 
  • Andrew Forrest’s 19.34% stake can make or break a deal. Peer multiples point to an offer of at least A$2.80, a 22% premium to the last close.  

Cirrus Aircraft Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Ethan Aw

  • Cirrus Aircraft (0153126D US) is looking to raise up to US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO. The deal will be run by CICC.
  • Cirrus Aircraft designs, develops, manufactures, and sells premium aircrafts. Its two aircraft product lines, the SR2X Series and the Vision Jet, are currently certified and validated in over 60 countries. 
  • According to F&S, the SR2X Series aircraft represented 46.3% of the market share in the fixed tricycle gear certified piston aircraft segment based on delivered units in 2022. 

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Daily Brief Industrials: Toyo Construction, Auckland Intl Airport, Takuma Co Ltd, China Railway Signal & Communication, Dow Jones Industrial Average, SPDR S&P 500 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Yamauchi Family Office Buys More Toyo; Toyo Claims More Malfeasance, ISS Supports YFO
  • Auckland Airport Possible Placement – Will Be Very Well Flagged US$540m Block
  • Takuma (6031) | AVI to Turn Waste into Wealth
  • China CRSC (3969 HK): Uniquely Positioned with Strong Financials
  • Dow Testing 1-Year Resistance at 34,280 Ahead of FOMC; Buy Ideas Within Manufacturing/Industrials
  • SPY: Moderate Gains In Store?


Yamauchi Family Office Buys More Toyo; Toyo Claims More Malfeasance, ISS Supports YFO

By Travis Lundy

  • Today, YFO (WK1 Limited) filed an amendment to its Large Shareholder Filing saying it had increased its stake from 27.19% to 28.51%. GK Yamauchi No10 Family Office bought 1.32%.
  • Almost immediately, Toyo Construction (1890 JP) said YFO had likely conducted an illegal act according to US Securities Exchange Act of 1934, Rule 14e-5. This is likely hogwash.
  • YFO is upping its stake for a zero premium tender and Toyo is fighting old battles. And the stock chugs higher.

Auckland Airport Possible Placement – Will Be Very Well Flagged US$540m Block

By Sumeet Singh

  • Auckland City Council plans to sell 7% of Auckland Intl Airport (AIA NZ)  to fund its budget requirements for 2023-24.
  • Auckland City Mayor has been talking about selling the stake since at least Dec 2022 and hence, the deal is already very well flagged.
  • In this note, we will talk about the possible placement and other deal dynamics.

Takuma (6031) | AVI to Turn Waste into Wealth

By Mark Chadwick

  • Takuma presents an undervalued investment opportunity with strong financials, and a robust balance sheet. The focus on environmental solutions position it to capitalize on the demand for carbon neutrality.
  • The recent involvement of AVI Japan as activist investors adds an exciting catalyst to Takuma’s investment case. We expect AVI to work with management to unlock further value.
  • Takuma’s management is targeting enhanced profitability by transitioning from a more volatile EPC model to a recurring revenue-driven approach centred on O&M. Attractive valuations underpin our bullish view.

China CRSC (3969 HK): Uniquely Positioned with Strong Financials

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • China Railway Signal & Communication (3969 HK) (CRSC) has achieved good share price performance YTD, but we think there is more room to go for the rest of the year.
  • We like its steady domestic growth, exposure to overseas recovery, strong order backlog, and net cash position. 1Q23 new contracts reached Rmb13.7bn, an impressive 35.8% YoY growth.
  • Unlike the highly-geared infrastructure construction peers, CRSC’s net cash equals 52% of the share price. On such basis, its P/B of 0.7x relative to ROE of 9-10% is inexpensive.

Dow Testing 1-Year Resistance at 34,280 Ahead of FOMC; Buy Ideas Within Manufacturing/Industrials

By Joe Jasper

  • The S&P 500 has marginally surpassed the 4300-4325 area which we have anticipated would cap upside for 2023. 
  • As noted in our 6/6/23 Compass, we are vigilant at these levels given we expect inflation to remain elevated, but we cannot be bearishif the SPX is above 4165-4200
  • Breadth has continued to improve within the Russell 2000, and the $IWM is approaching our first target of $190 following the breakout above $180. Also see breadth improving within SPX.

SPY: Moderate Gains In Store?

By Pearl Gray Equity and Research

  • The SPDR® S&P 500 ETF Trust is primed to receive support from lower implied risk premiums amid an interest rate slowdown from the Federal Reserve.
  • However, a broad-based analysis suggests that the S&R 500 and the SPDR S &P 500ETF Trust are potentially undervalued.
  • The S&P 500’s (SP500) year-to-date surge might have surprised many, as the talk of the town at the turn of the year was geared toward a sustained market drawdown until an interest rate pivot occurred.

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