Asia Economist and CEO, Centennial Asia Advisors

Manu Bhaskaran

Mr. Bhaskaran is a leading Asian economist based in Singapore with more than 30 years of experience in studying economic, political and security issues that shape the business environment in Asia. He co-ordinates the Asian business of Washington DC-based strategic advisory firm, Centennial Group, directing its Asian economic research practice which provides in-depth analysis of macro trends in Asia. He works extensively with investment institutions, government agencies and corporations. Mr. Bhaskaran regularly presents his views on the economic, political and business environment in Asia at business conferences and in-house briefings. He has conducted studies on a wide range of subjects including: consumer finance in Asia; Asian integration; regional and country-specific political and economic outlooks; the Impact of China on Asia; portfolio capital flows in emerging markets, amongst many others. He is as a member of the Regional Advisory Group for Asia and the Pacific of the International Monetary Fund. Mr. Bhaskaran is a regular columnist for The Edge (Singapore) and holds positions in think tanks including being Adjunct Senior Research Fellow at the Institute of Policy Studies (IPS); Vice President of the Economics Society of Singapore, and Council Member of the Singapore Institute of International Affairs (SIIA). Mr. Bhaskaran serves on the boards of CIMB Investment Bank and Japfa Limited.

Asia Economist and CEO

India: Economic Activity Could Take a Greater Hit

India: Rate Cut Necessary but Insufficient to Stimulate Economy

India: More Reforms Pave Way to Brighter Economy

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Energetic reforms in the three years since the Modi government took power have elevated India's global economic status. However the moderation in economic growth suggests structural weaknesses will amplify the downside risks to the Indian economy.</li><li>Our Taylor Rule estimations suggest that rates are too low in India. Thus the onus is on the government to provide more fiscal injections to stimulate growth.</li><li>However, without addressing India's structural issues in the financial, land and labour sectors, at best monetary and fiscal injections will only provide momentary relief to the Indian economy. Prime Minister Modi will face the tough challenge of implementing these big-ticket resource-draining reforms alongside securing his political survival in the run up to the 2019 general elections.</li></ul>

Energetic reforms in the three years since the Modi government took power have elevated India's global economic status. However the moderation in economic growth suggests structural weaknesses will amplify the downside risks to the Indian economy.Our Taylor Rule estimations suggest that rates are too low in India. Thus the onus is on the government to provide more fiscal injections to stimulate growth.However, without addressing India's structural issues in the financial, land and labour sectors, at best monetary and fiscal injections will only provide momentary relief to the Indian economy. Prime Minister Modi will face the tough challenge of implementing these big-ticket resource-draining reforms alongside securing his political survival in the run up to the 2019 general elections.

India: Structural Issues Causing Broad Based Slowdown Across the Economy