Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Greentown China Holdings Ltd. develops real estate.  The Company builds residential villas, low-rise apartment buildings, and high-rise apartment buildings for middle and high-income people.

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Greentown China</li>
<li>UST yields rose 2-4 bps yesterday, led by the front end, following the strong jobless claims data. The yield on the 2Y UST jumped 4 bps to 3.52%, while the yield on the 10Y UST climbed 3 bps to 4.10%. Fed-dated OIS were steady, and continued to price in a 92% probability of a rate cut next Wednesday.</li>
<li>Equities edged up slightly towards record high levels. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq rose 0.1% and 0.2% to 6,857 and 23,505, respectively.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Greentown China
UST yields rose 2-4 bps yesterday, led by the front end, following the strong jobless claims data. The yield on the 2Y UST jumped 4 bps to 3.52%, while the yield on the 10Y UST climbed 3 bps to 4.10%. Fed-dated OIS were steady, and continued to price in a 92% probability of a rate cut next Wednesday.
Equities edged up slightly towards record high levels. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq rose 0.1% and 0.2% to 6,857 and 23,505, respectively.


Senior Credit Analyst - Emerging Markets, EM Spreads

Leandro Gubler

Senior Credit Analyst - Emerging Markets

EM Spreads

Telecom Argentina SA provides telecommunications services including local, long-distance and international service in Argentina.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, also provides cellular telecommunications services and offers paging services.

<ul>
<li>We upgrade Telecom Argentina to Overweight as the TMA acquisition strengthens its market position, supports operating momentum, and benefits from reduced political risk and improving macro stability.</li>
<li>Regulatory uncertainty remains meaningful, and we think clearer visibility on the Telefónica approval process and integration timeline will be critical for value realization and credit performance.</li>
<li>• We see more value in the TEOAR 2031s given their lower duration, attractive relative spreads versus the EM B Index and peers, and supportive operating trends despite weak liquidity.</li>
</ul>


We upgrade Telecom Argentina to Overweight as the TMA acquisition strengthens its market position, supports operating momentum, and benefits from reduced political risk and improving macro stability.
Regulatory uncertainty remains meaningful, and we think clearer visibility on the Telefónica approval process and integration timeline will be critical for value realization and credit performance.
• We see more value in the TEOAR 2031s given their lower duration, attractive relative spreads versus the EM B Index and peers, and supportive operating trends despite weak liquidity.


Telecom 3Q25: Stronger Margins and a More Constructive Outlook

Trung Nguyen

Greenko Energy Holdings operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, manufactures wind, hydro, and solar energy generation machinery. Greenko Energy Holdings serves customers in India.

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Greenko Energy, New World Development</li>
<li>UST yields fell 2-3 bps yesterday, following the release of weaker than expected November ADP payrolls data. The yield on the 2Y and 10Y UST declined 2 bps to 3.49% and 4.06%, respectively. Equities rose, as the labour market slowdown reinforced market expectations for a Fed rate cut this month. The S&amp;P 500 advanced 0.3% to 6,850, while the Nasdaq was up 0.2% at 23,454.</li>
<li>In the US, the ADP employment report showed that private-sector payrolls declined by 32 k in November (10 k e / 47 k revised p), with payrolls having fallen in four of the past six months. Hiring has been choppy of late, as employers weather cautious consumers and an uncertain macroeconomic environment, according to ADP chief economist Nela Richardson. While the November slowdown was broad-based, it was led by a pullback among small businesses.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Greenko Energy, New World Development
UST yields fell 2-3 bps yesterday, following the release of weaker than expected November ADP payrolls data. The yield on the 2Y and 10Y UST declined 2 bps to 3.49% and 4.06%, respectively. Equities rose, as the labour market slowdown reinforced market expectations for a Fed rate cut this month. The S&amp;P 500 advanced 0.3% to 6,850, while the Nasdaq was up 0.2% at 23,454.
In the US, the ADP employment report showed that private-sector payrolls declined by 32 k in November (10 k e / 47 k revised p), with payrolls having fallen in four of the past six months. Hiring has been choppy of late, as employers weather cautious consumers and an uncertain macroeconomic environment, according to ADP chief economist Nela Richardson. While the November slowdown was broad-based, it was led by a pullback among small businesses.


China Vanke Co., Ltd. is a property development company.  The Company develops residential properties in Shenzhen, Shanghai, Beijing, Tianjin, Shenyang, Nanjing, and other big cities in China.

<ul>
<li>The UST curve twisted marginally steeper yesterday, as the market focused on the selection for the next Fed Chairman amid little macro developments.</li>
<li>The yield on the 2Y UST declined 2 bps to 3.51%, while the yield on the 10Y UST was unchanged at 4.09%.</li>
<li>Equities recovered from Monday’s sell-off, in tandem with a rise in cryptocurrencies. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq rose 0.2 and 0.6% to 6,829 and 23,414, respectively. </li>
</ul>


The UST curve twisted marginally steeper yesterday, as the market focused on the selection for the next Fed Chairman amid little macro developments.
The yield on the 2Y UST declined 2 bps to 3.51%, while the yield on the 10Y UST was unchanged at 4.09%.
Equities recovered from Monday’s sell-off, in tandem with a rise in cryptocurrencies. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq rose 0.2 and 0.6% to 6,829 and 23,414, respectively. 


China Water Affairs Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, supplies city water and sewage treatment.  The Company supplies raw water and tap water, treats sewage, constructs water supply pipe networks, and installs water meters.

<ul>
<li>UST yields increased yesterday, led by the long end, following Merck &amp; Co’s USD 8 bn eight-part offering and in tandem with a jump in JGB yields following rate-hike comments by Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda.</li>
<li>The yield on the 2Y UST rose 4 bps to 3.53%, while the yield on the 10Y UST jumped 7 bps to 4.09%. Equities retreated on risk aversion, amid a sell-off in cryptocurrencies.</li>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq declined 0.5% and 0.4% to 6,813 and 23,276, respectively. </li>
</ul>


UST yields increased yesterday, led by the long end, following Merck &amp; Co’s USD 8 bn eight-part offering and in tandem with a jump in JGB yields following rate-hike comments by Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda.
The yield on the 2Y UST rose 4 bps to 3.53%, while the yield on the 10Y UST jumped 7 bps to 4.09%. Equities retreated on risk aversion, amid a sell-off in cryptocurrencies.
The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq declined 0.5% and 0.4% to 6,813 and 23,276, respectively. 


Credit
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