Category

Technical Analysis

Daily Brief Technical Analysis: Buying Financials in Europe/UK; Buy Highlighted: $EUFN and more

By | Daily Briefs, Technical Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Buying Financials in Europe/UK; Buy Highlighted: $EUFN, Allianz, Banco Santander, Wise PLC, and More


Buying Financials in Europe/UK; Buy Highlighted: $EUFN, Allianz, Banco Santander, Wise PLC, and More

By Joe Jasper

  • Below we lay out what we believe is a compelling case to add exposure to European/UK Financial stocks at current levels.
  • The EURO STOXX 50 has been on an absolute tear since we discussed the bullish implications of a break above 4200, and it now breaking above 2+year resistance at 4400-4415.
  • Financials are one of the leading Sectors within Europe/UK, and banks, insurance, and financial services are all attractive. We highlight several of our favorite names to buy at current levels

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Daily Brief Technical Analysis: Upgrading Real Estate and more

By | Daily Briefs, Technical Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Upgrading Real Estate, Transportation to Market Weight; Smid-Caps With Bullish RS Reversals


Upgrading Real Estate, Transportation to Market Weight; Smid-Caps With Bullish RS Reversals

By Joe Jasper

  • Ongoing developments have been almost exclusively of the risk-on variety ever since we discussed that risk/reward favored buyers in late-October (10/24/23 and 10/31/23 Compass reports).
  • The latest risk-on developments include the Russell2000 (IWM) and DJI breaking above resistances of $180 and 35,650, to go along with bullish 9-month RS reversals for small-, mid-, and micro-caps.
  • Breadth improvement and broadening participation was a big reason why we recommended buying the IWM when it was testing $162-$163 support (10/31/23 Compass). We remain bullish

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Daily Brief Technical Analysis: Bullish Outlook Intact; Upgrading Brazil to Overweight; Buying Global Gold/Silver Miners + More Buys and more

By | Daily Briefs, Technical Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Bullish Outlook Intact; Upgrading Brazil to Overweight; Buying Global Gold/Silver Miners + More Buys


Bullish Outlook Intact; Upgrading Brazil to Overweight; Buying Global Gold/Silver Miners + More Buys

By Joe Jasper

  • In our October 26, 2023 Int’l Compass we discussed our expectations for a bounce in global equities (MSCI ACWI). So far, that has been the low.
  • Then, in our November 2, 2023 report, we discussed the bullish implications of the false breakdown in MSCI ACWI (local currency), before discussing expectations for a year-end rally on Nov.16
  • We see a massive opportunity in global gold/silver miners with gold nearing multi-year breakout. Also buy opportunities: Utilities in Europe, UK, and India; Materials, Industrials, Transportation, Real Estate, and Technology

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Daily Brief Technical Analysis: Continue to Ride the Trend Higher; Buying Gold and more

By | Daily Briefs, Technical Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Continue to Ride the Trend Higher; Buying Gold, Silver, Miners $GDX $GDXJ $GLD $SLV


Continue to Ride the Trend Higher; Buying Gold, Silver, Miners $GDX $GDXJ $GLD $SLV

By Joe Jasper

  • Discussed risk/reward favored buyers in late-October as supports were being tested (October 24 and 31), then we outlined on 11/7/23 our belief that a significant year-end rally was likely underway.
  • New market-generated information has continued to be risk-on, which has only reinforced our bullish outlook on the broad equity market.  We continue to expect a rally into year-end and beyond
  • Gold and silver are bullishly inflecting, and we are buying GLD, SLV, and the miners (GDX, GDXJ)

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Daily Brief Technical Analysis: Year-End Rally to Continue?; Riding the Trend Higher; Buys in Education Services and Retailers and more

By | Daily Briefs, Technical Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Year-End Rally to Continue?; Riding the Trend Higher; Buys in Education Services and Retailers


Year-End Rally to Continue?; Riding the Trend Higher; Buys in Education Services and Retailers

By Joe Jasper

  • The broad equity market has been on an absolute tear since we discussed in our 10/31/23 Compass how risk/reward favored buyers as key supports were being tested on SPX/QQQ/IWM
  • Furthermore, we discussed in our 11/7/23 Compass our belief that this was more than just another counter-trend rally, and that it is likely the start of a significant year-end rally.
  • Bullish developments have only continued; among them includes 3.5-month downtrend reversals on the S&P 500 and QQQ. We expect more upside into year-end and beyond.

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Daily Brief Technical Analysis: Year-End Rally Underway; Many Bullish Reversals/False Breakdowns; Buys: Tech and more

By | Daily Briefs, Technical Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Year-End Rally Underway; Many Bullish Reversals/False Breakdowns; Buys: Tech, Cons. Disc., RE, Steel


Year-End Rally Underway; Many Bullish Reversals/False Breakdowns; Buys: Tech, Cons. Disc., RE, Steel

By Joe Jasper

  • We believe there is significant evidence that global equities (MSCI ACWI) have bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. Buys highlighted in global Technology, Discretionary, Real Estate, and Steel/Mining.
  • We discussed in our prior Int’l Compass (11/2/23) how the false breakdown in MSCI ACWI (local currency) was bullish, and a potent rally has ensued. We expect more upside ahead.
  • Now getting bullish 3+ month downtrend reversals and false breakdowns in the EURO STOXX 50, ACWI-US, MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), MSCI EM (EEM-US), and EAFE (EFA-US). Major risk-on signals everywhere.

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Daily Brief Technical Analysis: Just Another Counter-Trend Rally and more

By | Daily Briefs, Technical Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Just Another Counter-Trend Rally, or Something More? DXY and Treasury Yields Breaking Key Supports


Just Another Counter-Trend Rally, or Something More? DXY and Treasury Yields Breaking Key Supports

By Joe Jasper

  • We believe there is significant evidence that the broad equity market has bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. This report elaborates on this main point
  • Last week (10/31/23) we discussed how the $SPX and $QQQ did not display decisive breakdowns, and that a break above 4165-4200 and $350-$355, respectively, would be bullish, that’s what happened
  • Additionally, we discussed how risk/reward favored buyers with the $IWM testing 1.5-year support at $162-$163, a logical spot for small-caps to bounce, especially when we considering persistent bullish breadth divergences.

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Daily Brief Technical Analysis: Japan Bullishly Inflecting; Constructive Outlook Intact; Global Pullback Likely Over and more

By | Daily Briefs, Technical Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Japan Bullishly Inflecting; Constructive Outlook Intact; Global Pullback Likely Over


Japan Bullishly Inflecting; Constructive Outlook Intact; Global Pullback Likely Over

By Joe Jasper

  • The MSCI ACWI index ACWI-US briefly fell below major support at $90.50-$91.50, though we do not consider it a “decisive” breakdown and we now see a false breakdown (bullish).
  • On MSCI ACWI (local currency), a false breakdown appears to already be in place, which is bullish as long as the index does not break to a new low.
  • MSCI EM (EEM-US) continues to hold above $36.50-$37 support, while MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US) and EAFE (EFA-US) remain above supports at $45 and $65-$66, respectively. Pullback is likely over.

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Daily Brief Technical Analysis: Bullish Breadth Divergences Persist; Russell 2000 Testing 1.5-Year Support; Buys in Education Svcs and more

By | Daily Briefs, Technical Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Bullish Breadth Divergences Persist; Russell 2000 Testing 1.5-Year Support; Buys in Education Svcs


Bullish Breadth Divergences Persist; Russell 2000 Testing 1.5-Year Support; Buys in Education Svcs

By Joe Jasper

  • The SPX is at 4165-4200 support, and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) is at $350-$355 support. No “decisive” breakdowns quite yet as supports show signs of holding.
  • Russell 2000 (IWM) is testing 1.5-year support at $162-$163, making this a logical spot for small-caps to bounce and an attractive risk/reward for buyers
  • Continue to see signs of breadth possibly bottoming-out. Both the SPX and Russell 2000 and the % of stocks above their 50-day and 20-day MAs display bullish breadth divergences.

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Daily Brief Technical Analysis: Remain Overweight and Add Exposure to Japan; Buys in Insurance and more

By | Daily Briefs, Technical Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • Remain Overweight and Add Exposure to Japan; Buys in Insurance, Services, Tech, Staples, Utilities


Remain Overweight and Add Exposure to Japan; Buys in Insurance, Services, Tech, Staples, Utilities

By Joe Jasper

  • The MSCI ACWI index (ACWI-US) continues to test major support at $90.50-$91.50, though no decisive break yet; as long as this support area holds, we remain constructive on global equities.
  • MSCI EM (EEM-US) continues to test $37 support, while MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US) and EAFE (EFA-US) are testing supports at $45 and $65-$66, respectively
  • Remain overweight and add exposure to Japan; the TOPIX remains in a 1.5-year RS uptrend (vs. MSCI ACWI), and continues to hold above 5-month support at 2200-2215

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