In today’s briefing:
- Xero (XRO AU): Index Flows Following the Capital Raise
- Block Deal Sale of 82 Billion Won of SK Eternix by Hahn & Co
- New World Resources (NWC AU): A Brewing Bidding War
- Laopu Gold (6181 HK): Lockup Expiry Ahead. After 2000% Rally, Is There Still Shine Left?
- Humm Group (HUM AU): Chairman’s NBIO
- Humm Group (HUM AU): Chairman’s Low-Ball Non-Binding Offer
- An Updated Progress on the Tender Offer and Delisting of Viol By VIG Partners
- Key Trading Angles from Nextrade’s First Quarterly Reshuffle: Full List with Tickers (Excel)
- BBVA/Sabadell: Trading Above Terms After Government Imposes Integration Freeze
- Block Deal Sale of 1.9% of Shinhan Financial by Affinity Equity Partners (BLSH: Buy Low Sell High)
Xero (XRO AU): Index Flows Following the Capital Raise
- Xero Ltd (XRO AU) has entered into a binding agreement to acquire Melio Limited for an upfront cash consideration of US$2.5bn in cash and Xero Ltd (XRO AU) stock.
- The cash consideration is being funded mainly through a fully underwritten A$1.85bn (US$1.2bn) institutional placement. There is also a non-underwritten Share Purchase Plan to raise around A$200m.
- Given the large size of the institutional placement, there will be an increase in index shares and the passive buying that follows should mop up over 20% of the placement.
Block Deal Sale of 82 Billion Won of SK Eternix by Hahn & Co
- On 25 June, Hahn & Co completed a block deal sale of about 9% stake in SK Eternix at 25,634 won (approximately 11% discount to the previous day’s closing price).
- Despite the expected sharp growth in the company’s sales and profits next year, its valuations have reached very high levels.
- Combined with the recent block deal sales at significant market discount, we believe this is likely to put a break on its share price in the next 3-6 months.
New World Resources (NWC AU): A Brewing Bidding War
- New World Resources (NWC AU) is subject to a bidding war between Central Asia Metals (CAML LN) and Kinterra. CAML’s binding offer is A$0.055 while Kinterra’s non-binding offer is A$0.057.
- At current terms, a binding Kinterra offer would be superior as the price increase more than offsets the reverse break fees and does not require regulatory approvals.
- Despite Kinterra’s offer representing a 103.6% premium to the undisturbed price, there remains headroom for a bidding war.
Laopu Gold (6181 HK): Lockup Expiry Ahead. After 2000% Rally, Is There Still Shine Left?
- Laopu Gold (6181 HK)’s 365-day lockup on shares held by pre-IPO investors expires tomorrow (June 27), more than doubling its current free float.
- Near-Term pressure on the stock is likely, given the sharp increase in tradable shares, mixed gold price outlook, and limited retail investor access after a steep rally.
- A potential stock split could broaden investor participation, improve liquidity and serve as a catalyst for next leg of stock upside.
Humm Group (HUM AU): Chairman’s NBIO
- In December 2021, buy-now, pay-later outfit humm (HUM AU) announced approaches from third parties to acquire all/part of the company. This was discussed in BNPL Play Hummgroup Fields Proposals.
- Six months later, a proposed sale of Humm Consumer Finance business to Latitude (LFS AU) was terminated, before the scheduled vote, due to opposition from founder/chairman Andrew Abercrombie.
- Now the Abercrombie Group (TAG), the family office of Andrew Abercrombie, has tabled a A$0.58/share non-binding Offer, in cash, by way of a Scheme. Abercrombie hold 26.6%.
Humm Group (HUM AU): Chairman’s Low-Ball Non-Binding Offer
- Humm Group (HUM AU) disclosed a non-binding proposal from The Abercrombie Group at A$0.58, a 34.9% premium to the undisturbed price of A$0.43 (23 June).
- The Board has granted a four-week due diligence period. The offer is unattractive on several metrics.
- Unsurprisingly, retail is strongly opposed to the low-ball offer. The Board should negotiate for better terms.
An Updated Progress on the Tender Offer and Delisting of Viol By VIG Partners
- This insight provides an updated progress on the tender offer and delisting of VIOL (335890 KS). The tender offer period lasts from 18 June to 7 July 2025.
- Through this tender offer, VIG Partners plans to acquire full management rights of Viol and also take it private.
- If the number of shares offered for the tender offer reaches the maximum target, SPC will secure a 98.84% stake in Viol.
Key Trading Angles from Nextrade’s First Quarterly Reshuffle: Full List with Tickers (Excel)
- NextTrade’s Q3 reshuffle: 105 adds, 112 cuts, net -7. Total tradable names drop to 791. Turnover was more aggressive than expected.
- Key NXT additions could see liquidity surge and short-term vol spike, especially with NXT still grabbing ~30% of turnover and no hard cap enforcement yet in place.
- LG CNS, GS P&L, and SAMG Ent. are catching strong local trader interest, with setups building fast around these newly added NXT plays.
BBVA/Sabadell: Trading Above Terms After Government Imposes Integration Freeze
- Sabadell trades above the implied offer value, signaling investor expectations of a revised bid or deal failure.
- Government-Imposed integration freeze severely impairs BBVA’s ability to realize synergies.
- Political dependence on Catalan nationalist parties complicates execution despite formal regulatory clearance.
Block Deal Sale of 1.9% of Shinhan Financial by Affinity Equity Partners (BLSH: Buy Low Sell High)
- After the market close on 25 June, Affinity Equity Partners sold all of its 1.94% stake (9.742 million shares) in Shinhan Financial (055550 KS) in a block deal sale.
- It was reported that the sale was made at around 59,475 won to 59,780 won, a 2.0-2.5% discount from the previous day’s closing price of 61,000 won.
- This block deal sale of 1.9% stake in Shinhan could be viewed negatively as Affinity has decided to sell the shares at current levels rather than waiting for further upside.
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