In today’s briefing:
- Perpetual (PPT AU): EQT Returns with a Revised NBIO at A$22.07
- Indonesia: Time to Scoop Up Bargain?
- 8-Week Losing Streak. Over.
- Aequitas: GCash Pre-IPO – Largest Fintech Ecosystem in Philippines
- PRE: Company Announces Unique and Beneficial Financing
- FP Partner (7388 JP): 1H FY11/26 Flash update
- Solidarity Bahrain – Built for the Duopoly; Priced Below Mid-Cycle Margins
Perpetual (PPT AU): EQT Returns with a Revised NBIO at A$22.07
- Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU) has received a revised non-binding indicative proposal from EQT at A$22.07 per share, a 2.0% premium to the previously rejected offer of A$21.64 per share.
- While the revised offer remains below the Board’s rumoured floor price of A$25.00, it is reasonable compared to historical ranges and is a 42.4% premium to the undisturbed price.
- Given the low premium to the earlier rejected offer, the Board is highly likely to reject the revised offer. Nevertheless, the Board will be under pressure to engage.
Indonesia: Time to Scoop Up Bargain?
- MSCI Inc (MSCI US) downgrade momentum on Indonesia has hit a pause, and it is unlikely to happen.
- In the meantime, the earnings growth rate for mid- and large-cap stocks remains intact; hence, that makes some of the Indonesian stocks even cheaper from a PEG perspective.
- Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ) pays 11% yield, Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ)has an asset spin off awaiting, while Astra International (ASII IJ) is trading at 6x PER with 8% dividend.
8-Week Losing Streak. Over.
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Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs snapped their longest losing streak on record, pulling in a combined $281.8 million for the week after eight straight weeks (week ending July 12) that drained $8.26 billion.
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Renewed US-Iran hostilities rattled markets midweek, with Bitcoin sliding to roughly $61,492 on July 8 after Trump declared the ceasefire over, before recovering to $64,400 (intraday high of $64,658.97 on July 10) by Friday on a short squeeze.
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Strategy sold a record 3,588 BTC for $216 million, its largest disposal ever, to fund preferred stock dividends, a marked shift from years of never selling.
Aequitas: GCash Pre-IPO – Largest Fintech Ecosystem in Philippines
- GCash (formerly Globe Fintech Innovations (1490676D PM)) is looking to raise around US$1.3bn in its upcoming Philippines IPO.
- GCash is a finance super app, providing a comprehensive suite of payment solutions and digital financial services. serving a wide array of Filipinos.
- In this note, we look at the company’s past performance.
PRE: Company Announces Unique and Beneficial Financing
- Prenetics is a health care company that has undergone a dramatic transformation that has resulted in exponential growth in revenues and a worldwide reach for a premium supplement.
- IM8 is the company’s brand name premium supplement and through great science, and the company just announced a unique financing arrangement that preserves shareholder value and finances growth.
FP Partner (7388 JP): 1H FY11/26 Flash update
- Revenue for FY11/26 is JPY31.8bn, a 12.3% decrease from the previous forecast of JPY36.3bn.
- The company plans a full-year dividend of JPY94 per share, maintaining its initial dividend forecast.
- Newly acquired policies in 1H FY11/26 totaled 102,026, reflecting an 11.6% YoY decline.
Solidarity Bahrain – Built for the Duopoly; Priced Below Mid-Cycle Margins
- Bahrain’s #2 insurer and largest takaful operator at 29.3% sector share post the 2024-25 consolidation (FY 25e methodology, see below).
- FY25A recognized contributions BHD 94.1m, operating within a top-two duopoly alongside BKIC (GIG Bahrain) at approximately 38% share across Medical, Motor, Non-Motor P&C and Protection & Savings.
- NP-after-T1 more than doubles by FY30e on phased underwriting margin recovery. We forecast NP-after-T1 of BHD 3.8m FY26e expanding to BHD 9.5m FY30e at 25.7% CAGR; combined ratio improves 584bps to 77.3% on Motor 94→92%, Medical 65→62%, Group Life 112→96%, NonMotor 28→26%, Family Takaful flat at approximately 65%. EPS rises from 22 to 56 fils; RoE recovers from a 6.9% FY26e trough to peak 15.2% by FY30e.
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