Daily BriefsQuantitative Analysis

Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Hong Kong Connect Flows (April): 12M High of $10.7bn Inflows and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Hong Kong Connect Flows (April): 12M High of $10.7bn Inflows
  • Screening for GEMs: May 2024
  • ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 26th): Paladin Energy, Beach Energy, Computershare, Macquarie
  • Northbound Flows (April): CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, China Tourism, Moutai, Nari Technology


Hong Kong Connect Flows (April): 12M High of $10.7bn Inflows

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
  • We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
  • We highlight flows for BOC, Tencent, China Mobile, ZTO Express, Anta Sports.

Screening for GEMs: May 2024

By Wium Malan, CFA

  • An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
  • The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
  • Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Apr 26th): Paladin Energy, Beach Energy, Computershare, Macquarie

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Apr 26th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.1bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Paladin Energy, Beach Energy, Computershare, Macquarie, Brambles.

Northbound Flows (April): CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, China Tourism, Moutai, Nari Technology

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
  • Financials, Materials, Health Care led the inflows while Consumer Discretionary, Communication Services led the outflows (first chart below).
  • We highlight inflows into CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, and outflows from China Tourism, Moutai, Nari Technology, Focus Media and Seres

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