Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Gemvax & Kael, Oneconnect Financial Technology, AEM, Kingsoft Cloud Holdings, Victory Giant Technology -A, Xilinx Inc, China Satellite Communications, Advanced Micro Devices, Daqo New Energy Corp Adr and more

• MTD screening results with 5 trading days left point to 2 names going out and 2 names coming in: Gemvax and Wonik IPS replace Dongjin Semichem and Jusung Engineering.
• Unlike last April’s tariff-distorted +1.3% rebalance, this time we expect cleaner, more meaningful price action.
• No pre-positioning seen, so I’ll target ETF rebalance day (Oct 10) and maybe take an anticipatory position a day earlier.

• I was way off on timing. After the pre-cons were satisfied on the 9th July, I thought Ping An’s Offer for Oneconnect Financial (6638 HK) could feasibly wrap up around now.
• A draft Scheme Doc was released on the 18th July. The IFA (Gram Capital) said fair & reasonable. 
• The Scheme Document is now out, with a Court Meeting on the 28th October and expected payment around the 28th November. 

• Last week NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) announced a 5 billion USD investment into Intel Corp (INTC US). 
• If the collaboration between the two tech giants is successful, it could lead to a revival of the entire Intel supply chain.
• AEM (AEM SP) has historically been closely linked to Intel, so any revival of Intel has the potential to benefit AEM substantially.

• Kingsoft Cloud Holdings (3896 HK) is looking to raise around US$304m in a primary placement.
• The company will use the proceeds to support its AI business, including infrastructure expansion and enhancement of cloud services.
• In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

• Oneconnect Financial Technology (6638 HK)’s IFA opines that Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)’s HK$2.068 (US$7.976 per ADS) offer is fair and reasonable. The vote is on 28 October. 
• The offer is below net cash, and the FCF burn is modest. Ping An is privatising OneConnect just as its revenue declines end (due to the discontinued cloud business).
• The high minority participation rate and protest votes at the recent AGM are warning signs that the scheme vote is high risk. This setup is best avoided. 

• Victory Giant Technology -A (300476 CH) (VG) aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing.
• VG is one of the global leaders in advanced printed circuit boards (PCB) products for AI and high-performance computing.
• In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.

• Historical Context is Crucial: This report analyzes Xilinx Inc. as a standalone entity prior to its acquisition by Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), which was announced in October 2020 and completed in February 2022. Xilinx ceased trading on the NASDAQ post-acquisition. Therefore, this primer serves as a historical analysis of a foundational semiconductor company.
• Dominant FPGA Market Leader: Xilinx was the inventor of the Field-Programmable Gate Array (FPGA) and the market leader, consistently holding over 50% market share. Its primary competitor was Altera, which was acquired by Intel. The company’s core strength was its highly flexible and adaptive processing platforms that enabled rapid innovation across diverse, high-growth markets like data centers, 5G communications, automotive, and aerospace & defense.
• Strategic Pivot to Platform Company: Under the leadership of CEO Victor Peng, Xilinx successfully transitioned from a chip supplier to a platform-centric company, focusing on high-growth areas like data center acceleration and AI inference. This strategy involved significant R&D investment and acquisitions to bolster its software and IP portfolio, leading to strong revenue growth in its targeted markets prior to the acquisition.

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• China Satellite Communications (China Satcom) is a core professional subsidiary of China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation, holding a national basic telecommunications business license. It is the primary operator of satellite communications in China, with a fleet of geostationary satellites covering China, Southeast Asia, South Asia, the Middle East, Africa, Europe, and the Pacific.
• The company’s revenue streams are primarily derived from satellite resource leasing and value-added services, including broadcasting, telecom, corporate, and government applications. While revenue has seen a slight decline in recent years, the company maintains a strong market position within China.
• The global satellite communication market is projected to experience significant growth, driven by the increasing demand for high-speed internet, particularly in remote areas, and the expansion of applications in the military, aviation, and maritime sectors. This presents both opportunities and challenges for China Satcom as the industry landscape evolves with the rise of LEO constellations and new technologies.

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• Nvidia and Intel’s surprise alliance may not taper ARM or even TSMC immediately, but it could marginalise AMD far sooner.
• With tighter OEM budgets and “AI PC” branding pressure, AMD risks being boxed out of design wins across the client stack.
• If Nvidia and Intel drive system-level costs-per-token down, AMD’s chips might find it hard to compete despite being performant.

• Leading Polysilicon Producer Facing Severe Cyclical Downturn: Daqo New Energy is a top-5 global producer of high-purity polysilicon, a critical material for the solar PV industry. The company is currently navigating a severe industry downturn characterized by massive overcapacity and plummeting polysilicon prices, which has led to significant revenue declines and negative profitability.
• Low-Cost Position and Strong Balance Sheet Provide Resilience: Despite the challenging market, Daqo maintains a key competitive advantage through its position as one of the world’s lowest-cost producers. This, combined with a strong balance sheet and substantial net cash position, provides a buffer to withstand the current price trough better than higher-cost competitors.
• Valuation Appears Depressed, but High Uncertainty Persists: The company’s stock is trading at a significant discount to its book value and its Shanghai-listed subsidiary, reflecting deep market pessimism. While this presents a potential value opportunity, the timing of a polysilicon price recovery is highly uncertain, and risks related to oversupply, geopolitical tensions, and trade policies remain significant.

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