In today’s briefing:
- Plover Bay (1523 HK): Slight Deceleration But Solid H1 FY25 And Optimistic Future Growth
- Softwar: An Intimate Portrait of Larry Ellison and Oracle $ORCL (Fintwit Book Club July 2025)
- Microsoft FYQ425. Who Says Elephants Can’t Dance?
- Asian Dividend Gems: Soft World Intl (5478 TT)
- Tokyo Electron (8035 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update
- Apple 3Q25 (Jun-25): Good 10% Beat, 4Q 5% Above Consensus. Great but Questions on Services Remain
- Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Tactical Outlook After Disappointing Earnings
- Booz Allen Hamilton: Initiation of Coverage- Why Are They Rewiring Their Contracts & Can Outcome-Based Models Improve Profits?
- Figma IPO: Pricing and First Trading-Day, ~$67B Market Cap At The Close, Unsustainable Multiples
- [Earnings Review] Arm’s AI Royalty Engine Powers Through Cloud and Edge Tailwinds

Plover Bay (1523 HK): Slight Deceleration But Solid H1 FY25 And Optimistic Future Growth
- Plover Bay Technologies (1523 HK) reported 9.9%/13.4% YoY revenue/net profit growth, led by growth from customers in the EMEA and Asia (with the US being a drag).
- Earnings were more or less in line with our preview, Plover Bay (1523 HK): Preview On Earnings For H1 2025, but revenues were slightly weaker, and margins were stronger.
- The stock trades at 21.5x PE FY25e (assuming 15% growth), with a 4.4% dividend yield (assuming an 80% payout), but we acknowledge there could be upside to our earnings.
Softwar: An Intimate Portrait of Larry Ellison and Oracle $ORCL (Fintwit Book Club July 2025)
- Institutional investors are turning to AI to analyze SEC filings and earnings call transcripts, with Fintool offering a quicker and more efficient solution.
- The biography of Larry Ellison, focusing on Oracle during the dot com crisis, provides insight into Ellison’s leadership style and business strategies.
- Despite some mixed feelings about Oracle and Ellison’s personality, his vision for the future of computing, such as using commodity hardware and smartphones, has proven to be accurate in hindsight.
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Microsoft FYQ425. Who Says Elephants Can’t Dance?
- Q425 revenues of $76.4 billion, up 5.5% QoQ, 18% YoY and handily beating guidance of $73.8 billion.
- Azure surpassed $75 billion in revenue in FY25, up 34% YoY, driven by growth across all workloads.
- Contracted backlog grew by $53 billion QoQ to reach $368 billion. Wow!
Asian Dividend Gems: Soft World Intl (5478 TT)
- Soft World International has an integrated value chain/sizeable moat for its game development, distribution, payments, content, and events in Taiwan.
- The company is trading at attractive valuations. It is trading at EV/EBITDA of 3.7x, P/E of 13.4x, and P/B of 1.5x based on recent prices and LTM financials.
- Net cash as a percentage of market cap is 79%. The company’s dividend yield remained steady at 6% in FY23 and FY24.
Tokyo Electron (8035 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update
- In Q1 FY03/26, the company reported revenue of JPY549.6bn, operating profit of JPY144.7bn, and net income of JPY117.8bn.
- The revised FY03/26 forecast projects revenue of JPY2.35tn, operating profit of JPY570.0bn, and net income of JPY444.0bn.
- The company plans aggressive R&D investments, increasing from JPY250.0bn in FY03/25 to JPY295.0bn in FY03/26.
Apple 3Q25 (Jun-25): Good 10% Beat, 4Q 5% Above Consensus. Great but Questions on Services Remain
- 3Q25 saw an acceleration in revenues (+10% YoY) and EPS (+12%), after a long period of stagnation (2022-23-24 at ~3% growth). 4Q guidance is 5% above Consensus.
- Impact of US import tariffs is negligible. Services is the major growth driver and Apple has few answers on critical questions (Epic ruling, DoJ rulings against Google, AI roll out).
- The stock is expensive, as always (27x FY26 EPS, 25x FY27 EPS) for sub-10% growth. Some people love the buybacks, the brand and dominant market position.
Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Tactical Outlook After Disappointing Earnings
- Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) 2Q earnings have been somehow disappointing for investors.
- We don’t dissect the earnings details, as market reactions—regardless of headlines—almost always fall within the behavioral range defined by our model.
- What we see right now is FEAR: Samsung Electronics was rallying hard, reached the tails area in our model, then retreated back sharply after the earnings.
Booz Allen Hamilton: Initiation of Coverage- Why Are They Rewiring Their Contracts & Can Outcome-Based Models Improve Profits?
- Booz Allen Hamilton’s first quarter fiscal year 2026 results reflect a dynamic environment influenced by shifting government priorities and procurement processes.
- Overall, the company’s financial performance aligned with expectations, showing resilience amidst a challenging backdrop with a 2% year-over-year growth in revenue, excluding billable expenses, despite an overall revenue decline of roughly 1%.
- Positively, Booz Allen Hamilton recorded a high quarterly book-to-bill ratio of 1.42x, contributing to a record backlog of $38 billion, suggesting future revenue streams are solid.
Figma IPO: Pricing and First Trading-Day, ~$67B Market Cap At The Close, Unsustainable Multiples
- Figma Inc., a product design leader with strong financial profile, priced its IPO at $33.00/share and raised ~$1.2B.
- The company raised the price range to $30.00-$32.00. The stock opened at $85.00 and closed on Thursday at $115.50, up ~250% vs. IPO offer price.
- The offering was priced above the marketed range. Figma had a ~$67B market cap at the close, implying a ~62x EV/2025E sky-high multiple on my 2025 revenue estimate of $1056M.
[Earnings Review] Arm’s AI Royalty Engine Powers Through Cloud and Edge Tailwinds
- Record royalties now make up over half of Arm’s revenue, with Compute Subsystems (CSS) earning nearly 2x more than conventional designs.
- Hyperscaler CPU share jumps to ~50%, as Neoverse powers AI infrastructure at NVIDIA, AWS, Google, and Microsoft.
- Custom silicon stickiness deepens, with multigenerational GPU deals and CSS design wins spanning cloud, PC, and automotive verticals.
