In today’s briefing:
- [Japan M&A] YAGEO Says It Expects FDI Clearance on Shibaura – Minebea Likely To Fold
- Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP): Yageo Poised to Secure FEFTA Approval
- Shibaura Electronics (6590 JP) – Takeover Battle: Minebea Certainty Vs. YAGEO Premium
- Xiaomi (1810 HK): Earnings Recap & Volatility Dynamics
- NVDA 2Q26 (Jul-25) Small Beat. 3Q26 (Sept-25) Small Beat. Everything Is on Track, Don’t Blink.
- Netskope, Inc. (NTSK): Peeking at the IPO Propsectus of the Next Cybersecurity Firm
- DUG Technology — Significant boost to order intake in H225
- Netskope IPO Valuation Analysis: Multiple In Excess of the Security Software Market Is Well Deserved
- Soluna Holdings, Inc: Two New Sites Push Generation Past 1 GW
- Tuya, Inc: 2Q25 Growth Continues in a Challenging Environment

[Japan M&A] YAGEO Says It Expects FDI Clearance on Shibaura – Minebea Likely To Fold
- Last weekend then post-close Monday, Yageo Corporation (2327 TT) raised its TOB Price for Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP) to ¥7,130 – a full 15% through Minebea’s proposed ¥6,200/share terms.
- Minebea was playing chicken with the result, closing its tender on 28 August, before Japan’s Foreign Direct Investment approval (FEFTA approval) was cleared, expected 1 Sep or later.
- Today post-close, YAGEO announced it had concluded discussions with METI, would make all required regulatory submissions today, and expects to obtain approval “no later than 10 September”
Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP): Yageo Poised to Secure FEFTA Approval
- A day before the close of Minebea Mitsumi (6479 JP)’s offer, Yageo Corporation (2327 TT) has strategically stated that it expects to receive FEFTA approval by 10 September.
- Minebea had tried to convince shareholders that its lower offer provides an opportunity to monetise their shares quickly and with certainty. This line of reasoning is no longer credible.
- As Minebea will not increase its offer or extend the closing date, Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP)‘s Board will have to recommend Yageo’s offer.
Shibaura Electronics (6590 JP) – Takeover Battle: Minebea Certainty Vs. YAGEO Premium
- Shibaura Electronics (6590 JP) is at the center of a takeover battle between MinebeaMitsumi and Taiwan’s YAGEO.
- Minebea has bid ¥6,200/share with 23% locked in and management support, while YAGEO counters at ¥7,130/share, pending FEFTA clearance.
- Financial investors may wait for FEFTA clarity and lean YAGEO for price, while risk‑averse or aligned holders favor Minebea’s certainty.
Xiaomi (1810 HK): Earnings Recap & Volatility Dynamics
- Xiaomi (1810 HK) reported 2Q25 results on 19 Aug, beating expectations. This Insight analyzes price reactions in Hong Kong and two overseas markets.
- Highlights: Implied volatility dropped sharply post-earnings, both across the term structure and skew.
- Why it matters: With Xiaomi’s implied volatility now at historically cheap levels, investors may find opportunities in long-volatility strategies ahead of the next earnings in November.
NVDA 2Q26 (Jul-25) Small Beat. 3Q26 (Sept-25) Small Beat. Everything Is on Track, Don’t Blink.
- 2Q26 (Jul-25) revenue growth 56% YoY, despite a sharp decline in China revenue (-24% YoY). No H20 revenues from China. H20 charges normalize, margins improve, Net Income 5% above Consensus.
- 3Q26 revenue growth stable at 54% YoY, not including any H20 revenues from China. Upside from H20 at $2-5bn, max revenue growth 68% YoY. 3Q guidance ~3% above Consensus.
- The stock is not expensive. Trading at its average 47x trailing PEx, 33x forward. Very little risk to Consensus expectations over FY26-28.
Netskope, Inc. (NTSK): Peeking at the IPO Propsectus of the Next Cybersecurity Firm
- The company built a unified, cloud-native platform to solve the challenge of securing and accelerating the digital interactions of enterprises filed for its IPO on August 22nd.
- . As of July 31, 2025, they had 4,317 customers, a 21% year-over-year increase from 3,571 customers as of July 31, 2024.
- The company’s revenue jumped 30.7% from the 1H of 2025 versus 1H of 2024.
DUG Technology — Significant boost to order intake in H225
DUG Technology’s FY25 results confirmed that order intake stepped up in H225, with intake of $45.7m 131% higher half-on-half, resulting in a record order book of $52m at the end of the year. While revenue came in marginally below our forecasts, EBITDA was stronger, with the margin down only 0.7pp y-o-y despite investment in international expansion during FY25. We have revised our forecasts to reflect the better-than-expected order intake, lifting revenue by 1.2% in FY26 and FY27 and EBITDA by 11.9% and 10.8% respectively.
Netskope IPO Valuation Analysis: Multiple In Excess of the Security Software Market Is Well Deserved
- Netskope Inc., a high growth provider of enterprise network security platform called Netskope One platform, is expected to IPO in September.
- The amount the cybersecurity company is planning to raise is not yet disclosed, but it’s likely to exceed $800M.
- Netskope’s growth profile at scale looks strong coupled with leadership position, large TAM and the company’s FCF-breakeven. Thus, a premium multiple is deserved.
Soluna Holdings, Inc: Two New Sites Push Generation Past 1 GW
- Soluna recently announced it has passed the major milestone of 1 GW of clean energy generation.
- The company is accelerating its mission to make clean computing the standard for AI and Bitcoin by expanding its data center platform with a 2.8-GW power pipeline.
- Soluna has reached a 1-GW milestone with the launch of two new projects in Texas: Project Fei and Project Gladys.
Tuya, Inc: 2Q25 Growth Continues in a Challenging Environment
- Tuya reported another solid quarter in a challenging environment, with revenue of $80.1 million, up 9% Y/Y. Gross margin increased Y/Y by 40 bps to 48.4%, while PaaS revenue increased 7% Y/Y to $58.1 million.
- Cash and equivalents decreased to $1,006 million due to a cash dividend and the company has no debt.
- Management had noted that the rollercoaster of 1Q25 could continue, and it seems to have done just that.
