Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Tekscend Photomask, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, DiDi Global, Intel Corp, Nova Insight, Netdragon Websoft, Sunny Optical Technology Group and more

• Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) is a global leader in semiconductor photomasks. It is seeking to raise up to JPY123 billion (US$828 million). Pricing is on 30 September.
• I previously discussed the IPO in Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) IPO: The Bull Case and Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) IPO: The Bear Case. 
• In this note, I present my forecasts and discuss valuation. My analysis suggests that Tekscend is attractively valued at the IPO price range compared to peer multiples.

• TSMC: +28.3 Premium; Historically Extreme Level, Can Short the ADR Premium
• UMC: +3.3% Premium; Historically Extreme Level, Short the ADR Premium 
• CHT: -0.7% Discount; Near Lower Bound, Consider Going Long the Spread

• Tekscend Photomask (429A JP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, aims to raise around US$830m in its Japan IPO.
• TP is a global provider of photomasks and related support services. It has been the leader in the merchant photomask market in terms of sales since 2016.
• We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we will  undertake a peer comparison.

• Latest Signals Continue to Indicate N2 Is Emerging as TSMC’s Blockbuster Node
• N2 Commercialization Timing Aligns With Major AI HPC Platform Roadmaps
• TSMC Market Share Over 70%… Could N2 Drive This Number Even Higher? Maintain Our Structural Long Rating for TSMC

Key points (machine generated)

• Didi’s stock price is stable at $4.90, adhering to management guidance for eight months.
• Concerns about autonomous driving in China arise due to low labor costs and a deflationary environment, impacting regulatory responses.
• Didi is well-positioned for partnerships with AV companies, while Tesla faces regulatory challenges in operating a ride-hailing service in China.

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• Apple, Intel, and Nvidia may be converging on a shared AI infrastructure vision that would have consequences for the global chip supply chain.
• Intel’s systems foundry pivot is about controlling the stack, and Apple might see value in that despite moving away from the former’s products.
• TSMC remains dominant in process tech, but the competition in the future might be about more than building silicon.  

• Nova Insight (INS HK) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The deal will be run by JP Morgan and HSBC.
• Nova Insight is the largest independent AI technology company in the insurance industry in China.
• As of Dec 31, 2024, Nova’s solutions have been cumulatively adopted by 90 insurance companies, including eight of the top ten insurance companies in China.

• Netdragon is a prominent player in China’s online gaming and mobile internet sectors, with a growing international presence in the education technology market.
• The company is strategically pivoting towards the integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in both its gaming and education segments, aiming to enhance user experience and operational efficiency.
• Despite recent revenue declines and market volatility, Netdragon maintains a strong dividend yield and has an active share buyback program, signaling management’s confidence in its long-term strategy.

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• NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)’s investment is focused on joint AI development.   
• Intel Corp (INTC US) may seek to invite Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR (TSM US) to join its investment initiative.
• Meanwhile, Intel Corp (INTC US)’s stock price has risen about 50.2% from its recent low. 

Founded in 1984, Sunny Optical Technology is a leading global integrated optical-component manufacturer. It was the largest global vehicle lens-set producer in 2024 with a market share of 32.3%, the largest global handset lens-set producer (30.8% market share) and the largest global handset camera-module producer (12.1%). The company has been listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange since 2007. The largest shareholder is Sun Xu Limited with a 35% stake, while 65% is publicly held. Founder Wang Wenjian and the Sunny Group Employee Offshore Trust own and control Sun Xu Limited.