In today’s briefing:
- Quiddity Leaderboard CSI All Share Semiconductors Dec25: Some Names Are Close to the Border
- Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK): Changhong Group’s Preconditional Scheme at HK$1.223
- H-1B Fee Fallout: An Employee’s Perspective and Implications for Indian IT
- Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK): Sichuan Changhong’s Pre-Con Scheme
- Primer: MetaOptics (METAO SP) – Sep 2025
- Softbank Group (9984 JP) Tactical Outlook: Momentum Strong but Stretched, Higher Targets Speculative
- EP 135: INTEL AND NVIDIA!! Meta Connect and Ray Ban Display, Watch Huawei/China
- Primer: AvePoint (AVP SP) – Sep 2025
- DUG Technology — Expansion of Petronas contract
- Windar Photonics PLC – Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 15/09/2025

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI All Share Semiconductors Dec25: Some Names Are Close to the Border
- CSI All Share Semiconductors Index represents the largest and most-liquid stocks in the Semiconductor Industry Group from the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing Exchanges.
- In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2025.
- We expect up to five ADDs and one DEL for the CSI All Share Semiconductors index during this index review event based on the latest available data.
Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK): Changhong Group’s Preconditional Scheme at HK$1.223
- Changhong Jiahua Holdings (3991 HK) announced a preconditional privatisation offer from Changhong Group, the controlling shareholder, at HK$1.223, a 32.9% premium to the last close price.
- Key conditions include approval by at least 75% independent shareholders (<10% of independent shareholders’ rejection) and the headcount test. The offer is final.
- Two shareholders hold blocking stakes – one has provided an irrevocable, and the other is SOE-linked. The offer is attractive compared to historical trading ranges. Timing is the key risk.
H-1B Fee Fallout: An Employee’s Perspective and Implications for Indian IT
- The Trump administration’s announcement of U.S. $100,000 fee for new H-1B petitions triggered anxiety, travel confusion, and immediate negative market reaction for Indian IT names.
- Tech workers in the US report heightened hostility, reluctance to travel, and SMB clients unable to absorb fees risk reduced sponsorship, higher attrition, and retention challenges.
- While there may be limited short-term P&L impact, but structural threats — including the HIRE Act — could reshape delivery models, near-shoring, and pricing over 6–18 months.
Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK): Sichuan Changhong’s Pre-Con Scheme
- After Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK) (CJ) was suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code, I expected SOE-backed Sichuan Changhong (600839 CH) (60.13%) to make an Offer. And that is what unfolded.
- Sichuan Changhong plus provincial bodies, have made a pre-conditional Offer by way of a Scheme, at HK$1.223/share, a 32.93% premium to last close. The Offer Price is final.
- Pre-Cons include the local SASAC & Reform Commission Commerce, plus SAFE. The risk to the deal will be one of timing. The Offer Price is fair.
Primer: MetaOptics (METAO SP) – Sep 2025
- MetaOptics is a vertically integrated, early-stage company specializing in metalens technology, a revolutionary approach to optics with the potential to disrupt various industries by replacing traditional bulky lenses with ultra-thin, lightweight, and efficient alternatives.
- The company recently debuted on the Singapore Exchange (SGX) Catalist board, making it the first pure-play metalens company to go public. The IPO proceeds are intended to fund research and development, business expansion, and strategic partnerships.
- While MetaOptics holds a strong global market position, ranking 5th by revenue among metalens companies, it faces significant risks, including a history of losses, reliance on a limited number of suppliers, and the nascent stage of mass production for its metalens prototypes.
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Softbank Group (9984 JP) Tactical Outlook: Momentum Strong but Stretched, Higher Targets Speculative
- Softbank Group (9984 JP) performed a strong 1-week rally 2 weeks ago, then went marginally higher. The stock is OVERBOUGHT according to our models, but the pattern is bullish.
- We see two possible scenarios: a) the stock stalls and pulls back this week or b) it keeps rallying towards 20850.
- The current pattern had rallies lasting up to 5 weeks in the past, so Softbank Group (9984 JP) could rally 2 more weeks, and get closer to 20850.
EP 135: INTEL AND NVIDIA!! Meta Connect and Ray Ban Display, Watch Huawei/China
- Nvidia and Intel have announced a $5 billion deal to collaborate on designing CPU GPU systems for data centers and chiplets for PCs.
- Jensen Huang surprisingly praised Intel during a press conference, marking a significant shift in Nvidia’s history of enmity towards Intel.
- The collaboration aims to address the scalability limitations of current systems by offering x86 head nodes with NVLink for data centers, filling a market gap for both companies.
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Primer: AvePoint (AVP SP) – Sep 2025
- AvePoint is a dominant software provider for data management within the Microsoft ecosystem, capitalizing on the global shift to cloud-based collaboration and increasingly stringent data governance requirements.
- The company has demonstrated a strong growth trajectory, marked by consistent double-digit revenue growth and a significant shift towards a recurring SaaS model, which now constitutes the majority of its revenue.
- After a history of net losses, AvePoint has recently achieved quarterly profitability and is generating robust operating and free cash flow, signaling a pivotal inflection point in its financial performance.
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DUG Technology — Expansion of Petronas contract
DUG Technology has received the first purchase order associated with the contract award from Petronas earlier this month, for the first year of the three-year contract. The total net value of the contract is now expected to be $12m higher than originally disclosed, at c $30m. We have updated our forecasts to reflect the higher value, with FY26 EPS upgraded by 3.3% and FY27 by 6.0%.
Windar Photonics PLC – Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 15/09/2025
- 15th September 2025 @HybridanLLP * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP.
- ** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) or similar announcement has been made.
- ***Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement.
