In today’s briefing:
- Japan Post Bank (7182 JP) – Not Cheap Enough Vs Others, or Holdings
- Soundwill Holdings (878 HK): Foo Family’s Offer at HK$8.50
Japan Post Bank (7182 JP) – Not Cheap Enough Vs Others, or Holdings
- The Offering of Japan Post Bank (7182 JP) is not taking place the way “the right pattern” would suggest, but last time was kind of special. This time is different.
- Last time was a “second IPO” and coincided with a US regional bank crisis. This time the offering is smaller outright, and much smaller as a portion of float.
- Pricing is Monday. It hasn’t moved much vs JPH. It needs to move more to be attractive. And there is still a bit of overhang to come.
Soundwill Holdings (878 HK): Foo Family’s Offer at HK$8.50
- Soundwill Holdings (878 HK) announced a privatisation offer from the Foo Family, the largest shareholder, at HK$8.50 (HK$7.50 cash + HK$1.00 special dividend), a 62.8% premium to the undisturbed price.
- Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of independent shareholders (<10% of independent shareholders rejection) and a headcount test. No disinterested shareholder holds a blocking stake.
- While the offer is light compared to peer multiples, it is attractive compared to historical trading ranges. A low AGM minority participation rate facilitates the vote.
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