In today’s briefing:
- Why We’re Eyeing KRX’s Sep 29 KCMC Event for Dividend Momentum Trades
- [Quiddity Index] JPX Nikkei 400 Rebal Aug 2025 – Final Results
- Assura Takeover: Potential Auction Driving Bid Upside – KKR Vs. PHP with 50.81p Target Price
- A/H Premium Tracker (To 8 Aug 2025): Premium Hs Unwind, Again. Beautiful Skew Flavour Continues
- Bullish US LLC (BLSH): IPO Range and Size Increased, Next Digital Asset Moonshot on Deck
- The Beat Ideas: Edelweiss 2.0 – Unlocking Value Through Deleveraging and Strategic Listings
- Miami International Holdings (MIAX): Financial Marketplace Specialist Sees Revenues Spiking into IPO
- Target Healthcare REIT — Strong close to FY25
- Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
- J Trust Co Ltd (8508 JP): 1H FY12/25 flash update

Why We’re Eyeing KRX’s Sep 29 KCMC Event for Dividend Momentum Trades
- KCMC 2025 will likely reveal fresh, unpriced stimulus details, potentially sparking a price rally like last year’s 2% KOSPI 200 jump on the value-up ETF rollout.
- The key wildcard at KCMC 2025 is dividends—shifting from Yoon’s Japan-style ROE grind to a Taiwan-style push for bigger shareholder payouts.
- With Sept 29 approaching, dividend policy buzz may drive price moves—smart to prep dividend momentum trades to front-run this catalyst.
[Quiddity Index] JPX Nikkei 400 Rebal Aug 2025 – Final Results
- On Thursday 7 August, the TSE/Nikkei announced the changes for the JPX Nikkei 400 28 August rebalance. A few surprises, but given there is a nebulous qualitative overlay, that’s expected.
- 39 were added. 34 deleted. We got 63 of 73 actual changes correct, achieving hit rates of 96%, 83%, and 44% for our High/Medium/Low Conviction Leaderboard predictions, respectively.
- We see US$7.3bn of flows, two way. There should be another $3bn+ of flows on the 26th and 28th.
Assura Takeover: Potential Auction Driving Bid Upside – KKR Vs. PHP with 50.81p Target Price
- PHP’s offer has gained momentum, with 8.82% acceptances, offering a +2.13% gross spread, but at a discount to EPRA NTA. The share component introduces long-term upside potential.
- KKR’s offer remains the more attractive option for immediate liquidity, offering a +3.79% gross spread with an estimated 46.1% annualized return, but needs to secure more acceptances by August 12.
- The Takeover Panel auction remains a key driver, with higher bids likely in a competitive scenario. The probability-weighted target price (TP) for Assura is 50.81p, reflecting potential upside from an auction or bid revision.
A/H Premium Tracker (To 8 Aug 2025): Premium Hs Unwind, Again. Beautiful Skew Flavour Continues
- AH premia down, bouncing back. “Beautiful Skew” continues generally, but curve skew less pronounced. Average AH moves remain volatile – often the sign of significant distribution changes.
- The Quiddity Portfolio is now smaller, less concentrated, and the net H vs A bias is MUCH smaller. Alpha continues, predicated on beautiful skew. But pair vol is very high.
- The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers.
Bullish US LLC (BLSH): IPO Range and Size Increased, Next Digital Asset Moonshot on Deck
- The global digital asset platform that provides market infrastructure and information services increased its price range and shares being offered on Monday morning.
- Looking at the prospectus, there is a $200 million anchor order from Ark Investment and BlackRock.
- The Bullish IPO is looking to ride the tailwinds from the regulatory wins in the digital asset space as well as the success of recent IPOs.
The Beat Ideas: Edelweiss 2.0 – Unlocking Value Through Deleveraging and Strategic Listings
- Edelweiss plans a INR 1,500–2,000 crore IPO of EAAA and a 25–30% stake sale in its mutual fund arm to accelerate deleveraging.
- These transactions could meaningfully reduce corporate debt from INR 6,325 crore, strengthen the balance sheet, and unlock shareholder value.
- Successful execution improves capital efficiency, supports high-margin business growth, and enhances upside potential, reinforcing the 56% target price appreciation case.
Miami International Holdings (MIAX): Financial Marketplace Specialist Sees Revenues Spiking into IPO
- Miami International Holdings is offering 15 million shares at a $19-$21 range which equates to a valuation of $1.5b-$1.7b.
- In the first half of 2025 the adjusted revenue was $197m or 56% above the $126m in 1H 2024.
- As of August, they have built out all the technology pieces they need without adding head-count and now are in execution mode.
Target Healthcare REIT — Strong close to FY25
Target Healthcare REIT’s Q425 update shows indexed rent reviews continuing to drive increased earnings and property values, underpinning growing DPS. Q425 NAV total return was a strong 2.9%, taking the annual total to 9.0%. We will review our estimates when the FY25 results are published in detail in September, but continue to expect rental growth, a full-year contribution from development completions and asset management to drive further growth.
Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
- UST yields rose on Friday, in a continuation of Thursday’s increase following the weak 30Y notes auction.
- In addition, there were no macro catalysts, ahead of Tuesday’s CPI data release (which may alter market expectations for the rate cuts currently priced in).
- The yield on the 2Y UST rose 3 bps to 3.76%, while that on the 10Y UST was up 3 bps at 4.28%.
J Trust Co Ltd (8508 JP): 1H FY12/25 flash update
- Operating revenue declined by JPY4.6bn YoY to JPY60.7bn, with decreases in South Korea, Mongolia, and Real Estate.
- Operating profit increased by JPY2.6bn YoY to JPY4.6bn, driven by gains in Financial and Investment Businesses.
- Profit attributable to owners of parent fell to JPY1.4bn due to foreign exchange losses from yen appreciation.
