In today’s briefing:
- Global FX Outlook 2026: Bearish USD, Bullish Beta
- (Another) Industrial Metals Breakout // La Niña Weather Scenario
- Clearwater Analytics: A Tale Of Platform Expansion Through Enfusion and Beacon
- NVDA Tactical Outlook: Time to BUY?
- Emerson Electric’s Bold Power Play: Tapping Into a New Energy Supercycle!
- Brookfield Renewable: A Shift Toward a Diversified
- Active Merger Arbitrage and Privatization Opportunities: Strategic Reviews, Buyouts, and More
- Oil futures: Crude firmer after Black Sea attack, OPEC+ pause
- Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (CDNL): Infrastructure Play Sets Terms for IPO
- Black Hills Corporation Eyes a Mega 3GW Pipeline—A High-Voltage Opportunity Or Just Unnecessary Hype?

Global FX Outlook 2026: Bearish USD, Bullish Beta
- Global team focusing on what’s new for 2026 in terms of market outlook
- Bullish on Eurodollar, expecting more modest gains due to US resilience
- Dollar maintains yield supremacy, but new cyclical currencies emerging as carry efficient options for hedging volatility shocks
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(Another) Industrial Metals Breakout // La Niña Weather Scenario
- Both precious and industrial metals jumped significantly up over the past week. Gold, Silver, Platinum and also Palladium are currently basically in the same trading regime.
- Copper looks a bit different but also bullish, after breaking an H&S pattern to the upside, providing both systematic and discretionary investors with a great setup.
- Bintas built Trafigura’s copper book into the world’s largest. Now at Mercuria, he’s driving a major expansion into metals.
Clearwater Analytics: A Tale Of Platform Expansion Through Enfusion and Beacon
- Clearwater Analytics delivered robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025, marking significant progress for the company.
- The revenue for the quarter reached $205.1 million, reflecting an impressive year-over-year growth rate of 77%.
- The annualized recurring revenue (ARR) also increased by the same percentage, reaching $807.5 million.
NVDA Tactical Outlook: Time to BUY?
- NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) started correcting at the end of October 2025. At the same time, in early November, SoftBank Group announced it was unloading all its NVDA stake.
- SoftBank founder Masayoshi Son, speaking at an investment forum in Tokyo Monday, revealed he was reluctant to sell SoftBank’s Nvidia stake, but needed to raise cash for new AI investments.
- Both companies are very oversold according to our models, NVDA has reached a point where is a good BUY, we present here a new analytics tool, to support this theory.
Emerson Electric’s Bold Power Play: Tapping Into a New Energy Supercycle!
- Emerson Electric Manufacturing Company concluded its fiscal year 2025 with a mixed performance, marked by both achievements and challenges.
- Financially, Emerson reported $1.62 in adjusted earnings per share for the fourth quarter, aligning with its expectations.
- For the full year, adjusted earnings per share increased by 9% to $6, while free cash flow rose 12% year-over-year, reaching $3.24 billion.
Brookfield Renewable: A Shift Toward a Diversified
- Brookfield Renewable Partners recently reported its third-quarter 2025 performance, reflecting a complex mix of achievements and challenges.
- The company recorded an increase in funds from operations (FFO) at $302 million or $0.46 per unit, marking a 10% year-over-year growth.
- This performance was primarily driven by strong commercial and operational execution, strategic investments, and contributions from recent mergers and acquisitions across their diversified renewables portfolio.
Active Merger Arbitrage and Privatization Opportunities: Strategic Reviews, Buyouts, and More
- Priority Technology received a non-binding privatization offer from its founder at $6-$6.15/share, with a 11%-14% spread.
- Generation Bio completed restructuring, now a cash shell with net cash at $7.6/share, 50% above current price.
- Sotherly Hotels’ preferred shares trade with a 12-14% spread to offer price, common shares at 5% spread.
Oil futures: Crude firmer after Black Sea attack, OPEC+ pause
- Crude oil futures opened firmer after weekend events, including an attack on the key Black Sea port and OPEC+ maintaining its no change policy for Q1, which improved sentiment.
- Front-month Feb26 ICE Brent futures were trading at $63.23/b (2003 GMT) versus Friday’s settle of $63.40/b, while Jan26 NYMEX WTI was at $59.43/b against a previous close of $58.55/b.
- Benchmarks strengthened as CPC suspended crude loadings at Novorossiysk early Saturday after an unmanned-boat strike tore into one of its offshore moorings, the latest in a string of attacks on the Black Sea export hub.
Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (CDNL): Infrastructure Play Sets Terms for IPO
- Cardinal Infrastructure sets terms for its IPO and could raise up to $253 million if priced at the high end of the range.
- Cardinal Infrastructure offers full-service, in-house wet utility and site work solutions in fast-growing Southeastern markets, benefiting from strong demand, population growth, and reduced outsourcing needs.
- A proven acquisition-led expansion strategy, deep customer relationships, and high repeat revenue underpin robust growth, a strong backlog, and successful market penetration in new geographies.
Black Hills Corporation Eyes a Mega 3GW Pipeline—A High-Voltage Opportunity Or Just Unnecessary Hype?
- Black Hills Corporation reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results, reaffirming its earnings guidance and highlighting key operational and strategic achievements.
- The company emphasized its commitment to delivering on financial, regulatory, and growth initiatives, while also progressing with a merger with NorthWestern Energy.
- Black Hills is on track to achieve its full-year earnings guidance, driven by new base rates, rider recovery, and customer growth.
