Daily BriefsThailand

Thailand: Tisco Financial Group, Origin Property and more

In today’s briefing:

  • TISCO: Quality Growth with a High Dividend Payment
  • ORI: 1Q22 Earnings Will Drop YoY and QoQ

TISCO: Quality Growth with a High Dividend Payment

By Pi Research

  • We initiate coverage of TISCO with a BUY rating and a target price of Bt106. Our valuation is derived from a Gordon growth model (ROE 17.5%, growth 2%),implying 2.0x PBV’22E
  • Moderate net profit growth at 6% CAGR in 2022-24 on a potential reduction in credit cost and higher NIM
  • Loans will likely pick up in 2022 with a focus on high-yield loans.  Resilient asset quality and high loan loss reserves against uncertainties

ORI: 1Q22 Earnings Will Drop YoY and QoQ

By Pi Research

  • We maintain BUY with a new TP of Bt13.00 (previous at Bt13.70), based on 9.8xPE’22E, 5% discount from its 5 years trading average.We have positive view to its 2022 outlook 
  • We expect  1Q22 net profit at Bt723 m (-12%YoY,-10%QoQ), pressured by 1)  Lower revenue recognition from real estate sales to Bt 3.15 bn (-9%YoY) 2) loss contribution from equity income 
  • Strong 1Q22 presales imply strong earnings momentum. Strong backlog and new project launch will support 2022 earning

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