Daily BriefsMacro

Daily Brief Macro: Financial Stresses a Potential Drag on Asian Economic Prospects and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Financial Stresses a Potential Drag on Asian Economic Prospects
  • Navigating Turbulent Markets: The Need for Advanced Risk Management Tools in Private Asset Investing
  • Thai General Elections a Potential Turning Point?
  • MOVE Vs. VIX: Hard Data Showing that Equity Markets Are at Risk!
  • CX Daily: Chinese Auto Makers Rev Up Price War in Race for Market Dominance
  • CX Daily: Alibaba Splits Into Six Business Units in Sweeping Overhaul

Financial Stresses a Potential Drag on Asian Economic Prospects

By Manu Bhaskaran

  • As investors and businesses reposition themselves in the new asset pricing regime, there will be more episodes of market stress.  
  • Preliminary PMI figures for advanced markets show that short-term reactions in real economic activity have been muted; Business optimism is still holding up.
  • Shifts in sentiment and positions will have consequences for Asian capital spending, currencies, and trade. But we expect overall resilience to hold up. 

Navigating Turbulent Markets: The Need for Advanced Risk Management Tools in Private Asset Investing

By Albert Maass

  • Amid market volatility and economic uncertainty, advanced risk management tools are essential for investors in private asset investing to minimize potential losses and maximise returns.
  • Effective risk management for private assets requires thorough due diligence and advanced financial models, such as factor models, to manage risks across diverse assets.
  • Integrating public and private assets in risk management and portfolio optimization enables investors to better appraise risks and achieve their goals while adhering to their risk tolerance.

Thai General Elections a Potential Turning Point?

By Manu Bhaskaran

  • Elections are slated for mid-May. The once anti-establishment Pheu Thai party is leading in voter surveys. Pro-establishment parties Palang Pracharath and the Democrats are on the backfoot.
  • The most likely outcome is that Pheu Thai wins a plurality of parliamentary seats, and forms a coalition with pro-establishment parties.
  • Thailand thus has a chance to leave behind a decade of political paralysis. But even with that, daunting economic challenges await the new government.

MOVE Vs. VIX: Hard Data Showing that Equity Markets Are at Risk!

By Jeroen Blokland

  • The MOVE/VIX ratio has spiked to its highest level since 2005.
  • When high MOVE/VIX ratio levels are driven predominantly by an increase in Treasury market volatility, things look ugly for equities.
  • When the MOVE/VIX ratio tops 7.0, driven by an elevated MOVE Index, US equities have underperformed US Treasuries by almost 6% in the next three months.

CX Daily: Chinese Auto Makers Rev Up Price War in Race for Market Dominance

By Caixin Global

  • Cover Story: Chinese automakers rev up price war in race for market dominance

  • China will do more to open its markets, vice premier says

  • China invites Honduras president to visit after establishing diplomatic ties


CX Daily: Alibaba Splits Into Six Business Units in Sweeping Overhaul

By Caixin Global

  • Alibaba / Alibaba splits into six business units in sweeping overhaul

  • Corruption / Exclusive: Former Exim Bank executive pleads guilty to taking bribes

  • Crackdown / China’s cyberspace watchdog takes aim at slander against businesses


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