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Equity Bottom-Up Archives | Page 11 of 222 | Smartkarma

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Zijin Mining: Gold IPO De-Risks and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Zijin Mining: Gold IPO De-Risks, Copper Upside Remains
  • Indian IT | Urge to the Boards – Stop the Buybacks
  • UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 4Q25 Revenue Is Projected to Decline 5–10% QoQ.
  • SentinelOne Eyes Observo AI: A $1 Billion Cybersecurity Power Play In The Making?
  • Urban Company IPO: Will India’s Home Services Giant Clean Up on the Dalal Street?
  • Texas Instruments & KLA Signal Continued AI Strength, Foreshadow TSMC’s 2nm Breakout
  • China Medical System (867 HK) – From an 8 to a 16 FPE
  • Proxy for the Growth of SME Digitization
  • Dev Accelerator IPO Review: Tier 2 Focus, Backward Integrated Player
  • Long LIC Housing (LICHF IN) Vs. Short Bank of India (BOI IN): Statistical Arbitrage Pair Trade


Zijin Mining: Gold IPO De-Risks, Copper Upside Remains

By Rahul Jain

  • Dilution: The gold IPO trims attributable EBITDA by ~3% as minority interests rise.
  • Parent Impact: Zijin parent emerges leaner, with net debt falling by US$4bn and copper now ~70% of EBITDA.
  • Valuation: At ~7× EV/EBITDA, the stock offers 15–30% upside on our estimates, stretching to 25–45% at spot.

Indian IT | Urge to the Boards – Stop the Buybacks

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • Indian IT outperformed over 10 years, but recent underperformance and weak R&D spending raise questions on innovation versus high dividend and buyback payouts.
  • AI disruption threatens coding demand and outsourcing models, risking productivity shocks, workforce layoffs, and urban consumption downturns if companies don’t adapt with innovation.
  • Boards must prioritize bold investments and acquisitions over capital returns, positioning Indian IT as innovation leaders rather than risk-averse cash generators.

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 4Q25 Revenue Is Projected to Decline 5–10% QoQ.

By Patrick Liao


SentinelOne Eyes Observo AI: A $1 Billion Cybersecurity Power Play In The Making?

By Baptista Research

  • SentinelOne’s recent earnings call made headlines with a major milestone: the company’s Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) surpassed $1 billion, growing 24% year-over-year, while its net new ARR hit record levels.
  • This momentum is underpinned by strong customer traction across emerging solutions like Purple AI, Singularity Data, and its cloud-native security stack.
  • Riding this wave of innovation and expansion, SentinelOne is now reportedly eyeing Observo AI as a potential acquisition target.

Urban Company IPO: Will India’s Home Services Giant Clean Up on the Dalal Street?

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • India’s home services market, valued at INR 5,210 billion, is projected to reach INR 8,580 billion by FY2030 at a CAGR of 10–11% .
  • Urban Company’s core Indian business has turned profitable, with its EBITDA for this segment improving from a 9.72% loss in FY23 to a 3.30% profit in FY25.
  • The company’s annual consumers grew from 4.76 million in FY2023 to 6.5 million in FY2025, while average spend rose from INR 3,786 to INR 4,079 during the same period.

Texas Instruments & KLA Signal Continued AI Strength, Foreshadow TSMC’s 2nm Breakout

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TI is experiencing 50%+ YoY growth in data center, showing no signs of AI server demand slowdown.
  • KLA calls 2nm a “compelling” node, projecting it could be the industry’s largest over first three years.
  • Taiwan Tech positioned to benefit via TSMC N2 ramp, CoWoS packaging, and ABF substrate expansion.

China Medical System (867 HK) – From an 8 to a 16 FPE

By Avien Pillay

  • Since our initiation on 5 June 2024, China Medical Sytem’s share price is up 113% and the FPE has moved from less than 8 to close to 16 times.
  • The gap valuation between US drug companies and CMS has largely closed with CMS trading at a premium to a number of US counterparts.
  • The earnings outlook is largely flat since the initiation, implying the share price appreciation has been driven by a re-rating.

Proxy for the Growth of SME Digitization

By GEMS Research – Aletheia Capital

  • We initiated on ITSL SP on Friday. The stock is up 2%.
  • The initial feedback from clients was one of cautious optimism. There were concerns raised about concentration risk, competition and cybersecurity issues.
  • We identified the mitigants and reiterate BUY.

Dev Accelerator IPO Review: Tier 2 Focus, Backward Integrated Player

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Dev X planning to double the operational capacity in next two years.
  • Company is also planning to repay certain debt, while its tier-2 focus and backward integration provides them edge over its peers
  • Operationally, they are better than peers, evident from longer period lease and high occupancy rates

Long LIC Housing (LICHF IN) Vs. Short Bank of India (BOI IN): Statistical Arbitrage Pair Trade

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: The LIC Housing Finance (LICHF IN) vs. Bank Of India (BOI IN) price-ratio deviates more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.
  • Highlights: Going long LIC Housing Finance (LICHF IN) and short Bank Of India (BOI IN) targets a 7% return.
  • Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Metaplanet (3350) – 50% Dilution or 50% Accretion? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Metaplanet (3350) – 50% Dilution or 50% Accretion?
  • BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Market Update (September 10)
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: SEMICON Taiwan Just Started; TSMC August Sales Soar; 2026 to Be Year of Edge AI?
  • Automatic Data Processing (ADP): Healthy Pipeline & Booking Opportunities Are A Pivotal Growth Lever!
  • Mattel Expands Into New Categories—Could Brick Shop Be the Next Big Hit?
  • Trial: Bringing Competition to Convenience Stores?
  • OpenAI’s Path to Profitability Is Blocked by a $115B Compute Burden
  • Sibanye-Stillwater Limited (SBSW) – Wednesday, Jun 11, 2025
  • Anglo–Teck: Building a Copper Champion with Coal Cash Flow
  • Infratil’s Growing (Undervalued) Digital Exposure


Metaplanet (3350) – 50% Dilution or 50% Accretion?

By Mark Chadwick

  • Metaplanet raises JPY 205bn via discounted share issue, doubling Bitcoin holdings to ~32,000 BTC and reframing investor focus toward Bitcoin-per-share growth.
  • Despite 50% dilution, BTC yield per share rises ~50% in Q3, positioning Metaplanet as a structural proxy for digital monetary assets.
  • Enhanced balance sheet flexibility should enable a further JPY 125bn raise in Q4, reinforcing the company’s long-term accumulation strategy and premium valuation.

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Market Update (September 10)

By David Mudd

  • Hong Kong’s Secular Bull Market continues with the index breaking  above its long term resistance levels.  Market breadth is expanding with 87% of stocks trading above their 200  (DMA).
  • Hong Kong market valuations are well below all other Asian markets.  This year, the materials and healthcare sectors have been the best performers.
  • Robosense Technology (2498 HK)  reported solid earnings in its LIDAR business with robotics posting surprising growth.  Deutsche Bank and China Renaissance both rate the company a BUY and raise targets.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: SEMICON Taiwan Just Started; TSMC August Sales Soar; 2026 to Be Year of Edge AI?

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC August Revenue +34% YoY: AI Demand Remains the Key Driver
  • ARM Pushes Edge AI Forward with New “Lumex” Chip Designs — 2026 Could Be a Major Growth Year for Edge AI
  • From AI Packaging to AI Edge: Listed Names to Watch at SEMICON Taiwan 2025 Starting Today

Automatic Data Processing (ADP): Healthy Pipeline & Booking Opportunities Are A Pivotal Growth Lever!

By Baptista Research

  • Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, characterized by a solid revenue increase and expansions in both margin and earnings per share (EPS).
  • Revenue growth for the fourth quarter was reported at 8%, with an adjusted EBIT margin expansion of 40 basis points, while adjusted EPS increased by 8%.
  • For the entire fiscal year, the company achieved 7% revenue growth, a 50 basis point rise in EBIT margin, and a 9% increase in adjusted EPS.

Mattel Expands Into New Categories—Could Brick Shop Be the Next Big Hit?

By Baptista Research

  • Mattel, Inc. reported its second quarter 2025 financial results, showcasing a mixed performance characterized by specific strengths and challenges.
  • Overall, net sales decreased by 6% as compared to the previous year, both in reported terms and constant currency.
  • However, the company demonstrated operational efficiency by expanding its adjusted gross margin by 200 basis points to 51.2% and maintaining its adjusted earnings per share at $0.19, consistent with the last year.

Trial: Bringing Competition to Convenience Stores?

By Michael Causton

  • Trial HD’s acquisition of Seiyu massively expands its interests in and around Tokyo and the discounter has wasted no time rolling out its Trial GO stores in the capital. 
  • These stores offer fresh food at about half the price of typical convenience stores, thanks to low costs and smart tech, and will rapidly intensify competition.
  • If the format is successful, it would disrupt both the city centre supermarket and convenience store chains.

OpenAI’s Path to Profitability Is Blocked by a $115B Compute Burden

By Raghav Vashisht

  • Token costs no longer drop meaningfully with scale, and inference remains a fixed, expensive burden.
  • Rather than delivering major performance gains, GPT-5 appears to be a cost-routing shell, underperforming in several benchmarks.
  • With $115B in projected losses and hardly any visible scale-based leverage, OpenAI’s only path forward is monetisation.

Sibanye-Stillwater Limited (SBSW) – Wednesday, Jun 11, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • The analysis focuses on Sibanye-Stillwater (SBSW) and its potential in the platinum group metals (PGMs) market, while also considering competitors like Northam Platinum and Impala Platinum.
  • The thesis suggests that decreasing production costs can lead to increased profits and stock prices as commodity prices rise.
  • Sibanye-Stillwater operates in South Africa and the United States but faces geopolitical risks associated with its South African operations, a common challenge for PGM miners in the region.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Anglo–Teck: Building a Copper Champion with Coal Cash Flow

By Rahul Jain

  • Anglo and Teck have decided to merge, creating a ~$53bn copper-focused mining major that ranks #4 globally with ~1.2 Mt of output in 2024.
  • The deal targets ~$800m in annual savings by year four, though history suggests full delivery is unlikely.
  • The combined group offers strong leverage to copper’s structural growth and top-3 scale in seaborne met coal as a cash engine.

Infratil’s Growing (Undervalued) Digital Exposure

By FNArena

  • Exciting growth opportunities abound for New-Zealand based infrastructure play Infratil.
  • Management has consistently generated value for shareholders over time.
  • -Infratil’s FY25 earnings beat management’s guidance -Exposure to high-growth digital infrastructure -CDC Data Centres appears undervalued -Renewables exposure weighted heavily to solar and battery projects

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Zijin Gold International – Creating a Global Pure-Play Gold Champion and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Zijin Gold International – Creating a Global Pure-Play Gold Champion
  • Stat-Arb Pair Trade: Long Central Bank Of India (CBOI IN) Vs. Short Indian Overseas Bank (IOB IN)
  • Tokyo Electron — Navigating the Cycle, Leveraged to AI/HBM Growth
  • Long Isuzu (7202 JP) Vs. Short Suzuki (7269 JP): Statistical Arbitrage in Japanese Autos Targets 10%
  • How to Play the Chinese Domestic Economic Drivers
  • US Tariffs on Imports from Japan Lowered to 15% but Imports from Korea Are Unchanged at 25% – Why?
  • Premier Inc. Could Be The Next Big Buyout—Here’s Why Patient Square Capital Is Eyeing It!
  • United Airlines Premium Push: Will Extra Luxury Seats Provide A Much Needed Margin Boost?
  • Daifuku (6383 JP): Global Automation Leader with Structural AI Tailwinds
  • 2330 TT – TSMC Advanced Node Secrets: Will N2 Become the Profit Engine of the Future?


Zijin Gold International – Creating a Global Pure-Play Gold Champion

By Rahul Jain

  • Zijin Mining is spinning off its seven overseas gold mines into Zijin Gold International, creating a dedicated, pure-play gold producer and positioning it for a Hong Kong IPO.
  • The IPO proceeds will primarily fund mine upgrades and overseas M&A, with a portion earmarked to reinforce the balance sheet and corporate flexibility.
  • With media reports suggesting a $3B+ IPO size and potential launch in September, coupled with gold rallying above $3,600/oz, investor appetite around the listing is notably heightened.

Stat-Arb Pair Trade: Long Central Bank Of India (CBOI IN) Vs. Short Indian Overseas Bank (IOB IN)

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: The Central Bank Of India (CBOI IN) vs. Indian Overseas Bank (IOB IN) price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.
  • Highlights: Going long Central Bank Of India (CBOI IN) vs. short Indian Overseas Bank (IOB IN) targets a 5% return to the statistical mean reversion level.
  • Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.

Tokyo Electron — Navigating the Cycle, Leveraged to AI/HBM Growth

By Rahul Jain

  • Steady past performance, soft Q1: TEL doubled revenues and EPS since FY2021 with margins near 30%, but Q1 FY2026 showed a YoY dip as NAND/DRAM digestion hit.
  • Expansion plans: ¥700 bn capex and ¥1.5 tn R&D by FY2029 will lift capacity ~+80%, aligned with AI logic and HBM-driven WFE growth.
  • Valuation & growth: At ~18× forward P/E, TEL trades fair vs Lam/Applied but at a steep discount to ASML/KLA, offering upside if recovery unfolds.

Long Isuzu (7202 JP) Vs. Short Suzuki (7269 JP): Statistical Arbitrage in Japanese Autos Targets 10%

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: The Isuzu (7202 JP) vs. Suzuki (7269 JP) price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.
  • Highlights: Going long Isuzu (7202 JP) and short Suzuki (7269 JP) targets a 10% return.
  • Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.

How to Play the Chinese Domestic Economic Drivers

By Manishi Raychaudhuri

  • China’s service sector is growing faster than manufacturing and construction, especially the business-to-business services, like IT Services, cloud services leasing and other business services.
  • Among merchandize retail sectors, household and communication appliances, sports and recreational goods and gold and silver jewelry are growing the fastest. Some segments of food are enjoying healthy growth too.
  • From a universe of 35 stocks in these sectors, we screen our favored 10, based on valuations more than justified by forecast earnings growth, high ROE and consensus Buy rating. 

US Tariffs on Imports from Japan Lowered to 15% but Imports from Korea Are Unchanged at 25% – Why?

By Douglas Kim

  • One of the biggest events in Korea in the past week has been the uncertainty regarding the US tariffs on South Korea which remains unchanged at 25%.
  • On top of this, it was reported on 9 September that the US tariffs on Japanese goods including cars and auto parts will be lowered to 15% by 16 September.
  • If Lee’s approval rating falls to about 45% to 50% range, then there could be a greater urgency by the Korean government to finalize a trade deal with the US. 

Premier Inc. Could Be The Next Big Buyout—Here’s Why Patient Square Capital Is Eyeing It!

By Baptista Research

  • Premier Inc, a healthcare group purchasing and technology company, has recently become the subject of acquisition interest from private equity firm Patient Square Capital.
  • Founded by former KKR executive Jim Momtazee, Patient Square is exploring a potential deal to take Premier private, according to reports.
  • Discussions are still at an early stage with no certainty that a transaction will occur, but financing efforts are underway.

United Airlines Premium Push: Will Extra Luxury Seats Provide A Much Needed Margin Boost?

By Baptista Research

  • United Airlines Holdings’ second-quarter 2025 earnings showcased a mix of operational triumphs and challenges.
  • The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $3.87, aligning with guidance while slightly ahead of market expectations, despite operational disruptions at Newark Airport and a challenging macroeconomic environment.
  • Positive developments included the successful management of operational issues at Newark, which had suffered from cancellations and delays due to FAA technology outages and staffing shortages.

Daifuku (6383 JP): Global Automation Leader with Structural AI Tailwinds

By Rahul Jain

  • Business: Designs and integrates intralogistics, cleanroom, airport, and automotive automation systems.
  • Expanding AI-driven logistics and semiconductor cleanroom solutions, with recurring service growth.
  • Earnings projected to grow mid-teens CAGR to FY27E, with multiples compressing from ~25× P/E / 15× EV/EBITDA to ~20× / 12×, justifying a structural premium.

2330 TT – TSMC Advanced Node Secrets: Will N2 Become the Profit Engine of the Future?

By Baptista Research

  • The Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, commonly referred to as TSMC, provided an earnings overview for the second quarter of 2025, demonstrating significant financial and operational insights.
  • The revenue for the quarter showcased an 11.3% sequential increase in New Taiwan dollars, driven by strong demand for TSMC’s advanced 3-nanometer and 5-nanometer technologies.
  • However, the positive revenue growth was somewhat countered by unfavorable exchange rate impacts.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Pop Mart International – Valuation Using Peter Lynch’s PEGY Ratio and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Pop Mart International – Valuation Using Peter Lynch’s PEGY Ratio
  • China TCM (570.HK) – Performance Is Expected to Rebound
  • Kioxia (285A JP): Undervalued NAND Pure-Play Levered to AI-Driven Enterprise SSD Growth
  • Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN) | Pricey Patriotism or Desperation?
  • JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) – Smelting Cuts Reinforce Materials Pivot
  • Laopu Gold (6181 HK): Technical Overhang Masks Strong Fundamentals – Gold Bulls Stay Put
  • ASICS (7936) | Growth Trajectory Intact, Optionality Expanding
  • Mercado Libre: E-commerce Empire – [Business Breakdowns, EP.227]
  • Amber Enterprises: Implication of Rs 1,200 Crore Infusion in Iljin Electronics from PE
  • Urban Company IPO – Beauty-Led Platform With Structural Growth Tailwinds


Pop Mart International – Valuation Using Peter Lynch’s PEGY Ratio

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we discuss Pop Mart (9992 HK)’s valuation using Peter Lynch’s PEGY ratio.
  • If Pop Mart misses current consensus estimates in 2026 and 2027 by 5%, this would result in PEGY ratio of 1.4x in 2026 which would make current valuations unattractive.
  • WE EXPECT A HIGHER PROBABILITY OF POP MART’S VALUATION DECLINING BY 50% TO ABOUT US$25 BILLION, RATHER THAN INCREASING BY $75 BILLION FROM CURRENT LEVELS OVER THE NEXT 1-2 YEARS.

China TCM (570.HK) – Performance Is Expected to Rebound

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • China TCM is still in the adjustment period due to CTCMG VBP and goodwill impairment loss. However, the new management is pushing for internal reforms, which is a good phenomenon.
  • Rebound will come after China TCM fully digest the impact of VBP. Looking forward, annual profit of RMB1bn is still expected. Reasonable valuation is RMB10-15bn, which is just conservative estimate.
  • As CNPGC still commits to resolving the horizontal competition issue, investors have reignited interest in betting on privatization of China TCM and potential merger with Taiji, which is a catalyst.

Kioxia (285A JP): Undervalued NAND Pure-Play Levered to AI-Driven Enterprise SSD Growth

By Rahul Jain

  • Q1 FY25 revenue fell 20% YoY, but enterprise SSD strength kept EBITDA positive and margins above trough levels.
  • Management guides for a strong sequential rebound in Q2–Q3 on AI-driven enterprise demand and normalized PC/smartphone inventories.
  • Kioxia trades at ~3–4× EV/EBITDA vs peers on 9–12×, despite higher NAND margins, with the gap driven by cyclicality, tech lag, and shareholder overhang.

Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN) | Pricey Patriotism or Desperation?

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN) pre-announces GST benefits, signaling consumer-first patriotism but raising questions on intent.
  • Dealer checks reveal heavy discounting despite festive demand hopes coupled with weak dispatches.
  • Possible margin risks emerge as MM tries to flush out inventory ahead of GST 2.0 and festive season.

JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) – Smelting Cuts Reinforce Materials Pivot

By Rahul Jain

  • Copper Output Cuts: JX Advanced Metals will reduce electrolytic copper production by ~30kt (~5–8% of capacity) in FY25, with further smelting downscaling by March 2026.
  • Margins have collapsed as TC/RCs plunged into negative territory (~–$45/t vs $80/t in 2023), amid concentrate shortages and Chinese overcapacity.
  • Smelting will be retained mainly for rare-metal recovery (tantalum, indium, rhenium), while JX doubles down on semiconductor materials and upstream mineral projects.

Laopu Gold (6181 HK): Technical Overhang Masks Strong Fundamentals – Gold Bulls Stay Put

By Devi Subhakesan

  • Laopu Gold (6181 HK)  is down nearly 20% since June’s lock-up expiry, despite strong 1H2025 results and subsequent analyst earnings upgrades.
  • The stock trades at 22x FY26E, the low end of its YTD P/E range, with a PEG below 0.8x.
  • China’s retail gold demand in 2Q2025 has shifted toward investment products – a trend that could support Laopu’s mostly investment-driven sales.

ASICS (7936) | Growth Trajectory Intact, Optionality Expanding

By Mark Chadwick

  • Performance Running momentum intact: ~10% global market share, outgrowing Nike, with scope for further share gains.
  • Adjacent categories underpenetrated globally; restructuring complete, positioning for accelerated US/Asia expansion.
  • Lifestyle brands (SportStyle, Onitsuka Tiger) compounding fast (+40%+ YoY), higher margins, could be the real long-term profit driver.

Mercado Libre: E-commerce Empire – [Business Breakdowns, EP.227]

By Business Breakdowns

  • Daniel Wu of BristolMoon Capital discusses Mercado Libre, a company that has evolved from being the “eBay of Latam” to a major e-commerce and fintech player in Latin America.
  • Mercado Libre is described as an amalgamation of Amazon Retail and Alipay, with a dominant market share in e-commerce in countries like Brazil, Mexico, and Argentina.
  • Founded in 1999 in Buenos Aires by Marcos Galperin and co-founders, Mercado Libre differentiated itself by focusing on sustainable growth strategies instead of chasing rapid user acquisition, allowing it to thrive through economic downturns and emerge as a major player in the region.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Amber Enterprises: Implication of Rs 1,200 Crore Infusion in Iljin Electronics from PE

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Amber Group’s electronics arm, ILJIN Electronics, has raised Rs 1,200 crore in its first-ever institutional fundraise, led by private equity firm ChrysCapital and supported by InCred Growth Partners.
  • This capital infusion accelerates ILJIN’s organic expansion & supports its strategic inorganic growth ambitions, positioning the company as key beneficiary of India’s push for self-reliance under PLI and ECMS schemes.
  • The fundraise is a powerful validation of Amber’s strategic pivot towards high-growth EMS sector, paving the way for sustained, multi-year growth and a potential re-rating of the consolidated entity.

Urban Company IPO – Beauty-Led Platform With Structural Growth Tailwinds

By Rahul Jain

  • Urban Company is India’s largest organized online home-services platform, with ~60% of revenues from Beauty & Wellness and dominant market share across categories.
  • IPO proceeds (~₹4,720 mn fresh issue) will be used to strengthen technology, expand professional training, enhance branding, and fund working capital.
  • The platform connects customers with vetted professionals for beauty, cleaning, repairs, and home improvement, differentiated by its supply-controlled model (training, kits, quality standards).

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (8 Sep)
  • Marubeni Corporation (TSE: 8002) – Copper Torque, Platform Pivot, and Cash Returns
  • Figma (FIG.US): 2Q’FY25 Earnings Review. Strong Quarter, But Margins Will Contract In the Near Term
  • Bank of Queensland (BOQ AU) Vs. CBA (CBA AU): Quant-Driven Pair Trade Following Potential Overshoot
  • Blue Jet Healthcare: Pureplay Intermediates CDMO. Recent Correction Overdone, Good for Fresh Bet
  • Shortlist of High Conviction Philippines Equity Ideas – September 2025
  • TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): TSMC Has Raised Wafer Prices; Rapidus Provides 2nm Milestone.
  • Pop Mart (9992 HK) – 2025 High Growth Is a Done Deal, but How About 2026?
  • MicroPort MedBot (2252 HK): Overseas Markets Shine; Tuomai Drives Growth; Losses Narrow in 1H25


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (8 Sep)

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.
  • Highlights: Currently six pair trade opportunities across three markets and four sectors persist.
  • Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.

Marubeni Corporation (TSE: 8002) – Copper Torque, Platform Pivot, and Cash Returns

By Rahul Jain

  • Marubeni is a top-five Japanese trading house, diversified across resources, food, leasing, power, and chemicals.
  • Management is deploying ~¥1.2tn capex through FY30, tilted toward copper expansion in Chile and renewables growth.
  • Shares trade at ~11x P/E and 7–8% FCF yield with ~5% cash return yield, offering value on dips below ¥3,000.

Figma (FIG.US): 2Q’FY25 Earnings Review. Strong Quarter, But Margins Will Contract In the Near Term

By Andrei Zakharov

  • California based Figma Inc. reported another strong quarter, but shares sold off over 20% given an early lockup release of some ~11.4M Class A shares.
  • I estimate ~$630M worth of Figma shares became eligible for sale on the second trading day immediately following public release of earnings for the 2Q’FY25.
  • I think selling pressure in Figma stock is expected to ease as valuation improved and VC shareholders agreed to extend their lockup with respect to ~54% of Class A shares.

Bank of Queensland (BOQ AU) Vs. CBA (CBA AU): Quant-Driven Pair Trade Following Potential Overshoot

By Gaudenz Schneider


Blue Jet Healthcare: Pureplay Intermediates CDMO. Recent Correction Overdone, Good for Fresh Bet

By Himanshu Dugar

  • BLUEJET is a pure-play API/CDMO with strong positioning in contrast media intermediates. Further, it has demonstrated R&D and execution capabilities by commercialising 15+ molecules (oncology, CVS, CNS) under CDMO model.
  • Its share price has corrected by ~35% since July end, after below expectation June quarter results exacerbated by weak export data amid tariff concerns. However, August numbers alleviated some concerns.
  • Shares now trade at 30x FY26 PE, the lower end of 30-60x range where peers currently trade at. Company has high visibility for 20+% earnings growth for the medium term.

Shortlist of High Conviction Philippines Equity Ideas – September 2025

By Sameer Taneja


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): TSMC Has Raised Wafer Prices; Rapidus Provides 2nm Milestone.

By Patrick Liao


Pop Mart (9992 HK) – 2025 High Growth Is a Done Deal, but How About 2026?

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The certainty of 2025 performance is actually high. 25H2 performance is expected to be better than that in 25H1. Our forecast is net profit to reach RMB10 billion in 2025. 
  • The concern is Pop Mart may face the sustainability problem of performance under the high base of 2025 starting from 2026. If consumers develop aesthetic fatigue towards LABUBU,  performance would decline.
  • In a neutral situation, 30-35x P/E is a comfortable range.Valuation upside depends more on the sustainability of THE MONSTERS popularity and whether the popularity of other IPs can exceed expectations.

MicroPort MedBot (2252 HK): Overseas Markets Shine; Tuomai Drives Growth; Losses Narrow in 1H25

By Tina Banerjee

  • Shanghai MicroPort MedBot Group (2252 HK) recorded 1H25 revenue of RMB 176M, up 77% YoY driven by rapid expansion of commercialization of multiple products. Overseas market sales grew 189% YoY.
  • Toumai Laparoscopic Surgical Robot continued to be the main growth driver securing new orders of 30+ units and achieving commercial installation of 22 units.
  • MedBot’s recent approvals of Toumai variants, technology advantages, diversified portfolio and commercialization strength place it at an inflection point, expected to be back in the black soon.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Nidec (6594 JP): Wait for Hard Numbers and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Nidec (6594 JP): Wait for Hard Numbers
  • DISCO Corporation (TSE: 6146) – From Abrasive Wheels to AI Packaging Champion
  • Intel (INTC.US): Qualcomm CEO Has Publicly Stated that Intel’s Technology Is Still Not Competitive.
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at Historically Extreme Level; ASE Bounces Off Parity
  • Asian Dividend Gems: Mars Group Holdings
  • Chinese Express Firms All Saw H1 OPM% Fall — Except SF Hldg | Pair Trade: LONG SF Vs SHORT ZTO, J&T
  • Newgen Software Technologies- Forensic Update
  • Long Kotak Mahindra (KMB IN) Vs. Short Bajaj Finance (BAF IN): Statistical Arbitrage in Indian Banks
  • Bath & Body Works in College Bookstores: Can This Bold Move Capture Gen Z?
  • GMS: Strategic Expansion in Complementary Product Offerings to Drive Incremental Revenue Growth Over The Coming Years!


Nidec (6594 JP): Wait for Hard Numbers

By Scott Foster

  • Nidec dropped 22% on Thursday following management’s decision to establish an independent committee to investigate accounting irregularities. It bounced back nearly 5% on Friday, but finished the week down 20%.
  • In June, the Company received approval to postpone submitting its FY Mar-25 securities report until September 26. In July, it released incomplete 1Q results while postponing full disclosure.
  • Without correct numbers, we can only guess at the full impact of the accounting irregularities and their effect on management. 

DISCO Corporation (TSE: 6146) – From Abrasive Wheels to AI Packaging Champion

By Rahul Jain

  • DISCO is the global leader in wafer dicing and grinding, holding ~70–80% market share in critical back-end semiconductor tools.
  • Anagement is expanding capacity via the Gohara Plant (FY2028) and upgrading innovation at the Haneda R&D Center (FY2025–27) to secure its edge in hybrid bonding, PLP, and stealth dicing.
  • Revenues are projected to grow ~11% CAGR to FY2028, with EPS potentially reaching ¥1,500, but the stock trades at a premium ~33x FY26E P/E.

Intel (INTC.US): Qualcomm CEO Has Publicly Stated that Intel’s Technology Is Still Not Competitive.

By Patrick Liao

  • Intel Corp (INTC US) has not given up on Intel Foundry Service (IFS), even though it currently lacks any sizable clients.
  • We are puzzled as to why Intel former CEO Pat Gelsinger insisted on entering the foundry market, which has so far weakened Intel’s financials without generating meaningful returns.
  • Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US) CEO has publicly stated that Intel’s manufacturing technology is still not competitive.

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at Historically Extreme Level; ASE Bounces Off Parity

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: 26.2% Premium; Historically Extreme Level to Open Fresh Short of the Spread
  • UMC: +1.0% Premium: Wait for More Extreme Level Before Going Long or Short
  • ASE: +2.7% Premium; Open Fresh Longs of ADR Spread Closer to Parity

Asian Dividend Gems: Mars Group Holdings

By Douglas Kim

  • Mars Group Holdings has three main business units including Amusement related (including pachinko/pachislot peripherals), Smart Solutions, and Hotels/restaurants related. 
  • It trades at P/E of 8.5x, P/B of 0.8x, and EV/EBITDA of 2.3x. Net cash is 48% of its market cap.
  • Its sales, gross profit, and operating profit increased by 180%, 146%, and 680%, respectively from FY22 to FY25. However, it had a disappointing results in FY1Q26.

Chinese Express Firms All Saw H1 OPM% Fall — Except SF Hldg | Pair Trade: LONG SF Vs SHORT ZTO, J&T

By Daniel Hellberg

  • With the exception of SF Holding, all listed express firms reported lower H1 OP%
  • SF’s independence and unique product mix protected profits as volume surged
  • We suggest going Long SF Hldg against Short positions in ZTO & J&T

Newgen Software Technologies- Forensic Update

By Nitin Mangal

  • Newgen Software Technologies (NEWGEN IN) is the leading provider of a unified digital transformation platform with native process automation, content services, and communication management capabilities.
  • The company continues to exhibit aggressive accounting practice in FY25, where growth driven by overseas subsidiaries was majorly tied up in credit period. Higher provision on debtors is further concerning. 
  • High remuneration to promoters and independent directors, insider trading complaints, are few governance concerns

Long Kotak Mahindra (KMB IN) Vs. Short Bajaj Finance (BAF IN): Statistical Arbitrage in Indian Banks

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: The Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN) vs. Bajaj Finance (BAF IN) price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.
  • Highlights: Going long Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN) and short Bajaj Finance (BAF IN) targets a 9% return, with the long position supported by cheaper valuations.
  • Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.

Bath & Body Works in College Bookstores: Can This Bold Move Capture Gen Z?

By Baptista Research

  • Bath & Body Works presented its financial performance for the second quarter of 2025, reflecting a strategic focus on customer-centric growth initiatives.
  • The company reported net sales of $1.5 billion, up 1.5% compared to the previous year, alongside adjusted earnings per diluted share of $0.37.
  • The sales growth was led by robust store traffic and successful promotional activity during their semiannual sale, which was strategically shifted to align with market dynamics and consumer behavior.

GMS: Strategic Expansion in Complementary Product Offerings to Drive Incremental Revenue Growth Over The Coming Years!

By Baptista Research

  • GMS Inc.’s latest earnings for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025 reflects a mixed performance amidst a challenging macroeconomic environment.
  • On the positive side, the company reported net sales of $1.3 billion for the quarter, which aligns with the high end of their expectations provided earlier in the year.
  • The sales were bolstered by recent acquisitions, including Kamco, Yvon Building Supply, R.S. Elliott, and Howard & Sons Building Materials, which contributed positively to their revenue.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Dialogue. Axon & Coupang Update and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Dialogue. Axon & Coupang Update, Outperforming Expectations, Drones, New Markets, Taiwan & Cloud
  • Autodesk Is Looking To Reinvent Online Sales—Can Direct Channels Unlock New Avenues For Growth?
  • DICK’S Sporting Goods: The 6 Key Drivers Shaping Its Performance in 2025 & Beyond!
  • Alibaba’s AI Chip Leap: A Threat To Nvidia’s China Dominance?
  • [Xiaomi Inc. (1810 HK, BUY, TP HK$61) TP Change]: C2Q25 Review: Getting into the Brand Expansion Era
  • Affirm Holdings: Strategic PSP
  • Aon Just Offloaded $2.7 Billion In Assets—Is A Buyout Next?
  • Transforming SME Digitization
  • [Alibaba (BABA US, BUY, TP US$181) Target Price Change]: C2Q25 Review: Who Will Rescue Meituan?
  • Donki’s PPI Aims for Market Leadership with 550 More Stores


Dialogue. Axon & Coupang Update, Outperforming Expectations, Drones, New Markets, Taiwan & Cloud

By The Synopsis

  • Axon reported strong Q2 earnings with 30% year-over-year growth and strong performance in both connected devices and software segments
  • The company has been exceeding growth expectations, with 14 consecutive quarters of over 25% growth and 6 consecutive quarters of over 30% growth
  • Axon has been focusing on leveraging AI technology to improve efficiency for police officers and drive growth in their software and services segment

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Autodesk Is Looking To Reinvent Online Sales—Can Direct Channels Unlock New Avenues For Growth?

By Baptista Research

  • Autodesk, a prominent player in the design and make software space, has demonstrated robust second-quarter performance for fiscal year 2026.
  • The company exceeded expectations across several key financial metrics, including revenue, non-GAAP earnings per share, billings, non-GAAP operating margin, and free cash flow.
  • Consequently, Autodesk has raised its guidance for the entire fiscal year, highlighting its optimistic outlook despite an uncertain geopolitical, macroeconomic, and policy environment.

DICK’S Sporting Goods: The 6 Key Drivers Shaping Its Performance in 2025 & Beyond!

By Baptista Research

  • DICK’S Sporting Goods recently reported a strong performance in its second quarter of 2025, showcasing a 5% increase in comparable store sales, supported by growth in average ticket size and transactions.
  • This builds upon the company’s past success, including a 4.5% comp increase in the previous year and a 2% increase in 2023.
  • One of the notable highlights was the expansion of gross margins by over 30 basis points, underscoring effective inventory and pricing strategies.

Alibaba’s AI Chip Leap: A Threat To Nvidia’s China Dominance?

By Baptista Research

  • As geopolitical pressures and regulatory hurdles continue to stifle Nvidia’s ability to deliver its most powerful AI processors to Chinese buyers, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. is rapidly stepping in to fill the void.
  • The Chinese tech conglomerate has developed a new AI chip that is both more versatile and domestically manufactured—breaking its prior dependency on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing.
  • This new chip, tailored for a broad range of AI inference tasks, is currently in testing and could offer Chinese enterprises a viable alternative to Nvidia’s downgraded H20 processor, which was specifically built for the Chinese market under export restrictions.

[Xiaomi Inc. (1810 HK, BUY, TP HK$61) TP Change]: C2Q25 Review: Getting into the Brand Expansion Era

By Eric Wen

  • Xiaomi reported C2Q25 top line, non-IFRS operating profit and IFRS net income (2.3%), (0.5%) and 41% vs. our estimates, and in-line, (14%) and 31% vs. consensus. 
  • Xiaomi’s growth strategy is to replicate its brand success from smartphones to appliances and EV’s and from China to the rest of the world. 
  • We raise TP from HK$56 to 61 and place Xiaomi into TOP BUY list.

Affirm Holdings: Strategic PSP

By Baptista Research

  • Affirm Holdings, Inc. delivered a robust performance in its fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, marking significant progress in several key areas.
  • The company reported a record in key metrics, despite it not being the traditional peak quarter, indicating strong business momentum.
  • Affirm’s growth is attributed to its continued focus on underwriting precision and consumer engagement, alongside significant contributions from its 0% APR products that are effectively attracting new customers and encouraging repeat usage.

Aon Just Offloaded $2.7 Billion In Assets—Is A Buyout Next?

By Baptista Research

  • Aon plc, a global leader in insurance brokerage and consulting services, is undergoing strategic realignment that has reignited acquisition speculation.
  • On September 3, 2025, the company confirmed it would divest the majority of its NFP wealth businesses—namely Wealthspire Advisors, Fiducient Advisors, and Newport Private Wealth—to private equity firm Madison Dearborn Partners for approximately $2.7 billion.
  • The transaction, expected to close in late Q4, will yield around $2.2 billion in after-tax proceeds and remove $127 million in trailing twelve-month EBITDA from Aon’s books.

Transforming SME Digitization

By GEMS Research – Aletheia Capital

  • We initiate coverage on Info Tech Systems (Info Tech) with a Buy recommendation and a DCF-based target price of SGD 1.17 (33% potential upside).
  • Info Tech should generate revenue CAGR of 6.2% in FY25-28 and is likely to generate SGD 18 mn in EBITDA in FY25.
  • Info Tech runs a Singapore-based SaaS business targeted at SMEs.

[Alibaba (BABA US, BUY, TP US$181) Target Price Change]: C2Q25 Review: Who Will Rescue Meituan?

By Eric Wen

  • Alibaba (BABA) reported C2Q25 top line, non-GAAP op. profit and GAAP net income (4.3%), (10%) and 7.7% vs. our est. and (2.2%), 20% and 9.5% vs. cons.. 
  • As stated in our previous reports, we believe O2O e-commerce will constitute ~20% of China’s e-commerce and BABA will capture ~50%. 
  • We maintain BABA’s TOP BUY classification and raise TP to US$181

Donki’s PPI Aims for Market Leadership with 550 More Stores

By Michael Causton

  • Having lost out to Trial in acquiring Seiyu, PPI’s new president last month announced an aggressive new strategy. 
  • PPI will hugely expand through a roll out of a completely new chain of up to 300 supermarkets and the addition of 250 more Don Quijote stores.
  • Don Quijote continues to outperform thanks to strong support from both locals looking for cheaper essentials and inbound tourists, as well as improving performance abroad.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Who Owns Nidec (6594 JP) And How Much Could Be For Sale? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Who Owns Nidec (6594 JP) And How Much Could Be For Sale?
  • Advantest Corp (6857 JP) – From Cyclical Tester OEM to Structural AI Bottleneck
  • Tencent Holdings: An Evergreen Game Strategy to Diversify Portfolio & Reinforce Market Position!
  • Keysight Technologies: Is the Aerospace Edge the Hidden Catalyst For Future Growth?
  • Analog Devices: How They Are Capitalizing On Industrials Growth & Capitalizing On Automotive Demand!
  • Box’s Enterprise Advanced Suite: Is This the Future of Legal, Finance, & Healthcare Data?
  • MongoDB: A Tale Of AI Upgrades, Enterprise Focus & Workload Acquisition Strategy!
  • nCino’s Mortgage Mastery: The Surprising Bright Spot in a Tough Economy!
  • Workday’s Hidden Growth Engine: Why 70% of Customers Can’t Stop Using Its AI!
  • Zoom Communication’s Strategic Masterstroke: How Workvivo


Who Owns Nidec (6594 JP) And How Much Could Be For Sale?

By Travis Lundy

  • Nidec Corp (6594 JP) announced in June they were extending the release of their yuho for three months because of an internal investigation into NIDEC FIR INTERNATIONAL (Italy).
  • Yesterday, the company announced it would establish a Third-Party Investigative Committee based on suspected improper accounting at the sub of a Chinese sub 1yr ago and parent management knowledge. 
  • There’s been a lot of work done. Now the committee digs in. The announcement smacks of IMS issues. Today the marketcap fell 22% or nearly ¥800bn on ¥200mm of accounting.

Advantest Corp (6857 JP) – From Cyclical Tester OEM to Structural AI Bottleneck

By Rahul Jain

  • Advantest (6857 JP) enjoys a near-monopoly in advanced SoC and memory testing, entrenched at TSMC, Samsung, and SK Hynix, making it the structural gatekeeper of the AI supply chain.
  • The company is scaling capacity by 70% in FY25 and investing in next-gen chiplet and system-level test platforms to capture future AI/HBM growth.
  • At ~35× P/E and ~23× EV/EBITDA, the stock trades at a premium that reflects record margins and 25%+ CAGR, risks include AI capex cyclicality, Taiwan/Korea dependence, China restrictions, and FX.

Tencent Holdings: An Evergreen Game Strategy to Diversify Portfolio & Reinforce Market Position!

By Baptista Research

  • Tencent Holdings Limited delivered a robust financial performance for the second quarter of 2025, driven by significant growth across its business segments.
  • The company reported a 15% year-on-year increase in total revenue, reaching RMB 185 billion.
  • This growth was supported by a 22% surge in gross profit to RMB 105 billion and an 18% increase in non-IFRS operating profit to RMB 69 billion.

Keysight Technologies: Is the Aerospace Edge the Hidden Catalyst For Future Growth?

By Baptista Research

  • Keysight Technologies reported its fiscal third-quarter results for 2025, demonstrating strong execution and resilience in its operations.
  • The company achieved a robust 11% year-over-year revenue increase, reaching $1.4 billion, with earnings per share at $1.72, surpassing previous guidance.
  • Order growth was also positive, with a 7% increase, supported by growth across both the Communications Solutions Group (CSG) and Electronic Industrial Solutions Group (EISG).

Analog Devices: How They Are Capitalizing On Industrials Growth & Capitalizing On Automotive Demand!

By Baptista Research

  • Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) recently reported a strong third quarter for fiscal year 2025, exceeding its revenue and earnings expectations and reflecting double-digit growth across all major end markets.
  • The company’s performance illustrates the resilience and diversity of its business model amid ongoing geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainties.
  • A notable highlight is the accelerated recovery in ADI’s industrial sector, which saw robust performance.

Box’s Enterprise Advanced Suite: Is This the Future of Legal, Finance, & Healthcare Data?

By Baptista Research

  • Box, Inc.’s latest earnings for Q2 FY 2026 highlight a blend of growth and strategic transformation through AIdriven offerings.
  • The company reported revenue of $294 million, which reflects a year-over-year growth of 9%, or 7% in constant currency, surpassing their guidance.
  • This growth is attributed to an uptick in customer adoption of Box’s AI and advanced workflow solutions.

MongoDB: A Tale Of AI Upgrades, Enterprise Focus & Workload Acquisition Strategy!

By Baptista Research

  • MongoDB’s recent financial performance in the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 illustrates a robust growth trajectory balanced by strategic challenges and opportunities.
  • The company reported total revenue of $591 million, up 24% year-over-year, surpassing guidance expectations.
  • The growth is majorly driven by Atlas, MongoDB’s cloud database service, which saw a 29% increase in revenue year-over-year, comprising 74% of total revenues.

nCino’s Mortgage Mastery: The Surprising Bright Spot in a Tough Economy!

By Baptista Research

  • NCino’s latest financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 present a nuanced picture of the company’s performance and strategic direction.
  • The company, which offers cloud-based solutions for financial institutions, reported total revenues of $148.8 million, representing a 12% increase year-over-year.
  • Subscription revenues showed a notable 15% rise, reaching $130.8 million.

Workday’s Hidden Growth Engine: Why 70% of Customers Can’t Stop Using Its AI!

By Baptista Research

  • Workday, Inc. announced its second quarter fiscal year 2026 results, highlighting a mixed bag of financial performance, product innovation, and strategic initiatives designed to strengthen its foothold in the cloud-based enterprise software market.
  • The company reported a 14% year-over-year increase in subscription revenue, totaling $2.169 billion, and a non-GAAP operating margin of 29%.
  • Total revenue rose to $2.348 billion, marking a 13% growth driven largely by robust demand across several verticals, geographies, and customer segments.

Zoom Communication’s Strategic Masterstroke: How Workvivo

By Baptista Research

  • Zoom Video Communications Inc. reported its second quarter fiscal year 2026 earnings, demonstrating a blend of strengths and areas of caution for investors.
  • The company achieved a relatively robust revenue growth of 4.7% year-over-year, totaling $1.217 billion, exceeding the upper range of their projections by $17 million.
  • A significant contributor to this performance was the 7% growth in the enterprise segment, which now comprises 60% of total revenue.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Korea Zinc (010130 KS) – Rare Metals Rerating + TC/RC Recovery = Deep Value Setup and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Korea Zinc (010130 KS) – Rare Metals Rerating + TC/RC Recovery = Deep Value Setup
  • EP 132: NVIDIA Earnings + Ben’s Thesis Time and Those Lumpy ASICs.
  • A Trader’s Guide To “G” Day | Positioning For “Next-Generation GST Reforms”
  • Japan Post Bank- Adding Some Sizzle with a Move into Digital Currencies!
  • Working Capital Strain: Why Nvidia’s Cash Flow Isn’t Keeping Up with Its Profits
  • Jindal Steel and Power (JSPL) – Transition Analysis
  • Dell Technologies Inc (DELL) – Wednesday, Jun 4, 2025
  • Air Lease Corp (AL) – Tuesday, Jun 3, 2025
  • 3SBio Inc (1530 HK): NDA Approvals Awaited Amid Sales Decline; Upfront Payment To Boost 2H25
  • Midea Group(300 HK)-Firing on All Cylinders; Disciplined Execution Across Legacy &Emerging Verticals


Korea Zinc (010130 KS) – Rare Metals Rerating + TC/RC Recovery = Deep Value Setup

By Rahul Jain

  • Korea Zinc (010130 KS) is the world’s largest merchant zinc smelter, with growing exposure to high-margin rare metals (Sb/In/Bi).
  • Management is executing the “Troika Drive” strategy—expanding copper and nickel sulfate capacity while scaling strategic minerals and recycling.
  • Stock trades at ~5x 2027E earnings and ~4.7x EV/EBITDA, a clear discount to peers, key risks remain rare metal price volatility, zinc TC/RC recovery timing

EP 132: NVIDIA Earnings + Ben’s Thesis Time and Those Lumpy ASICs.

By The Circuit

  • Nvidia’s performance in the industry show was okay, with the stock being slightly off and mixed reactions from analysts.
  • The company is continuing to grow at a significant rate, but there are concerns about AI market trends and China relations.
  • Questions surround Nvidia’s potential deal with China, with uncertainties about revenue sharing and government involvement.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


A Trader’s Guide To “G” Day | Positioning For “Next-Generation GST Reforms”

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • The 56th GST Council Meeting is currently underway in New Delhi, having commenced on September 3, 2025 at 11:00 AM and will continue until September 4, 2025.
  • These are supposed to be “next-generation GST reforms” with a promise of implementing reforms as a “Diwali gift” for consumers.
  • Negative FII Participation, Negative Price Action, Rich Multiples coupled with Negative Earnings Revisions argue for a bearish positioning going into the “G” Day – Day of GST Reform Announcements.

Japan Post Bank- Adding Some Sizzle with a Move into Digital Currencies!

By Rikki Malik

  • The bank is starting to perform both absolutely and relative to both the Topix and the Megabanks
  • The core thesis is intact as  Net Interest Income improves from a changed asset mix 
  • The move into digital currencies is groundbreaking for this institution

Working Capital Strain: Why Nvidia’s Cash Flow Isn’t Keeping Up with Its Profits

By Raghav Vashisht

  • Nvidia’s operating cash fell to $15.4B from $27.4B last quarter, even as net income climbed to $26.4B.
  • Receivables jumped to $5.7B with Days Sales Outstanding at 54 days, while accrued liabilities flipped to a $4B drag.
  • The balance sheet shows a company pushing more product out than cash is coming in; the predicament arising from Nvidia’s revenue booking model.

Jindal Steel and Power (JSPL) – Transition Analysis

By Carbon Tracker Initiative

  • This is the third report in our series analysing the state and outlook for Indian steel majors in their ambition to expand capacity while meeting decarbonisation goals.
  • Following our reports on JSW Steel and Tata Steel, this edition focuses on Jindal Steel and Power Ltd (JSPL).
  • JSPL has set a net zero emissions target for 2047, 23 years ahead of India’s national goal.

Dell Technologies Inc (DELL) – Wednesday, Jun 4, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • Dell’s ISG recorded $38.4 billion in FY2023 but faced a 12% revenue decline to $33.9 billion in FY2024 due to macroeconomic challenges.
  • In FY2025, ISG rebounded with a 29% revenue increase to $43.6 billion, fueled by demand for AI-optimized servers and storage solutions.
  • ISG is integral to Dell’s AI infrastructure strategy, collaborating with partners like NVIDIA and Nokia to enhance AI offerings and maintain low-teens operating margins.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Air Lease Corp (AL) – Tuesday, Jun 3, 2025

By Value Investors Club (VIC)

Key points (machine generated)

  • Air Lease is trading at 0.9 times its book value and is expected to double its earnings in three years.
  • Factors contributing to earnings growth include new aircraft deliveries, increased yields from extended leases, and the end of lower-rate COVID-era leases.
  • A potential stock buyback announcement is anticipated due to the company’s excess capital position.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


3SBio Inc (1530 HK): NDA Approvals Awaited Amid Sales Decline; Upfront Payment To Boost 2H25

By Tina Banerjee

  • 3SBio Inc (1530 HK) witnessed a revenue decline of 1% in 1H25. Company’s core product Tpiao’s sales decreased 4% to RMB 2.4B (54% of total) impacted by lower volume.  
  • Phase III clinical trial of SSS06 (anemia in chronic renal failure), 608 (psoriasis), and 613 (acute gouty arthritis) is complete. NDAs for the same are under review by NMPA.
  • 3SBio shares are trading at forward P/E of 11.5x, lower than peers. We feel that there is still upside potential left in the stock.

Midea Group(300 HK)-Firing on All Cylinders; Disciplined Execution Across Legacy &Emerging Verticals

By Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

  • Firing on All Cylinders :Midea Group (300 HK) delivered robust 15.7% YoY revenue growth and 25% profit increase in H1 2025, driven by strong domestic demand and overseas expansion.
  • Disciplined Execution : Smart Home remained the largest contributor, while Energy Solutions and Intelligent Building Technology delivered fastest growth; overseas revenue rose 17.7% YoY, now 42.5% of group sales.
  • Available at compelling valuation of 13.7x P/E (FY25e), Midea emphasizes R&D leadership, digital transformation, and green solutions to sustain long-term growth.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Vicom : Well Run Company with High ROE and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Vicom : Well Run Company with High ROE
  • India & China – Rekindling Brotherhood
  • Kyoto Financial Group (5844 JP): Disposals Plan for Equity Holdings Warrants More Ambitious Target
  • Xiaomi (1810 HK): In 2Q25, Not Just Cars, But Fast Home Appliance
  • Shimano (7309 JP) — Q2 Miss Resets Expectations; China Drag Masks EU Recovery
  • Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ) – Retail Therapy
  • Weak Steel Margins Undermine Fortescue’s Higher-Grade Iron Ore Push
  • The Philippines’ BPO-Driven Office Recovery: Resurgence and Resilience. LONG Ayala Land.
  • ISOTeam Ltd – Short-Term Miss, Long-Term Momentum
  • James Hardie Industries Plc – Stockland Firing On All Cylinders


Vicom : Well Run Company with High ROE

By Punit Khanna

  • Number 1 service provider in inspection and technical testing services in Singapore
  • Very high net profit margin of 20% and 20%+ ROE
  • Consistently makes free cash flow but earnings growth is limited

Raising Money for Persons with Disabilities in Singapore

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This report has been prepared by Vriddhi Consulting, founded by Punit and Debjani Khanna. A portion of the research was contributed by Shubham Khanna, an individual on the autism spectrum.  We are grateful to Smartkarma for providing a platform to share this research and amplify its impact.

All proceeds from the publication of this report will be donated to support people with disabilities in Singapore. If you find this report valuable, we invite you to support our campaign, “Raising Money for Persons with Disabilities in Singapore.” Every contribution directly benefits the Goh Chok Tong Enable Fund and qualifies for a 250% tax deduction for Singapore tax residents.

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India & China – Rekindling Brotherhood

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • The past month has witnessed a remarkable shift in India-China relations, with multiple high-profile developments signaling the most significant thaw in bilateral ties since 2020.
  • Despite the expansion in bilateral commerce, India continues to face a significant trade deficit, especially in pharmaceuticals, where dependence on Chinese imports remains high. 
  • At present, the revived engagement seems to offer greater advantages to Chinese companies than to their Indian counterparts.

Kyoto Financial Group (5844 JP): Disposals Plan for Equity Holdings Warrants More Ambitious Target

By Victor Galliano

  • Kyoto Financial has equity holdings relative to market cap of 135%, well above its larger cap Japanese peer banks, and amounting to a market value of over JPY1.1trillion
  • Management has stated that it is targeting JPY100bn+ of disposals in terms of market value by March 2029, but we believe that the market expected more
  • Sizeable disposals of equity holdings is Kyoto’s primary source of prospective shareholder value creation; aside from this, its fundamental attractions are limited and so we downgrade Kyoto to a neutral

Xiaomi (1810 HK): In 2Q25, Not Just Cars, But Fast Home Appliance

By Ming Lu

  • In 2Q25, total revenue grew strongly by 30% YoY and the operating margin continued to improve.
  • The market focuses on car deliveries, but IoT is the largest contributor to gross profits.
  • We believe the stock has an upside of 45% for the year end 2026. Buy.

Shimano (7309 JP) — Q2 Miss Resets Expectations; China Drag Masks EU Recovery

By Mark Chadwick

  • Q2 saw sales growth slow sharply (+8% yoy vs +16% in Q1) with OPM collapsing 600bps qoq; OP cut 34% sequentially.
  • China sales reset to long-term average, but FY25 outlook slashed to ¥58b (-42% vs prior) with limited disclosure on margin impact.
  • Stock down 25% post-results; buyback expansion (¥50b cap maintained) and long-only accumulation (First Eagle to 9.4%) provide near-term support.

Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ) – Retail Therapy

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Indonesia’s leading retailer, Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ), dominates the country’s major malls with 150 brands. It booked a solid 2Q2025 despite the seasonal impact from Lebaran.
  • The company’s growth was led by active wear and fashion, with luxury brands outperforming in 2Q2025, although the Inditex brands continued to dominate fashion, with digital business also rebounding.
  • MAPI’s expansion into Southeast Asia has slowed, as it focuses on Indonesia. Valuations attractive, with a forecast recovery in 2H2025, with recent troubles providing a  buying opportunity. 

Weak Steel Margins Undermine Fortescue’s Higher-Grade Iron Ore Push

By Umang Agrawal

  • FMG’s FY25 earnings slumped, with net profit hitting a five-year low as weak Chinese demand and global oversupply pressured prices.
  • Heavy reliance on iron ore and limited diversification keep Fortescue lagging peers Rio Tinto and BHP, amplifying downside risks ahead.
  • Fragile share price recovery faces technical headwinds, while narrowing steel mill margins undermine near-term prospects for premium ore demand.

The Philippines’ BPO-Driven Office Recovery: Resurgence and Resilience. LONG Ayala Land.

By Jacob Cheng

  • The Philippines is on a strong economic recovery, supported by supportive macroeconomic landscape and expansion of Business Processing Outsourcing (BPO)
  • The office market is also recovering strongly, supported by BPO demand.  We think it is a structural fundamental improvement, not a simple cyclical recovery
  • We LONG Ayala Land.  It is currently at 9.7x PE, versus 10-year average of 20.4x.

ISOTeam Ltd – Short-Term Miss, Long-Term Momentum

By SAC Capital

  • ISOTeam’s FY2025 results fell short of our expectations, with revenue declining 8.4% yoy to S$119.2m (11.7% below our forecast) and net profit attributable to shareholders dropping 21.2% yoy to S$5.1m (29.2% below forecast).
  • The weaker performance was primarily driven by delayed project commencements in Repairs & Redecoration (–42.9% yoy) and Coating & Painting (–14.4%) segments, partially offset by strong growth in Addition & Alteration (25.0% yoy) and Others (10.4% yoy) segments.
  • Gross margin improved modestly on better project mix and pricing, but earnings was further weighed down by lower other income and a higher effective tax rate.

James Hardie Industries Plc – Stockland Firing On All Cylinders

By FNArena

  • Stockland posted a strong FY25 result and guidance, highlighting growth potential in residential and commercial property, while addressing funding concerns.
  • -Stockland posts FY25 and FY26 guidance beats -Master-planned communities growth a highlight in residential -Data centre partnerships to drive commercial -Analysts praise a reduced dividend payout

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