In today’s briefing:
- [Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Sep26 Rebal – New Rules NOW (Not Later) But 3 ADDs Remain Unchanged
- Alibaba (9988 HK): 9% Placement Drop Creates Short-Put Setup
- Yadea (1585 HK)- Weak Print, Industry Upgrading & Restructuring, Attractive Dividend Yield
- Unicharm Indonesia: Bet on New Management with Business Turning Around and Trades Below Cash
- Nongfu Spring (9633 HK): Tea Up by 30% in 1H26
- SkyCity Entertainment (SKC AU): Two NBIOs. Two Rejections
- Tesla (TSLA): Still a Short, But…
- Taylor Wimpey (TW/ LN): Synthetic Expert Call Transcript (25 Aug 2026)
- Primer: Eagle Point Credit (ECC US) – Aug 2026
- More Companies Are Introducing Shareholder Benefits Without Addressing Concerns About Fairness
[Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Sep26 Rebal – New Rules NOW (Not Later) But 3 ADDs Remain Unchanged
- Three weeks ago, I published my “final expected list” for the Nikkei 225 Sep26 Rebal. This used the new Industry/Sector created, following the Guidebook.
- I had looked at the language of the consultation and the language and made an assumption.
- Developments since then warrant a second look, and an exploration into what MIGHT BE possible.
Alibaba (9988 HK): 9% Placement Drop Creates Short-Put Setup
- Alibaba (9988 HK) dropped 9.4% following its HKD 80bn placement, although the capital raising represents only 3.6% of market capitalisation and will fund AI investment.
- One-Month implied volatility stands at 42.3%, in its 67th percentile, creating elevated—but not extreme—premium income opportunities.
- September short puts offer premiums ranging from 1.3% to 4.1%, with lower strikes providing greater downside protection and higher strikes offering greater tactical returns.
Yadea (1585 HK)- Weak Print, Industry Upgrading & Restructuring, Attractive Dividend Yield
- In this insight, we discuss the key reasons which led Yadea (1585 HK) to poor results in H1FY2026.
- We also discuss the outlook for H22026 and key risks to it.
- Finally, we discuss on valuation and our view on the company.
Unicharm Indonesia: Bet on New Management with Business Turning Around and Trades Below Cash
- Unicharm Indonesia’s last 2 quarterly results have shown signs of turnaround. Part of this turnaround is due to accounting changes.
- The company has now started focusing on feminine care as it believes that’s where it has strong brand and pricing power.
- Diapers’ focus is to revitalize growth by improving trade channels, especially e-commerce. Petcare is small but growing fast.
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Nongfu Spring (9633 HK): Tea Up by 30% in 1H26
- Total revenue grew by 16% YoY and tea revenue grow by 30% in 1H26.
- The gross margin is about 61%, only next to Coca-Cola.
- We believe the stock has an upside of 28% for the year end 2027.
SkyCity Entertainment (SKC AU): Two NBIOs. Two Rejections
- Rumours swirled this morning that Oaktree Capital Management was running a ruler over gaming/hospitality play SkyCity Entertainment (SKC AU).
- In response to media speculation, SkyCity announced it had received two NBIOs in May: one at NZ$0.70/share from Oaktree; and one at NZ$0.75/share from “another party”.
- The AFR reckons the mystery buyer is Sam Arnaout’s Iris Capital, the owner of Casino Canberra and Alice Spring’s Lasseters Hotel Casino. SkyCity rejected both Offers.
Tesla (TSLA): Still a Short, But…
- 1H result was mixed; revenue went up, but operating income was -57% YoY caused by EV margin contraction.
- Tesla (TSLA US) shut down its solar roof tiles, which was supposed to be a high-margin business due to a variety of reasons, including phasing out of Clean Energy Credit.
- It has set a date for the Cybercap launch 3rd Sept 2026 that will push the share price up. Cover some of your short now to lock in your profit.
Taylor Wimpey (TW/ LN): Synthetic Expert Call Transcript (25 Aug 2026)
- Dividend policy cut from 7.5% to 4% of net asset value in July 2026 highlights severe cash constraints, driven by a halving of net cash to £168.6 million and persistent cladding outlays.
- Cladding remediation risks remain high despite extensive provisions; cavity barrier defects behind brickwork account for two-thirds of cost increases, pointing to ongoing risk of hidden legacy liabilities.
- Planning reform under the new NPPF is bottlenecked by local authority capacity and a severe capital squeeze among housing associations, preventing the successful offload of mandated Section 106 affordable homes.
Disclaimer: The following transcripts are synthetic, AI-generated on demand, and compiled exclusively from public data sources; no real-word experts were actually interviewed. This content is designed to highlight potential market mispricings, explore compelling lines of inquiry, and suggest strategic questions rather than present verified facts. All specific financial metrics and data points, including market shares, TAM, margins, and growth rates, are AI-estimated approximations. They may be inaccurate and must be independently verified.
Primer: Eagle Point Credit (ECC US) – Aug 2026
- Eagle Point Credit Company Inc. (ECC US) is a closed-end specialty finance investment company focused primarily on generating high current income by investing in the equity and junior debt tranches of Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs) backed by senior secured corporate loans.
- The company’s performance profile reflects the classic dynamics of structured credit: robust recurring operating cash flow ($107.9M in 2025, operating CF CAGR of 23.7% over 3 years) providing high cash distribution capacity (current dividend yield of 18.65%), contrasted with significant GAAP earnings volatility driven by mark-to-market adjustments on underlying loan portfolios.
- Trading at a Price-to-Book multiple of 0.8x, ECC offers an attractive entry multiple relative to historical book value, but investors must balance the compelling cash-on-cash distribution profile against structural subordination risks, dividend recalibration trends (lowering to $0.96 annualized in 2026), and potential tail-risk credit defaults in underlying syndicated loans.
This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.
More Companies Are Introducing Shareholder Benefits Without Addressing Concerns About Fairness
- As cross-shareholding structure begins to break down and concerns grow over the influence of activist investors, an increasing number of companies are introducing shareholder benefits to win over individual shareholders.
- Some believe that having more individual investors not only helps limit declines—particularly during market downturns—but also lowers the cost of capital. However, it’s unclear whether shareholder benefits are effective.
- Retail investors aren’t the only diverse investors. Institutional investors also engage in a variety of investment strategies, and repurchasing treasury stock is an effective way to reduce stock price volatility.

