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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Japan: Daido Steel, 3 D Matrix Ltd, Nikkei 225, Freebit Co Ltd, Kaken Pharmaceutical, SanBio Co Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Daido Steel – Specialty Strength with Strategic Upside
  • 3 D Matrix Ltd (7777 JP): Q1 FY04/26 flash update
  • Bank of Japan’s Rate Decision on Sept 19: Does Timing Signal the Outcome?
  • Freebit Co Ltd (3843 JP): Q1 FY04/26 flash update
  • Kaken Pharma (4521 JP): FY26 Starts on a Bleak Note as Expected, Growth Pangs to Stay for Now
  • SanBio Co Ltd (4592 JP): 1H FY01/26 flash update


Daido Steel – Specialty Strength with Strategic Upside

By Rahul Jain

  • Leading Japanese specialty steelmaker with core exposure to auto, stainless/alloys, magnets, and industrial components.
  • Mid-Term strategy centers on higher-margin growth products (SPE stainless, magnets, aerospace forgings) supported by new VAR and forging capacity.
  • Valuations & Risks: Trades at a forward P/E compressing to ~5× by FY28E, but cyclical demand swings and raw material volatility remain key risks.

3 D Matrix Ltd (7777 JP): Q1 FY04/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Operating revenue increased 47.7% YoY to JPY2.2bn, driven by US sales growth of JPY1.2bn (+87.7% YoY).
  • Recurring profit reached JPY939mn, improving JPY1.7bn YoY, aided by foreign exchange gains of JPY938mn.
  • R&D expenses rose 18.9% YoY to JPY168mn; SG&A expenses increased 22.0% YoY to JPY1.5bn.

Bank of Japan’s Rate Decision on Sept 19: Does Timing Signal the Outcome?

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: The Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce its monetary policy decision on Friday, 19 September 2025. Unlike most central banks, the BoJ announces its decisions flexibly, usually around noon.
  • Highlight: Analysis of the past 13 meetings hints at patterns linking longer meetings and delayed announcements with policy changes, including a surprise hike in July 2024.
  • Why it Matters: This analysis helps investors interpret timing signals ahead of the 19 September decision, assessing whether delay itself could hint at an outcome shift.

Freebit Co Ltd (3843 JP): Q1 FY04/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • In Q1 FY04/26, the company reported revenue of JPY15.2bn, operating profit of JPY1.7bn, and net income of JPY1.1bn.
  • Business support services for MVNOs expanded, resulting in revenue growth of 12.7% YoY and operating profit increase of 53.3% YoY.
  • Revenue for 5G Homestyle service increased 11.3% YoY to JPY6.9bn, while operating profit rose 19.3% YoY.

Kaken Pharma (4521 JP): FY26 Starts on a Bleak Note as Expected, Growth Pangs to Stay for Now

By Tina Banerjee

  • Kaken Pharmaceutical (4521 JP) witnessed 3% YoY revenue growth in 1QFY26 to ¥18.9B as overseas pharmaceutical and crop protection sales while domestic market remained under pressure.
  • Kaken’s major drug Clenafin saw revenue drop 3% to ¥4.4B on patent cliff, while Ecclock helped drive revenue growing 18% YoY to ¥803M.
  • Kaken reiterated FY26 guidance where it expects revenue to fall 6% YoY to ¥88 billion. No respite from immediate pangs in the form of drug price revision and generic competition.

SanBio Co Ltd (4592 JP): 1H FY01/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • In 1H FY01/26, the company reported no operating revenue, with an operating loss of JPY1.9bn and R&D expenses increasing by 31.5% YoY.
  • Non-operating expenses totaled JPY596mn, primarily due to foreign exchange losses and financing fees, leading to a recurring loss of JPY2.5bn.
  • The company forecasts a FY01/26 operating loss of JPY3.9bn and a net loss of JPY4.0bn, influenced by manufacturing costs and foreign exchange losses.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Infosys Buyback: Tax-Inefficient for Shareholders? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Infosys Buyback: Tax-Inefficient for Shareholders?
  • Nongshim’s Thriving Collaboration with K-Pop Demon Hunters
  • The Beat Ideas: Vadilal Industries – Will Professional Management Improve Operational Excellence?
  • Korea Zinc (010130 KS): TC/RC Recovery Sets Stage for Earnings Re-Rating
  • Western Digital Corporation: Can They Build A Strong Competitive Positioning In The AI-Driven Economy?
  • Lam Research Corporation: Advanced Packaging Technologies
  • Tesla’s New Megablock Could Kill The Power Grid As We Know It!
  • Old Dominion Freight Line: What Is The E-commerce & Supply Chain Impact On Its Near Term Business?
  • TAL Education Group: What Is The Expected Impact Of AI-Powered Content & Learning Tools?
  • Daimler Truck CEO: Electric Transition, Autonomous Vehicles and Cultural Change


Infosys Buyback: Tax-Inefficient for Shareholders?

By Nitin Mangal

  • Infosys Ltd (INFO IN) made headlines in the market after approving share buyback worth INR 180 bn at INR 1800 per share.
  • The buyback is the largest in company’s history and represents 2.4% of the paid up capital. 
  • However, from the shareholders lens, the buyback would be tax-inefficient, after the regulatory changes which came in effect from Oct 2024.

Nongshim’s Thriving Collaboration with K-Pop Demon Hunters

By Douglas Kim

  • K-Pop Demon Hunters (KDH) started streaming on Netflix on 20 June 2025. KDH has become the most watched film on Netflix history, achieving 291.5 million views as of 11 September. 
  • Nongshim has a collaboration with Netflix, releasing ramyun and snacks featuring characters from K-Pop Demon Hunters. The sale of these products (especially overseas) are likely to result in higher sales.
  • Nongshim has hit a big home run in this collaboration with Netflix and the K-Pop Demon Hunters film. Additional series related to KDH are highly likely. 

The Beat Ideas: Vadilal Industries – Will Professional Management Improve Operational Excellence?

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Appointment of a digital-savvy CEO and professionalized board strengthens management, positioning Vadilal for sustained growth and corporate transformation.  
  • Robust distribution, innovative production, and premium parlours drive competitive edge and market leadership. 
  • Resolution of internal family disputes and promoter group merger streamlines operations, though potential dilution could affect minority shareholders.

Korea Zinc (010130 KS): TC/RC Recovery Sets Stage for Earnings Re-Rating

By Rahul Jain

  • Recent News: CZSPT’s Sep 9 guidance points to imported zinc concentrate treatment charges of US$120-140/dmt for Q4, and Bloomberg confirms Chinese smelters are tightening terms.
  • Impact: This rebound in TC/RC levels should lift Korea Zinc’s EBITDA by approximately US$100-135 million, representing a ~5-7% earnings upside over current troughs.
  • Valuation: On normalized earnings, Korea Zinc could re-rate to 8–9× EV/EBITDA. At $120–150/dmt TCs, this points to ~20–50% upside, with further headroom if multiples expand alongside earnings recovery.

Western Digital Corporation: Can They Build A Strong Competitive Positioning In The AI-Driven Economy?

By Baptista Research

  • Western Digital Corporation reported strong fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 financial results, showcasing increased demand driven chiefly by the data center market, predominantly through hyperscale customers.
  • The company generated $2.6 billion in revenue, which constituted a 30% yearly increase, and achieved a non-GAAP gross margin of 41.3%.
  • This result was driven by the mix shift toward higher capacity drives and effective cost management.

Lam Research Corporation: Advanced Packaging Technologies

By Baptista Research

  • Lam Research Corporation’s recent financial performance and strategic direction offer a balanced picture of its current and future potential.
  • The company reported impressive results for its June 2025 quarter, with revenues and profitability reaching the upper end of guided ranges.
  • Significantly, gross margins exceeded 50% for the first time since the merger with Novellus, and earnings per share hit a new company high.

Tesla’s New Megablock Could Kill The Power Grid As We Know It!

By Baptista Research

  • Tesla’s recent unveiling of its Megapack 3 and the all-new Megablock could mark a pivotal moment in its shift from being seen purely as a carmaker to a vertically integrated energy company.
  • While Tesla’s robotaxi launch and AI developments have dominated headlines, the energy division—specifically industrial battery storage—is quietly becoming a major pillar.
  • The Megablock is a fully integrated, utility-scale energy solution, reducing construction costs by 40% and installation times by 23%.

Old Dominion Freight Line: What Is The E-commerce & Supply Chain Impact On Its Near Term Business?

By Baptista Research

  • Old Dominion Freight Line’s recent financial performance reveals both challenges and opportunities.
  • Despite a declined revenue in the second quarter of 2025, totaling $1.41 billion, representing a 6.1% decrease from the previous year, the company has managed to sustain yield growth.
  • This growth is embodied by a 3.4% increase in less-than-truckload (LTL) revenue per hundredweight, although LTL tons per day fell by 9.3%.

TAL Education Group: What Is The Expected Impact Of AI-Powered Content & Learning Tools?

By Baptista Research

  • TAL Education Group reported robust financial performance for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, showcasing significant revenue growth while managing to improve operational efficiency.
  • The company recorded net revenues of $575 million, marking a 38.8% increase year-over-year, with a notable rise in gross margin from 51.7% to 54.9%.
  • Operating income improved significantly with TAL turning a previous operating loss into a profit of $14.3 million, demonstrating enhanced operational leverage and cost management.

Daimler Truck CEO: Electric Transition, Autonomous Vehicles and Cultural Change

By In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen

  • Daimler Truck focuses on heavy-duty vehicles but also offers brands for light and medium-duty segments
  • The company profits from both truck sales and services, with a focus on improving service offerings
  • Market trends for truck sales are closely tied to overall economic performance, with current slow sales attributed to uncertainty in the US and Europe.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: GMR Hyderabad, SK Hynix
  • Long-end UST yields fell yesterday, on the back of a solid auction for 30Y notes. In addition, market expectations for Fed rate cuts were firm, following the in-line core CPI data and higher than expected jobless claims.
  • The UST curve bull flattened, with the yield on the 2Y UST stable at 3.54%, while that on the 10Y UST declined 2 bps to 4.02%. Equities continued to rally, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq up 0.8% and 0.7%, respectively.

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Daily Brief Crypto: Intuition Protocol: Building the Internet’s Trust Layer and more

By | Crypto, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Intuition Protocol: Building the Internet’s Trust Layer


Intuition Protocol: Building the Internet’s Trust Layer

By Delphi Digital

  • The report explores Intuition Protocol, a decentralized trust layer designed to solve the internet’s core challenge: how information is discovered, validated, and shared.
  • Unlike centralized Web2 platforms or binary prediction markets, Intuition introduces Token Curated Graphs built from Atoms (unique data identifiers) and Triples (relationships between them).
  • By aligning economic incentives, social capital, and portable data structures, the protocol turns knowledge into an asset class—one that individuals, communities, and AI agents can own, curate, and monetize.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Tega Industries, Ctt-Correios De Portugal Sa, New Horizon Aircraft and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Tega Industries Ltd: Leap into the Global Big League with Molycop Acquisition
  • CTT-Correios de Portugal SA – What’s News in Amsterdam – 11 September (e-Commerce and Logistics)
  • HOVR: Continues to make steady progress toward development milestones. Increasing our 12-month valuation target to 2.


Tega Industries Ltd: Leap into the Global Big League with Molycop Acquisition

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Tega Industries has announced its intent to acquire a controlling stake in Molycop at a USD 1.48 billion enterprise value, in consortium with Apollo Funds.
  • The deal is nearly 10x Tega’s size, and will redefine its global positioning across the mining consumables and equipment value chain.
  • Integration risks loom large, but if executed well, this move transforms Tega from a niche Indian export champion into a global leader in mineral processing solutions.

CTT-Correios de Portugal SA – What’s News in Amsterdam – 11 September (e-Commerce and Logistics)

By The IDEA!

  • In this edition: • e-Commerce and logistics | Shein under scrutiny in UK over tax payments

HOVR: Continues to make steady progress toward development milestones. Increasing our 12-month valuation target to 2.

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Horizon Aircraft (NASDAQ: HOVR) is an early-stage aerospace OEM that is developing a hybrid electric vertical takeoff and landing (“eVTOL”) aircraft for the regional air mobility market.
  • Horizon Aircraft’s recently released 10-K revealed the steady progress the company has made over the past year (roughly doubling its staff) and a recent capital raise has given the company adequate capital to fund operations for at least the next twelve months.
  • The market frenzy in the eVTOL space has cooled with most of the stocks in the industry trading 25-50% below their August highs but still well above the Spring 2025 lows.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H, Zijin Gold, Fuji Oil Co Ltd, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, Asian Energy Services, Copper, Covestro AG, ADF Group , Allegiant Gold and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Zijin Mining: Gold IPO De-Risks, Copper Upside Remains
  • Zijin Gold IPO Valuation Analysis
  • Fuji Oil (5017 JP): Idemitsu Kosan (5019 JP)’s Tender Offer at JPY480
  • China’s Tire Sector Shifts To Next Gear In Global Consolidation
  • Asian Energy-Oilmax Merger: From Service Provider to Integrated Energy Player?
  • Consolidation of The Copper Kingdom – The Anglo Teck Merger
  • Covestro / ADNOC: FSR Is the Hinge, Clean-Up the Catalyst
  • DRX: Soft Q2 Financials; Excellent Backlog Growth
  • AUAU: Name Change, $10.5M Raised, & Exploration Commences


Zijin Mining: Gold IPO De-Risks, Copper Upside Remains

By Rahul Jain

  • Dilution: The gold IPO trims attributable EBITDA by ~3% as minority interests rise.
  • Parent Impact: Zijin parent emerges leaner, with net debt falling by US$4bn and copper now ~70% of EBITDA.
  • Valuation: At ~7× EV/EBITDA, the stock offers 15–30% upside on our estimates, stretching to 25–45% at spot.

Zijin Gold IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our base case valuation of Zijin Gold suggests implied EV of US$40.4 billion and market cap of US$42.9 billion.
  • Our EV/EBITDA valuation multiple of 14.3x is based on a 50% premium to the comps’ valuation multiple in 2026. 
  • We believe a 50% premium valuation to the comps’ average EV/EBITDA multiple is appropriate for Zijin Gold mainly due its higher sales growth, EBITDA margins, and ROE than the comps. 

Fuji Oil (5017 JP): Idemitsu Kosan (5019 JP)’s Tender Offer at JPY480

By Arun George

  • Fuji Oil Co Ltd (5017 JP) has recommended a tender offer from Idemitsu Kosan (5019 JP) at JPY480, a 44.1% premium to the last close.
  • While the offer implies a P/B of 0.54x, it is reasonable as it is above the midpoint of the IFA DCF valuation range and at a premium to historical ranges. 
  • Nevertheless, the offer is susceptible to a bump as it is far from a knockout bid, and Fuji Oil previously had activists on the register.  

China’s Tire Sector Shifts To Next Gear In Global Consolidation

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Sailun revives Bridgestone’s idle TBR plant, breaks ground in Egypt  
  •  Chinese pneumatic tire exports climb 4.6% in value in H1 2025  
  • Jiangsu General ramps up projects in Thailand and Cambodia  

Asian Energy-Oilmax Merger: From Service Provider to Integrated Energy Player?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Asian Energy Services (AOS IN) has received board approval for the merger of  promoter entity Oilmax Energy, with share swap ratio: 117 shares of AESL for 10 shares of Oilmax.
  • The merger is a strategic move to consolidate OEPL’s asset ownership, including producing oil and gas fields, with AESL’s execution and services capabilities.
  • The valuation of the parent company is looking costlier, and a reduction in promoter stake makes things skeptical in transaction.

Consolidation of The Copper Kingdom – The Anglo Teck Merger

By Sameer Taneja

  • Anglo American (AAL LN)BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU) fails in May 2024; 17 months later, Anglo American (AAL LN)Teck Resources (TECK US) merge.
  • The Anglo Teck portfolio will have more than 1.2 million tonnes of annual copper production, anchored by six world-class copper assets with more than 70% copper exposure.
  • The company will divest its non-core assets, including DeBeers, steelmaking coal, nickel, and other similar assets, and pivot to consolidating/growing its copper operations.

Covestro / ADNOC: FSR Is the Hinge, Clean-Up the Catalyst

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • ADNOC’s €62 per share bid for Covestro has 91.3% acceptance and antitrust clearance; the Foreign Subsidies Regulation review remains the gating item, with remedies on capital increase, guarantees, and IP.
  • At €58.74, Covestro trades 5.55% below €62, implying 24–30% annualized IRRs if FSR approval and closing arrive by year-end; a Q1’26 slip still screens ~18%; break downside approximates −22% today.
  • New buyers need a clean-up event: squeeze-out ≥95% or delisting/merger squeeze-out; DPLTA excluded until 2028. ADNOC needs ~6.7–7.0m shares to reach 95%, costing roughly €395–433m at €58.74–€62 post-approval and execution.

DRX: Soft Q2 Financials; Excellent Backlog Growth

By Atrium Research

  • ADF reported Q2 financials that missed our expectations on the back of uncertainty from U.S. tariffs, similar to Q1.
  • Revenue came in at $53.0M (-29% YoY) vs. our estimate of $58.2M and EBITDA came in at $3.7M vs. our estimate of $10.0M.
  • ADF remains well-positioned for H2 given that its backlog was $468.0M, (+60% since Q4), all of its employees have returned on a full-time basis, and its acquisition of LAR Group will provide further growth.

AUAU: Name Change, $10.5M Raised, & Exploration Commences

By Atrium Research

  • Allegiant launched a fully funded 2,000m drill program within the McIntosh zone; the first phase of a 20,000m campaign at Eastside.
  • Results from the ongoing drill program are expected in October and November, as we anticipate a news-heavy fall and winter.
  • The recent $10.5M financing, led by Kinross and including Eric Sprott, leaves AUAU cashed up with $14M to aggressively advance exploration.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Infosys Ltd Sp Adr, United Microelectron Sp Adr, SentinelOne , DB Hitek Co., Ltd., Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Info-Tech Systems, ASML Holding NV, Beeks Financial Cloud Group, i-mobile Co Ltd, Echostar Corp A and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • Indian IT | Urge to the Boards – Stop the Buybacks
  • UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 4Q25 Revenue Is Projected to Decline 5–10% QoQ.
  • SentinelOne Eyes Observo AI: A $1 Billion Cybersecurity Power Play In The Making?
  • DB Hitek: Treasury Shares Cancellation, EB Issue, and Employees Equity Compensation
  • Texas Instruments & KLA Signal Continued AI Strength, Foreshadow TSMC’s 2nm Breakout
  • Proxy for the Growth of SME Digitization
  • ASML’s $1.5 Billion AI Gamble: Will Mistral AI Transform Europe’s Tech Future?
  • Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 04/09/2025
  • i-mobile Co Ltd (6535 JP): Full-year FY07/25 flash update
  • EchoStar Is Powering Up SpaceX’s Smartphone Dreams—& Inside The $17 Billion Shock Deal!


Indian IT | Urge to the Boards – Stop the Buybacks

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • Indian IT outperformed over 10 years, but recent underperformance and weak R&D spending raise questions on innovation versus high dividend and buyback payouts.
  • AI disruption threatens coding demand and outsourcing models, risking productivity shocks, workforce layoffs, and urban consumption downturns if companies don’t adapt with innovation.
  • Boards must prioritize bold investments and acquisitions over capital returns, positioning Indian IT as innovation leaders rather than risk-averse cash generators.

UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): 4Q25 Revenue Is Projected to Decline 5–10% QoQ.

By Patrick Liao


SentinelOne Eyes Observo AI: A $1 Billion Cybersecurity Power Play In The Making?

By Baptista Research

  • SentinelOne’s recent earnings call made headlines with a major milestone: the company’s Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) surpassed $1 billion, growing 24% year-over-year, while its net new ARR hit record levels.
  • This momentum is underpinned by strong customer traction across emerging solutions like Purple AI, Singularity Data, and its cloud-native security stack.
  • Riding this wave of innovation and expansion, SentinelOne is now reportedly eyeing Observo AI as a potential acquisition target.

DB Hitek: Treasury Shares Cancellation, EB Issue, and Employees Equity Compensation

By Douglas Kim

  • DB Hitek announced a detailed plan for its 4.16 million treasury shares utilization (9.4% of outstanding shares), including shares cancellation, issuance of exchangeable bonds, and equity compensation for its employees. 
  • There will be 2.22 million treasury shares that will be used in the issuance of EBs. This represents 54% of the total treasury shares and 5% of outstanding shares.
  • The company also plans to cancel 1.486 million treasury shares (representing 35.7% of treasury shares and 3.3% of outstanding shares). 

Texas Instruments & KLA Signal Continued AI Strength, Foreshadow TSMC’s 2nm Breakout

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TI is experiencing 50%+ YoY growth in data center, showing no signs of AI server demand slowdown.
  • KLA calls 2nm a “compelling” node, projecting it could be the industry’s largest over first three years.
  • Taiwan Tech positioned to benefit via TSMC N2 ramp, CoWoS packaging, and ABF substrate expansion.

Proxy for the Growth of SME Digitization

By GEMS Research – Aletheia Capital

  • We initiated on ITSL SP on Friday. The stock is up 2%.
  • The initial feedback from clients was one of cautious optimism. There were concerns raised about concentration risk, competition and cybersecurity issues.
  • We identified the mitigants and reiterate BUY.

ASML’s $1.5 Billion AI Gamble: Will Mistral AI Transform Europe’s Tech Future?

By Baptista Research

  • In a bold strategic pivot, Dutch semiconductor equipment giant ASML has invested €1.3 billion (~$1.5 billion) to lead a €1.7 billion Series C funding round for Mistral AI, a French startup rapidly rising as Europe’s answer to OpenAI.
  • This move makes ASML the largest shareholder in Mistral and grants it a board seat—signaling far more than a passive financial stake.
  • The deal catapults Mistral to a €10 billion (~$11.7 billion) valuation, the highest for any AI firm in Europe, further solidifying its position as a sovereign AI champion.

Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 04/09/2025

By Hybridan

  • The biopharmaceutical company focused on drug development and delivery in diabetes and other cardiometabolic diseases, announces that it has concluded a positive Type C meeting with the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for AT278 in people with both type 1 and type 2 diabetes with high daily insulin needs.
  • The purpose of the meeting was to discuss the design of a proposed Phase 2 clinical study for AT278 delivered by continuous infusion via an Automated Insulin Delivery (AID) system, ahead of a planned Investigational New Drug (IND) submission.
  • Arecor reports they are on track to commence Phase 2 study in mid-2026, subject to further funding.

i-mobile Co Ltd (6535 JP): Full-year FY07/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • In FY07/25, the company reported revenue of JPY21.5bn (+14.9% YoY) and operating profit of JPY4.1bn (+16.5% YoY).
  • The Consumer Service segment’s FY07/25 revenue was JPY19.1bn (+19.5% YoY), with a segment profit of JPY4.0bn (+16.7% YoY).
  • For FY07/26, the company projects revenue of JPY22.0bn (+2.2% YoY) and operating profit of JPY4.5bn (+8.9% YoY).

EchoStar Is Powering Up SpaceX’s Smartphone Dreams—& Inside The $17 Billion Shock Deal!

By Baptista Research

  • On September 8, 2025, EchoStar made headlines by announcing a landmark $17 billion agreement to sell its AWS-4 and H-block wireless spectrum licenses to Elon Musk’s SpaceX.
  • The deal, split evenly between cash and stock, marks SpaceX’s largest financial outlay to date and signals a dramatic push into the cellular connectivity space.
  • In addition to the spectrum acquisition, the agreement includes a long-term commercial arrangement between the two companies, enabling EchoStar’s Boost Mobile users to access Starlink’s Direct-to-Cell satellite services.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Tega Industries, Ctt-Correios De Portugal Sa, New Horizon Aircraft and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Tega Industries Ltd: Leap into the Global Big League with Molycop Acquisition
  • CTT-Correios de Portugal SA – What’s News in Amsterdam – 11 September (e-Commerce and Logistics)
  • HOVR: Continues to make steady progress toward development milestones. Increasing our 12-month valuation target to 2.


Tega Industries Ltd: Leap into the Global Big League with Molycop Acquisition

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Tega Industries has announced its intent to acquire a controlling stake in Molycop at a USD 1.48 billion enterprise value, in consortium with Apollo Funds.
  • The deal is nearly 10x Tega’s size, and will redefine its global positioning across the mining consumables and equipment value chain.
  • Integration risks loom large, but if executed well, this move transforms Tega from a niche Indian export champion into a global leader in mineral processing solutions.

CTT-Correios de Portugal SA – What’s News in Amsterdam – 11 September (e-Commerce and Logistics)

By The IDEA!

  • In this edition: • e-Commerce and logistics | Shein under scrutiny in UK over tax payments

HOVR: Continues to make steady progress toward development milestones. Increasing our 12-month valuation target to 2.

By Zacks Small Cap Research

  • Horizon Aircraft (NASDAQ: HOVR) is an early-stage aerospace OEM that is developing a hybrid electric vertical takeoff and landing (“eVTOL”) aircraft for the regional air mobility market.
  • Horizon Aircraft’s recently released 10-K revealed the steady progress the company has made over the past year (roughly doubling its staff) and a recent capital raise has given the company adequate capital to fund operations for at least the next twelve months.
  • The market frenzy in the eVTOL space has cooled with most of the stocks in the industry trading 25-50% below their August highs but still well above the Spring 2025 lows.

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Daily Brief Health Care: China Medical System, GenFleet Therapeutics, Cybin , LB Pharmaceuticals and more

By | Daily Briefs, Healthcare

In today’s briefing:

  • China Medical System (867 HK) – From an 8 to a 16 FPE
  • Genfleet Therapeutics IPO: Finely Placed at the Moment; RAS Inhibitors Hold Key to Future Growth
  • Cybin, Inc: CYB004 Completes Enrollment; Top-Line Read Expected in 1Q26
  • LB Pharmaceuticals Inc. (LBRX): Strong Open, Schizophrenia Biotech Finds Early Momentum


China Medical System (867 HK) – From an 8 to a 16 FPE

By Avien Pillay

  • Since our initiation on 5 June 2024, China Medical Sytem’s share price is up 113% and the FPE has moved from less than 8 to close to 16 times.
  • The gap valuation between US drug companies and CMS has largely closed with CMS trading at a premium to a number of US counterparts.
  • The earnings outlook is largely flat since the initiation, implying the share price appreciation has been driven by a re-rating.

Genfleet Therapeutics IPO: Finely Placed at the Moment; RAS Inhibitors Hold Key to Future Growth

By Tina Banerjee

  • Genfleet Therapeutics has filed for IPO to raise up to HK$1.6B. The company plans to sell 77.6M shares at HK$20.39 per share.
  • Genfleet Therapeutics is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing novel treatment options in the fields of oncology with its core products focused on niche RAS inhibitor segment.
  • Genfleet is rightly placed to rapidly advance their innovative product pipeline to later stages of development and commercialize. Pipeline envisages sustainable long term growth prospect.

Cybin, Inc: CYB004 Completes Enrollment; Top-Line Read Expected in 1Q26

By Water Tower Research

  • CYB004 completes patient enrollment to push Phase 2 study toward the finish line.
  • Cybin has confirmed that it has enrolled its 36th and final patient for its Phase 2 CYB004 program to evaluate the safety and efficacy of its proprietary short-acting deuterated version of DMT for the treatment of generalized anxiety disorder (GAD) at six and 12 weeks after first dose.
  • Top-line data of the Phase 2 study is expected to be forthcoming in 1Q26.

LB Pharmaceuticals Inc. (LBRX): Strong Open, Schizophrenia Biotech Finds Early Momentum

By IPO Boutique

  • LB Pharmaceuticals (LBRX) priced an upsized IPO of 19.0 million shares at the midpoint of the range, $15.00. Shares opened at $19.00, delivering a +26.7% gain at first trade.
  • Existing shareholders in previous rounds were likely anchoring the stock and providing stabilization in its debut.
  • We expect short-term trading to follow the broader biotech sector trend, with catalysts tied directly to clinical and regulatory developments.

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Daily Brief Consumer: Mandom Corp, Yum China Holdings , Chery Automobile, Digital Holdings Inc, Urban Company, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX, SGX Rubber Future TSR20, OPAP SA, Herbalife Ltd, Milbon Co Ltd and more

By | Consumer, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • [Japan M&A] Mandom (4917 JP) MBO – Light Price, Open-Ish Register, Tough to Take Over, Could Do Fun
  • Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Dec25: Three ADDs/DELs Likely; Sector-Neutral Idea
  • Chery Auto Pre-IPO – Thoughts on Valuation
  • [Japan M&A] Digital HD (2389 JP) MBO Takeunder Is Optically Bad, A Little Light, But Tough to Beat
  • Urban Company IPO: Will India’s Home Services Giant Clean Up on the Dalal Street?
  • How Long Can a Model Where Profit Is Helped by Low Growth in Labor Cost and Depreciation Continue?
  • China’s Tire Sector Shifts To Next Gear In Global Consolidation
  • OPAP — Confident in delivering guidance
  • HLF US: Harnessing Technology to Enhance the Strength of Its Global Health & Wellness Infrastructure
  • Milbon Co., LTD (4919 JP): Research Update – 11 SEPTEMBER 2025


[Japan M&A] Mandom (4917 JP) MBO – Light Price, Open-Ish Register, Tough to Take Over, Could Do Fun

By Travis Lundy

  • On 10 September, the founding Nishimura family, the PE Firm CVC, and Mandom Corp (4917 JP) agreed that the first two could take over the latter at 4.9x Mar28 EBITDA.
  • A cocktail napkin calculation of expected leverage suggests the equity check is buying this at 5x average Mar27-28 free cash flow. That’s cheap for a growing company.
  • The register is open enough to cause problems but not open enough to allow a clean hostile bid by a strategic. But still open enough for someone to have fun.

Quiddity Leaderboard HSCEI Dec25: Three ADDs/DELs Likely; Sector-Neutral Idea

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 “Mainland China” securities listed in Hong Kong.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the rankings of potential ADDs and potential DELs for the December 2025 index rebal event.
  • At present, we see three changes based on the latest data but the rankings can change until 30th September 2025.

Chery Auto Pre-IPO – Thoughts on Valuation

By Sumeet Singh

  • Chery Automobile is looking to raise about US$1.5bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • Chery Auto is a Chinese passenger vehicle company which designs, develops, manufactures and sells passenger vehicles, including internal combustion engine vehicles and new energy vehicles, both domestically and overseas.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about valuations.

[Japan M&A] Digital HD (2389 JP) MBO Takeunder Is Optically Bad, A Little Light, But Tough to Beat

By Travis Lundy


Urban Company IPO: Will India’s Home Services Giant Clean Up on the Dalal Street?

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • India’s home services market, valued at INR 5,210 billion, is projected to reach INR 8,580 billion by FY2030 at a CAGR of 10–11% .
  • Urban Company’s core Indian business has turned profitable, with its EBITDA for this segment improving from a 9.72% loss in FY23 to a 3.30% profit in FY25.
  • The company’s annual consumers grew from 4.76 million in FY2023 to 6.5 million in FY2025, while average spend rose from INR 3,786 to INR 4,079 during the same period.

How Long Can a Model Where Profit Is Helped by Low Growth in Labor Cost and Depreciation Continue?

By Aki Matsumoto

  • As lack of investment, including in human capital, is recognized as a factor behind the lack of growth, there’re plans to enhance disclosure of human capital in annual securities reports.
  • While labor share of large companies has fallen 1.3 ppt over the past year, OP margins increased only 0.3 ppt. It’s necessary to produce products with high gross profit margins.
  • Unable to make bold investments to create higher added-value products, companies instead use cash-flows for shareholders return without increasing cash reserves, resulting in high level of cash on hand.

China’s Tire Sector Shifts To Next Gear In Global Consolidation

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • Sailun revives Bridgestone’s idle TBR plant, breaks ground in Egypt  
  •  Chinese pneumatic tire exports climb 4.6% in value in H1 2025  
  • Jiangsu General ramps up projects in Thailand and Cambodia  

OPAP — Confident in delivering guidance

By Edison Investment Research

OPAP delivered good growth in revenue and EBITDA in H125 as its online activities continued to power ahead, with solid support from its retail activities. The results provide management with confidence in delivering FY25 guidance, against more challenging comparatives from H224 following OPAP’s exceptionally strong performance last year. Post the period end, OPAP bought the remaining minority stake in Stoiximan and the tender offer for the next 10-year licence to manage and operate the Greek State Lotteries (Instant & Passives vertical) has commenced, with OPAP through to the next stage of the process. The valuation looks well-supported by our unchanged DCF-based value of €22 per share and attractive dividend yield.


HLF US: Harnessing Technology to Enhance the Strength of Its Global Health & Wellness Infrastructure

By Water Tower Research

  • HLF has a network of more than 2 million distributors and is unique among direct sellers by having a hybrid model that includes more than 60,000 brick-and-mortar locations worldwide in the form of its distributors’ nutrition clubs.
  • This unique infrastructure provides a strong foundation to build a premier, technology-driven health and wellness platform.
  • Today’s technology-driven platforms interact with customers on one end and service providers on the other, bringing the two together to create a marketplace.


Milbon Co., LTD (4919 JP): Research Update – 11 SEPTEMBER 2025

By Nippon Investment Bespoke Research UK

  • Milbon Co., Ltd (4919 JP) reported FY25 (Dec year-end) 1H earnings with a gross profit [GP] of ¥15,502mil (-1.6% YoY) and operating profit [OP] of ¥1,938mil (-39.0% YoY) on sales of ¥24,807mil (+1.1% YoY).
  • RP declined -44.3% YoY to ¥1,853mil, due mainly to net FOREX losses (-¥120mil).
  • The 1H results fell short of the firm’s sales and OP guidance by -4.2% and -31.0%, respectively due to (1) a decline in GP due to weaker-than-expected sales (-¥707mil) and (2) the deterioration of the GPM on the back of inventory valuation losses (approx. -¥454mil).

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