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Smartkarma Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Singapore: Frasers Hospitality Trust, QAF Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Fraser Hospitality Trust (FHT SP): Scheme Vote on 15 August
  • QAF: Regional Consumer Stock with Appealing 5.6% Dividend Yield
  • Frasers Hospitality Trust (FHT SP): 15th August Vote On Frasers Prop/TCC Offer


Fraser Hospitality Trust (FHT SP): Scheme Vote on 15 August

By Arun George

  • The Frasers Hospitality Trust (FHT SP) IFA opines that Frasers Property Ltd (FPL SP)’s scheme offer of S$0.71 cash and permitted distributions (estimated at S$0.0098) is fair and reasonable.
  • While the current offer is arguably light compared to the failed 2022 offer, the lack of vocal opposition and limited retail displeasure reduces the vote risk.
  • On balance, the scheme vote should pass. For a 30 September payment, the gross/annualised spread of the total offer (S$0.7198) is 2.8%/15.6%.  

QAF: Regional Consumer Stock with Appealing 5.6% Dividend Yield

By Punit Khanna

  • Singapore small-mid cap stocks are having a good run in anticipation of Market Equity Development Programme. QAF may appeal to yield investors
  • QAF is a well run number 1 bread company in Singapore, Malaysia and Philippines
  • Business is stable and mature making it difficult for a new player to enter the market

Frasers Hospitality Trust (FHT SP): 15th August Vote On Frasers Prop/TCC Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 14th May 2025, S-REIT Frasers Hospitality Trust (FHT SP) entered into a Scheme with its current sponsor, Frasers Property Limited, @ S$0.71/share.
  • The Scheme Consideration is 1.11x the latest adjusted NAV estimate of S$0.63904/unit; and S$0.01/unit above Frasers/TCC’s S$0.70/unit failed Offer back in September 2022.
  • The Scheme Doc is now out, with a shareholder vote on the 13th August. The IFA says fair and reasonable. 

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Daily Brief India: Tilaknagar Industries, Indian Energy Exchange Ltd, Natco Pharma, Brigade Hotel Ventures Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Event Driven: Tilaknagar Ind ₹4,150 Cr Imperial Blue Acq.~Transformational Play or Leverage Trap?
  • India’s Energy Exchanges: Market Coupling, the Next Big Disruption
  • Event Driven: Natco Pharma’s Strategic Acquisition of Adcock Ingram
  • Brigade Hotel IPO: Not Suited for a Long Term Stay for Now, Can Try For a Quick Day Trip Gain
  • Market Coupling Mandate: Structural Risk or Opportunity Reset for IEX (NSE: IEX, BSE: 540750)?


Event Driven: Tilaknagar Ind ₹4,150 Cr Imperial Blue Acq.~Transformational Play or Leverage Trap?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Tilaknagar Industries (TLNGR IN) acquires Pernod Ricard India’s Imperial Blue for INR 4,150 crore, diversifying its portfolio into whisky from dominance in brandy.
  • This acquisition will establish TI as a pan-India spirits player, significantly enhancing distribution and is expected to be accretive.
  • However, substantial deal size raises concerns about equity dilution, high leverage risks, and significant integration challenges for TI

India’s Energy Exchanges: Market Coupling, the Next Big Disruption

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • India’s CERC has approved the implementation of Market Coupling in the DAM(Day Ahead Market)  by Jan-26, with Real Time Market (RTM) coupling to follow after operational experience is gained.
  • IEX currently commands 99.8% market share in both DAM and RTM. With MC, price discovery will be centralized, eroding IEX’s platform advantage and likely resulting in loss of market share.
  • If MC had been implemented in FY25, IEX’s earnings would have been 20% lower. This regulatory shift poses a clear structural risk to IEX’s volume dominance and earnings growth.

Event Driven: Natco Pharma’s Strategic Acquisition of Adcock Ingram

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Natco Pharma acquires a 35.75% stake in South Africa’s Adcock Ingram, marking its largest overseas expansion to date.
  • This move instantly gives Natco a strong foothold in Africa’s pharma market and diversifies its global revenue streams from current headwind of US market.
  • Natco transitions from a primarily India/US-focused player to a serious contender in strategic emerging markets, enhancing its growth outlook.

Brigade Hotel IPO: Not Suited for a Long Term Stay for Now, Can Try For a Quick Day Trip Gain

By Tina Banerjee

  • Brigade Hotel Ventures has filed for IPO to raise up to INR 7,596M. The company plans to sell 84.4M shares at between INR 85 and INR 90 per share.
  • The company owns and develops hotels in key cities in India, with a portfolio of nine operating hotels. The hotels are operated by global marquee hospitality companies.
  • The debt-to-equity ratio for Brigade Hotel being at 5.8x is the highest among its peers. The company’s plans to use the proceeds to service the outstanding debts makes sense.

Market Coupling Mandate: Structural Risk or Opportunity Reset for IEX (NSE: IEX, BSE: 540750)?

By Rahul Jain

  • CERC has mandated market coupling for the Day-Ahead Market starting Jan 2026, shifting price discovery to a central engine.
  • This dilutes IEX’s pricing power but core execution role, user trust, and market share offer downside protection.
  • Valuations at 38–40× FY25 EPS imply a fair value range of Rs175–195, with upside if growth in green and RTM segments accelerates.

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Most Read: IFBH, Shengyi Electronics, Doosan Corp, Cloud Village, Vishal Mega Mart, CK Hutchison Holdings, Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), REA Group Ltd, Meitu Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Most Read

In today’s briefing:

  • HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2025): Plenty of Recent IPOs Could Be Added
  • STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: Outright Changes & Migrations
  • UK Structurally Unemployed
  • Doosan Corp (000150 KS): Global Index Inclusion & A Relative Value Trade
  • Netease Cloud Music (9899 HK): Stock Up; Short Interest Up; Global Index Inclusion
  • Vishal Mega Mart (VMM IN): Increased Float & Global Index Inclusion
  • StubWorld: CKH (1 HK) – Expect Near-Term Weakness If Exclusivity Ends Without Resolution
  • A/H Premiums & Recent Listings Performance-Changing Trends but Quality Matters More than the Premium
  • Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep25: Exp ADDs Down Vs Exp DELs Since Methodology Change; Time to Reverse?
  • Meitu (1357 HK): AI-Driven Global Index Inclusion


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2025): Plenty of Recent IPOs Could Be Added

By Brian Freitas

  • We see 28 potential and close adds and 34 potential and close deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September. Some of the stocks are close on market cap/liquidity.
  • A lot of the potential adds are very recently listed stocks that have a limited trading history. The low free float could lead to price spikes in the stocks.
  • There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.

STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: Outright Changes & Migrations

By Brian Freitas

  • Nearing the end of the review period, we forecast 1 change for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and 5 changes for the STAR100 Index in September.
  • We estimate turnover of 1% for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and 3.6% for the STAR100 Index. The estimated round-trip trade is CNY 5bn (US$700m).
  • Near term performance for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) changes has been great, while the performance of the outright STAR100 Index changes has been far from satisfactory.

UK Structurally Unemployed

By Phil Rush

  • Higher employment taxes can entirely explain the fall in payrolls as the tax wedge hits its highest since 1987, raising our structural unemployment rate estimate by 0.48pp.
  • That could understate the structural shift amid a substantial drop in the threshold, rise in the minimum wage (jobs ban) and benefit rates. Some will go ‘inactive’ on disability.
  • The unemployment rate must rise more than its natural rate to deliver disinflationary pressure sustainably. Our structural estimates suggest it won’t break excess inflation.

Doosan Corp (000150 KS): Global Index Inclusion & A Relative Value Trade

By Brian Freitas

  • A doubling of the stock price over the last 3 months could lead to Doosan Corp (000150 KS) being included in a global index in August.
  • Doosan Corp (000150 KS) has outperformed its peers over the last few months and now trades at a huge valuation premium to its peer group.
  • The stock is 17% off its recent highs and that provides an opportunity for a relative value trade heading into the index inclusion event.

Netease Cloud Music (9899 HK): Stock Up; Short Interest Up; Global Index Inclusion

By Brian Freitas


Vishal Mega Mart (VMM IN): Increased Float & Global Index Inclusion

By Brian Freitas

  • An increase in the stock price and free float should result in Vishal Mega Mart (VMM IN)‘s inclusion in a global index in August.
  • Estimated passive buying is 191m shares (US$312m; 5.8x ADV; 15.4x delivery volume) at the close of trading on 26 August.
  • The index inclusion could take the stock higher in the short-term but buyers in the June placement could be looking for an exit.

StubWorld: CKH (1 HK) – Expect Near-Term Weakness If Exclusivity Ends Without Resolution

By David Blennerhassett

  • CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)‘s delicate dance continues as it juggles U.S and Beijing politics; and its fiduciary duty to shareholders, as the Blackrock exclusivity long stop date looms.
  • In a double dose of StubWorld this week, preceding my comments on CKH – and CK Infrastructure Holdings (1038 HK) – are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

A/H Premiums & Recent Listings Performance-Changing Trends but Quality Matters More than the Premium

By Sumeet Singh

  • With a spate of A/H listings already done in the first half and a lot more in the pipeline, we look at some of the trends from the recent listings.
  • In this note, we will also talk about how the A/H premiums have moved since our last note in March 2025.
  • Overall, recent A/H listings have somewhat reversed the trend of past A/H listings not doing much in the near term, with a few exceptions.

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep25: Exp ADDs Down Vs Exp DELs Since Methodology Change; Time to Reverse?

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the September 2025 index rebal event.
  • Currently, a market consultation is being conducted and there could be several significant changes made to the index selection process.
  • The official index changes will be announced after the close on Friday 5th September 2025.

Meitu (1357 HK): AI-Driven Global Index Inclusion

By Brian Freitas

  • Meitu Inc (1357 HK)‘s stock price has more than tripled over the last few months and the significantly higher market cap should lead to global index inclusion in August. 
  • Shorts covered a lot in 2024 and that has continued this year as the stock price has moved higher.
  • Meitu Inc (1357 HK) has outperformed its peers significantly and there could be a pullback in the stock following index inclusion.

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Daily Brief China: CK Hutchison Holdings, Everest Medicines, Meitu Inc, BC Technology Group, Nanjing Leads Biolabs, Aux Electric Co Ltd, Dongfang Electric, West China Cement and more

By | China, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • StubWorld: CKH (1 HK) – Expect Near-Term Weakness If Exclusivity Ends Without Resolution
  • Everest Medicine Placement – Third Deal in the Year, Previous Ones Didn’t Do Well
  • Meitu (1357 HK): AI-Driven Global Index Inclusion
  • OSL Group Placement: Momentum Is Strong but Is Opportunistic
  • Leads Biolabs (维立志生物) Trading Update
  • Aux Electric Co Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Is There Any Room Left After the Rally?
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


StubWorld: CKH (1 HK) – Expect Near-Term Weakness If Exclusivity Ends Without Resolution

By David Blennerhassett

  • CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)‘s delicate dance continues as it juggles U.S and Beijing politics; and its fiduciary duty to shareholders, as the Blackrock exclusivity long stop date looms.
  • In a double dose of StubWorld this week, preceding my comments on CKH – and CK Infrastructure Holdings (1038 HK) – are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

Everest Medicine Placement – Third Deal in the Year, Previous Ones Didn’t Do Well

By Sumeet Singh

  • Everest Medicines (1952 HK) aims to raise around US$200m via a top-up placement.
  • This will be the third placement this year for the stock, the previous two deals didn’t do well. Although the stock has bounced back a lot since.
  • In this note, we comment on the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Meitu (1357 HK): AI-Driven Global Index Inclusion

By Brian Freitas

  • Meitu Inc (1357 HK)‘s stock price has more than tripled over the last few months and the significantly higher market cap should lead to global index inclusion in August. 
  • Shorts covered a lot in 2024 and that has continued this year as the stock price has moved higher.
  • Meitu Inc (1357 HK) has outperformed its peers significantly and there could be a pullback in the stock following index inclusion.

OSL Group Placement: Momentum Is Strong but Is Opportunistic

By Nicholas Tan

  • BC Technology Group (863 HK) is looking to raise around US$157m from a primary placement.
  • The deal is a large one to digest, representing 20.2 days of the stock’s three month ADV, and 11.3% of total shares outstanding.
  • In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Leads Biolabs (维立志生物) Trading Update

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • Leads Biolabs raised HKD 1290m (USD 166m) from its global offering and will list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on Friday, July 24th.
  • In our previous note, we looked at the company’s operation, management track records and discussed the IPO valuation.
  • In this note, we provide an update for the IPO before trading debut.

Aux Electric Co Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Rosita Fernandes

  • Aux Electric Co Ltd (0917839D HK)  (AECL) is looking to raise about US$100m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunners for the deal are CICC and Oriental Securities.
  • AECL is engaged in the design, R&D, manufacturing, sales, and after-sales services of both household and central air conditioners, with operations spanning over 150 countries and regions.
  • According to F&S Report, AECL was among the top five global air conditioner providers by sales volume in 2024, with a market share of 7.1%.

Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Is There Any Room Left After the Rally?

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)‘s recent rally following the Yarlung Zangbo hydropower project announcement appears overdone, as it now trades more than 3SD above average. 
  • We estimate that, even with generous assumptions, the project will add 11.5% of revenue of its annual revenue. This seems unmatched with the 52.7% share price jump.
  • 1Q25 has performed well and deserves a re-rating, but the current extent is excessive. Fair value for the next three years is HK$18-22.8, at best.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, SK Hynix
  • US treasuries fell yesterday, with yields rising after three straight days of declines. That said, the sell-off in longer-dated treasuries moderated during the day, following strong demand for an auction of 20Y notes.
  • The UST curve bear-flattened, with the yield on the 2Y UST rising 5 bps to 3.88%, while the yield on the 10Y UST was up 4 bps at 4.38%.

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Daily Brief Japan: Toyota Motor, Pacific Industrial, Canon Marketing Japan, Kasumigaseki Hotel REIT, Pca Corp, TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX and more

By | Daily Briefs, Japan

In today’s briefing:

  • Toyota (7203 JP) Surges 14% — A Contrarian Option Strategy
  • [Japan M&A] Nikkei Reports Pacific Industrial (7250) To Go Private Via MBO at ¥110bn
  • Canon Marketing Japan (8060 JP): 1H FY12/25 flash update
  • Kasumigaseki REIT Pre-IPO: Peer Comparison – Small Is Size but Matching Its Peers on Other Metrics
  • Pca Corp (9629 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update
  • The Data Also Shows that Companies with Low Stock Valuations Are Increasingly Using Share Buybacks


Toyota (7203 JP) Surges 14% — A Contrarian Option Strategy

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: On 23 July 2025, Toyota Motor (7203 JP) surged 14.3%, driven by macro factors tied to tariffs. This Insight examines how that sharp move affected the stock’s volatility surface.
  • Key Observations: Implied volatility spiked to extreme percentiles, with two-week IV hitting the 99th–100th percentile. Skew dynamics show otm calls becoming historically rich relative to puts.
  • Opportunity: Elevated implied volatility and historically flat skew present an attractive setup for a zero-cost option strategy.

[Japan M&A] Nikkei Reports Pacific Industrial (7250) To Go Private Via MBO at ¥110bn

By Travis Lundy

  • Overnight, the Nikkei carried an article saying Toyota valve supplier Pacific Industrial (7250 JP) would go private at a 40% premium in an MBO. 
  • The implied price would match its ATH, but would remain far below book value, which is disappointing for a company with a very strong customer base and market share.
  • This is potentially blockable, but it would need to be activism from scratch I think. An activist or collection of them would need about 18-20% to block this deal.

Canon Marketing Japan (8060 JP): 1H FY12/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales rose 4.7% YoY, driven by IT solutions business growth; net income declined 6.4% YoY due to absent extraordinary gain.
  • CMJ revised FY12/25 forecasts: operating profit to JPY57.0bn (+7.3% YoY), recurring profit to JPY58.0bn (+6.6% YoY).
  • IT solutions sales projected to grow YoY, with a 7% increase in SI services and 10% in outsourcing.

Kasumigaseki REIT Pre-IPO: Peer Comparison – Small Is Size but Matching Its Peers on Other Metrics

By Nicholas Tan


Pca Corp (9629 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • In Q1 FY03/26, the company reported revenue of JPY4.0bn (+2.4% YoY) and net income of JPY348mn (-23.5% YoY).
  • Revenue from cloud services increased 15.6% YoY to JPY2.5bn, while maintenance services revenue decreased 16.0% YoY.
  • The company forecasts FY03/26 revenue of JPY17.7bn (+8.9% YoY) and net income of JPY1.9bn (+9.0% YoY).

The Data Also Shows that Companies with Low Stock Valuations Are Increasingly Using Share Buybacks

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Data suggests that share buybacks/share cancellations are expected to have positive effect on ROE/ROA, while companies with low valuations increasingly utilize share buybacks as a measure to raise stock prices.
  • Overseas investors share the value that companies should have business plans for growth and return surplus cash after investment to shareholders. There’s gap between investors and companies inn this value.
  • More effective approach would be to require management to fulfill accountability by explaining fundamentals of returning unused cash to shareholders and disclosing business plans if they wish to retain cash.

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Daily Brief Energy/Materials: Hyosung Corporation, Venture Global LNG, Kinder Morgan, Chevron Corp, Copper, BHP Group Ltd, New Zealand Energy, ADF Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, Energy & Materials Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Korea’s Div Tax Overhaul Playbook: Payout Growers Set for Momentum (Screened in Excel)
  • Venture Global (VG) Six Month Summary: Failed IPO Shows How Fast Wall Street Love Can Fade
  • Kinder Morgan: Haynesville Gas Gathering Expansion for Robust Growth Potential In Pipeline Utilization!
  • Chevron Just Won Big: What Its $53 Billion Hess Acquisition & Legal Victory Over Exxon Really Mean!
  • Real Asset Chartbook Week #15: Copper Stocks, Railroad Mergers, and the History of US Trade Policy
  • BHP Battling Rising Costs, Production Challenges
  • New Zealand Energy Corp. (TSX-V: NZ): Equity raise to progress Tariki gas storage
  • DRX: Signs Five-Year Contract for $35-40M Annually


Korea’s Div Tax Overhaul Playbook: Payout Growers Set for Momentum (Screened in Excel)

By Sanghyun Park

  • Korea’s first full-scale tax reform in 3 years sets the stage for rate tweaks and deduction shifts—follow-up amendment bills usually get fast-tracked with high legislative priority.
  • Dividend tax tweak could be the biggest near-term mover—eligibility widens, but tax cut shrinks. Focus shifts to names hiking payout, not just high-yielders—key for positioning.
  • I screened target names with FY1/FY2 payout data and narrowed to KRW 1T+ stocks showing ≥10% YoY payout growth—likely short-term momentum plays ahead of the tax overhaul.

Venture Global (VG) Six Month Summary: Failed IPO Shows How Fast Wall Street Love Can Fade

By IPO Boutique

  • Venture Global, Inc.’s IPO was one of the largest capital raises of the year, pulling in $1.75 billion through the sale of 70 million shares at $25.00 per share.
  • In the months following the IPO, the performance worsened. By April, Venture Global shares had plunged to a low of $6.75, marking a staggering 73% decline from its IPO price.
  • Regaining credibility will require not only strong quarterly results but also a sustained effort to rebuild institutional confidence.

Kinder Morgan: Haynesville Gas Gathering Expansion for Robust Growth Potential In Pipeline Utilization!

By Baptista Research

  • Kinder Morgan Inc. (KMI) delivered quarterly results that highlighted notable financial performance and forwardlooking business prospects, especially in the context of the growing international demand for natural gas.
  • Positively, Kinder Morgan reported strong financial growth, with adjusted EBITDA and EPS increasing by 6% and 12% respectively compared to the second quarter of 2024.
  • The company expects to exceed its budget for 2025, buoyed by the promising acquisition of Outrigger Energy.

Chevron Just Won Big: What Its $53 Billion Hess Acquisition & Legal Victory Over Exxon Really Mean!

By Baptista Research

  • Chevron has officially closed its $53 billion acquisition of Hess Corporation following a decisive arbitration victory over ExxonMobil, marking one of the most consequential moves in the global oil and gas sector this decade.
  • The long-disputed deal had been mired in uncertainty due to Exxon’s contractual claims over Hess’s stake in the Guyana oil fields—a globally significant resource discovery with multi-decade production potential.
  • However, a panel of international arbitrators sided with Chevron and Hess, clearing the way for the transaction to proceed.

Real Asset Chartbook Week #15: Copper Stocks, Railroad Mergers, and the History of US Trade Policy

By Massif Capital Research

  • Our commentary this week is more limited and slightly disjointed, as we are not seeing any clear narratives or themes to focus on.
  • Here are a few charts that caught our attention in flipping this week’s chartbook.
  • Our tactical breadth charts, specifically for metals and mining stocks, suggest that a reversal of the recent rise may be in the cards.

BHP Battling Rising Costs, Production Challenges

By FNArena

  • BHP Group’s fourth quarter operational report resulted in record iron ore and copper production for FY25.
  • Weaker commodity pricing and delays at Jansen potash provided negative offsets

New Zealand Energy Corp. (TSX-V: NZ): Equity raise to progress Tariki gas storage

By Auctus Advisors

  • • New Zealand Energy (NZE) has raised C$3 mm of new equity priced at C$0.18 per share.
  • The proceeds of the raise will fund the desktop studies required to prepare the field development plan, derisking the gas storage project ahead of expected monetization within the next 12 months.
  • It will also fund the repayment of the convertible note.

DRX: Signs Five-Year Contract for $35-40M Annually

By Atrium Research

  • What you need to know: • ADF secured a five-year Québec energy contract for $35M-$40M annually, with a five-year extension option, totalling nearly $400M.
  • • The deal diversifies revenue outside the U.S. and adds long-term, recurring income, reducing exposure to market cyclicality.
  • • Q2 financials will be released in September, we are expecting revenue of $58.2M, 22% gross margin, and EBITDA of $10.0M.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Japan Post Holdings, Doosan Corp, CK Hutchison Holdings, Korea Fuel Tech, General Electric , 3M Co, Fastenal Co, Virgin Australia Holdings, Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), Vestas Wind Systems A/S and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • StubWorld: Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP) Is “Cheap”
  • Doosan Corp (000150 KS): Global Index Inclusion & A Relative Value Trade
  • CK Hutchison (1 HK): State of Limbo as Exclusivity Deadline Approaches
  • Korea Small Cap Gem #41: Korea Fuel Tech (FT) Corp
  • GE Aerospace’s New Focus: How LEAP Engine Retrofits & $4B in Services Could Up Their Game!
  • 3M’s Power Moves Against Tariffs & FX Shocks: What Is Its Survival Strategy!
  • Fastenal Company: Will Its Expansion Of E-commerce Capabilities Help Them Up The Ante?
  • Can Virgin Succeed This Time?
  • A/H Premiums & Recent Listings Performance-Changing Trends but Quality Matters More than the Premium
  • Vestas Wind Systems: Initiation Of Coverage- An Insight Into Offshore Wind Market Dynamics & Key Growth Levers!


StubWorld: Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP) Is “Cheap”

By David Blennerhassett


Doosan Corp (000150 KS): Global Index Inclusion & A Relative Value Trade

By Brian Freitas

  • A doubling of the stock price over the last 3 months could lead to Doosan Corp (000150 KS) being included in a global index in August.
  • Doosan Corp (000150 KS) has outperformed its peers over the last few months and now trades at a huge valuation premium to its peer group.
  • The stock is 17% off its recent highs and that provides an opportunity for a relative value trade heading into the index inclusion event.

CK Hutchison (1 HK): State of Limbo as Exclusivity Deadline Approaches

By Arun George

  • The 145-day exclusivity period between CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK) and the BlackRock-TiL consortium for the politically charged ports deal ends on July 27.
  • The transaction is in limbo as China’s preferred pathway for approval (COSCO is included in the consortium as an equal partner) has several issues.
  • It is equally probable that the deal will be finalised in some shape or form or fall apart. With shares up 31% and nearing a five-year high, take profits. 

Korea Small Cap Gem #41: Korea Fuel Tech (FT) Corp

By Douglas Kim

  • Korea Fuel Tech (123410 KS) is the 41st company in our Korea Small Cap Gem Series. 
  • Korea Fuel Tech (FT) Corp is a Korean automotive components manufacturer specializing in emissions control systems, fuel system parts, and other auto plastic parts.
  • Three key investment highlights include key beneficiary of growing demand for carbon canisters used in hybrid vehicles, compelling valuations, and sharp increase in operating margins/ROE. 

GE Aerospace’s New Focus: How LEAP Engine Retrofits & $4B in Services Could Up Their Game!

By Baptista Research

  • General Electric Company (GE) Aerospace’s second quarter of 2025 earnings report reflects a robust performance and a constructive outlook characterized by growth in revenue, profits, and operational efficiencies.
  • The company continues to leverage its strong position within the aerospace industry, both in commercial and defense sectors, to sustain and enhance its performance metrics.
  • In the reported quarter, GE Aerospace exhibited solid growth across several financial parameters.

3M’s Power Moves Against Tariffs & FX Shocks: What Is Its Survival Strategy!

By Baptista Research

  • 3M Company’s recent earnings presentation highlighted a mixed performance across different metrics, reflecting both strides in operational efficiency and challenges from macroeconomic factors.
  • With an adjusted earnings per share of $2.16, up 12% year-over-year and surpassing expectations, 3M reported a solid quarter.
  • Organic sales growth of 1.5% showed a third consecutive quarter of growth across all business groups, demonstrating some resilience despite external challenges.

Fastenal Company: Will Its Expansion Of E-commerce Capabilities Help Them Up The Ante?

By Baptista Research

  • Fastenal Company’s Q2 2025 results demonstrated a notable blend of achievements and challenges.
  • The quarter marked a milestone with sales exceeding $2 billion for the first time, reflecting an 8.6% year-over-year increase.
  • This growth, the strongest since early 2023, primarily stemmed from strategic market share gains, effective execution of the company’s strategic plan, and incremental pricing actions aimed at countering supply chain cost pressures.

Can Virgin Succeed This Time?

By FNArena

  • Virgin Australia ((VGN)) is back for another go (which brings the name into question), having entered administration as a result of covid before being revived under private equity ownership.
  • Australia’s second airline has returned to listed life with a simplified portfolio and strategy that, Ord Minnett believes, should resonate well with investors attracted to the relatively high quality/low risk Australian domestic aviation market.
  • The broker sees a compelling earnings outlook into FY26, with relatively stable fares, falling fuel expenses, and transformation benefits. 

A/H Premiums & Recent Listings Performance-Changing Trends but Quality Matters More than the Premium

By Sumeet Singh

  • With a spate of A/H listings already done in the first half and a lot more in the pipeline, we look at some of the trends from the recent listings.
  • In this note, we will also talk about how the A/H premiums have moved since our last note in March 2025.
  • Overall, recent A/H listings have somewhat reversed the trend of past A/H listings not doing much in the near term, with a few exceptions.

Vestas Wind Systems: Initiation Of Coverage- An Insight Into Offshore Wind Market Dynamics & Key Growth Levers!

By Baptista Research

  • Vestas Wind Systems A/S has presented its Q1 2025 financial results, showcasing substantial growth and areas of concern.
  • The company’s revenue for the quarter was 3.5 billion EUR, representing a 29% increase year-onyear, fueled by increased activity and higher average pricing in Power Solutions.
  • The EBIT margin was marginally positive at 0.4%, attributed to revenue growth and improved project profitability despite typical low seasonal activity.

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Daily Brief Utilities: China Water Affairs and more

By | Daily Briefs, Utilities Sector

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: China Water Affairs, Rakuten Group, Nickel Industries
  • UST yields declined for a third straight day, albeit there were few macro catalysts. The yield on the 2Y and 10Y UST declined 3 bps each to 3.83% and 4.35%, respectively. Equities were mixed, as tech stocks retreated ahead of their earnings releases next week.
  • The S&P 500 rose 0.1% to 6,310, while the Nasdaq declined 0.4% to 20,893.

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Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Topcon Corp, NetEase , Gcl Poly Energy Holdings Limited, iShares MSCI China ETF, ASML Holding NV, Texas Instruments, Bilibili , GCI Liberty Class A, Beeks Financial Cloud Group and more

By | Daily Briefs, TMT/Internet

In today’s briefing:

  • [7732 JP] KKR–JIC Take-Private of Topcon: Strategic Bet on Digital Eye Care
  • Tencent/Netease: Zero Approval in July
  • GCL Tech (3800): Why Wait?
  • More Breakouts and Risk-On Developments; Monitoring Rotations: Miners, Retail, Lithium, China
  • ASML: An Insight Into Its Recent Technological Advancements In EUV & High NA Lithography!
  • TXN: Good Results, Decent Guidance, the Stock Tanks -13%. The Market Didn’t like the New Narrative.
  • [Bilibili Inc. (BILI US, BUY, TP US$24) TP Change]: C2Q25 Preview: New Game Emerged for 4Q Launch
  • GCI Liberty Spin-off Deep Dive
  • Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 14/07/2025


[7732 JP] KKR–JIC Take-Private of Topcon: Strategic Bet on Digital Eye Care

By Rahul Jain

  • KKR and JIC Capital launched a ¥348B (~$2.3B) MBO for Topcon (7732 JP) at ¥3,300/share, offering an ~88% premium.
  • The deal implies ~78x FY25 P/E and ~37x FY26E P/E—pricing in Eye Care’s high-margin growth while Positioning remains a cyclical drag.
  • Long term, Eye Care is well-positioned to scale globally as AI diagnostics and SaaS platforms unlock sustained double-digit growth.

Tencent/Netease: Zero Approval in July

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • China announced game approval for the July batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.
  • The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening.
  • In July, 7 listed companies that we tracked received zero domestic game approval. Having said that, overall sentiment is improving and gaming names have performed well YTD.

GCL Tech (3800): Why Wait?

By Henry Soediarko

  • Suffering from overcapacity for a while, the company is a beneficiary of the Chinese government policy to consolidate the solar industry. 
  • At 0.6x PBR and a share price at HKD 1.3, far from its high at HKD 4, sounds like a bargain. 
  • Management has conducted one share buy back this year and share price rallied afterwards. 

More Breakouts and Risk-On Developments; Monitoring Rotations: Miners, Retail, Lithium, China

By Joe Jasper

  • We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
  • Short-Term supports on the SPX include the 20-day MA (currently 6233), 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059, with additional supports at 5804-5854 and 5700-5785. Buy pullbacks to these areas.
  • SPX has not closed below its 20-day MA for two months, but even when it does, all we would expect to happen is for a new, less-steep uptrend to form.

ASML: An Insight Into Its Recent Technological Advancements In EUV & High NA Lithography!

By Baptista Research

  • ASML Holding recently reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, demonstrating strong performance amidst a backdrop of macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty.
  • The company reported total net sales of EUR 7.7 billion, reaching the upper end of its guidance range.
  • This was driven by successful revenue recognition of one High Numerical Aperture (NA) system and additional upgrade business, with net system sales amounting to EUR 5.6 billion.

TXN: Good Results, Decent Guidance, the Stock Tanks -13%. The Market Didn’t like the New Narrative.

By Nicolas Baratte

  • 2Q25 results beat Consensus by 5%. 3Q guidance is close to Consensus, so you can’t call that a disappointment.
  • Very different tone. 1Q management was confident of a cyclical recovery and accelerating growth in 2H25. Now, we have lower growth in 3Q, more disclaimers, 2Q was “too hot” .
  • The stock was trading at 38x 2025 EPS and 32x 2026 before earnings, a bit of disappointment does crash the stock -13%. This can take weeks to settle down.

[Bilibili Inc. (BILI US, BUY, TP US$24) TP Change]: C2Q25 Preview: New Game Emerged for 4Q Launch

By Ying Pan

  • Local news reported that <Project: Three Kingdom Ncard>, a derivative card game of its <Three Kingdom MDTX> IP, might be released in C4Q25. 
  • <Ncard> fills the air pocket in BILI’s game pipeline. We thus raised BILI’s TP from US$22.0 to US$ 24.0 and maintain BUY rating.
  • We thus raised BILI’s TP from US$22.0 to US$ 24.0 and maintain BUY rating.

GCI Liberty Spin-off Deep Dive

By Richard Howe

  • In anticipation of its merger with Charter Communications (CHTR), Liberty Broadband (LBRDA/LBRDK) spun off its Alaska telecom business (GCI Liberty).
  • Liberty shareholders received 0.20 shares of GCI Liberty common stock per Liberty Broadband common share. Regular way trading starting on July 15, 2025.
  • GCI Liberty is the leading telecom provider in Alaska. The remoteness and harshness of the Alaskan landscape provides a moat around its business.

Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 14/07/2025

By Hybridan

  • A cloud computing and connectivity provider for financial markets announced the signing of approximately $10m of Proximity Cloud contracts in June and provided an update on trading for the year ended 30 June 2025 (FY25).
  • Results for FY25 are expected to once more demonstrate significant double-digit growth on the prior year, driven by a strong performance across Beeks’ Private, Proximity and Exchange Cloud offerings.
  • Revenue for FY25 is expected to have increased by approximately 25% to £35.5m (30 June 2024: £28.5m), with underlying EBITDA growth of 29% to £13.8m (30 June 2024: £10.7m) and underlying profit before tax growth of 41% to £5.5m (30 June 2024: £3.9m). 

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Wall Street Rises on Trade Hopes; Tesla Misses and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Wall Street Rises on Trade Hopes; Tesla Misses, Alphabet Beats
  • HK Strategy: Finding the Gems in 1H25 HK IPOs
  • Japan Morning Connection: US Liking JP and Expected EU Trade Deals, Expect Flows Back in Tech
  • Healthcare’s Challenge: Antimicrobial Resistance
  • Semi Key Indicators Q2 2025: PC, Smartphone Unit Shipments, Global Semi & WFE Sales All Looking Good


Ohayo Japan | Wall Street Rises on Trade Hopes; Tesla Misses, Alphabet Beats

By Mark Chadwick

  • U.S. stocks rose on trade optimism, Tesla missed earnings but reaffirmed product plans, while Alphabet beat estimates on strong ad and cloud growth, highlighting AI’s growing impact.
  • Japan-US tariff agreement drives rally: Trump announces 15% reciprocal tariffs, Japan commits $550 billion US investment, auto tariffs reduced to 15%
  • Listed Japanese companies are forecast to post an average ROE of 8.5% for FY2025, the lowest in five years

HK Strategy: Finding the Gems in 1H25 HK IPOs

By Osbert Tang, CFA


Japan Morning Connection: US Liking JP and Expected EU Trade Deals, Expect Flows Back in Tech

By Andrew Jackson

  • Big capex plans for Google and good numbers for SK Hynix setting strong tone for AI related.
  • Momo names slid yesterday, although Ishiba heading for door may pressure heavies further.
  • Autos squeezed hard yesterday, but there should be more upside for names with elevated SI still.

Healthcare’s Challenge: Antimicrobial Resistance

By FNArena

  • Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is often framed as a public health crisis.
  • But for investors, it represents a systemic, underappreciated risk that can quietly erode value across sectors and portfolios.
  • As bacteria and viruses evolve to resist treatment, the effectiveness of antibiotics diminishes. 

Semi Key Indicators Q2 2025: PC, Smartphone Unit Shipments, Global Semi & WFE Sales All Looking Good

By William Keating

  • According to Gartner, PC unit shipments increased 4.1% YoY in Q225 to reach 63.2 million
  • According to IDC, smartphone unit shipments grew 1% YoY in the second quarter, reaching 295.2 million units
  • Global semi sales were up 20% YoY in May while SEMI now expects YoY growth in WFE spending of 7.5% in 2025 and a further 10% in 2026

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