In today’s briefing:
- HSCI / HK Connect Sep 2026 Rebalance: Post-Announcement Positioning
- IPO Databook: Eaglerise Electric & Electronic (CHINA) (HK) – Aug 2026
- Continental Aerospace Technologies (232 HK): Synthetic Expert Call Transcript (23 Aug 2026)
- SINGAPORE AIRLINES (SIA): Bloody
- Merger Arb Mondays (24 Aug) – Con Aero, Z Fin, European Lithium, Cygnus, OFX, Kakaku, Baudroie
- Aequitas: Horizon Industrial Parks Limited IPO Trading – Weak Demand
HSCI / HK Connect Sep 2026 Rebalance: Post-Announcement Positioning
- The September 2026 HSCI review adds 53 names to southbound Connect, 49 new and 4 returning, and removes 15, all effective 7 Sep 2026.
- The announced list ran wider than our forecast. 33 of our 36 ADD calls and 14 of 25 DELETE calls were announced.
- Current ADDs rose into the announcement and DELETEs fell. Historically, ADD-NEWs outperformed ADD-REJOINs over the bridge, while DELETEs fell further after announcement.
IPO Databook: Eaglerise Electric & Electronic (CHINA) (HK) – Aug 2026
- Eaglerise Electric & Electronic (CHINA) Co., Ltd. is a global supplier of power equipment and solutions, leveraging proprietary core technologies and R&D capabilities, specializing in transformer equipment.
- The company ranked second among China-based suppliers in the global medium-voltage transformer equipment market with a 2.3% share in 2025.
- Gross profit margin decreased from 21.7% in 2023 to 17.6% in 2025.
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Continental Aerospace Technologies (232 HK): Synthetic Expert Call Transcript (23 Aug 2026)
- The Arcline Carve-Out: The June 8, 2026 transaction in which US private equity firm Arcline Investment Management agreed to acquire Continental Aerospace Technologies for $535 million ended 15 years of Chinese state ownership under Aviation Industry Corporation of China (AVIC). The deal represents an EV/EBITDA multiple of 15.3x on 2025 adjusted EBITDA of $35 million (HKD 272 million) and is currently progressing through a complex liquidation and delisting of the Hong Kong-listed shell (0232:HK).
- Geopolitical Bottlenecks and Strategic Friction: The divestment was catalyzed by intense regulatory pressure, specifically CFIUS oversight and DOD scrutiny over AVIC’s military ties. Friction peaked following reports by local media outlet Lagniappe concerning a leaked 2022 proposal by CEO Karen Hong to acquire a Russian-owned competitor (RED Aircraft) to modernize Chinese military pilot training, making continued Chinese ownership of a critical US defense-adjacent supplier untenable.
- Structural Profitability Hurdles: While top-line revenue reached $257 million (HKD 2.0 billion) in 2025, gross margins remain constrained at 25.12% and operating margins sit at just 3.24%. This subpar performance is a direct result of inefficient capital allocation under AVIC, characterized by pre-2023 R&D starvation, high dual-certification compliance overhead between the FAA and EASA, and single-source dependencies for critical engine crankcase castings.
Disclaimer: The following transcripts are synthetic, AI-generated on demand, and compiled exclusively from public data sources; no real-word experts were actually interviewed. This content is designed to highlight potential market mispricings, explore compelling lines of inquiry, and suggest strategic questions rather than present verified facts. All specific financial metrics and data points, including market shares, TAM, margins, and growth rates, are AI-estimated approximations. They may be inaccurate and must be independently verified.
SINGAPORE AIRLINES (SIA): Bloody
- Singapore Airlines (SIA SP) share price performance for the last 5 years is quite strong, thanks to the COVID rebound.
- However, losses are still coming, notably from the continuing loss from Air India as well as the delayed fuel hedging loss as net fuel cost skyrocketed by 78% YoY.
- Air India losses come from a crowded market (with low-cost carriers) as well as integration issues. More capital calls are expected, which is a negative for Singapore Airlines.
Merger Arb Mondays (24 Aug) – Con Aero, Z Fin, European Lithium, Cygnus, OFX, Kakaku, Baudroie
- I summarise the latest spreads and newsflow for the merger arb situations covered across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Chinese ADRs.
- Highest spreads: Skyworth (751 HK), Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK), European Lithium (EUR AU), Cygnus Metals (CY5 AU), OFX Group (OFX AU), Tourism Holdings (THL NZ), Atlantic Lithium (A11 AU).
- Lowest spreads: Accent Group (AX1 AU), FleetPartners Group (FPR AU), Baudroie (4413 JP), Kakaku.com Inc (2371 JP), Ausgold Ltd (AUC AU), Taiyo Holdings (4626 JP).
Aequitas: Horizon Industrial Parks Limited IPO Trading – Weak Demand
- Horizon Industrial Parks Limited (1327105D IN) (HIPL) raised around US$272m in its upcoming India IPO.
- HIPL is the largest industrial and logistics infrastructure developer, owner and operator by total network, as per JLL, with 45 assets across 10 cities spanning fulfillment, industrial and in-city centers.
- We have looked at the past performance and valuations in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.
