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Daily Briefs

Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 28th): Lynas Rare Earths and more

By | Daily Briefs, Quantitative Analysis

In today’s briefing:

  • ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 28th): Lynas Rare Earths, James Hardie Industries, Transurban, CAR


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 28th): Lynas Rare Earths, James Hardie Industries, Transurban, CAR

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Nov 28th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD27.2bn.
  • We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in Lynas Rare Earths, James Hardie Industries, Transurban, CAR, Macquarie.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Markets Mixed and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Markets Mixed, Rate-Cut Bets Rise, Tech Outperforms
  • Japan Morning Connection: Memory Back on and Micron Steps Back from Consumer to Focus on Enterprise
  • Asia Real Estate Tracker (04-Dec-2025): Arch Capital exits $500M stake in Taiwan mall.
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (05-Dec-2025): Samsung unveils Exynos 2600, rivals Apple and
  • What’s News in Amsterdam


Ohayo Japan | Markets Mixed, Rate-Cut Bets Rise, Tech Outperforms

By Mark Chadwick

  • U.S. stocks were mixed as soft labor data and tech gains boosted hopes for Fed easing, despite corporate layoffs and policy uncertainty, with investors awaiting Friday’s key PCE inflation report.
  • Tech outperformed as Meta jumped on planned metaverse cutbacks, Nvidia gained over 2%, and Salesforce rose on a stronger outlook.
  • Japanese automakers rallied after Trump scrapped Biden’s fuel-efficiency rules, boosting prospects for conventional powertrains and benefiting Subaru’s U.S.-focused lineup. 

Japan Morning Connection: Memory Back on and Micron Steps Back from Consumer to Focus on Enterprise

By Andrew Jackson

  • Sandisk up as NAND prices continue to surge, expect Kioxia to run also with recent Bain sale cleared.
  • JP factory automation names surged yesterday, but there are likely more gains yet as the next leg for AI.
  • Quantum names all strong on good numbers, but will Socionext catch on this time?

Asia Real Estate Tracker (04-Dec-2025): Arch Capital exits $500M stake in Taiwan mall.

By Asia Real Estate Tracker

  • Arch Capital has sold its stake in a $500 million shopping mall located in Taiwan.
  • Singapore has initiated applications for the construction of new data centers totaling 200MW.
  • City Developments Limited (CDL) has purchased the Holiday Inn in Central London for $370 million.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (05-Dec-2025): Samsung unveils Exynos 2600, rivals Apple and

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Samsung’s new Exynos 2600 chip aims to rival offerings from Apple and Qualcomm in the market.
  • Chroma has appointed I-Shih Tseng as CEO to enhance governance and operational efficiency.
  • Transcend expects memory supply constraints to persist for the next 3-5 months amid market instability.

What’s News in Amsterdam

By The IDEA!

  • Yesterday, Basic-Fit hosted a session to provide an update on the Clever Fit acquisition, that was announced at the end of October and completed two weeks later.
  • At its upcoming CMD, to be hosted on 20 April of next year, the company will provide a detailed update on the acquisition.
  • At yesterday’s update, Basic-Fit shared some light on the German market and the savings it expects

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Daily Brief ECM: [Japan IPO] The SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO; Cosmetically Pretty and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • [Japan IPO] The SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO; Cosmetically Pretty, Otherwise Meh
  • Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical A/H Listing-Strong Track Record but Has Been Suffering Lately
  • Meesho Ltd IPO – Value-Led Play, Moderately Priced
  • Meesho Ltd IPO- Watch Out for Impairment Allowance
  • Meesho:Data Science Workhorse;Fast Evolving—Venturing into Financial Services & Other AI Investments
  • Guangdong Tianyu IPO Trading: Weak Insti and Retail Demand


[Japan IPO] The SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO; Cosmetically Pretty, Otherwise Meh

By Travis Lundy

  • The SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) IPO is due to be priced on 8 December and start trading on 17 December 2025.
  • I have been reluctant to write because of my general lack of excitement regarding the IPO and its after-market prospects. It is, as a friend says, “neither here nor there.”
  • But as the bank was my High Conviction Long trade for 2021, 2022, and 2023 and I wrote about the events in the interim, I thought I should opine.

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical A/H Listing-Strong Track Record but Has Been Suffering Lately

By Sumeet Singh

  • Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH) (SMBE), a provider of medical devices, is looking to raise about US$2bn in its upcoming H-share IPO
  • SMBE is a diversified global medical device enterprise with its products spanning In Vitro Diagnostics (IVD), patient monitoring and life support, medical imaging, along with an emerging business portfolio.
  • In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.

Meesho Ltd IPO – Value-Led Play, Moderately Priced

By Akshat Shah

  • Meesho (1546271D IN) is looking to raise around US$607m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Meesho is an e-commerce marketplace, offering a wide assortment of products ranging from low cost unbranded products, regional and national brands at affordable prices to consumers.
  • In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance earlier. In this note, we talk about the implied valuations in the price range.

Meesho Ltd IPO- Watch Out for Impairment Allowance

By Nitin Mangal

  • Meesho (1546271D IN)‘s INR 52.4 bn IPO is currently open for subscription. It consists of fresh issue worth INR 42.5 bn and OFS component worth INR 11.7 bn 
  • The company is India’s largest E-Com platforms in terms of placed orders and user base, and make its mark in the value segment, offering mostly unbranded and regional branded products. 
  • While KPIs signal growth and operational efficiencies, Meesho is still a loss maker. It has high litigation risk and seeing rapid increase in impairments and write offs with receivables

Meesho:Data Science Workhorse;Fast Evolving—Venturing into Financial Services & Other AI Investments

By Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

  • In this insight, we highlight why Meesho (1546271D IN) is a data science workhorse masquerading as an E-Commerce Platform
  • We discuss about the various advancements made by the company towards AL/ML models which are difficult to replicate.
  • Finally, we discuss our view on future prospects and valuation of the company.

Guangdong Tianyu IPO Trading: Weak Insti and Retail Demand

By Nicholas Tan

  • Guangdong Tianyu Semiconductor (2223725D CH) raised around US$224m in its HK IPO.
  • It was founded in 2009, and is the largest domestic PRC SiC epitaxal wafer manufacturer both in terms of revenue and sales volume, as of 2024.
  • We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

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Daily Brief South Korea: SK Inc, Shin Young Wacoal and more

By | Daily Briefs, South Korea

In today’s briefing:

  • 2026 High Conviction Idea: SK Inc
  • A Review of Korean Small Cap Gems in 2025


2026 High Conviction Idea: SK Inc

By Douglas Kim

  • Three main reasons why SK Inc is our high conviction in 2026 include mandatory cancellation of treasury shares, deep discount to NAV, and the end of divorce for Chairman Chey. 
  • SK Inc has 17.98 million shares in treasury, representing 24.8% of outstanding shares. Among the stocks included in KOSPI200, this is one of the highest percentage of treasury shares.
  • Our NAV valuation analysis suggests NAV of 28 trillion won or NAV per share of 386,469 won. This represents a 46% upside to its current price.

A Review of Korean Small Cap Gems in 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we review our Korean Small Cap Gem insights that we published in 2025. We published 18 Korea Small Cap Gem Series insights in 2025.
  • The 18 Korean Small Caps have generally performed well this year. They were up on average 17% and 45%, respectively one week and two weeks after the insights were published.
  • Some of the best performing stocks so far this year include Chunil Express (000650 KS), Aurora World (039830 KS), Makus Inc (093520 KS), and Flitto Inc. (300080 KS). 

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Daily Brief Singapore: Spindex Industries, Lendlease Global Commercial REIT, UltraGreen.AI and more

By | Daily Briefs, Singapore

In today’s briefing:

  • Spindex Inds (SPE SP): 18th Dec Vote On MBO
  • Spindex Industries (SPE SP): Scheme Vote on 18 December
  • Highlights of the 30 Most Traded Non-STI Stocks in 2H25
  • Primer: UltraGreen.AI (ULG SP) – Dec 2025


Spindex Inds (SPE SP): 18th Dec Vote On MBO

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 26th September, precision parts manufacturer Spindex Industries (SPE SP) announced an Offer, by way of a Scheme, from the Tan Family, Spindex’s controlling shareholder, with 74.95%.
  • The Tan’s offered S$1.43/share, an okay 27.7% premium to undisturbed; but a decade-high price. A A$0.02/share was also bolted on (& now paid). No competing Offer will emerge.
  • The Scheme Booklet is now out, with a Scheme Meeting on the 18th December, and expected payment on the 11th Feb 2026. The IFA (Evolve Capital) says “fair & reasonable“.

Spindex Industries (SPE SP): Scheme Vote on 18 December

By Arun George

  • The Spindex Industries (SPE SP) IFA has opined that the Chairman and PrimeMovers Equity’s scheme offer of S$1.43 is fair and reasonable.
  • The offer is at the upper end of the IFA valuation range of S$0.71 and S$1.44. The offer is at adjusted NAV and is attractive compared to historical trading ranges.
  • The absence of a disinterested shareholder holding a blocking stake and moderate retail ownership reduces voting risk. This is a done deal.

Highlights of the 30 Most Traded Non-STI Stocks in 2H25

By Geoff Howie

  • The next 30 most traded stocks in 2H25 have a combined market capitalisation of S$74 billion, spanning all 12 sectors.
  • Seven REITs among these stocks have a combined market value of S$19.5 billion and S$53.1 million in 2H25 ADT.
  • CSE Global leads net institutional inflow-to-market cap ratio, with ADT rising to S$5.8 million in 2H25.

Primer: UltraGreen.AI (ULG SP) – Dec 2025

By αSK

  • Market Leader in a High-Growth Niche: UltraGreen.AI is a global leader in the manufacturing and distribution of indocyanine green (ICG), a critical consumable for the rapidly expanding Fluorescence Guided Surgery (FGS) market. The FGS market is projected to experience robust double-digit compound annual growth, driven by the increasing adoption of minimally invasive and precision surgical techniques.
  • Strong Financial Profile with High Profitability: The company has demonstrated a track record of impressive revenue growth and consistently high-profitability margins. This financial strength is underpinned by its dominant market position and stable pricing power, particularly in the lucrative US market.
  • Strategic Shift Towards an AI-Powered Ecosystem: UltraGreen.AI is strategically evolving from a consumables provider to an integrated surgical intelligence platform. By combining its ICG products with proprietary imaging systems (IC-Flow™) and an AI-driven data analytics platform (PerfusionWorks™), the company aims to create a comprehensive ecosystem that enhances surgical decision-making and patient outcomes, creating significant barriers to entry.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


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Daily Brief Indonesia: Indo Tambangraya Megah and more

By | Daily Briefs, Indonesia

In today’s briefing:

  • Primer: Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ) – Dec 2025


Primer: Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ) – Dec 2025

By αSK

  • Impending 10% Share Buyback: A significant near-term catalyst is the planned 10% share buyback, strongly supported by a robust balance sheet where cash reserves constitute approximately 67% of the company’s market capitalization.
  • Superior Shareholder Returns vs. Cyclical Headwinds: ITMG has a strong track record of returning value to shareholders via high dividend yields. However, the company’s financial performance is currently impacted by a cyclical downturn in coal prices, which has compressed margins and reduced profitability from the peak levels of 2022.
  • Strategic Transition Amidst ESG Pressure: As a pure-play coal miner, ITMG faces significant long-term risks from the global energy transition. The company has initiated a transformation by investing in renewable energy, but its earnings remain overwhelmingly dependent on the thermal coal market.

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Daily Brief Event-Driven: Dongfeng (489 HK): Revisiting VOYAH’s Spin-Off Valuation and more

By | Daily Briefs, Event-Driven

In today’s briefing:

  • Dongfeng (489 HK): Revisiting VOYAH’s Spin-Off Valuation
  • ANE (9956 HK): Tempting Fate Through an Unchanged Share Alternative Cap?
  • Spindex Inds (SPE SP): 18th Dec Vote On MBO
  • Tsuruha-Welcia: Will Scale Translate into Profit?
  • Spindex Industries (SPE SP): Scheme Vote on 18 December
  • Exploring 17 Actionable Investment Opportunities: MLP Buyouts, Merger Arbitrage and More


Dongfeng (489 HK): Revisiting VOYAH’s Spin-Off Valuation

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 22nd August 2025, SOE-backed Dongfeng Motor (489 HK) announced a privatisation; together with a concurrent listing of its EV arm, VOYAH. The two proposals are interconditional.
  • In its October application proof, VOYAH turned a profit in 7M25.  The market was implying a price-to-trailing-sales of 1.5x for VOYAH, versus the basket average of 2.1x. It’s now ~1.2x.
  • Key PRC reg approvals (Mofcom/NDRC/SAFE) remain outstanding. Meanwhile, a basket of peers are down 21% since the dual proposals were announced. And their average price-to-trailing-sales are down to 1.7x. 

ANE (9956 HK): Tempting Fate Through an Unchanged Share Alternative Cap?

By Arun George

  • The consortium has decided NOT to exercise its right to increase the ANE Cayman Inc (9956 HK) share alternative cap from 5.00% to 7.50% of outstanding shares. 
  • The positive read-across is that it signals the consortium’s confidence that the vote will pass, as reflected in the quick decision not to lift the cap (deadline was 12 December). 
  • The negative readacross is that shareholders requesting the scrip option likely exceeded the 7.5% upper threshold, and the consortium is hoping that these shareholders will instead take the mix option.

Spindex Inds (SPE SP): 18th Dec Vote On MBO

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 26th September, precision parts manufacturer Spindex Industries (SPE SP) announced an Offer, by way of a Scheme, from the Tan Family, Spindex’s controlling shareholder, with 74.95%.
  • The Tan’s offered S$1.43/share, an okay 27.7% premium to undisturbed; but a decade-high price. A A$0.02/share was also bolted on (& now paid). No competing Offer will emerge.
  • The Scheme Booklet is now out, with a Scheme Meeting on the 18th December, and expected payment on the 11th Feb 2026. The IFA (Evolve Capital) says “fair & reasonable“.

Tsuruha-Welcia: Will Scale Translate into Profit?

By Michael Causton

  • The Tsuruha and Welcia merger before the year’s close, backed by Aeon, is targeting ¥50 billion in cost savings over three years. 
  • As well as the massive economies of scale, consolidated procurement, revamped private brands and a unified points and customer‑ID strategy are central to this.
  • However, weak food offerings, legacy stores and IT complexity still threaten sustainable profit recovery as is the question of who will be in charge.

Spindex Industries (SPE SP): Scheme Vote on 18 December

By Arun George

  • The Spindex Industries (SPE SP) IFA has opined that the Chairman and PrimeMovers Equity’s scheme offer of S$1.43 is fair and reasonable.
  • The offer is at the upper end of the IFA valuation range of S$0.71 and S$1.44. The offer is at adjusted NAV and is attractive compared to historical trading ranges.
  • The absence of a disinterested shareholder holding a blocking stake and moderate retail ownership reduces voting risk. This is a done deal.

Exploring 17 Actionable Investment Opportunities: MLP Buyouts, Merger Arbitrage and More

By Special Situation Investments

  • KNOT Offshore Partners received a non-binding privatization proposal at $10/unit, with historical MLP buyouts often resulting in higher offers.
  • Golden Entertainment’s Chairman bids to acquire the company at 1x EBITDA, with activists pushing for better terms.
  • Yext’s Chairman and CEO proposed a non-binding privatization offer at $9/share, inviting competing bids for potential price increases.

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Daily Brief Credit: Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia and more

By | Credit, Daily Briefs

In today’s briefing:

  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • Telecom 3Q25: Stronger Margins and a More Constructive Outlook


Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Trung Nguyen

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Greenko Energy, New World Development
  • UST yields fell 2-3 bps yesterday, following the release of weaker than expected November ADP payrolls data. The yield on the 2Y and 10Y UST declined 2 bps to 3.49% and 4.06%, respectively. Equities rose, as the labour market slowdown reinforced market expectations for a Fed rate cut this month. The S&P 500 advanced 0.3% to 6,850, while the Nasdaq was up 0.2% at 23,454.
  • In the US, the ADP employment report showed that private-sector payrolls declined by 32 k in November (10 k e / 47 k revised p), with payrolls having fallen in four of the past six months. Hiring has been choppy of late, as employers weather cautious consumers and an uncertain macroeconomic environment, according to ADP chief economist Nela Richardson. While the November slowdown was broad-based, it was led by a pullback among small businesses.

Telecom 3Q25: Stronger Margins and a More Constructive Outlook

By Leandro Gubler

  • We upgrade Telecom Argentina to Overweight as the TMA acquisition strengthens its market position, supports operating momentum, and benefits from reduced political risk and improving macro stability.
  • Regulatory uncertainty remains meaningful, and we think clearer visibility on the Telefónica approval process and integration timeline will be critical for value realization and credit performance.
  • • We see more value in the TEOAR 2031s given their lower duration, attractive relative spreads versus the EM B Index and peers, and supportive operating trends despite weak liquidity.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: 2026 High Conviction Idea: SK Inc and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • 2026 High Conviction Idea: SK Inc
  • Asian Equities: Rebalancing Our Model Portfolio – More to India and ASEAN
  • NVIDIA Invests $2 Billion In Synopsys. But Why?
  • Meesho’s Valmo | Erosion of Delhivery’s Margins
  • JFE Holdings: India JV Resets Long-Term Growth Path; Deep Value with Structural Upside
  • Stockland (SGP AU) Vs. The GPT Group (GPT AU): Valuation Supports Long/Short Stat Arb Opportunity
  • Key Insights From Vale Day 2025: Strategy Recast for a New Metals Cycle
  • A Review of Korean Small Cap Gems in 2025
  • Tuhu Car (9690 HK | BUY | TP:HKD23): Tuhu Goes International, the Next Engine of Growth
  • Geechs (7060 Jp) – Q2 Follow-Up: November 28, 2025


2026 High Conviction Idea: SK Inc

By Douglas Kim

  • Three main reasons why SK Inc is our high conviction in 2026 include mandatory cancellation of treasury shares, deep discount to NAV, and the end of divorce for Chairman Chey. 
  • SK Inc has 17.98 million shares in treasury, representing 24.8% of outstanding shares. Among the stocks included in KOSPI200, this is one of the highest percentage of treasury shares.
  • Our NAV valuation analysis suggests NAV of 28 trillion won or NAV per share of 386,469 won. This represents a 46% upside to its current price.

Asian Equities: Rebalancing Our Model Portfolio – More to India and ASEAN

By Manishi Raychaudhuri

  • Since inception (May 15th), our Model Portfolio has appreciated 17.0% – same as MSCI Asia-ex Japan.  Since the last rebalancing (7th November) our Portfolio declined 2.5% vs MXASJ’s 1.3% drop.
  • The recent underperformance came from drawdowns in Tencent Music, Tencent, Alibaba, Hynix, Hyundai Rotem, TSMC. We reduce the first two slightly, exclude BBCA, include Adani Ports, SCB, MAPI, HK Land.
  • We remain Overweight HK/China and Korea. We upgrade India to Overweight from Neutral, Thailand from Underweight to Neutral, and downgrade Indonesia to Underweight from Neutral. Stay Underweight Taiwan, Neutral Singapore.

NVIDIA Invests $2 Billion In Synopsys. But Why?

By William Keating

  • NVIDIA & Synopsys announced a new strategic partnership on Dec 1, mostly covering topics they were already strategically partnering on, with one exception, Cloud-Ready Solutions
  • The partnership sees NVIDIA purchase $2 billion worth of Synopsys stock in a private placement. Other, recent, similar strategic partnerships e.g. Siemens & GM, involved no such investment
  • They plan to start enabling cloud access for GPU-accelerated engineering solutions. Could this be where that $2 billion finds a home? Is this a new Neocloud in disguise? Let’s see

Meesho’s Valmo | Erosion of Delhivery’s Margins

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • Delhivery (DELHIVER IN) faces immediate volume erosion as Meesho (1546271D IN) migrates 65% of orders to Valmo, destabilizing a key client relationship historically contributing ~16% of total revenue.
  • Valmo’s rise structurally shrinks the addressable 3PL market, creating a permanent headwind that compresses pricing power and intensifies competition for remaining open volumes.
  • Anchor client insourcing caps Delhivery’s growth trajectory, rendering the Ecom Express acquisition insufficient to offset the structural decay in organic B2C volume velocity.

JFE Holdings: India JV Resets Long-Term Growth Path; Deep Value with Structural Upside

By Rahul Jain

  • BPSL JV gives JFE a scalable India platform, shifting long-term growth away from a stagnant Japan market.
  • Balance-Sheet impact is manageable, with optional liquidity from the ¥500 bn JSW stake.
  • Valuation deeply discounted at 0.5× P/B and US$525/t despite rising mix, India optionality, and multi-year earnings normalization.

Stockland (SGP AU) Vs. The GPT Group (GPT AU): Valuation Supports Long/Short Stat Arb Opportunity

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: The GPT Group (GPT AU) vs. Stockland (SGP AU) price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.
  • Highlights: Going long Stockland (SGP AU) and short The GPT Group (GPT AU) targets a 4% return, with Stockland (SGP AU) supported by a lower P/E multiple.
  • Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.

Key Insights From Vale Day 2025: Strategy Recast for a New Metals Cycle

By Umang Agrawal

  • Vale cuts 2026 iron ore guidance to 335–345 Mt as China’s weaker demand and rising scrap reduce seaborne needs by about 160 Mt.
  • Steel decarbonisation accelerates through global EAF expansion, pushing Vale toward a flexible blend of high-grade, mid-grade, and corrective ores to maximise value.
  • Vale and Glencore’s Sudbury study targets 880 kt copper over 21 years, leveraging shared infrastructure to curb costs and bolster North American supply.

A Review of Korean Small Cap Gems in 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • In this insight, we review our Korean Small Cap Gem insights that we published in 2025. We published 18 Korea Small Cap Gem Series insights in 2025.
  • The 18 Korean Small Caps have generally performed well this year. They were up on average 17% and 45%, respectively one week and two weeks after the insights were published.
  • Some of the best performing stocks so far this year include Chunil Express (000650 KS), Aurora World (039830 KS), Makus Inc (093520 KS), and Flitto Inc. (300080 KS). 

Tuhu Car (9690 HK | BUY | TP:HKD23): Tuhu Goes International, the Next Engine of Growth

By Mohshin Aziz

  • Tuhu sets up operations in Malaysia, its first overseas expansion outside of Greater China.
  • We think Tuhu can dominate the market within 3-4 years, as there are no local establishments that can match its infrastructure, know-how, and capital base. 
  • Fair value of HKD23 implies 22x FY26 PE – average for US peers. A bargain with 3-year CAGR of 30%, net cash, and churns high free cash flow.

Geechs (7060 Jp) – Q2 Follow-Up: November 28, 2025

By Sessa Investment Research

  • On November 13, Geechs Inc. (hereafter, “the Company”) announced its Q2 FY2026/3 (Jul-Sep) earnings results.
  • Net sales rose 2.5% YoY to JPY 6,518 mn, EBITDA rose 86% YoY to JPY 278 mn, and operating profit rose 124.9% YoY to JPY 253 mn.
  • In addition to steady expansion of the core Japan IT Human Resources Matching Business (hereafter, “Japan IT HRM Biz”), faster-than-expected profitability in the IT Human Resources Matching Business, Overseas (hereafter, “Overseas IT HRM Biz”) and stronger-than-planned growth in the Seed Tech business contributed to results. 

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Daily Brief United States: Synopsys Inc, Legalzoom.com , Crude Oil, Futu Holdings Ltd, Olin Corp, Vera Bradley, C3.ai Inc, Build A Bear Workshop and more

By | Daily Briefs, United States

In today’s briefing:

  • NVIDIA Invests $2 Billion In Synopsys. But Why?
  • Primer: Legalzoom.com (LZ US) – Dec 2025
  • 2026 High Conviction Idea: Our Basket of Commodity Equities Will Outperform Broad Equity Indices
  • Primer: Futu Holdings Ltd (FUTU US) – Dec 2025
  • Primer: Olin Corp (OLN US) – Dec 2025
  • VRA: 3Q Preview: Hints of What’s to Come; Reiterate Hold
  • C3.ai, Inc. – IPDs and the Gross Margin Squeeze
  • Oil futures: Crude touches weekly highs on geopolitical tensions
  • BBW: 3Q Review: Tariffs To Be Even Further Drag into FY26; Lowering EPS & PT


NVIDIA Invests $2 Billion In Synopsys. But Why?

By William Keating

  • NVIDIA & Synopsys announced a new strategic partnership on Dec 1, mostly covering topics they were already strategically partnering on, with one exception, Cloud-Ready Solutions
  • The partnership sees NVIDIA purchase $2 billion worth of Synopsys stock in a private placement. Other, recent, similar strategic partnerships e.g. Siemens & GM, involved no such investment
  • They plan to start enabling cloud access for GPU-accelerated engineering solutions. Could this be where that $2 billion finds a home? Is this a new Neocloud in disguise? Let’s see

Primer: Legalzoom.com (LZ US) – Dec 2025

By αSK

  • LegalZoom is the market leader in the online legal services industry, benefiting from strong brand recognition and a large customer base. The company is strategically shifting its focus towards higher-margin subscription services to create a more predictable, recurring revenue stream.
  • The company exhibits a strong financial profile with consistent revenue growth, expanding EBITDA margins, and a debt-free balance sheet. This financial stability supports investments in technology, strategic acquisitions, and share repurchase programs.
  • Key risks to the outlook include intense competition from both established players and new entrants, potential regulatory changes concerning the unauthorized practice of law, and a high dependency on the macroeconomic environment which influences the rate of new business formations.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


2026 High Conviction Idea: Our Basket of Commodity Equities Will Outperform Broad Equity Indices

By Rikki Malik

  • The current macro environment has elements of both the 1970’s and mid-2000s commodity bull market
  • Investor interest and allocation to this asset class is still minimal
  • A rising cost of capital globally favours a move out of long duration into real assets

Primer: Futu Holdings Ltd (FUTU US) – Dec 2025

By αSK

  • Futu Holdings is a high-growth, technology-driven online brokerage and wealth management platform with a strong foothold in Hong Kong and expanding international operations.
  • The company has demonstrated exceptional financial performance, characterized by robust revenue and net income growth, and superior profit margins compared to industry peers, driven by a scalable business model.
  • Significant regulatory risks, particularly concerning its mainland China client base and the evolving cross-border financial services landscape, remain a key uncertainty and a primary concern for investors.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


Primer: Olin Corp (OLN US) – Dec 2025

By αSK

  • Olin Corp. is a leading, vertically integrated global manufacturer of chemical products and ammunition, operating through its Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls, Epoxy, and Winchester segments.
  • The company is navigating a challenging petrochemical environment by focusing on a U.S.-centric sales strategy and prioritizing cash generation and shareholder returns, which has allowed it to outperform peers.
  • Financial performance has been under pressure, with declining revenue and net income over the past three years, reflecting weak demand, low prices, and higher input costs in the broader chemical sector.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


VRA: 3Q Preview: Hints of What’s to Come; Reiterate Hold

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Hold rating and projections for Vera Bradley with the company announcing 3QFY26 (October) results before the open on Thursday, December 11th.
  • Given the continuing initial shifts under new management (who joined in July) and the limited ability to change product offerings until 1Q2026 (at the earliest), we believe overall financial results are not as important as are customer responses to the shift back to heritage looks, the return of key silhouettes, the launch of Outlet 2.0 at the end of the quarter and what further changes are in store going forward.
  • We continue to view the changes as a positive, but await clarification on the overall implications for the company (and returns) before becoming more aggressive in VRA.

C3.ai, Inc. – IPDs and the Gross Margin Squeeze

By Water Tower Research

  • In-line 2QFY26 revenue and EBIT beat on cost controls, but gross margin pressure from IPDs. 
  • 2QFY26 revenue of $75.1 million was essentially on target and cost controls drove a better-than-expected bottom line with EBIT of ($42 million) [Street = ($52 million)]. 
  • However, non-GAAP gross margin was 54.5%, up 280 bps but more than 300 bps below Street expectations.

Oil futures: Crude touches weekly highs on geopolitical tensions

By Quantum Commodity Intelligence

  • Crude oil futures on Thursday were climbing higher, as benchmarks maintained the firmer start to December, albeit amid conflicting signals.
  • Front-month Feb26 ICE Brent futures were trading at $63.31/b (2033 GMT) versus Wednesday’s settle of $62.67/b, while Jan26 NYMEX WTI was at $ 59.72/b against a previous close of $58.95/b.
  • Prices have found some support this week from the fading prospects of a ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the broader rise in geopolitical tensions, but it has not been enough to shake off the gloom around a growing surplus.

BBW: 3Q Review: Tariffs To Be Even Further Drag into FY26; Lowering EPS & PT

By Small Cap Consumer Research

  • We are reiterating our Buy rating, but lowering our projections and reducing our price target of BBW to $65 (from $75) after Build-A-Bear reported solid 3Q EBITDA & EPS upside, but lighter than expected revenue, and implied deep tariff impacts into 1HFY26 will serve to offset near-term positives and materially impact operating results.
  • 3Q tariffs negatively impacted the company by $4 million (or a projected $0.23 in EPS) with a $6 million further negative impact in 4Q (projected $0.35 in EPS) and, we believe approximately $7 million to $9 million (projected $0.41 to $0.53 in EPS) in the first five months of FY26.
  • While we view this scenario as potentially conservative, we have to face the facts that overall gross margins, if tariff impacts remain similar to 2HFY25 in 1HFY26 without any further material offsets, will significantly decline.

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