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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Tech Leads Declines Amid AI Caution and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Tech Leads Declines Amid AI Caution
  • LIT ALERT: The $5,000 Bribe & How To Protect Your Portfolio
  • The 155bn AUD Digital Land Grab: Arbitraging Australia’s Gridlock
  • US AI Throttles Down in Unison; China Puts the Pedal to the Metal. Relax, Then Buy the Dip.
  • Yield Shock: Navigating the 85% Fed Hike Probability in APAC Real Estate
  • Singapore Market Roundup (14-Sep-2026): SAC Capital cuts ISOTeam target price to 7.1 cents after
  • Asia Real Estate Tracker (14-Sep-2026): Rava buys Peninsula Private Hospital for $208M.
  • Chui Lung | Sep 14, 2026
  • Asia Pays the Hormuz Premium, America Banks the Crack
  • WTR Small-Cap Spotlight Recap : Navigating Volatile Commodity Markets


Ohayo Japan | Tech Leads Declines Amid AI Caution

By Mark Chadwick

  • US stocks closed modestly lower on Monday, with losses concentrated in technology and semiconductors
  • Overall, it was a risk-off session driven by AI caution and energy-related rate concerns rather than a broad market rout.
  • Bank of America shares fell -5% after CEO Brian Moynihan forecast a 10%–20% year-over-year drop in Q3 investment banking fees

LIT ALERT: The $5,000 Bribe & How To Protect Your Portfolio

By Marc Rudajev

  • Every single day there is another signal that the money printer is warming up, we see it in higher rates, bigger deficits, and now in some outlandish promises.
  • The president’s speech on September 9th night in Dallas gave us the loudest one yet.
  • Here is what was said At the Republican midterm convention, Donald Trump promised a $5,000 “dividend” to every adult US citizen, on two conditions: Republicans have to hold both the House and the Senate in November and the money would have to be spent inside the US.

The 155bn AUD Digital Land Grab: Arbitraging Australia’s Gridlock

By Jacob Cheng

  • Hyperscale outbidding: Data centre developers are paying up to 182.1% industrial land premiums, breaking traditional logistics feasibility and creating a peak-valuation capital recycling opportunity for incumbent landlords.
  • Grid exhaustion: Australia’s 16.2 GW data centre pipeline faces severe grid constraints by 2029, forcing a structural pivot toward regional Renewable Energy Zones and private transmission infrastructure.
  • Strategic trades: Go long Goodman Group and NextDC for moat-protected yields and land-banking arbitrage, while shorting unhedged secondary logistics developers exposed to margin erosion and stranded pipelines.

US AI Throttles Down in Unison; China Puts the Pedal to the Metal. Relax, Then Buy the Dip.

By Mo Aziz

  • “Pacing” is evaluators, standards and diplomacy, not a capex cut. It will not slow US capability, but it permanently raises the risk premium on US frontier labs. 
  • Beijing calls it fear-mongering; Trump says whoever wins AI wins. Only private US labs are slowing, Beijing and Trump both refused to slow. 
  • When the industry throttles back in unison, alpha investors will sell the derating. Value investors will buy the opportunity.

Yield Shock: Navigating the 85% Fed Hike Probability in APAC Real Estate

By Jacob Cheng

  • Sticky US inflation: Core CPI forces an 85% probability of a Fed rate hike, fundamentally shifting global liquidity and ending hopes of an imminent easing cycle.
  • Divergent APAC impacts: Hong Kong and Australia face severe cap rate pressures, while Japan and China offer isolated growth driven by local monetary autonomy and inbound tourism.
  • Strategic rotation: Short vulnerable retail assets like Link REIT facing structural decay, and go long on resilient cash-flow generators including CapitaLand Ascendas REIT and Japan Hotel REIT.

Singapore Market Roundup (14-Sep-2026): SAC Capital cuts ISOTeam target price to 7.1 cents after

By Singapore Market Roundup

  • SAC Capital lowers ISOTeam target price to 7.1 cents after disappointing FY2026 results.
  • UOBKH keeps ‘buy’ on Singtel, values Nxera at up to $4.5 billion for listing.
  • CGS International stays positive on Pan-United’s prospects.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (14-Sep-2026): Rava buys Peninsula Private Hospital for $208M.

By Asia Real Estate Tracker

  • Rava’s Barwon has successfully acquired Peninsula Private Hospital for $208 million from Australian Unity.
  • Blackstone’s Horizon has reported a significant 36% increase in EBITDA and reduced losses post-IPO in India.
  • NFD Korea has begun construction on a substantial 300MW AI data center campus located in Danjin.

Chui Lung | Sep 14, 2026

By Samir Mehta

  • I have a fascination for complex words derived by stitching together two or more existing ones, which then become a part of our lexicon as if that new word existed since time immemorial.
  • Schadenfreude: Happiness gained from someone else’s misfortune. Schaden – damage, or injury; freude – joy or delight

  • Tsundoku: Buying books and piling them up unread. Tsunde-oku – To pile things up ready for later and leave them; dokusho – reading books.


Asia Pays the Hormuz Premium, America Banks the Crack

By Mo Aziz

  • Singapore’s Dubai cracking margin turned negative on 9 September (–US$2.93) while the USGC LLS margin sits at US$53.18, the top of its five-year range.
  • Cause: Dubai crude now trades above Dated Brent. Asia carries the Hormuz scarcity in its feedstock; the Atlantic basin carries it only in its products.
  • Next: Asian run cuts, cheap Asian diesel dragged west, freight stays bid. The gap closes from the Singapore side, but only after the cuts, and only until the Strait reopens.

WTR Small-Cap Spotlight Recap : Navigating Volatile Commodity Markets

By Water Tower Research

  • In the face of uncertainty, management teams continue to emphasize capital discipline.
  • On the margin, activity could inch up as cash flow benefits from higher prices.
  • Incremental cash flow from elevated oil prices could help some companies accelerate their debt reduction goals.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Stocks Snap Losing Streak and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Stocks Snap Losing Streak
  • OpenAI Is Coming for Wall Street. The Street Thinks It Can Own the Disruptor.
  • This Week in AI (Sep 6-12): DeepSeek V4.1-Flash and IPO; OpenAI’s Astra Solves NS Equation


Ohayo Japan | Stocks Snap Losing Streak

By Mark Chadwick

  • US stocks closed higher on Friday snapping a four-day losing streak
  • The rally was driven by a pullback in oil prices and August CPI data that largely matched expectations
  • Oil-Supply risks from the Middle East remain the clearest near-term catalyst that could drive volatility at the open or through the session

OpenAI Is Coming for Wall Street. The Street Thinks It Can Own the Disruptor.

By Mo Aziz

  • OpenAI’s Morgan Stanley and Evercore ‘design partnership’ is Act I of the Amazon, Google and Bloomberg playbook: embrace the incumbent, own the workflow, take the client.
  • Banks are paying the tuition twice: teaching the model their craft while cutting the junior classes that supply 62% of their AI talent and every future MD.
  • Own the toll roads, not the trucks: BULLISH memory, foundry and exchanges; BEARISH boutique advisers, terminal vendors, Indian IT; NEUTRAL banks; AVOID the lab IPOs.

This Week in AI (Sep 6-12): DeepSeek V4.1-Flash and IPO; OpenAI’s Astra Solves NS Equation

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • DeepSeek released V4.1-Flash and hired underwriters for a Shanghai IPO. US agencies and Anthropic separately accused Chinese labs of extracting US model outputs.
  • OpenAI published a proposed Navier-Stokes proof and opened its Agents API beta. Xiaomi introduced MiMo Desktop for invited users.
  • Zhipu proposed USD 5bn of financing. Cognition announced a larger USD 2bn round, while Nvidia discussed an Anthropic IPO anchor investment.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Korea Sector ETFs Bi-Weekly #4: [28 Aug – 11 Sept 2026] – KODEX Nuclear SMR (Top Performer) and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Korea Sector ETFs Bi-Weekly #4: [28 Aug – 11 Sept 2026] – KODEX Nuclear SMR (Top Performer)
  • APAC Healthcare Weekly (Sept 13) – Hansoh, InSilico, Shionogi, Kyowa Kirin, Samsung Bio, SK Biopharm
  • SEMICONDUCTOR MEMORY CYCLE MONITOR — Issue #11 | 5-12 Sep 2026
  • China Healthcare Weekly Wrap (7-11 Sep)


Korea Sector ETFs Bi-Weekly #4: [28 Aug – 11 Sept 2026] – KODEX Nuclear SMR (Top Performer)

By Douglas Kim

  • The 30 sector ETFs in Korea were down on average 2.1% in the past two weeks, underperforming KOSPI which was up 1.8% in the same period.
  • Seven sector ETFs (out of 30) outperformed KOSPI in the past two weeks including KODEX Nuclear SMR ETF (up 6.7%) and TIGER Korea Humanoid Robotics Industry (up 5.1%). 
  • Top 3 worst performing sector ETFs in the past two weeks include Mirae Asset TIGER Health Care (down 10.1%), KoAct Bio Healthcare Active (down 11.9%), and TIGER Cosmetics (down 15.6%).

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Sept 13) – Hansoh, InSilico, Shionogi, Kyowa Kirin, Samsung Bio, SK Biopharm

By Tina Banerjee

  • Hansoh’s risvutatug rezetecan for second-line treatment of SCLC has been included in NMPA’s Priority Review. InSilico completed first patient enrollment and dosing in Phase 3 trial evaluating rentosertib in IPF.
  • Shionogi received approval in Australia for cefiderocol for the treatment of carbapenem-resistant Gram-negative bacterial infections. Kyowa Kirin’s Phase 2 trial for ophthalmic drug candidate did not meet primary endpoint.
  • Samsung Biologics signed a new CMO contract worth $262M with a European pharmaceutical company. SK Biopharmaceutical received notification regarding FDA’s partial clinical hold on its epilepsy drug candidate, opakalim.

SEMICONDUCTOR MEMORY CYCLE MONITOR — Issue #11 | 5-12 Sep 2026

By Mo Aziz

  • Apple’s Tim Cook: “For September, we expect to pay even higher memory costs” — only three DRAM suppliers, sourcing flexibility is thin. Ultimately good for Memory players. 
  • Goldman Sachs flips constructive (Sep 9): “the worst may be over.” Hedge fund positioning at historical lows. DeepSeek V4.1 
  • Rating change: Nanya downgraded to NEUTRAL, TP NT$490 (from NT$600) — thesis played out, DDR4 scarcity fully priced. TP revisions: SK Hynix ₩2,700,000; Micron $1,375; SanDisk $2,050.

China Healthcare Weekly Wrap (7-11 Sep)

By Wilfred Yuen

  • Insilico Medicine’s AI-discovered drug rentosertib reverses aging markers in a 42-patient trial. GenScript Biotech proposes US$300m share placing for capex of AI drug discovery (AIDD).
  • Early/Mid-Stage asthma results updates from two long-acting TSLP-targeting monoclonal and bispecific antibody: 1) Windward/HBM: ultra-long-acting TSLP mab HBM9378; 2) Belenos/Keymed: TSLP/IL-13 bispecific BEL512
  • SBP to buy additional 5% equity stake in its core subsidiary CTTQ; SMMT, BeOne, Ollin/Innovent updated phase 3 studies in clnicaltrial.gov for ivonescimab, B7H4 ADC, and VEGF/Ang blab, respectively…

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): India’s Steel Market Turns Constructive and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • India’s Steel Market Turns Constructive, With Imports Emerging as the Wildcard
  • Japan Weekly Strategy | Oil Back Above $100; Refiners Gain, Long-Duration Growth Lags
  • AUCTUS ON FRIDAY – 11.09.2026
  • European Software: Q2 2026 Takeaways – Big Guys Are Holding Up Well
  • Exencial Filings Daily – 11-09-2026
  • Exencial Morning Charts – 11-09-2026


India’s Steel Market Turns Constructive, With Imports Emerging as the Wildcard

By Umang Agrawal

  • The steel market is tightening fast: demand is running ahead of production, while higher coking coal costs strengthen the case for price hikes.
  • Export momentum is broadening mills’ demand pool, with Asian markets emerging as an increasingly important outlet for Indian steelmakers.
  • Imports are the catch: rising Chinese inflows could put a ceiling on domestic prices, limiting how far mills can push realizations.

Japan Weekly Strategy | Oil Back Above $100; Refiners Gain, Long-Duration Growth Lags

By Mark Chadwick

  • Japanese equities sold off this week as an old-fashioned energy shock drove the market.
  • WTI crude rose 10% to >$100 as the US-Iran conflict escalated
  • The 10-year JGB yield rose a further 8bp to 2.98%, near multi-decade highs. The Nikkei 225 fell 1.6%

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY – 11.09.2026

By Auctus Advisors

  • AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; Target price of C$0.40 per share: Facility sharing contract signed – Criterium has signed a facility sharing agreement with Jindi, granting access to the 30 mmcf/d TRGP and 60 km pipeline to the Sekernan gas sales point.
  • This represents the last commercial hurdle to reach first gas.
  • Corcel (CRCL LN)C; Target price of 1.40p per share: Angola approves increased position in KON-16.

European Software: Q2 2026 Takeaways – Big Guys Are Holding Up Well

By Gregory Ramirez

  • European growth remains subdued, but large-cap software vendors are proving resilient, with Top 10 lfl revenue growth reaching 9.7%, versus 3.0% for the broader market.
  • North America continues to outperform Europe, with lfl revenue growth accelerating to 13.3% and reaching 25.9% among the ten largest software companies.
  • Software M&A remains strong but concentrated, with USD 145bn of transactions above USD 200m year-to-date, driven primarily by strategic buyers rather than private equity.

Exencial Filings Daily – 11-09-2026

By Viral Kishorchandra Shah

  • AED, CAD, GBP, EUR, CHF, USD; up to USD 3,000/transaction (notes)
  • No critical or major observations; plant ~30% of international business
  • Magnet winding wires; 28,800 MTPA; valid till 31 Aug 2027

Exencial Morning Charts – 11-09-2026

By Viral Kishorchandra Shah

  • India’s 178 big reservoirs are 70.7 percent full, a fifth less water than a year ago, with the South at just 54.5 percent.
  • Brent closed back above $100 on 9 September, 110 days after its March crossing and up about 65 percent since January.
  • BSE mainboard IPOs are near 62 by 8 September, matching the 2021 boom and chasing 2025’s record of about 103.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | US Stocks Extend Losing Streak as Oil and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | US Stocks Extend Losing Streak as Oil, Yields Rise
  • Singapore Market Roundup (10-Sep-2026): RHB views Raffles Medical’s 52-week low as a buy signal.
  • Episode 54: The Tuesday Boy & What a Viral Citadel Interview Question Teaches You About Money
  • Asia Real Estate Tracker (10-Sep-2026): Brookfield acquires 11-hectare Melbourne industrial site.
  • Inside Bloomberg’s ASKB: How the Terminal Is Rethinking Agentic AI
  • Deep Sea Mining Monthly Monitor (September 2026): U.S. Pulls Ahead as ISA Code Is Stalled
  • Exencial Industry Tidings – 10-09-2026
  • Exencial Morning Charts – 10-09-2026


Ohayo Japan | US Stocks Extend Losing Streak as Oil, Yields Rise

By Mark Chadwick

  • U.S. stocks closed lower for a fourth straight session as surging oil prices and rising Treasury yields amplified inflation concerns and increased bets on a Fed rate hike next week.
  • Brent crude climbed above $108/barrel amid ongoing Middle East tensions and supply risks through the Strait of Hormuz
  • The 10-year Treasury yield jumped to 4.97%, its highest since late 2023

Singapore Market Roundup (10-Sep-2026): RHB views Raffles Medical’s 52-week low as a buy signal.

By Singapore Market Roundup

  • RHB sees Raffles Medical’s 52-week low as a buying opportunity.
  • Citi starts ‘buy/high risk’ rating on SMID global leader CSE Global.
  • Maybank’s Seet is bullish on Frencken, lowers target price after $100M placement.

Episode 54: The Tuesday Boy & What a Viral Citadel Interview Question Teaches You About Money

By Marc Rudajev

  • Last week a Citadel quant interview question went viral.
  • According to the post, candidates were given a ninety-second time limit with a $650,000 starting salary sitting on the other side of it.
  • Result: a 3% pass rate. So… as the math teacher that I am, it’s only natural for me to throw the question out to you: I watched thousands of smart people argue about it in the comments, and it made me think about something that has almost nothing to do with getting hired at a hedge fund and almost everything to do with investing and life: most of us are terrible at probability, and it can cost us.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (10-Sep-2026): Brookfield acquires 11-hectare Melbourne industrial site.

By Asia Real Estate Tracker

  • Brookfield has acquired an 11-hectare former Ford site in Melbourne for an industrial estate development.
  • Blackstone has appointed Levine and Cutaia as co-heads of real estate following Meghji’s departure.
  • Centurion plans to acquire a $53 million worker dormitory in Johor, boosting its capacity in Malaysia by 22%.

Inside Bloomberg’s ASKB: How the Terminal Is Rethinking Agentic AI

By Hedge Fund Alpha

  • AI that draws conclusions from many documents at once has to rank news and company filings differently.
  • Recency matters most for news, document type matters more for filings, and perspective matters across both.
  • Bloomberg’s answer is ASKB, a conversational AI interface for the Terminal built on specialized agents rather than one massive model.

Deep Sea Mining Monthly Monitor (September 2026): U.S. Pulls Ahead as ISA Code Is Stalled

By Garvit Bhandari

  • Two regulatory clocks are diverging – the ISA’s exploitation code slipped into 2027 after the July 2026 session, while the U.S. domestic route advanced.
  • Commercialization is maturing but unproven. May 2026 brought the TMC-Allseas production agreement and a $1bn AOMC-Odyssey merger, yet no operator has demonstrated sustained commercial nodule recovery at scale.
  • Opposition is widening. 46 countries now back a moratorium or pause (up from 32 in 2024), keeping social license and international law legitimacy as material gating risks for investors.

Exencial Industry Tidings – 10-09-2026

By Viral Kishorchandra Shah

  • India-Russia meeting to focus on trade, defence and nuclear energy
  • India has robust data infrastructure for double deflation: Saurabh Garg
  • India’s annual average per-capita protein consumption to triple to 30 kg by 2070

Exencial Morning Charts – 10-09-2026

By Viral Kishorchandra Shah

  • Singapore pays its leader more than any nation, over eleven times local income
  • Mobile data use rose about a quarter to 285 billion gigabytes in fiscal 2026
  • New fintech firms have fallen since 2021, yet India’s global share nears 14 percent

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Higher Oil and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Higher Oil, Higher Yields, Lower Stocks
  • Fundamental Factor Research: Monthly Revenue Information – part1
  • Fundamental Factor Research: Monthly Revenue Information – part2
  • Singapore Market Roundup (09-Sep-2026): Maybank’s Seet lowers Frencken target price after $100M
  • Exencial Industry Tidings – 09-09-2026
  • Exencial Morning Charts – 09-09-2026
  • Global Energy Security Remains Stressed as Renewed Fighting Pushes Prices Higher
  • Courtenay Special Situations Fund Falls 14% in July, Adds to Elon Musk-Linked Stakes


Ohayo Japan | Higher Oil, Higher Yields, Lower Stocks

By Mark Chadwick

  • US equities fell for a third straight session: Dow -0.8%, S&P 500 -0.5%, Nasdaq -0.6%.
  • The 10-year Treasury yield rose 5bp to 4.85%, its highest since October 2023
  • Meta (+6.5%) as analysts responded positively to its AI assistant

Fundamental Factor Research: Monthly Revenue Information – part1

By Taiwan Economic Journal

  • The Taiwan equity market possesses a rare institutional advantage globally: under the Securities and Exchange Act, listed companies are required to announce and report their operational results for the preceding month by the 10th of each month (Exception: starting from FY2026, insurance companies and entities with insurance subsidiaries may extend their disclosure deadline to the 15th of each month).
  • This is commonly referred to in the market as “Monthly Revenue”.
  • Benefiting from this regulation, investors can update the latest corporate revenue information every month at a frequency far higher than quarterly financial report fundamental data.

Fundamental Factor Research: Monthly Revenue Information – part2

By Taiwan Economic Journal

  • Based on preceding results, SURPS3MTA demonstrates clear return monotonicity and significant long-short portfolio Alpha.
  • REVOPY possesses strong ranking predictive power distributed across the full cross-section.
  • This study evaluates 7 backtesting strategies utilizing these two factors plus MOM52WH to test real-world execution feasibility and multi-factor fusion value.

Singapore Market Roundup (09-Sep-2026): Maybank’s Seet lowers Frencken target price after $100M

By Singapore Market Roundup

  • Maybank’s Seet stays positive on Frencken, lowers target price post $100M placement.
  • UOBKH cuts Delfi’s target price due to rising cocoa prices and forex issues.
  • Maybank’s Seet keeps ‘buy’ rating with 24-cent target on Marco Polo Marine post-RTO.

Exencial Industry Tidings – 09-09-2026

By Viral Kishorchandra Shah

  • Gen Z accounts for 43% of India’s consumption spending: BCG-Snap report
  • Consumer goods companies considering price hikes to offset rising sugar pricesUK recognises India’s CCTS under its carbon tax mechanism
  • Plea in SC seeks stricter FSSAI warning labels for excess sugar, salt & fat

Exencial Morning Charts – 09-09-2026

By Viral Kishorchandra Shah

  • Peak demand holds near 257 GW as the daily shortfall spikes to 28 million units
  • India has never sustained 8 percent growth, the decadal average stuck near 6
  • G20 travel emissions could fall a fifth by 2050 on hybrid work and more buses

Global Energy Security Remains Stressed as Renewed Fighting Pushes Prices Higher

By Water Tower Research

  • Global oil supplies have experienced massive disruptions in 2026. 
  • A major news agency published a report last week stating that nearly half the world’s oil is supplied by countries affected by conflicts this year, including the ongoing Iran war and the expansion into other Middle East countries (which has resulted in the largest oil supply crisis on record), the Russia-Ukraine war, conflicts in Libya, and US restrictions on Venezuelan oil exports at ?the start of the year. 
  • Reuters calculated that countries affected by those conflicts together produced ~45 million barrels of oil per day based on 2025 output, representing more than 43% of the global oil supply (Figure 1).

Courtenay Special Situations Fund Falls 14% in July, Adds to Elon Musk-Linked Stakes

By Hedge Fund Alpha

  • GA-Courtenay Special Situations Fund declined 13.8% in July, taking its year-to-date return to -10.0%, as an unusual liquidity-driven dislocation hit higher-growth equities.
  • Ex-Odey star and fund manager Adrian Courtenay said the sell-off showed no corresponding deterioration in the fundamentals of the hedge fund’s holdings, while the merger arbitrage book contributed positively during the month.
  • The fund responded cautiously by reducing equity gross exposure while increasing its merger arbitrage allocation and adding selectively to SpaceX and Tesla.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | US Stocks Fall as Oil Nears $100 and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | US Stocks Fall as Oil Nears $100
  • Hedge Fund Trends 2026: Demand Strengthens As Capital Returns
  • [EDA-Maxxing] AI Agents Are Designing Faster; Will EDA Spending Follow?
  • Singapore Market Roundup (08-Sep-2026): Maybank maintains ‘buy’ and 24-cent TP for Marco Polo
  • The Re-Rating Delivered. The Order Book Hasn’t – Solar Industries, Six Months On
  • The Weather Economy
  • US EV Charging Infrastructure Tracker – August 2026: Ports Grind Higher as Station Count Dips
  • U.S. IPO & Equity Capital Markets Brief 9/07/2026
  • AI Flow Index : Sailing a Sea of Companies in AI – 8 September 2026
  • WTR Circular Carbon Focus Report : Five Key Themes Driving Liquid Renewable Fuels


Ohayo Japan | US Stocks Fall as Oil Nears $100

By Mark Chadwick

  • US stocks declined on Tuesday amid escalating US-Canada trade tensions and rising oil prices
  • West Texas Intermediate crude climbed above $94 a barrel while Brent approached $100,
  • OpenAI’s recent launch of GPT-6 Astra reignited AI disruption fears for specialized software while reinforcing demand for data-centre/AI infrastructure

Hedge Fund Trends 2026: Demand Strengthens As Capital Returns

By Hedge Fund Alpha

  • With Intelligence , S&P Global released Hedge Fund Trends 2026: Demand Strengthens as Capital Returns, a new report that looks at what’s been happening in the first half of 2026.
  • Among the key points: North America dominates first half launch activity Macro continues to dominate launches by type of strategy The first half of 2026 was the best first half for hedge funds on an asset-weighted basis since 2009 (Figure 3, seen below) CTAs have regained their hedge over macro for the first time since 2022 regarding performance Consolidation in the multi-strat space has picked up, as predicted in With’s 2026 outlook Macro remains a favored strategy even with recent stumbles Overall hedge fund inflows are continuing to grow (Figure 8, seen below) Public pensions are closing hedge funds gaps You can find more information here or at With Intelligence .
  • See also: Hedge Fund Trends 2026 .

[EDA-Maxxing] AI Agents Are Designing Faster; Will EDA Spending Follow?

By Raghav Vashisht

  • ChipAgents is moving agentic EDA into production, with Andes Tech reporting major cycle-time reductions and ChipAgents reaching 120+ semiconductor customers after roughly 6x ARR growth in H12026.
  • EDA-Maxxing depends on agents creating more paid design activity through additional projects and deeper exploration than they eliminate through fewer expensive tool runs.
  • Cadence and Synopsys have early monetisation advantages, but investors still need evidence that higher agent-driven tool usage translates into larger EDA budgets and incremental revenue.

Singapore Market Roundup (08-Sep-2026): Maybank maintains ‘buy’ and 24-cent TP for Marco Polo

By Singapore Market Roundup

  • Maybank’s Seet keeps ‘buy’ and 24-cent TP for Marco Polo Marine post-RTO.
  • CGSI and Prime Asia Asset Management view Tai Sin Electric positively after FY2026 earnings.
  • STI inclusion may boost First Resources’ share price, says Aletheia Capital.

The Re-Rating Delivered. The Order Book Hasn’t – Solar Industries, Six Months On

By Ishaan Dev Kapoor

  • Long Solar Industries from 13 March at Rs14,251 has returned +57% in rupees, +52% in dollars, at the 8 September close. We take profit on half and hold the balance.
  • The policy thesis delivered and accelerated, with tactical missile production opened to private firms and transfer of DRDO’s conventional missile technologies to industry approved. The France-Pinaka order did not arrive. 
  • Key risks: the defence book is flat at Rs18,000 crore while coverage compressed from 13x to 5.7x, free cash flow turned negative and the stock trades at 102x trailing earnings.

The Weather Economy

By Fallacy Alarm

  • It’s probably not a groundbreaking revelation to you that Germany’s natural gas storage is dangerously low and has been dangerously low for a long time.

  • There is quite a bit of media coverage on that.

  • But why is that so? Natural gas is not scarce. It’s abundant, even in Europe via LNG ships. 


US EV Charging Infrastructure Tracker – August 2026: Ports Grind Higher as Station Count Dips

By Garvit Bhandari

  • Total US EV charging station locations dipped 0.7% month-over-month to 88,394 as of August 31, 2026, even as total EVSE ports rose to 259,530 (up 7.2% versus end of 2025).
  • Active DC Fast ports climbed 1.2% month-on-month to 75,257, a third straight monthly gain. Tesla commands nearly 50.5% of the US DC Fast base, ChargePoint 32.5% of all ports.
  • NREL sees a need for 1.0 million Level 2 chargers and 182,000 DC Fast points by 2030, at current growth rates, the US is likely to fall short.

U.S. IPO & Equity Capital Markets Brief 9/07/2026

By IPO Prophet

  • Period: September 7–11, 2026 Coverage: Traditional U.S.
  • operating-company IPOs and consequential ECM transactions of at least $100 million There are no qualifying U.S.
  • IPOs of at least $100 million scheduled to price this week.

AI Flow Index : Sailing a Sea of Companies in AI – 8 September 2026

By Water Tower Research

  • Software rebounded in August, outperforming Semiconductors. 
  • The WTR AI Index rose 7.3% M/M, ahead of the S&P 500 (up 2.6%), the Russell 2000 (up 0.9%), and the Nasdaq (up 4.2%).
  •  Software (24% of the index) gained 11.0% while Semiconductors (18% of the index) slipped 1.2%, reversing the Semis-led pattern that has dominated most of 2026.

WTR Circular Carbon Focus Report : Five Key Themes Driving Liquid Renewable Fuels

By Water Tower Research

  • The liquid renewable fuels sector has entered 2H26 in the strongest position it has occupied in years. 
  • Margins across renewable diesel (RD), biodiesel, sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), and low-carbon ethanol are running near multi-year highs, balance sheets are healthier, and carbon credit revenue is maturing into a durable earnings stream that stands apart from physical fuel.
  • In this report, we walk through the five most resounding themes from companies’ interim results and recent WTR events, illustrated with company-level evidence and near-term catalysts with our thoughts on what we’re watching in the coming weeks for investors to follow.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Calm Before the Data and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Calm Before the Data
  • Live’ GDP, Weekly Index, Jobs, Households, CAPEX & Optimism + Model Portfolios
  • Compute Futures and the Market Price of GPU Obsolescence
  • Episode 53: Borrowing Against the Roof & What Your Home Equity Actually Costs to Unlock
  • India Quick Commerce Monthly – August 2026
  • Singapore Market Roundup (07-Sep-2026): STI inclusion could raise First Resources’ share price,


Ohayo Japan | Calm Before the Data

By Mark Chadwick

  • Markets are closed for Labour Day; This week, August CPI is the key focus, with headline inflation expected at 3.4% YoY and core at 2.4%. 
  • Copper hit a record $14,533/t amid tariff fears and tight LME availability; Treasury long-end buybacks begin Wednesday. 
  • Canada’s counter-tariffs start Tuesday, while Trump threatened Bombardier with US sales restrictions; Oracle earnings will provide an AI capex read-through.

Live’ GDP, Weekly Index, Jobs, Households, CAPEX & Optimism + Model Portfolios

By Maverick Equity Research

  • The U.S. Economy in Real-Time via another sleek and even better high frequency data point which is highly complementary — it confirms or not the 2 from above.
  • Weekly Economic Index (WEI) by Dallas Fed, a good GDP proxy as the index is scaled to align with year-over-year GDP growth, which gives it a concrete interpretive anchor beyond just being a directional signal:
  • 3.06% (blue) for the week ended August 29th, and 2.84%t for August 22nd, according to the latest release from just 3 days ago, the 3rd of September — basically, it is equivalent to a +3% year‑over‑year rise in GDP

Compute Futures and the Market Price of GPU Obsolescence

By Raghav Vashisht

  • CME’s GPU futures could make compute-price risk hedgeable, but standardised contracts will still leave material basis risk across clusters, customers and service bundles.
  • Relative H100/B200 pricing may help separate broad oversupply from technological substitution, making the economic decay of older GPU capacity easier to observe.
  • The net read is bearish for GPU-capacity owners: hedging may improve financing, but more visible obsolescence and increasing capacity pressure rental economics.

Episode 53: Borrowing Against the Roof & What Your Home Equity Actually Costs to Unlock

By Marc Rudajev

Last week I ran a poll, given today’s market would you rather rent or own. It pulled 125 votes and 44 comments. Own won, 66 to 34. Based on the comments in the thread, it seems like most of the people chose to ignore the current conditions and went with their own personal view of which is better.


India Quick Commerce Monthly – August 2026

By Garvit Bhandari

  • The channel now clears 9.5mn orders/day across six platforms. Blinkit leads at 3.4-3.6mn, with Zepto (2.4-2.6mn) now ahead of Swiggy Instamart (1.3-1.45mn) on daily volume.
  • Maharashtra’s FDA suspended food licences at Blinkit and Zepto dark stores in Mumbai over hygiene and storage violations, the first real compliance overhang for the sector.
  • Swiggy shareholders approved a 49.5% foreign-ownership cap (IOCC status), clearing the path for Instamart to move marketplace to inventory-led.

Singapore Market Roundup (07-Sep-2026): STI inclusion could raise First Resources’ share price,

By Singapore Market Roundup

  • STI inclusion may boost First Resources’ share price, says Aletheia Capital.
  • UOBKH’s Mahtani cuts Soon Hock’s target price after weaker 1HFY2026 earnings.
  • Chew keeps ‘buy’ at Q&M Dental, target price 71 cents, despite 1HFY2026 miss.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Strong Jobs Data Cloud Rate-Cut Hopes and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Strong Jobs Data Cloud Rate-Cut Hopes
  • SEMICONDUCTOR MEMORY CYCLE MONITOR — Issue #10 | 30 Aug–4 Sep 2026
  • This Week in AI (Aug 30-Sep 5): GPT-6 Astra and Fable 5.1 in Same Week; Moonshot Files IPO


Ohayo Japan | Strong Jobs Data Cloud Rate-Cut Hopes

By Mark Chadwick

  • US equities closed lower: S&P 500 fell 0.4% and Dow 272 points, while Nasdaq -0.3%.
  • Payrolls rose 162,000 versus just over 50,000 expected, driving a hawkish repricing, higher Treasury yields and increased expectations of a September Fed hike.
  • Semiconductors rallied on optimism around OpenAI’s new GPT model, led by Sandisk (+11.9%),

SEMICONDUCTOR MEMORY CYCLE MONITOR — Issue #10 | 30 Aug–4 Sep 2026

By Mo Aziz

  • SanDisk joins the S&P 100 effective 21 September — the first memory company ever admitted to the index. The stock surged +11.9% on Friday to $1,740 post-announcement; week-total +17.3%.
  • Micron +9.3% WoW — the tariff footprint premium from Issue #9 is pricing in real time. The pair trade (long MU / short 285A JP) is working in week one.
  • Taiwan’s MSCI unwind confirmed: Nanya −5.2% exactly as predicted. CXMT −6.5% post-results; our Reduce/FV RMB31.40 call is on track at 4.7x our TP.

This Week in AI (Aug 30-Sep 5): GPT-6 Astra and Fable 5.1 in Same Week; Moonshot Files IPO

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We tracked AI models, infrastructure, and M&A this week: OpenAI and Anthropic refreshed frontier models while Moonshot started its Hong Kong IPO process.
  • MiniMax powered HUMAIN’s Arabic sovereign model, Alibaba refreshed Qwen, and Artificial Analysis kept new US frontier releases at the top of the ranking.
  • Nvidia agreed to buy Hugging Face, Anthropic expanded compute financing, and AI infrastructure demand flowed through hyperscalers, hardware vendors, chips and memory.

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Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Japan Weekly Strategy | Bonds Buckle and more

By | Daily Briefs, Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In today’s briefing:

  • Japan Weekly Strategy | Bonds Buckle, Yen Rebounds and Equities Dip
  • APAC Healthcare Weekly (Sept 6) – Simcere, Hutchmed, Akeso, Daiichi Sankyo, Alteogen, Pharmaessentia
  • China Healthcare Weekly Wrap (31 Aug – 4 Sep)
  • Companies Benefiting in India’s Construction Equipment: Export Growth Vs Domestic Slump
  • UltraTech’s Ultravolt Entry: A Margin Threat in Entire Wire & Cable Industry


Japan Weekly Strategy | Bonds Buckle, Yen Rebounds and Equities Dip

By Mark Chadwick

  • JGB yields surged: The 10-year yield breached 3.0%, driven by oil prices, fiscal concerns and rising expectations of a BOJ rate hike. 
  • Yen reversed sharply: The currency strengthened to ¥156.25/$ amid intervention speculation and broad dollar weakness, despite earlier falling towards ¥160/$. 
  • Equities whipsawed: The Nikkei fell 2.1% as higher yields and a stronger yen pressured growth stocks, while strong domestic data offered some support.

APAC Healthcare Weekly (Sept 6) – Simcere, Hutchmed, Akeso, Daiichi Sankyo, Alteogen, Pharmaessentia

By Tina Banerjee

  • Simcere inks outlicensing agreement with Roche for tri-specific antibody in total deal value of $2B+. Hutchmed enters outlicense agreement with GSK for first-in-class drug candidate for upfront payment of $110M.
  • Akeso’s ivonescimab demonstrates significant overall survival benefit in Keytruda head-to-head trial in NSCLC. Daiichi Sankyo’s Enhertu has been approved in EU for the first-line treatment of HER2 positive breast cancer.
  • Alteogen inked agreement with Novartis for the development and commercialization of subcutaneous products utilizing ALT-B4. Pharmaessentia secured FDA approval of Besremi for the treatment of essential thrombocythemia.

China Healthcare Weekly Wrap (31 Aug – 4 Sep)

By Wilfred Yuen

  • Hutchmed licensed out ex-China rights of KRAS-EGFR cancer asset to GSK for US$1.3bn and Simcere licensed out a B-cell targeting trispecific to Roche for US$1.5bn. Both assets are preclinical
  • Hengrui presented phase 3 results of SHR-1918 (ANGPTL3) and phase 2 results of HRS-5346 (Lp(a)) at ESC Congress. Separately, for Lp(a), Novartis yesterday said pelacarsen failed in a phase 3
  • Other updates/news include BeOne, Sino Biopharma, Genscript, Akeso, Hansoh, MediLink…

Companies Benefiting in India’s Construction Equipment: Export Growth Vs Domestic Slump

By Nimish Maheshwari


UltraTech’s Ultravolt Entry: A Margin Threat in Entire Wire & Cable Industry

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • UltraTech has launched Ultravolt from a 10.98 lakh-km Gujarat facility, backed by Rs. 1,800 crore and a top-two ambition within five years.
  • The entrant can fund channel incentives, advertising and rapid distribution without depending on early profitability, raising competitive intensity in retail wires.
  • Polycab’s leadership remains defensible, but its margin-of-safety narrows: future share gains may require higher dealer support and brand spending.

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